Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic
  • Brewer Fanatic 2023 Offseason Top 20 Prospect #8 - Luis Lara


    Spencer Michaelis

    Welcome back to Brewer Fanatic's 2023 top 20 prospect rundown! In this edition, we will be taking a deep dive look at our number eight prospect, as voted on and compiled by the Brewer Fanatic community, Luis Lara.

    Brewers Video

    #8 OF Luis Lara (Carolina Mudcats, Wisconsin Timber Rattlers)
    The Brewers signed Lara in their 2022 International signing class, and he was one of the bigger signings for the Brewers in that class. He received the third-highest bonus in the class at $1.1 Million, behind only shortstops Jhonny Severino and Johan Barrios. After getting off to a scalding hot start in the DSL, Lara slowed down dramatically for a few weeks before a strong finish. While his 2022 stats didn’t look all that special, a 12% K-Rate and 9% BB-Rate were great signs for a player his age. He began 2023 in Extended Spring Training but soon proved too talented to be sent to the Arizona Complex League and was promoted to Low-A Carolina a month into the season.

    dyGKwmRFqRm9-sdyjEcybtxIRb3IJwGgn968b_Qt

    What to Like:
    Lara has the potential for a plus hit tool, potentially even elite. A switch hitter from the left side, he has a very compact swing. He appears to have very good rotational mobility, and that mobility helps him swing his bat at an elite rate of speed. That bat speed, combined with his hand-eye coordination, gives Lara tremendous bat-to-ball skills. He posted a 90% contact rate on pitches in the zone in 2023, which would have been a top 25 number among qualified MLB hitters. His swing can look Ronald Acuna-esque from the right side at times, though the results were not very good against left-handed pitchers this year. As for the defensive side of the ball, Lara combines his plus speed with good reads and routes. At his peak, he could be an elite defender in center field. His arm is borderline plus as well, and because of that, if he needs to, he could also handle right field with no issue. The aforementioned speed also comes in handy on the offensive side of the ball. It especially shows when he puts a ball in the gap or goes first to third on a hit. He did have a pretty successful season stealing bases, with 30 overall. However, while certainly not bad, a 75% success rate for a guy with plus speed isn’t exactly what you’re looking for.

    What to Work On:
    Power is the biggest question mark for Lara moving forward. Despite his diminutive stature, Lara has shown flashes of raw power in a batting practice setting and even some in-game power from both sides of the plate. However, both of his home runs in 2023 were from the right side, and he possesses more of his in-game power from that side. His swing from the right side is much more aggressive and has more moving parts than the left. It allows him to get to his power more, but as mentioned earlier, his results from that side could have been better in 2023. His OPS of .593 from the right side was nearly .200 points lower than the .770 OPS he posted from the left. The one thing Lara will be looking to improve upon defensively is on batted balls that are hit straight at Lara. He sometimes struggles to get good reads on a ball hit directly over his head or in front of him. Many consider that particular part of playing the outfield the most difficult part of the position, so this isn't abnormal, but he will need to get better at it if he wants to stick in center field full-time. Lara's other “weakness” is the lack of baserunning instincts, which results in being caught stealing 25% of the time.  As a younger player, pitchers often struggle with the concept of holding runners, allowing a baserunner to build some bad or lazy habits. Catchers also don’t possess the same type of arms they see in full-season ball. There’s a very real chance that Lara will improve greatly in that regard simply by getting more and more reps on the bases against professional pitchers and catchers.

    What’s next:
    Lara was 18 years old for the entirety of the 2023 season, and after his birthday in November, he will spend all of 2024’s season at 19. The Brewers have generally been extremely aggressive with their prospects the last couple of years, and Lara was no exception. Being pushed to High-A at 18 shows how much they believe in him. However, a Double-A assignment would seem over the top to start 2024. It seems likely that Lara will begin back in Appleton, WI, next spring. Barring a power breakout, he probably won’t ever be a top 10-20 prospect in baseball. However, Lara could find himself in the Sal Frelick territory of the top 50 if he continues to perform as one of the youngest players at each level.

    What are your thoughts on Luis Lara? What are you hoping to see from him in 2024? Let us know in the comments!

    Think you could write a story like this? Brewer Fanatic wants you to develop your voice, find an audience, and we'll pay you to do it. Just fill out this form.

    MORE FROM BREWER FANATIC
    — Latest Brewers coverage from our writers
    — Recent Brewers discussion in our forums
    — Follow Brewer Fanatic via Twitter, Facebook or email

    • Like 1
     Share


    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments

    Featured Comments

    Don’t even have to squint to see the Sal Frelick comp for Luis.

    Guess the big differences would be switch hitter vs lefty, and then Lara being essentially three years ahead of Sal in terms of age relative to level assuming he opens next year in Wisco at age 19 vs Frelick opening there in 2022 at age 22.

    Even if Luis spends a whole year at each level, that would still have him in the MLB conversation around age 22.

    • Love 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Again, a player with obvious hit tools who simply needs to continue to grow and take steps if he is to ever become a MLB player.  Much less a MLB star.  A lot to like at this point, I think it likely he stays in Appleton all next year or maybe making it to AA very late and only if they have the need.

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    I find it crazy that we have an 18 year old who hit well in high A ball with advanced skills across the board (not power) and he really hasn't garnered any top 100 notarity and is #8 on our list. I guarantee if Lara was in a big market he is a top 100 prospect. I kind of get a Jimmy Rollins (OF version) from the highlights I see of Lara.

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    I would opine his defense in CF is better than advertised. Really good jumps. Elite speed. Really good range. I saw very little to concern myself with in terms of balls hit at him - his judgments were quite solid; the reads very quick; the jumps instant; and he more often than not made the extremely difficult play look smooth and routine. He made, arguably, the catch of the year tracking a ball to straightaway CF and making the insanely difficult laid out in full straight at the wall grab (can't find the highlight, naturally). It was incredible. His jumps to every direction are more than adequate. He also has a surprisingly very good arm - definitely rips. This was, for me, perhaps the most surprisingly impressive part of his game. He pretty much has a cannon. There just isn't much to gripe about on the defensive side of the ball. This is one of the more exciting prospects in the system given the entirety of what we're witnessing.

    Here's some defensive examples of get off that are actually available and demonstrate what I'm talking about:

     

    Straight over the head? No problems

    Anyhow, on a nightly basis we Mudcats viewers were extremely spoiled by the defensive web gems we saw routinely up the middle - from Sibrian at the backstop to Areinamo anywhere in the middle infield to from Lara in CF. Three defensive savants.

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Smichaelis9
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    30 minutes ago, Joseph Zarr said:

    I would opine his defense in CF is better than advertised. Really good jumps. Elite speed. Really good range. I saw very little to concern myself with in terms of balls hit at him - his judgments were quite solid; the reads very quick; the jumps instant; and he more often than not made the extremely difficult play look smooth and routine. He made, arguably, the catch of the year tracking a ball to straightaway CF and making the insanely difficult laid out in full straight at the wall grab (can't find the highlight, naturally). It was incredible. His jumps to every direction are more than adequate. He also has a surprisingly very good arm - definitely rips. This was, for me, perhaps the most surprisingly impressive part of his game. He pretty much has a cannon. There just isn't much to gripe about on the defensive side of the ball. This is one of the more exciting prospects in the system given the entirety of what we're witnessing.

    Here's some defensive examples of get off that are actually available and demonstrate what I'm talking about:

     

    Straight over the head? No problems

    Anyhow, on a nightly basis we Mudcats viewers were extremely spoiled by the defensive web gems we saw routinely up the middle - from Sibrian at the backstop to Areinamo anywhere in the middle infield to from Lara in CF. Three defensive savants.

    I think he's a future 70 grade glove, and that he gets absolutely great reads. But the only slight concern (which has been backed up by a couple in person looks) is really the reads he gets on balls hit right in front and right over his head. I'm not sure the first video that cuts to Lara 2 seconds after it's hit is able to show that he got a good read. The last one he definitely got a good read on. But highlights will tend to be showing the good ones haha. 

     

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    7 minutes ago, Smichaelis9 said:

    I think he's a future 70 grade glove, and that he gets absolutely great reads. But the only slight concern (which has been backed up by a couple in person looks) is really the reads he gets on balls hit right in front and right over his head. I'm not sure the first video that cuts to Lara 2 seconds after it's hit is able to show that he got a good read. The last one he definitely got a good read on. But highlights will tend to be showing the good ones haha. 

     

    Fair enough. I mean, you have to fill out and add some body to 'What to Work On' (😅) and you have some in person looks and this is a fun thing to discuss regardless of where we disagree. There was a guy (best said in East Coast accent) this season making a point about Chourio and his jumps and how they were a question mark and, at the time and to this day, it felt like a major reach - almost like we have to find flaws in the players. I am not saying you are doing this here, btw, but when I read that from this guy (again, 'this guy' is best said in an East Coast accent) I found myself thinking: "I've watched nearly every single game of his since he's played Low-A. Have I thought his defense was overrated at times? Yes, absolutely - especially his affiliated Freshman year when I personally felt Wiemer and Crow-Armstrong were more deserving of a Minor League gold glove. BUT, the thing is he's actually continued to get better building off a very good base. Not one single time did I watch a Chourio game and think: Geee, he really needs to improve those reads it's negatively impacting this game." 😅 Anywho, this is a long-winded way of saying: having watched nearly all of Lara's games in 2023, I never once came away thinking any of his current defensive skills were anything other than quite simply put the best outfielder on that grass (and this with Avina and Nicasia at the corners - very good defensive players). But, to your point, let's hope as he ages he just keeps getting better and everything gets even smoother. Given the coach in you, I'll trust that part of your eyes and defer. 

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Smichaelis9
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    4 minutes ago, Joseph Zarr said:

    Fair enough. I mean, you have to fill out and add some body to 'What to Work On' (😅) and you have some in person looks and this is a fun thing to discuss regardless of where we disagree. There was a guy (best said in East Coast accent) this season making a point about Chourio and his jumps and how they were a question mark and, at the time and to this day, it felt like a major reach - almost like we have to find flaws in the players. I am not saying you are doing this here, btw, but when I read that from this guy (again, 'this guy' is best said in an East Coast accent) I found myself thinking: "I've watched nearly every single game of his since he's played Low-A. Have I thought his defense was overrated at times? Yes, absolutely - especially his affiliated Freshman year when I personally felt Wiemer and Crow-Armstrong were more deserving of a Minor League gold glove. BUT, the thing is he's actually continued to get better building off a very good base. Not one single time did I watch a Chourio game and think: Geee, he really needs to improve those reads it's negatively impacting this game." 😅 Anywho, this is a long-winded way of saying: having watched nearly all of Lara's games in 2023, I never once came away thinking any of his current defensive skills were anything other than quite simply put the best outfielder on that grass (and this with Avina and Nicasia at the corners - very good defensive players). But, to your point, let's hope as he ages he just keeps getting better and everything gets even smoother. Given the coach in you, I'll trust that part of your eyes and defer. 

    Oh this is definitely nit-picky and partially to list something to work on, for the defensive side of the ball haha. I did notice it a couple of times though, and also like I said, it's the type of ball a lot of fielders can struggle on at times. Even the best in baseball. I would personally call Lara the best defensive outfielder in the system, and that is definitely saying something, given there's a lot of defensive talent at every level.

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    8 minutes ago, Smichaelis9 said:

     I would personally call Lara the best defensive outfielder in the system, and that is definitely saying something, given there's a lot of defensive talent at every level.

    We can certainly make this argument. I was already feeling him the first couple of weeks in Zebulon. And, then I saw him fire off his cannon arm and I was stunned. I had that very thought then.Jim Carrey Reaction GIF by MOODMAN

    He solidified himself as the season went on. He's an absolute weapon out there. 

    • Like 2
    • Love 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    2 hours ago, jay87shot said:

    I find it crazy that we have an 18 year old who hit well in high A ball with advanced skills across the board (not power) and he really hasn't garnered any top 100 notarity and is #8 on our list. I guarantee if Lara was in a big market he is a top 100 prospect. I kind of get a Jimmy Rollins (OF version) from the highlights I see of Lara.

    62 here. https://www.justbaseball.com/prospects/mlb-top-100-prospects-2023/

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    How about a CF version of Jose Altuve for a comp? If he ever translates that raw power into in-game power...Altuve didn't start showing his power until very, very late in his development. 

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Smichaelis9
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    15 minutes ago, Playing Catch said:

    I trust your judgement, and yet, I find this very hard to believe!

    To be clear, I'm not including players who debuted or are in MLB! Among the actual prospects still out there, I would put him first. If I included, Mitchell, Wiemer, Perkins, etc, then he would not be first.

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites



    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...