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  • The Offseason State Of The Brewers Farm – Shortstop


    Harold Hutchison

    Shortstop is arguably the deepest position in the Brewers farm system, and it isn’t just because the Brewers have had highly-touted draft picks at the position. Just how deep are the Brewers at short?

    Image courtesy of © Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

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    Every one of the Brewers affiliates boasts at least one shortstop prospect who could be a solid major-league player, at what is arguably the most important position on the infield. Let’s take a look at who they have.

    Cam Devanney (AAA Nashville)
    .271/.362/.461 with 27 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBI, 46 walks, 71 strikeouts in 336 at-bats

    As a 15th-round draft pick, Devanney has proven to be a steal so far. He broke out in 2022 after a very rough 2021, following an aggressive promotion to Biloxi. He’s flashed a superb bat, and he has not just held down shortstop, but also saw action at third base, second base, first base, and left field during his professional career. Had it not been for early-season injuries, he might have gotten the call-up after Willy Adames had that scary incident in May.

    Freddy Zamora (AA Biloxi)
    .255/.352/.361 with 17 doubles, 7 home runs, 51 RBI, 53 walks, 89 strikeouts in 377 at-bats

    Zamora was selected in the second round of the abbreviated 2020 June draft, and provided a lot of hope in 2021. His injury-riddled 2022 gave Devanney the chance to stage a comeback. In 2023, he initially struggled due to the experimental ball in AA, but emerged with a very solid offensive season. In addition to some pop in his bat, he stole 17 bases. He and Devanney will likely compete for the shortstop job in Nashville, and with it, a shot at making it to Milwaukee.

    Ethan Murray (AA Biloxi)
    .256/.359/.370 with 16 doubles, 6 home runs, 48 RBI, 53 walks, 93 strikeouts in 351 at-bats

    Murray found himself playing a lot at both shortstop and second base, spending a bit more time at the former position. For a player whose big calling card has been defense, Murray actually had a bit of an offensive breakout in Biloxi, posting his highest OPS at the professional level and improving his walk rate over 2022. Murray’s development marks a very nice problem for Nashville to have in 2024.

    Eric Brown Jr. (A+ Wisconsin/R ACL Brewers/AA Biloxi)
    .255/.358/.354 with eight doubles, 6 home runs, 27 RBI, 36 walks, 54 strikeouts in 263 at-bats

    Brown had trouble staying healthy in 2023, but when he's on the field, he’s generally performed well. Brown’s OBP skills and speed (39 steals in 72 games) provide an intriguing top-of-the-order option. He’s also performed well in the Arizona Fall League (.801 OPS as of November 3).

    Daniel Guilarte (A Carolina/R ACL Brewers)
    .284/.387/.325 with 6 doubles, 33 RBI, 36 walks, 68 strikeouts in 266 at-bats

    Guilarte’s could be called a two-true-outcome profile: he draws a lot of walks and he strikes out a lot. He also has a lot of speed, stealing 31 bases in 63 games. Injuries somewhat derailed Guilarte’s 2023 season, but his game looks to be very intriguing. Guilarte just turned 20, so he could fill out and add some pop to go with his OBP/speed/defense package.

    Juan Baez (R ACL Brewers/A Carolina)
    .351/.377/.527 with 19 doubles, 4 home runs, 48 RBI, 10 walks, 27 strikeouts in 222 at-bats

    Arguably, Baez has the most dynamic bat of the Brewers’ shortstop prospects. His .557 slugging percentage was the second-highest among all players with 10 or more games with the Maryvale squad (only the traded Jhonny Severino’s was higher) and he tied with Severino and Mike Boeve for the team lead in homers. He didn’t just flash power, he also had speed (four triples and 19 steals between both stops). Baez’s big question mark was defense, with only an .833 fielding percentage at short – but that .904 OPS overall may be worth keeping him at short for the long term despite the defensive struggles. Players who post a .900 OPS are rare. Shortstops that do so are even harder to find.

    Cooper Pratt (R ACL Brewers)
    .356/.426/.444 with 2 doubles, 8 RBI, 5 walks, 11 strikeouts in 45 at-bats

    Pratt was a surprise pick in the sixth round, and it was an even bigger surprise when the Crew paid $1.35 million to get him to pass on college ball. But so far, initial returns make this decision look good. Pratt could stick at shortstop, making no errors in nine games at the position. The scary part is what sort of power could develop from his 6’4”, 195-pound frame.

    Filippo Di Turi (FRk DSL Brewers 2)
    .282/.414/.354 with 9 doubles, 27 RBI, 38 walks, 32 strikeouts in 181 at-bats

    Di Turi’s plate discipline was perhaps his biggest calling card--his walks exceeded his strikeouts--and he also flashed an ability to make contact, with his .282 average. Di Turi doesn’t turn 18 until November 9, and so he is likely to fill out some and could add some power. Combined with his current plate discipline, it could make this switch-hitter some bad news for opposing pitchers.

    What do you think about the collection of shortstops Milwaukee has? Who do you think will rocket up the minor-league ladder? Who will take Willy Adames’s place? Let us know what you think!

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    The farm is devoid of power at the SS position. Pratt should develop power over time, so there’s hope with him but that’s about it.

    Devanney-Bitonti-Baez are 3B. The rest are singles hitters with some gap power.

    Next years draft, I’m hoping for a real SS with power potential gets added. I prefer a college bat but if it’s HS, so be it.

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    To be fair, if you are likely to stick at short and have demonstrated above average power in the minors, chances are you either come with a lot of swing and miss or are a top 100 prospect.

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    5 hours ago, SF70 said:

    The farm is devoid of power at the SS position. Pratt should develop power over time, so there’s hope with him but that’s about it.

    Devanney-Bitonti-Baez are 3B. The rest are singles hitters with some gap power.

    Next years draft, I’m hoping for a real SS with power potential gets added. I prefer a college bat but if it’s HS, so be it.

    Bitonti is likely going to end up at 3B, but that's largely an assumption due to his size at this point. I think Devanney has proven he can play SS. Not that he projects to be a big-time power hitter, but as you said, Pratt does. 

    Baez is...not a SS from EVERY account and the fact that Clancy compared it to the "mistake" we made by moving Braun off 3B is telling. 

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    clancyphile
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    On 11/7/2023 at 8:29 PM, PlayerHader said:

    Some very anemic slug % in there…

    A lot of the SS bats are OBP/speed types.

    Devanney and Baez are clearly potent bats in terms of being power threats, and Pratt could develop into that (not sweating yet due to the small sample size, but even if he's more a Jeff Cirillo type, that's still pretty darn good at short).

    Baez would definitely be a bat-first SS, but if he is posting a .900-.950 OPS at the position while not being completely atrocious... why not take the OPS and say thank you to the baseball gods?

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    47 minutes ago, clancyphile said:

    Baez would definitely be a bat-first SS, but if he is posting a .900-.950 OPS at the position while not being completely atrocious... why not take the OPS and say thank you to the baseball gods?

    Because 1. Defense matters, especially at short. And 2. Hypotheticals based on stats in the absurd hitting environment of the ACL are inherently flawed (in retrospect, Galindez’s stats improving upon his promotion shouldn’t have been surprising).

    He still might play some short based upon other roster decisions (Is O’Rae an outfielder now? Does Bitonti have less of a chance of sticking at short than Baez?). Overall, though, Pratt will likely get the lion’s share of the work there. Based on the scouting reports I’ve read, it sounds like best case, if he cuts down on the errors, would be the role Urias held, where he is a shortstop once a week to give the starter a day off.

    It seems like prospect wise in full season ball next year you’ve got a few categories:

    Shortstops: Zamora, Brown, Guilarte, Barrios

    Profile better at second, but can play short well enough for a utility role: Areinamo, Moore

    3rd basemen with shortstop experience: Baez, Bitonti

    The coin flip: Pratt

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    clancyphile
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    1 hour ago, CheeseheadInQC said:

    Because 1. Defense matters, especially at short. And 2. Hypotheticals based on stats in the absurd hitting environment of the ACL are inherently flawed (in retrospect, Galindez’s stats improving upon his promotion shouldn’t have been surprising).

    He still might play some short based upon other roster decisions (Is O’Rae an outfielder now? Does Bitonti have less of a chance of sticking at short than Baez?). Overall, though, Pratt will likely get the lion’s share of the work there. Based on the scouting reports I’ve read, it sounds like best case, if he cuts down on the errors, would be the role Urias held, where he is a shortstop once a week to give the starter a day off.

    It seems like prospect wise in full season ball next year you’ve got a few categories:

    Shortstops: Zamora, Brown, Guilarte, Barrios

    Profile better at second, but can play short well enough for a utility role: Areinamo, Moore

    3rd basemen with shortstop experience: Baez, Bitonti

    The coin flip: Pratt

    I'm assuming the SS picture looks like this:

    AAA: Zamora/Devanney

    AA: Brown/Murray

    A+: Guilarte/O'Rae/Areinamo

    A: Baez/Pratt

    Devanney could force his way to the majors in spring training - he's sneaky good, kind of a home-grown Monasterio with power. Zamora, of course, is the 2nd-round pick from 2020.

    Brown and Murray duke it out for time at short in Biloxi.

    Guilarte, O'Rae, and Areinamo would probably be competing for the time at short in Appleton.

    That puts Pratt and Baez at short for the Mudcats, with an outside chance of Josh Adamczewski forcing his way into the mix the way Luke Adams did at the corner infield in 2023. Both Baez and Pratt are very exciting. Pratt could be a devastating bat if he develops power. Baez... his ability to hit for contact went up big time. He had an 11.98 strikeout percentage in the ACL and a 12.16 strikeout percentage overall. That's very good, to put it mildly. Even in his 30-at-bat sample at Carolina, it climbed to 13.3%.

    He didn't draw walks, but he made contact, and it was effective contact that punished anything in the strike zone. And that low strikeout percentage tells me he ain't chasing or getting fooled. I don't doubt that Pratt makes things interesting and can be exciting in his own right, but I think Baez's just as good, and his bat seems more proven as a professional.

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    8 hours ago, clancyphile said:

    I'm assuming the SS picture looks like this:

    AAA: Zamora/Devanney

    AA: Brown/Murray

    A+: Guilarte/O'Rae/Areinamo

    A: Baez/Pratt

    Devanney could force his way to the majors in spring training - he's sneaky good, kind of a home-grown Monasterio with power. Zamora, of course, is the 2nd-round pick from 2020.

    Brown and Murray duke it out for time at short in Biloxi.

    Guilarte, O'Rae, and Areinamo would probably be competing for the time at short in Appleton.

    That puts Pratt and Baez at short for the Mudcats, with an outside chance of Josh Adamczewski forcing his way into the mix the way Luke Adams did at the corner infield in 2023. Both Baez and Pratt are very exciting. Pratt could be a devastating bat if he develops power. Baez... his ability to hit for contact went up big time. He had an 11.98 strikeout percentage in the ACL and a 12.16 strikeout percentage overall. That's very good, to put it mildly. Even in his 30-at-bat sample at Carolina, it climbed to 13.3%.

    He didn't draw walks, but he made contact, and it was effective contact that punished anything in the strike zone. And that low strikeout percentage tells me he ain't chasing or getting fooled. I don't doubt that Pratt makes things interesting and can be exciting in his own right, but I think Baez's just as good, and his bat seems more proven as a professional.

    This is the weakest position in our entire farm system. Brown-Pratt, that’s it for real SS prospects. The rest are no power, gap hitters at best or 2B/3B/CF. 

    Hoping the team can add another SS prospect with pop thru this years draft and or add one by trade. 

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    7 minutes ago, SF70 said:

    This is the weakest position in our entire farm system. Brown-Pratt, that’s it for real SS prospects. The rest are no power, gap hitters at best or 2B/3B/CF. 

    Hoping the team can add another SS prospect with pop thru this years draft and or add one by trade. 

    I would love to pick off Joey Ortiz from the Orioles in a trade. He’s completely blocked by Holliday and Henderson. Elite glove and some decent gap power.

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