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  • 3 Takeaways from Brewers' Opening Day


    Matthew Trueblood

    Opening Day brought the Brewers frustration and some trepidation, as they lost 4-0 to the Cubs and will have to wait to hear about the severity of Luis Urias's hamstring injury. Still, baseball is back, and there was more to the first game of the season than those feelings.

    Image courtesy of © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

    Brewers Video

    Corbin Burnes's Two Gears on the Cutter

    In the first inning, Ian Happ drew a two-out walk against the Brewers’ ace, bringing the dangerous Cody Bellinger to the plate. As rough as the last two seasons were for Bellinger, he looked good enough this spring to merit the cleanup spot in Chicago’s Opening Day lineup, and right field was the one place where the ball was carrying well in the air Thursday.

    Burnes knew Bellinger would step into the box thinking about creating an early run, especially in his first at-bat with a new team and in front of a raucous home crowd. He took advantage masterfully, and it was a reminder of what makes him special. His first pitch to Bellinger was a cutter, but not one of the riding cutters at 96 miles per hour that he had thrown to the first few hitters. Instead, the pitch came in at 94, and it dove like a slider toward Bellinger's back foot. 

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    That highlighted something interesting about Burnes and his lethal cutter: it can be two different pitches for him. He doesn't just throw the cutter in place of his fastball. He manipulates the pitch, such that it can also work as a breaking ball. Here are all of the cutter Burnes threw in 2022 that were over 95 miles per hour.

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    Now, here are his cutters below that speed.

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    The second cluster is lower, showing us that Burnes can create more vertical movement with the cutter when he takes a little bit off of it. He applies so much spin to it that turning it into as much a breaking ball as a fastball is relatively easy. He got ahead of Bellinger on that version of the offering, then induced a groundout with a good changeup, a pitch Bellinger was not going to hit hard after seeing that cutter the previous pitch. 

    Willy Adames Has to Keep His Head

    The Cubs' four-run third inning didn't have to be that way. Dansby Swanson swatted an opposite-field single to score the first Cubs tally, but as the throw came in from right field, Willy Adames noticed Swanson taking a big turn around first base, and tried to steal an out by throwing behind him. Instead, he threw wildly, and Nico Hoerner came home to score a second run. While Adames's awareness is laudable on one level, he was trying to do too much there.

    A few batters later, with runners at the corners and two outs, Yan Gomes hit a slow grounder up the middle. Adames fielded it cleanly, but seemed caught between trying to beat Trey Mancini to second base himself and throwing over to first to retire Gomes and end the inning. He chose the former, which was a mistake. Mancini had gotten a good secondary lead and was running hard, and he beat Adames to the bag.

    Adames had had to charge past second to grab the ball. Trying to take it to the base meant a reversal of his momentum. Gomes, a catcher, is very slow. It seemed as though Adames just froze a little, letting the previous error get into his head. He's a very talented defender, but he'll need to be more clear-headed out there from now on.

    Good Relief Work

    It didn't change the game, because the Crew never did crack the Cubs' pitching staff, but the bullpen was solid after Burnes's departure. Peter Strzelecki, Gus Varland, and Javy Guerra worked around a couple of jams, but didn't allow a run in three innings of work. For Varland, it was a successful big-league debut. Guerra threw the four hardest pitches either team tossed all day. It was small consolation in a tough loss, perhaps, but those three provided a reminder that Craig Counsell still has formidable depth in his relief corps.

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    Yesterday continued my confidence in the pen arms that Arnold has assembled, they aren't proven but there is a lot of talent there. 

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    11 minutes ago, MVP2110 said:

    Yesterday continued my confidence in the pen arms that Arnold has assembled, they aren't proven but there is a lot of talent there. 

    Amazing off-season re-vamp adding stuff-arms to, not just the 26-man, But the organization as a whole. This team is well stocked for not just this season, but for years to come.

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    18 minutes ago, MVP2110 said:

    Yesterday continued my confidence in the pen arms that Arnold has assembled, they aren't proven but there is a lot of talent there. 

    One of my underlying concerns about the Brewers is whether they can repeat their pitching development magic of 2015-2018. Seeing them develop a bunch of unproven bullpen arms on the fly goes quite a ways towards assuaging that concern.

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    I have no takeaways. Bad games happen throughout the season. Everyone just feels worse when it's the first game.

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    You think they went home after the game with the off day today?

    Or is everyone sitting around in their hotel rooms with this weather?

    Then throw in what looks like another weather day that could cancel Saturday.

    Play a doubleheader Sunday if it clears, or just make it up later in the season?

    Just kind of weird vibes/no rhythm all around to start a season. If only there was a stadium with a roof like 69 miles north or whatever.

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    7 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

    You think they went home after the game with the off day today?

    Or is everyone sitting around in their hotel rooms with this weather?

    Then throw in what looks like another weather day that could cancel Saturday.

    Play a doubleheader Sunday if it clears, or just make it up later in the season?

    Just kind of weird vibes/no rhythm all around to start a season. If only there was a stadium with a roof like 69 miles north or whatever.

    I hate the day off after opening day. I think it ruins the momentum of the baseball season just as it begins.

    The thing is that it's not that hard to have the Tigers, Red Sox, Cubs, White Sox, and Twins start on the road every season. It should just be a thing baseball does every Opening Day. There are plenty of viable cities for a handful of teams to start out on the road against every season.

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    30 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

    You think they went home after the game with the off day today?

    Or is everyone sitting around in their hotel rooms with this weather?

    Then throw in what looks like another weather day that could cancel Saturday.

    Play a doubleheader Sunday if it clears, or just make it up later in the season?

    Just kind of weird vibes/no rhythm all around to start a season. If only there was a stadium with a roof like 69 miles north or whatever.

    Weather seems fine for Saturday to me. The rain is supposed to be in the morning with the afternoon/night being cleared out. Awfully cold and windy but they will still play baseball in that.

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    Takeaway. Imagine that Burnes in the run for Cy Young carries a final ERA just above who actually wins it. Opening day Adames' errors (charged and mental) cost him 2 earned runs today. 

    Or I dunno let's see Burnes be a 4ERA guy and close the season a below 2 ERA guy to not be a reason they didn't make the playoffs.

     

    The ump pushed the bats to swing at balls since early he was calling low or outside the zone strikes. Same deal last year the ump called in Cubs favor. Let's see a fair zone and what our bats will do today.

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    My main take away was, damn the offense is going to be frustrating again. I know, 1 game, questionable ump, but that was the most noticeable thing. 

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    1 hour ago, umphrey said:

    My main take away was, damn the offense is going to be frustrating again. I know, 1 game, questionable ump, but that was the most noticeable thing. 

    I'm chalking it up to the umpire and Stroman. Between Stroman's command and the ump's zone, there were so many unhittable pitches thrown yesterday.

    No hitter is going to do anything useful with a sinker dropping below the knees and being called a strike. You swing at it, you're inducing weak contact. You take the pitch and you're issued a strike. It was no-win.

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