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TooLiveBrew

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Everything posted by TooLiveBrew

  1. TooLiveBrew
    Wow, so Appel doesn't go #1 overall, and has now slipped to #4 at best. Interesting.
  2. TooLiveBrew
    I just wanted to bump this thread -- I work with Jason & the FVRA. The Early Bird tournament was a really big success (14 teams), and the Hammer (guaranteed 5 games) is going to be another big hit in this, its second year. The Unshaved Classic is intended to be a fun tournament & be all-inclusive. Please contact Jason to register and/or please help spread the word to any teams you know looking for more tournament action!
  3. TooLiveBrew
    Right now, Lucroy as a catcher profiles as the type of player who can grow into a plus hitter for the position. Move him to first base, & he profiles as lg-avg. at best imo. There is nothing to be gained from moving Luc off catcher, and much to be lost.
  4. TooLiveBrew
    Coulter's seeming like a lock at this point. Sure will be interesting to see how this shakes out!
  5. TooLiveBrew
    If we take care of business against the division rivals, then we'll be in great shape. Relax people! The problem is that this isn't necessarily true. Taking care of business against division rivals is obviously very important, but there's still plenty of other games to be played.
  6. TooLiveBrew
    1. Tyler Thornburg 2. Wily Peralta 3. Jimmy Nelson 4. Jed Bradley 5. Taylor Jungmann 6. Taylor Green 7. Jorge Lopez 8. Scooter Gennett 9. Caleb Gindl 10. Logan Schafer 11. Drew Gagnon 12. Orlando Arcia 13. Yadiel Rivera 14. Hunter Morris 15. Andy Moye 16. Cameron Garfield 17. Nick Bucci 18. Kyle Heckathorn 19. Brooks Hall 20. Santo Manzanillo 21. Chris McFarland 22. Brandon Kintzler 23. Tommy Toledo 24. Michael Reed 25. Gian Rizzo 26. Ruben Ozuna 27. Osmel Perez 28. Joel Dicent 29. Khris Davis 30. Cody Scarpetta
  7. TooLiveBrew
    No kidding! I almost literally gasped when I read this. Wow.
  8. TooLiveBrew
    I know you haven't been a believer in Dunn as he'll age, & I can't say I think he's not going to fall off a cliff at some point. But I think the question about him is interesting, since 500 HR has really been a benchmark.
  9. TooLiveBrew
    I agree, but what's blown me away about this season is how many times I've thought that after the newest episode. Tonight's was... Wow.
  10. TooLiveBrew
    Oh now don't you go getting my hopes up, DHonks!
  11. TooLiveBrew
    I don't even think I buy the Dodgers as being "the best team in baseball" -- I realize that they had the best record in the league heading into that Brewers series, but that lineup is far from impressive, even with Kemp healthy. I guess my main point in nitpicking that is that I don't think one series result is enough (one way or the other) to say that the Brewers should/shouldn't sell... so I respect that you lay out all your other rationale.
  12. TooLiveBrew
    Yeah, it's certainly an interesting discussion -- I love threads like these. The "is 500 HRs an automatic Hall(of Fame) pass?" question's particularly interesting. And it'll be fun to see how many HRs Dunn can chase down before he has to hang 'em up. Like you noted ('The' Dew Deck shot, because, yeah... I think everyone remembers that shot), he's not exactly lacking for power.
  13. TooLiveBrew
    but that's the whole point -- the reason Miguel Cabrera is an elite hitter is that there aren't many like him. Dunn's been a tremendous HR & BB guy, but that's not nearly as uncommon in more recent years. I didn't extrapolate any further on my post responding to the Killebrew/Dunn comp., because frankly I didn't think it'd be needed. While OPS+ isn't by any means a 100% determining comparative stat, it's useful in a quick & dirty sense. Check out where Killebrew stacked up in the two seasons gregmag cited ('67 & '69). He was routinely one of the 5-10 best hitters in his league, and maybe MLB -- he won 1 MVP & finished top-5 five other times. Dunn has certainly been a good power hitter, but he doesn't stand out amongst his peers in the same way that Killebrew did/does. How much a player stands out in the era(s) in which he played is, for me, a major determinant in HOF-i-ness. 40 HRs seems like a reasonable estimate for Dunn in a given season, so even though he might hit more than 40 this season, that's no given. Assuming 40 HR/season, Dunn wouldn't get to 500 until his age-35 season (2015). Even if he's able to stay healthy & productive enough to get to 500 by then, you're still looking at 100 more HRs to hit from age-36 & beyond. Dunn isn't exactly a picture of physical conditioning, so I think it's an incredibly long shot he'll reach 600. He is what he is, a player I feel has been undervalued by many over his career -- and certainly an impressively consistent producer. But he's not the kind of player that jumps off the page to me as a HOF candidate.
  14. TooLiveBrew
    I'm excited for the draft, once again. Should be an interesting one... seems like there's a lot of talent to be had this year, so I just hope Seid & Co. wind up picking the right dudes. I hope there isn't any "focus on _[insert position here]_", and they can just work on getting the most talented player at each pick.
  15. TooLiveBrew
    Dunn getting compared to Killebrew is a classic example of why context & era are important when evaluating HOF cases. In Killebrew's two best seasons in terms of OPS, the AL aggregate OPS was... 1961: .724, 1969: .690. Dunn's best OPS years so far in his career have been 2004 (.756 NL aggregate OPS) & 2007 (.757). What Killebrew was doing at the time he played was far more rare & therefore far more valuable. Dunn's the definition of a Hall of Very Good candidate imo.
  16. TooLiveBrew
    With Cain's contract, and some expecting Greinke/Hamels to get $125M or more, if I'm Marcum I'd like to see what free agency brings... especially after it was public knowledge that the Brewers didn't want to extend Marcum. If Cain and others get upwards of $100M, some team has to be willing to give Marcum at least $50M. On a four year deal, that'd be $12.5M AAV. If any team's willing to go to 5 years, that's over $60M. I think the Brewers would have to talk to Marcum somewhere around or north of $50M.
  17. TooLiveBrew
    I'd suggest starting here... but there's probably a bit more detail available on him now, since we're a decent chunk into the season. viewtopic.php?f=64&t=27856
  18. TooLiveBrew
    I agree that he could be a good fit. Hopefully the Brewers can take on enough of the salary that they don't have to pay much in the way of prospect value.
  19. TooLiveBrew
    I think it's far more likely that they trade away someone like Gindl or some of our "second tier" minor league pitchers for a rental player or two to upgrade this year's team. This definitely seems like the way Melvin prefers to operate. I don't think it's a guarantee that they'd miss the playoffs this year, though.
  20. TooLiveBrew
    You could also argue the Pirates won't be hitting that anemically the rest of the way, too.
  21. TooLiveBrew
    This makes complete sense, so was the 'he would be available for two impact prospects' so-called rumor just a writer making stuff up?
  22. TooLiveBrew
    Wow, I completely misread that as "there is no such thing as a AAAA guy"
  23. TooLiveBrew
    Last night Gomez ran a lot, spent a lot of time on the bases, & he's nursing a sore hammy. I'd want to see him in the game again tonight because watching him run the bases is hilarious right now. But I have no problem with resting him for this one. I also have no problem with Braun getting to rest.
  24. TooLiveBrew
    3 & 2, I almost posted in your Loretta thread that I love these kinds of discussions/threads. I'd go with Gwynn for an entire career, but I'd definitely take Morgan's peak.
  25. TooLiveBrew
    There is such thing as a "AAAA" guy I hope this stance spreads like the plague. Amen.
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