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RockCoCougars

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Everything posted by RockCoCougars

  1. RockCoCougars
    I'm looking for stats on the rate of times a batter strikes out looking. My theory would be that guys with lower slugging pct. (lets say under .425) who have above average walk rates would also have higher than average rates of striking out looking. Is 90% a statistical average for a MLB pitcher to throw 3 out of 6 strikes. If that's the case, all players would have a 10% walk rate without even taking the bat off their shoulders. Counsell's is about 13% this year- I'll give him the bump for weakly fouling pitches off, requiring the pitcher to throw an additional strike.
  2. RockCoCougars
    On one hand, you suggest Counsell walks more because he swings less. On the other, you say that walks are mostly a product of the pitcher. How is that not a contradiction? Counsell has always walked a lot: Not a contradiction at all. Guys who swing less will walk more when a pitcher is struggling with control. Do you think that Counsell would maintain his walk rates if he was batting against guys like Maddux and Eckersley in their primes? Even at the major league level, generally, pitchers cannot throw strikes at will. You or I could draw walks without ever taking the bat off our shoulders if the pitcher was unable to throw 3 out of 6 pitches as strikes. I think that Counsell's at bat last night demonstrated this perfectly. Cordero was throwing the splitter out of the zone to the first two hitters and they were biting. In my view, Counsell was taking all the way in hopes of the same thing occurring allowing him to draw a walk. From looking at fangraphs, Counsell draws walks for two reasons: First, his overall 'swing percentage' is about 20% below league average; Second, his rate of swinging and missing is less than half that of league average- this is a function of good plate discipline, yes, but all it really tells me is that he's good at fouling pitches off- we all know from watching him that he's not hitting balls hard this year.
  3. RockCoCougars
    The last bat tonight is a perfect example of Counsell trying to get a walk. Are there any websites that show the percentage of pitches that a hitter takes a strike (assuming Fangraphs)? I would bet that Counsell's rate is quite high.
  4. RockCoCougars
    I'm hoping that next year Gamel develops into a 2004 version of Lyle Overbay. That'd make for a decent 2 hole hitter, and a cheap one at that.
  5. RockCoCougars
    Yep. There were three lock HOF on that team last year in Shaq, Garnett and Allen. I think Pierce probably has a shot as well. Kind of like the 80's teams- I think they had five at one point McHale, Bird, Walton, DJ and Parrish.
  6. RockCoCougars
    Based on the Brewers luck with these things in the past, I'll have to see Saito pitch at the major league level again this year before I believe it.
  7. RockCoCougars
    He's not a Brewer anymore, so he's dead to me. I hope someone archives the trade thread, because if Lawrie does become a star, there is going to be a ton of second guessers in coming years. Obviously something has clicked with his offense this year, so it seems his odds of busting out in the bigs has taken a big jump- he's still got a long, long way to go though.
  8. RockCoCougars
    Judging from the past, I think we will definitely see a vet bullpen arm brought in by Melvin. I agree that a power bench bat is needed.
  9. RockCoCougars
    Why does the #9 hitter on the little league team walk so much? He doesn't swing much, and pitchers can't throw strikes when he's up to bat. I will argue until the day that I die that unless you are talking about an elite hitter hitting in front of a non elite hitter (Prince for example), walks are mostly a product of the pitcher.
  10. RockCoCougars
    I'm starting to lean Hardy. Any Reyes deal would completely gut the farm system, and though I like Furcal, I think that the Dodgers may hang around in that division with that pitching staff. You can argue about the signabilty of those two, but if either came here and performed they would both cost big money- Reyes, in particular, would be mega-bucks and I'd rather use that money for pitching. I think Baltimore would be the best fit for a trade, because they will likely be double digit games out of first by the ASG and Hardy will likely come much cheaper than the other two. An added bonus is that his history here would basically make bringing him back just as big of a PR boost as the other two among the casual fans.
  11. RockCoCougars
    No way should Counsell be getting regular playing time. He has 1 extra base hit in 67 plate appearances this season- that is Chris Dickerson-esque. Since the DL list is getting much shorter, at some point, I wouldn't be surprised to see him get some type of 'injury' to allow everyone to save face. If Betancourt doesn't pick things up with the bat, I have a feeling someone will be brought in from another organization to start at short. Who that is, I don't know- we'll have to see who is falling out of contention in the next 6 weeks (right now, my money is on J.J. Hardy).
  12. RockCoCougars
    I gave him a 4, after debating between 4 and 5. Pitcher's fault or not, he has to improve his clip of throwing out runners. I think that he could improve his pitch blocking as well. Everything else is pretty good. I'd give him an 8 for his hitting thus far though.
  13. RockCoCougars
    Frankly, the play at the plate is one of the most exiting plays in the game. An overhyped player gets hurt mostly because he doesn't know how to properly block the plate and now we are going to make rule changes- similar to when Brady got hurt in the NFL? I wouldn't call it the 'Posey rule', but I'd call it something similar. May as well just make all plays at the plate force plays... don't forget the black strip that they have in beer league softball, wouldn't want any contact whatsoever.
  14. RockCoCougars
    All he can do is make the routine play in the field and take a walk at this point. He's got to be nervous about Wilson being brought in, because I still don't know why you need two of these guys around.
  15. RockCoCougars
    I read a sarcastic comment by Buck Martinez on ESPN, something to the effect of 'maybe we should have two home plates, a white one for the catcher to stand on, and an orange one for the runner to slide into- whoever touches their plate first'. By the way, the article mentioned that Martinez's career was basically ended by Gorman Thomas barreling into him and breaking his ankle. Frankly, I'm tired of hearing about this, just because Posey and his agent are whining. What's next? Is a guy going to get hit in the face with a fastball and everyone is going to start whining for little league-like facemasks to fit unto the helmets?
  16. RockCoCougars
    If I'm a Twins fan, I'd be very nervous about having literally hundreds of millions tied up in the M&M boys. Morneau is coming off a bad concussion, and you can't help but wonder whether this is going to be a long term issue- he has fewer homers than both Betancourt and Gomez this season. As for Mauer, he has a history of knee problems, now has some type of virus/fatigue issue, and is not long for the catcher position at any rate- he has never hit for any real power either. Back to topic, there isn't really one player that I'd have any interest in from the Twins. I kind of find it funny how many of the fans up there want Gardenhire run out on a rail, because personally I think that he's been a miracle worker getting that squad to the playoffs nearly every year with the talent that they have had (poor division notwithstanding).
  17. RockCoCougars
    If these guys win tonight, they are on a 90 win pace despite the start to the season and the seven game losing streak (not to mention the loss of Greinke and Hart for significant stretches). What I don't understand is that a lot of people down on Roenecke were the same ones who were projecting the team from 81-86 wins or saying they are not 'as good' as the fans think. What gives? I have no doubt that under Macha, that clubhouse would have imploded during the losing streak, if not during the four game streak to start the season.
  18. RockCoCougars
    It's great to see that the Brewers seem to have actually developed a catcher again. What's it been, about 15 years since Matheny? He didn't do much here either, but it's too bad Bando saw fit to non-tender him.
  19. RockCoCougars
    Counsell has the range of, well... a 40 year old man. In the annals of baseball, how many 40 year olds have played shortstop? Not very many. I can think of Vizquel and Ozzie Smith off hand, but there can't be many more. Counsell's reflexes and legs are slowing as is his bat speed. Did you see his at bat last night? The Giants left fielder was playing him similar to when the benchwarmer in little league gets his at bat, like 25 feet behind the shortstop.
  20. RockCoCougars
    Again, I'd say that managing is mostly about people skills as opposed to strategy. I'd say about 2/3 to 1/3. Leadership and communication abilities not only make it easier to get on the same page, but likely motivate the players more. I think this is true in any business- some of the 'smartest' bosses that I've had were the worst managers due to their personality and/or poor communication skills. I won't lie, I was less motivated by these people- maybe some aren't but judging from my co-workers, most are. It may not have even been a lack of motivation as opposed to a lack of understanding what we were supposed to do.
  21. RockCoCougars
    Small sample. Leave things as is.
  22. RockCoCougars
    I haven't seen him lean against a pole and yawn yet, so he has that on Macha. As for the players still liking him, I think it's just the honeymoon period- time will tell, but at this point he seems a better fit for this team than Macha was.
  23. RockCoCougars
    I don't second guess the collisions. If Posey catches and holds onto the ball, Cousins is out. If the throw beats you, your only play is to knock the heck out of the catcher- especially the glove- to jar the ball out. This isn't little league or beer league softball. The catcher has the advantage with the padding anyway. I'd say that of the handful of injuries that happen on these collisions each year, about half are to the catcher and half are to the runner. I'm tired of sports leagues second guessing the rule book every time a star player gets hurt. The rules protecting quarterbacks in the NFL are absolutely obscene. If this was Wil Nieves no one would even be talking about it today.
  24. RockCoCougars
    Couldn't have said it any better. Are we going to ban sliding hard to break up double plays too? Give me a break, this is all about Posey's agent bemoaning the potential huge loss of future revenue from his big asset.
  25. RockCoCougars
    Jennings reminds me a lot of T.J. Ford. Made a big splash coming into the league, and had some games where he looked like an absolute superstar. Then, after a while you realize that the guy can't shoot very well and can't finish to the basket. Obviously Jennings is younger than Ford was.. and Ford had the injury, so comparing the two is dicey at best, but boy do I miss a guy like Cassell who could stop and pop. All that said, I think the Bucks should give Jennings more time to develop unless someone blows them away with a deal. Next season would have been his senior year in college. I certainly wouldn't move him to move up in the draft (especially this year) or to dump bad contracts. The only way I would move him is with proven talent coming back.
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