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GAME05

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Everything posted by GAME05

  1. What do you guys think of Weight Watchers (WW)? Lot of debt but EPS has been improving. Been falling for 16 months now, but if they get their stuff together they were a $40 company selling for $6 today. The speculation side of me says maybe there will be a greater demand for weight loss after these lockdowns and eating bad food from working at home.
  2. It's a reasonable argument to make that with Hiura on a hot streak, he should be continuing that hot streak at the Major League level. But I'm not convinced that past performance is predictive of future results. There's just as much reason to say his streak ended his final day in Milwaukee since we couldn't know what he'd do tomorrow. And then if he does stay, how do you go about deciding when that hot streak is over? If we try to ride a hot streak we're just as likely to see him be terrible the next three weeks and lose an extra game or two because of it before it's declared that his streak is over. Ultimately is Hiura the guy you'd like to see get 4 ABs in a playoff game? If not it shouldn't be any big deal if he's demoted.
  3. Hiura - 81 DRC+, 43%K rate, 412 babip (Over 500 vs RHP!) Adames - 95 DRC+, 27%K rate, 233 babip. All this says to me is Hiura has been lucky to have that kind of BABIP. That's better than Mike Trout. Conversely Adames has been unlucky. Minus a hot streak and a regression to the norm and Hiura would need to be a great defensive player to make up for it. At least grounding out moves a guy forward.
  4. I used to write/edit a magazine about mass transit. Buses are usually the first to get experimented on when it comes to alternatives because you can get millions of miles on them in short order. I even wrote an article about NYCT buying something like 250 hybrid-electric buses. Natural gas and methane-driven buses have been out there even longer than batteries.
  5. Me, too. Retail sales and unemployment are weirdly contradictory to a recession, but I'm more inclined to think we have more hurt coming, at least until the public is confident inflation is going down and will continue going down. Right now is just such a great time to be buying stocks and crypto regardless of the future and people recognize that.
  6. Middleton to Milwaukee is 184 miles round-trip, so if you take your EV I guess you just cross your fingers you don't get stuck in traffic. And it takes 10 hours to fully charge a Tesla at a charging station, or a whopping 3 miles of range per hour that you charge it from a regular outlet--so even staying overnight at grandma's house won't get you back home unless you unplug her dryer and run a dropcord from there. Certainly the vast majority of our trips are local, but we're also deciding on a whim to go on weekend trips or a ballgame, too. And last time I rented a car for a week it was sure more than $100.
  7. There would have to be a system by which you charge people more for electricity use during peak times than otherwise. Quite the luxury item to have a $70,000 vehicle you can pretty much only drive around town. And even if there were charging stations everywhere, I looked it up and if I were to drive home in a Tesla, I would spend longer just charging it up than it takes me to make the drive in a gas vehicle.
  8. Cool, I used to be a magazine editor, too! The pronouns don't bother me. Typically everyone is talking about one guy in particular so it's not hard to follow.
  9. I have the same issue at my job but am pretty well stuck here for two reasons: I can't afford to both retire and take a pay cut; I worry in this recession that if I were to take a new job that I could wind up being a "last in, first out" layoff.
  10. I did some job-searching yesterday and the jobs I could get pay roughly what I'm making now (shocker, I know). But the big problem is I pay $100/mo in rent for work housing now, and a new job would be $800/mo with a roommate, so overall a drop in earnings. Although I do consider that a regular 8-5 schedule is way better than the permanent night shift/holidays/weekends work that I'm on and that in itself has some amount of value. I have to sacrifice a lot of social outlets for this job (difficult when you're single and worse with a family) and that has me feeling pretty lonely. But especially if I hope to retire in 12-ish years, I think I'm pretty well stuck here because I can't afford to sacrifice a penny of income. As bad as morale is here with no opportunities for a raise and new hires making more than veterans, that's largely the reaction a lot of people are having here, that they're pretty well stuck. Adding to it there's a certain fear that if I changed jobs and the economy got worse, that I would be taking on the higher risk of getting laid off as that "last in, first out" employee.
  11. Unless you're retiring in only a few years, all of this is a value investor's dream come true. If only I had more money to throw in the market right now. Although I don't think we've come anywhere close to the bottom of the market yet.
  12. I've been at my government job for seven years now and the new people they're bringing on at my level are making more than me. Morale is so low right now that lots of people are looking to leave. I also have a house which comes with my job which I pay $100/mo for. Despite losing the house when I leave/retire, that ends up being enough of a benefit that I have doubts I'll be able to find an equivalent-paying job elsewhere. Plus I'd have to stay in government work to keep my pension. So I think I'm pretty well stuck.
  13. There's a third season of Detectorists out on Amazon Prime.
  14. My brother worked there, too. He was the tall one.
  15. The brother said BB7 in Madison may be hiring for that due to an upcoming retirement, as well as Milwaukee Tools out of Milwaukee. And if you see something with Milwaukee, he'd be able to give you the right person to contact.
  16. My brother's engineering firm is hiring. What kind do you do and I can see what he's looking for.
  17. Yeah, that could well be. Fortunately this isn't my career and so it'll only cost me $5 in sales when I tell her to pound sand.
  18. Sorry to hear that, man. Hopefully something else comes along quickly. If you wanna run a park lemme know:)
  19. That's largely my thinking, too. I have a little ways to go yet, so not quite at that "keep what you have" stage. So can I make more than 7% buying up Disney or Netflix now? Yeah, probably. Heck, there's even indexes which short the market. People still drink coffee. Probably smoke more cigarettes if they're hurting, too. Is there really a world of difference between a bond and buying gold? No guarantee, sure, but about as safe as safe can be.
  20. Learned of somebody who is 50/50 on applying for the same promotion I'm going for, and he'd get it ahead of me for reasons I could only say on Political Scene. Felt a little weird encouraging him to apply, but it would be a good move for him and he should. Since I'm only applying for the money and because I kinda have to retirement-wise, but I also don't really want the job, there's a good part of me that hopes he applies because then I have a good excuse for staying put.
  21. My Food Manager test is tomorrow, which I guess isn't totally easy. But worst-case I spend another $150 and take it again in a month. And after 1.5 years I finally secured my commissary. So once I pass the test I can then get my Vending Permit and then I'll be good to finally start vending hot dogs! And even if it still takes a while my work schedule is such I don't have time for it, anyway. Met another cart owner in a nearby small town and he said he nets $200-250 per day, and my location is a little better balanced out by me not being able to have a regular schedule. It'll mean a bunch more work on my off weekends, but also not super-stressful work.
  22. Can't remember the exact name of that bond, but a cousin and my father are pushing to invest in the same one. The cousin has been searching for something super-safe for a while since he's close to retirement and that was the best one he found.
  23. Well, down roughly 70% on owned assets, but at the same time buying as much as I can right now. Sure, maybe we'll see a 25k Bitcoin or maybe even 20k, but you'd think we gotta be at least somewhere near the bottom........maybe. I wasn't in crypto but I recall a $0.02 Cardano as the bottom of the 2018 Crypto Winter, and of course we were all jealous of all the folks who were able to buy at that point and see it climb to $2.80, so hopefully now is that same sorta moment. I'm usually more into gaming/metaverse, but I may have to eat whatever losses and move things to more-secure L1s, because along with that $0.02 Cardano there were plenty of other projects which died permanently.
  24. I have some thought to picking up Disney and Netflix, but at the same time I don't have the impression they're looking to do anything different going forward. Although it's hard to imagine the Disney CEO could keep his job after all this, which I don't mean to be political, just that if you're leading a company which loses that much share price, you should be out, regardless. I'm still basically 100% in a commodities index. Up about 25% so far and going forward I'm just making the assumption that if we do have some food shortages that it should keep on growing as prices increase. Or maybe because I'm not particularly confident in the rest of the market for the time being.
  25. A little bit has changed with the coming promotion opportunity at my job. I didn't want it because I thought it was only going to be a 10% raise and that wasn't worth the extra stress. But I guess it should be more like 30%. I still don't want to do the work, and in all the job doesn't really suit my skills and interests. But since I'll be retiring on only about 60% of a full pension, I think I have to go for the opportunity. Between that and selling hot dogs (which the current boss has said should be manageable) I should be able to put away an additional $2000 per month in addition to the roughly $500/mo I'm putting away now. Plus it'll bump my pension from roughly $1200/mo to maybe $1400/mo. In all it looks like it'll mean being able to retire at maybe 56 y/o (45 now). Otherwise you tend to get force-retired at about 60. As well as having a good enough income up to and including whatever Social Security might be there (but that won't be much, as I haven't paid much in).
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