GAME05
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Everything posted by GAME05
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Just came out of the interview for the promotion. If rumors of the other applicants is true I should have a good shot at the offer. I've decided that IF I get the offer, I'll accept on the condition that I be able to interview for another park opening which should probably happen soon. Socially, moving would mean two golfing buddies instead of none (since my friend here is likely to move), back to my old church, and a lot more day shifts means I could pursue more athletic/social clubs. Same pay instead of a 30% bump is a hit, but it seems to me that the social improvements would make it worthwhile. There's a nervousness in being told I can apply but magically not being the best candidate to actually get it, though I'd just have to lean on my supervisor who's been up-front with me about all other things. I've been told there's no policy against it, but realistically I'm sure HR isn't keen on someone accepting one position only to have them try and get out of it a couple weeks later.
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Along with Keystone, Biden also halted leases for exploration and drilling on federal land and stopped much of the environmentally sensitive drilling in Alaska. Certainly the results of that take two years, but gas prices are speculative and not based on immediate supply, so a president does effect prices. The EPA has become harder to work with for oil companies, plus when an incoming president says "We're going to get rid of fossil fuels" and "We're going to phase out fossil fuels" that effects investment and prices. My biggest beef with politicians of all sorts is they tout their country going greener, but from what I've seen they don't so much replace existing generation with alternatives, but rather they just have some other country make the mess for them.
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Biden has also lifted a bunch of sanctions against Venezuela, so we'll be buying their oil soon enough. I'm sure we can still expect a spike in prices, but maybe not a terribly drastic one.
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After two years on the waiting list I finally got my email from Starlink for service. Though they said the area was at capacity, so I can have it, but I'd be low-priority if use was getting maxed out, and I'd only be bumped up when it comes open. Though I read that you typically can't take the satellites with you when you move because they're tied to your GPS location. And there's a 5% chance I'll be moving in the next six months, so the email will be left unanswered. Not gonna pay for a $550 box if it's useless in six months.
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Yay I finally got a call to get my initial inspection done by the Health Department. They do an initial inspection mostly to make sure your equipment is up to code (my cart is brand new, so shouldn't be an issue) and that you know how hot to get your food (165 then hold above 135). Of course now I gotta race to make sure all the food is in the commissary and things are ready to go, like wiping out coolers and testing how many ice packs it takes to keep it at 41 degrees and paying for food insurance. It's been nearly two years getting things together, including waiting a year and a half for the commissary to have a spot for me. Bonus that I'm hearing that there's more potential for sales in town than I figured. There's a farmer's market once a month, a First Fridays once a month which is pretty desperate for a food vendor, and the only fast-food place in town has gotten expensive and the construction workers don't eat there anymore. I'd only planned to vend on free weekends, but I guess depending on how much I'm willing to work there's money on weekdays, too. I even bought an XMRadio boombox so I can catch the Brewers games while I vend. And then the irony is that there's a 5% chance I transfer parks within the next few months and will have to start all this over again:)
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May be an interesting next few weeks. Rumor that a higher-up will demote himself to the position I'm applying for (fine, as he has a positive reputation), but worse that my one friend near here I also golf with may transfer farther away. There --might-- be a position opening there for me, in which case I may well try to transfer over there, myself. More money here with no friends around is probably less valuable than staying at low pay with two friends to golf with, even though I kinda need the money to retire with.
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Admittedly I've been doing more speculating than investing this year, but it's been treating me fairly well. The brother works in the energy industry and he really likes the future of alternative aviation fuel. Darling, Neste and Calumet seem to be doing most of it, though they've gone up a good bit the past few months and I'm inclined to wait on what I expect would be a good drop once the Ukraine situation ends.
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I'm trying to figure out what company would be a good play with any coming food and energy shortages in Europe. Maybe Repsol?
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An inflation figure which sent the market rising yesterday is the same figure which sent it way down only a few months ago. Europe is already buying Russian oil via India, so I'm not too convinced it'll hit anything at crisis level unless winter there gets particularly cold. I'm more concerned about the housing market here and especially in China.
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Metamask is the top online wallet; Trezor or Ledger are the best hardware wallets. And then there's various types of fire-proof keys you can get to store your passwords. Good to get two and have someone store a copy at their house. --- Unsure of what to make of the market right now. I have some nervousness that a further banking/housing crash in China will send everything to a true bottom. I'm more tempted to sit on the sidelines for a couple months yet.
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90% of mutual funds don't beat the market. Not only are you paying their fees, but they have a certain obligation to move money around just for the sake of it, because "I didn't do anything this quarter" doesn't sit well with investors. There's good books on dividend investing. There's a good few companies out there which pay a pretty steady dividend every quarter, and that can be great in retirement to just cash out the dividends instead of re-investing. It doesn't take millions invested to get a decent monthly income out of that. Buying REITS can help you with that diversification you want, too. Owning individual stocks aren't necessarily a risk even relative to an index fund. Plenty of large- and mega-cap companies out there with a terrific moat that aren't going out of business anytime soon and provide a really healthy return.
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What do you guys think of Weight Watchers (WW)? Lot of debt but EPS has been improving. Been falling for 16 months now, but if they get their stuff together they were a $40 company selling for $6 today. The speculation side of me says maybe there will be a greater demand for weight loss after these lockdowns and eating bad food from working at home.
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Hiura Slighted and Demoted; Adames hitting #2 with a .289 OBP
GAME05 replied to rickh150's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
It's a reasonable argument to make that with Hiura on a hot streak, he should be continuing that hot streak at the Major League level. But I'm not convinced that past performance is predictive of future results. There's just as much reason to say his streak ended his final day in Milwaukee since we couldn't know what he'd do tomorrow. And then if he does stay, how do you go about deciding when that hot streak is over? If we try to ride a hot streak we're just as likely to see him be terrible the next three weeks and lose an extra game or two because of it before it's declared that his streak is over. Ultimately is Hiura the guy you'd like to see get 4 ABs in a playoff game? If not it shouldn't be any big deal if he's demoted. -
Hiura Slighted and Demoted; Adames hitting #2 with a .289 OBP
GAME05 replied to rickh150's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Hiura - 81 DRC+, 43%K rate, 412 babip (Over 500 vs RHP!) Adames - 95 DRC+, 27%K rate, 233 babip. All this says to me is Hiura has been lucky to have that kind of BABIP. That's better than Mike Trout. Conversely Adames has been unlucky. Minus a hot streak and a regression to the norm and Hiura would need to be a great defensive player to make up for it. At least grounding out moves a guy forward. -
I used to write/edit a magazine about mass transit. Buses are usually the first to get experimented on when it comes to alternatives because you can get millions of miles on them in short order. I even wrote an article about NYCT buying something like 250 hybrid-electric buses. Natural gas and methane-driven buses have been out there even longer than batteries.
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Me, too. Retail sales and unemployment are weirdly contradictory to a recession, but I'm more inclined to think we have more hurt coming, at least until the public is confident inflation is going down and will continue going down. Right now is just such a great time to be buying stocks and crypto regardless of the future and people recognize that.
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Middleton to Milwaukee is 184 miles round-trip, so if you take your EV I guess you just cross your fingers you don't get stuck in traffic. And it takes 10 hours to fully charge a Tesla at a charging station, or a whopping 3 miles of range per hour that you charge it from a regular outlet--so even staying overnight at grandma's house won't get you back home unless you unplug her dryer and run a dropcord from there. Certainly the vast majority of our trips are local, but we're also deciding on a whim to go on weekend trips or a ballgame, too. And last time I rented a car for a week it was sure more than $100.
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There would have to be a system by which you charge people more for electricity use during peak times than otherwise. Quite the luxury item to have a $70,000 vehicle you can pretty much only drive around town. And even if there were charging stations everywhere, I looked it up and if I were to drive home in a Tesla, I would spend longer just charging it up than it takes me to make the drive in a gas vehicle.
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I have the same issue at my job but am pretty well stuck here for two reasons: I can't afford to both retire and take a pay cut; I worry in this recession that if I were to take a new job that I could wind up being a "last in, first out" layoff.
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I did some job-searching yesterday and the jobs I could get pay roughly what I'm making now (shocker, I know). But the big problem is I pay $100/mo in rent for work housing now, and a new job would be $800/mo with a roommate, so overall a drop in earnings. Although I do consider that a regular 8-5 schedule is way better than the permanent night shift/holidays/weekends work that I'm on and that in itself has some amount of value. I have to sacrifice a lot of social outlets for this job (difficult when you're single and worse with a family) and that has me feeling pretty lonely. But especially if I hope to retire in 12-ish years, I think I'm pretty well stuck here because I can't afford to sacrifice a penny of income. As bad as morale is here with no opportunities for a raise and new hires making more than veterans, that's largely the reaction a lot of people are having here, that they're pretty well stuck. Adding to it there's a certain fear that if I changed jobs and the economy got worse, that I would be taking on the higher risk of getting laid off as that "last in, first out" employee.
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Unless you're retiring in only a few years, all of this is a value investor's dream come true. If only I had more money to throw in the market right now. Although I don't think we've come anywhere close to the bottom of the market yet.
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I've been at my government job for seven years now and the new people they're bringing on at my level are making more than me. Morale is so low right now that lots of people are looking to leave. I also have a house which comes with my job which I pay $100/mo for. Despite losing the house when I leave/retire, that ends up being enough of a benefit that I have doubts I'll be able to find an equivalent-paying job elsewhere. Plus I'd have to stay in government work to keep my pension. So I think I'm pretty well stuck.
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There's a third season of Detectorists out on Amazon Prime.
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My brother worked there, too. He was the tall one.
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The brother said BB7 in Madison may be hiring for that due to an upcoming retirement, as well as Milwaukee Tools out of Milwaukee. And if you see something with Milwaukee, he'd be able to give you the right person to contact.
