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joepepsi

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Everything posted by joepepsi

  1. joepepsi
    These guys have to know they are hurting before they show up for Spring Training. don't players work year 'round nowadays?
  2. joepepsi
    He'll get community service, write a book about his struggles, and tearfully appear on Oprah.
  3. joepepsi
    The only hope going forward is he carries a pretty good obp in relation to batting average. So he's not just a free swinging hack that got lucky last year. (well, he's never going to hit that many hrs again!) From '06-09 he was a pretty useful bench player-good obp, decent power, .742 OPS over that span. But that's hardly worth this contract. He must be stunned with this offer.
  4. joepepsi
    Great contract. Brian Roberts signed a 4 year/$40 million deal that started in his age 32 season. Roberts has been a very good player, but given Rickie's age and talent, this is truly a hometown discount.
  5. joepepsi
    Signing Rickie sent a message to Prince the Brewers are ready to move on. It will be interesting to see how he responds to contract questions during Spring Training. It could be a return to the attitude he had the year the simply renewed him with a small raise. Prince is an emotional guy who seems to really enjoy playing in Milwaukee. And the fans love him. Wonder if he's feeling left out by the Brewers signing others and giving up on him long term. Then again, maybe he's like most ballplayers and realizes it's just a business.
  6. joepepsi
    Great point. The Cards were great in '04 & '05, but since 2006 they've averaged just under 85 wins a season. That's been good enough for them to make one World Series and one NLDS, but this is more a function of playing in a weak division than being anything other than a slightly above average team. What the Cardinals really need is a reinvention. If they keep Albert they will always be this 85 win team hoping for a little luck or a worse season from every other weak team in the league. A smart Theo-type GM would let him walk and set about re-tooling the team. It's a huge risk because Albert will almost certainly be great until he's 35 at least, but winning cures everything.
  7. joepepsi
    I have no problem with the Brewers playing it like the Rays did this year. I think Tampa is getting something like 10 picks in 1st and supplemental round. The Red Sox are getting 4 first round picks and they signed the two biggest offense free agents on the market!
  8. joepepsi
    So the Twins are going to win 95 games this year playing in a division where every team will win more games than the previous year? In a league where only 3 team are projected to do worse in 2011, by a total of 8 more losses? Somehow the entire AL will win 9 more games in 2011 than in 2010? How does that work? By crushing the NL in interleague, I suppose...... I am anxiously awaiting my new Baseball Prospectus from Amazon, but I gotta tell ya, the last couple editions have been pretty sloppy. Not just the Pecota stuff, but sloppy editing, not very insightful essays, and factual errors. I am hopeful for something better this year.
  9. joepepsi
    I think you have to be a little worried about Axford. High K rate his entire career, but pretty high walk rate too, especially for a short reliever. He could start the year with serious command issues in high pressure situations. That's a recipe for losing confidence and struggling even more. Greinke will be the most valuable player on the team. Lincecum circa 2009 good. I think Rickie will be the best offensive player.
  10. joepepsi
    Small market teams can do well in the NFL because all TV rights are national broadcast rights and are shared equally among all teams. The Yankees have a $500 million cable contract, the Brewers' is something like $2 million. That's the difference.
  11. joepepsi
    I was too optimistic the last two seasons, so no predictions from me this year. They could win 100 games, but could also disappoint and win only 80. Honestly, I worry about the offense. There are 5 good to great hitters in the every day lineup and 3 who may prove to be among the worst hitters in baseball. The bench will be OK, but hardly there's not much there to push the starters.
  12. joepepsi
    Well, I think Houston should move to the AL West. Then have an interleague game every day. Each team from the AL plays a 3 game series against each team in the NL: 45 games. Each team plays 6 games against every team in their league outside their division(2-3 game series): 60 games. Each team plays the other 4 teams in their division 15 times; 60 games. Total: 165 games. If that's too many games, then reduce inter-divisional play to 12 games instead of 15. That cuts the season to 152 games. Then you can add another round of playoffs. Oh, and move Tampa to Jersey. Florida doesn't deserve major league baseball. And move Oakland to Portland.
  13. joepepsi
    I know I'll get some flak for this here, (I have before), but none of these predictor models seem any more accurate than what any fairly knowledgeable baseball fan could make just by eyeballing past performances and factoring in things like age and injury history. Prince's combined averages for the past two years: .281/.406/.537, 39 hrs/ 119 rbis average per year. Seems like a reasonable over/under to me. Factor in his age, 27, and contract status, and you can boost those numbers by a few percentage points. Or leave them where they are. Either seems as reasonable a projection as any computer model might come up with. How does Pecota rank Prince?
  14. joepepsi
    Andy MacPhail loves all things rejected by the Cubs. So, he holds onto to Pie, and apparently isn't terribly impressed with Jones' hacktastic ways. Pie is probably a worse hacker, but as I said, he's a former Cub. Pie could take over in CF, so Jones isn't untouchable. Maybe Andy would want McGehee too!
  15. joepepsi
    They really should. Roberts (signed through 2013) and Markakis (signed through 2015) are their only long term contracts. Their problem this year will be the decision to hand the entire rotation, save for Guthrie, to kids with very little major league experience. A similar decision would have been for the Brewers to enter 2009 with a rotation of Yo, Parra, Rogers, and Jeffress. OK, not quite that ridiculous. Matusz was very good the final two months of the season. Guthrie and Bergesen corrected their slow starts and pitched the second about what you'd hope for. That leaves, Ducheresteruers (or whatever), Arrietta, and Tillman to fight for the last 2 spots. Arrietta was all right in his starts at the end of the year. Tillman still fails to impress in the majors. The other guy, well, he's had more injuries than Rich Harden. If they did get Prince, and if Hardy bounced back and signed an extension, they could be competitive in 2012 and 2013.
  16. joepepsi
    Deleted it. Agree with you on the modern Mariah Carey style "octave runs" of singing. Annoying.
  17. joepepsi
    Ugh. He was a pretty good player until he turned 30. He's been bad since. I guess this means Gamel definitely starts the season in AAA. He does have a pretty low K rate, and his obp is average-ish career wise.
  18. joepepsi
    The Media likes to harp on how great he and Cap'n Intangibles have been in the playoffs, but the reality is they were the same players whether it was regular season or playoff season. Pettitte's playoff ERA 3.88. Career ERA 3.88. Playoff K:BB ratio 2.34. Career K:BB ratio: 2.40. Maybe he deserves HOF consideration. Certainly he had a long successful career as basically, a no. 2 starter, the prime lefty. He's was probably one of the best lefties of his time. Then again, I can't help but think if he'd been a Royal or Brewer for 18 years he'd have had Randy Wolf type numbers. I think Mussina is clear HOF'er, but I bet most Yankee homers will argue Pettitte is mor worthy. Now's when we'll hear all the arguments about the rings and how he's a winner and how that means he's a HOF'er.
  19. joepepsi
    Target Field is beautiful. Love Camden Yards, except you can't see the game from the concourse/concession area. But the field, warehouse area, and views are beautiful. It's also an easy walk fro the Inner Harbor-you just merge on the sidewalk with everyone else and they take you right up to the stadium. Downtown Baltimore is really wonderful. I'd like to see a game at PNC, Giants, and Petco. Those look like the best stadiums on TV. The Reds park looks nice too. Nothng wrong with Miller Park. I didn't like it much at first, but it's a great place to watch a game, especially when the roof is closed. It's pretty damn hot in there on summer, humid days/nights.
  20. joepepsi
    He was quite a prospect back in the day. Then he hit AAA and was merely OK. Still, he can play CF and bats left handed. If I was Boggs or even Dickerson, I'd be sceered.
  21. joepepsi
    I guess Scoisia never really liked Napoli. I love it when teams trade talented players just 'casue they don't like 'em. If Napoli could be adequate at catcher, he's an All Star.
  22. joepepsi
    Is DISH carrying MLB Network?
  23. joepepsi
    That seems like a lot of dough for a reliever who's only had two good seasons out of 7 partial MLB seasons. At the time Doug traded him, it was as likely Balfour would be out of baseball in two years, as it was he'd be signing an $8 million contract at age 33. Relievers are so unprojectable and inconsistent it's difficult to fault a GM for trading one who hadn't yet shown much success, was out options, and was already 29.
  24. joepepsi
    I don't know who could be more justifiably miserable than Oriole fans.
  25. joepepsi
    The big mistake for the organization was believing 2009's 85-77 record was a true indication of the team's talent. That team gave up 52 more runs than it scored, leaving it with a Pythagorean record 10 games worse, 75-87. Whether Jack didn't see the issue or if he was directed from above to act like this team would compete in 2010, is anybody's guess. He should have warned his people the team was due for a big setback last year. Regardless of the 2009 record, the Mariners should have made last winter a rebuilding year, not a "we're going for it-let's get Lee and Figgins" type of offseason.
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