joepepsi
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Everything posted by joepepsi
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Oops, missed that. Thanks for clearing it up.
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I won't argue with Blanton throwing harder, and his better K-K:BB rates. He probably is a better pitcher. Question is, how much better? If you accept team records when each guy pitches, then you also need to consider Bush had 18 QS in 31 starts, Blanton 16 QS in 28 starts. K rates and K:BB ratios are better predictors of performance, but results are what matters when looking at past performance. Bush was a good as Blanton in 2010.
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Hamels is a free agent after this season. Oswalt has a $16 million club option for 2012, which he has the option to opt out. (Plus Houston sent an $11 million check when they traded him.) Halladay is signed through 2013, with a $20 million option for 2014. So, yeah, they have 4 All Star starters now, when they perhaps only need 3 in the playoffs. But that could be just for this year. I don't know what kind of pitching they have in the minors, but they could certainly let Hamels and/or Oswalt walk after this season. No one other than Lee is signed for a ridiculously long-payroll strangling-period of time. Brilliant signing by the Phillies.
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I remember when he played with Brewers in 2002 he was considering retiring so he could go back to Canada and play hockey the rest of his days. It's just too easy to make a cool million or two every year playing the lefty power bat off the bench. Congratulations, Matt! You deserve every penny.
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It may be bad for the Brewers, but Lee choosing Philly over the Yankees is so satisfying as a baseball fan, after the obnoxious Media and Yankee fan blabbering about "future Yankee Cliff Lee" all during the playoffs. It was disrespectful to him and his team.
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I just don't see much difference between Blanton and Dave Bush. I'm a big fan of K:BB ration and admittedly Blanton's is better. They both give up a ton of hits. Brewers aren't as good defensively. I think you'd be giving up players in trade for Blanton, plus paying a big salary for Dave Bush results.
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Lyle should probably never face a lefty pitcher again. He could play another 5-8 years as a lefty PH for contenders, but he's only an everyday player on a bottom feeding team.
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Team by team analysis of Fielder trade partners
joepepsi replied to NYChez's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Matusz, Zach Britton, or Jake Arrieta would need to be included. Tillman, while still young, has been a bust in the majors so far. His reputed plus fastball, has clocked in around 90-91 in his stints with the Orioles. Matusz is solid, Arrieta looked like he belonged in his 18 ML starts last year. Britton is coming through the ranks like high speed train funds leaving Wisconsin. He's probably the best of the bunch and should be ready by mid summer, if not before. -
I hear that Dave Bush guy is looking for work.....
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I never understood the hype for Melky. Of course once he left the Yankees the hype ended.
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If a guy was really going to turn it up a notch to get a better contract, wouldn't it make more sense for him to do it every season of his career so he could maximize his career earnings? Most players get that first free agent contract when they are in their peak performance years, 26-29/30. It has more to do with reaching that magical age of 27 or 28 right when you are ready to become a free agent. They sign a big deal, they get on the wrong side of 30, and their year to year performance becomes more unpredictable. There's a book out there which did a study on this and iirc did find a small correlation with peak performance in a contract year. It's either Baseball Between the Numbers, or The Book:Playing the Percentages in Baseball.
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Because if he's really "a #4 or #3 type pitcher who pitchers like a #2 because of his smarts... ", there's always the lingering fear he's on thin ice and will become a back end starter at a moment's notice. Not saying I agree with that, it's just harder to project a guy who gets the most out of his perceived limited skills. You can be reasonably confident CC will perform at the same high level year in and year out.
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Good deal for the Orioles, though it's mostly a rental with Hardy. If he bounces back some, they'll try and sign him long term.
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He strikes me as similar to Ichiro, but not quite as good.
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That's a lot of money for RH bench player who isn't particularly good on defense.
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It's a good trade for both teams. Both are accepting a certain amount of risk-how good will Lawrie be, especially if he doesn't cut at 2B vs. the ever present risk of pitcher injury and control/command guys just lose it sometimes and never get it back. Upside for both teams-Lawrie could be great in the not-to-distant future vs. Marcum is just what the Brewers need for the next couple years.
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I was never sold on Escobar either. Always smelled like a lot of crap to try and get another team to take him in trade since Hardy was an "All Star SS" with good power. But Hardy fell apart and was getting expensive fast, so it made sense to change gears, keep Escobar and trade Hardy instead. Don't forget, JJ made $5.1 million last year. If he goes to arbitration again, he'll get another raise. The Brewers shouldn't be paying $5 million for this modest level of production. Trading him was the right move. JJ's service time, his 2009 performance, and Escobar's very good season in AAA forced the Brewers' hand on this one.
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Can't argue with these non tenders. Both these guys are on the journeyman roller coaster. Like most relievers, Coffey was good one year, not so good the next. I like Inglett, but he's really doesn't bring much value beyond the major league minimum salary. Both will probably play in the majors somewhere in 2011.
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Santo deserves the Hall of Fame. It's one of the biggest disgraces of the Hall.
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Great post Robert R. I agree on your selections. Comparing a player like Parker to HOF members who arguably aren't deserving doesn't make a strong argument. Plus, Parker is similar, but slightly inferior to Rice as a hitter. He does compare to Dawson, but I don't think Dawson is that deserving. None of the 3 are outright disgraces should they all be elected, but neither do they "raise the bar" for enshrinement to the HOF. Instead, like Tony Perez, they open arguments for a multitude of similar players who had All Star careers, but are borderline HOF'ers at best.
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Trammell and Lou Whitaker should both be in the HOF.
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Tulowitzki signs 6 year/$119M extension through 2020
joepepsi replied to PrinceEatMeat's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Tulo at Coors Field: .312/.383/.544 Tulow on the road: .269/.342/.448 At home he's not quite ARod. On the road he's Jimmy Rollins. -
Ok with Parker, but not sure on Bagwell? Well, I guess that's why these HOF debates are so great..... My votes go for Alomar, Blyleven, Larkin, Raines, and Trammell. The rest can wait for now.
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Tulowitzki signs 6 year/$119M extension through 2020
joepepsi replied to PrinceEatMeat's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Tulo is signed for the next 3 years, plus a club option in 2014. He'll be 34 in 2020. It's just plain dumb to do this in 2010. -
The Yankees should take their offer off the table and let him shop his wares. During the December meetings they can re-negotiate and help him save face by coming up with some kind of incentive laden, complicated deal.