zurch1818
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Everything posted by zurch1818
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The one thing to note is the #29 Tigers won a playoff series last year. I didn't look it up, but I feel the last time the Brewers won a playoff series was in 2018. Edit: I don't want this to read like a salty post. I do like the Brewers direction and enjoy the regular season success.
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NVDA is now up 8.82% so I missed my chance to cash in on people panicking. That does make sense though. It's just hard to predict what will happen in the long-term with single stocks which is why I just can't get myself to invest in single stocks. My mutual funds I'm sure have quite a bit of NVDA in their portfolio.
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I don't really buy single stocks. But if I did, does that in theory mean NVDA is on sale and it's time to buy? My uninformed guess is companies will copy each other much like Apple and Android have copied each other for years and the stock will quickly rebound?
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I'm so happy to hear other more experienced coders have had the same love hate relationship with AI as me. AI has helped me port code to JavaScript for our website. I agree that i feel the art of good coding will die a little bit. Maybe it will be akin to when the computer came into the workplace in the 80's when people were doing everything manually? The computer became a tool and enhanced the best workers but didn't replace them. Implementing untested AI code sounds like a complete disaster. Yikes! Someone should get fired for doing something like. Installing pandas there sounds awful. I've heard of it, but I have no idea of what it actually does. I've wanted to learn Python, but I just don't know why I would learn it. It seems I can do everything I need in a language I already know. When it comes to automating Excel, the dinosaur VBA seems much better suited for my needs. We don't really do data analysis, but do more calculations. I tried using the Excel Python once and it just didn't really work well. Can someone explain why I should learn it? Also, if I ever want to stop being a structural engineer and become software engineer, what would be the best way to do that? I'm so terrified of AI written code and it breaking our work servers that I rigorously test everything. If something were to happen in our office of 70 people, I would be getting yelled at. This is the downside of being the only person in the company that codes and also has full access to the back end of the network. The president of our engineering firm feels like we are "behind" the AI curve after he saw a presentation from a competitor. I have assured him that we are not behind. We just automated a lot of our tasks the old fashioned way of actual coding. Most of the stuff happens on the back end where the average user probably doesn't even know something happening. I'm working on front end things too...but I don't get time at work to do that as I have to put on my structural engineering hat.
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Maybe this deserves its own thread, but it is bugging me how AI is being pushed into everything despite it not being as polished as it can be...especially writing code. To me it is a big buzz word. As a hobby coder that has had no formal coding training and an engineer by trade, I can see the utility of it to help write code/spreadsheets. However, I spend almost just as long debugging as it would have been me writing it from scratch. I've found if you give it the smallest task, maybe it will get it right maybe 25% of the time and it takes quite a bit of iteration before it is actually usable. If I have it do everything, it is comical how bad it can be. Then I say, this is not right, then it's all "oh, your right, let me fix this for you." It's also notoriously bad at math sometimes. AI could be better in the future. However, my job as a structural engineer is not going away anytime soon. Maybe the low level coder is going away, but someone that is good at coding and knows how to design code will still have more value than AI.
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Wow...that's nuts. Thanks for sharing.
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I stand corrected. I blame my high school history classes (or the fact that it's been 20 years since I had the class). Correct me if I'm wrong...but I thought they waited until the morning of the 26th to attack because they needed the cover of them in a drunken stooper to cross the river. I wish I could read books on history...but my brain just doesn't work that way. I usually have to stick to documentaries with subtitles on...and I have to watch it about 2 to 3 times to fully understand what is going on. I do really find Revolutionary War era history facinating. The Ken Burns Ben Franklin documentary from a few years ago was phenomenal. I'm currently watching a BBC documentary on the Boleyn family on PBS. Talk about a nuts time period with King Henry VIII. I have had virtually zero experience with this level of depth.
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I'm not trying to compare Putin to Washington or even trying to be political...just stating a fact. Washington crossed the Delaware on December 25th, 1776 to attack the British. I guess the Washington attack would be more akin to Ukraine surprise attacking Russian troops on Christmas as Russia is in Ukraine.
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That sounds like a blast going to that game! Both teams have been playing good hockey as of late. Have fun. I've never sat there before so I have no idea what to expect. I would enjoy hearing about your experience. I think I've said it already in this thread before...but I like watching hockey because there is a flow to it. You can see so much by watching what happens with players that don't have the puck...especially on a power play. I basically stopped watching football after getting into hockey. I guess for someone that likes tactics, that's a good thing to watch. My fandom of the UHC goes way back to college (circa 2009) when I tried to be a fan of the Wild...but all the games were blacked out in the app and the Bucks got priority to FSN...so I couldn't really watch them. So I said I would be a fan of the team I got good with in the video game...the Coyotes. Then when they moved to Utah, I just continued following them since I liked their youth movement.
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Typically speaking, the 3rd and especially the 4th line can be considered energy lines. If you have an enforcer, they are likely to be slotted here. They fight, hit and can get the crowd into the game. They can play a different style hockey. Rather than dazzling and fancy one timers, these lines tend to have an offense that will dump and chase and try to score off rebounds. There is value to these lines though. A third/fourth line may start more in your own zone where you will play defense. Look at Connor McDavid, he starts in his own zone only 30% of the time because he scores. Kevin Stenlund (I'm a Utah fan), starts in his own zone roughly 70% of the time because is a good defensive player and penalty killer. Other times you might put a good young prospect on the third line while he is still trying to figure it out. Oh...and in the NHL, flipping the puck into the stands from your own zone is a 2 minute minor, so you don't want to do that. For defensive lines, a lot of it has to do with matching up your best defensive line with other other team's best offensive line. Also, the home team has a slight advantage as they get the last change on a faceoff, so they can try to get a mismatch line to spark an offense.
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Add a filter to the forums and tags
zurch1818 replied to nate82's topic in Brewer Fanatic Issues & Suggestions
I don't know where to post this...but it's bugging me a lot of the payroll blueprint threads say 2023 instead of 2025. Anyway, it seems that it is probably fine to leave it how it is. Some of those threads generate posts while others do not. Maybe they could all be in one thread like nate82 said? It seems that there is enough off-season news right now that is pushing them down to the bottom of the list anyway. -
Brewers success w pitchers after trades
zurch1818 replied to homer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Good memory @homer...I completely forgot he came from the Rays. I for some reason thought he came from the Astros. I agree this is something the whole FO and lab should get credit for. I think Arnold is kind of like the QB on the football team. The linemen deserve just as much credit (if not more). I also wonder how long Arnold has been pulling the strings since Stearns seemed like he checked out long before his contract ended. The Brewers are high on this list because they pick up undervalued midseason scraps...and turn them into gold. I think the Dodgers typically trade for established pitchers, so trying to get more value out of them is a bigger ask. However, I don't understand how they can get worse stuff and then win a WS. My guess is the Dodgers just can outhit the slight dip in stuff loss. Since this chart only displays change, the acquired pitcher still may be at an elite level. Last year the Brewers had an ERA- of 88 (2nd in MLB) and the Dodgers had an ERA- of 97 (13th in baseball). The Brewers had a wRC+ of 104 (10th in MLB) and the Dodgers had a wRC+ of 118 (1st in MLB). This seems to back up my theory. I don't believe it directly does get considered in the metric. I feel that knowing you have a world class defense behind you can help a pitcher trust his stuff more. In that aspect...defense can indirectly help this metric. -
Brewers success w pitchers after trades
zurch1818 replied to homer's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Very interesting. I find the small range between the min and max to be just as impressive. Yes, Arnold gets a lot of credit for this, but I think that is something the whole organization should get credit for. The pitchers not only see improvement with their stuff...but also I'm sure it can't hurt trusting the world class defense behind you. That is also something hard to quantity with statistics. -
As Francis is on my fantasy team, I was hoping they would just intentionally walk Lindor to set up the double play. They paid the price not listening to me. I was saying to my coworker, Jays went from witnessing a possible no hitter to down 5 runs...all in what could have been the last half inning of play.
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Brave's mobile ad blocker must be that good. For being in WI with this election cycle, I haven't seen/heard a single ad. The one thing that has probably helped the most is moving from using the YouTube app to m.youtube.com. I've even created a shortcut the that website on my home screen to mimic the convenience of the app. The browser version is functionally indistinguishable from the app.
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It probably depends on how your fantasy league counts strikeouts. In my league it's -1...so a walk or single can get cancelled out by a K. In reality, a K doesn't hurt as bad. It should have only slightly less value than a groundout/flyball and probably the same value as a popup. In one of my coworkers leagues, they don't count Ks, so he has more value. It's why I dropped Rooker this year after riding an early hot streak. I'm regretting it a little bit now as he has done better, but -1 for a K can be harsh. However, looking at his points per matchup data, it's too sporadic for my liking. Adames has been much more consistent. Cruz has been a little more consistent...but again, the Ks drop his value in my league. I'm also impressed you can manage 4 leagues and make the playoffs. I'm 2nd in my league in points...but I'm 4th overall thanks to some close match loses. My worst loss was to a team that doesn't manage...but Yordan Alvarez's cycle caused him to win by 1 point. I'm in the playoffs now, so it's all good.
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It would be even better if he had a 2 strike count on him when play resumes and he was allowed to pitch. He could then officially strike himself out.
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Former Brewer farmhand Bowden Francis @CHC goes 7.0 IP/7 K/0 BB/3 H/0 ER. If you don't remember, he was traded along with RP Trevor Richards for 1B/(turned RP in his playoff clinching last Brewer appearance) Rowdy Tellez. Least importantly to everyone but me, his 33 point waiver wire pickup performance against the Cubs dropped my fantasy magic number from 3 to 1 with 2 matchups to go.
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Didn't the Rays in 2023 lose Shane McClanahan, Jeffrey Springs, Drew Rasmussen, and Shane Baz last year? They at least had oft injured Tyler Glasnow for a career high 120 innings last year though.
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It's not really related to the contract, but I'm curious if anyone has any insight on why his statcast framing last year was in the 93rd percentile and now it is in the 2nd percentile? It's like when I golf and I birdie and then my round goes to hell when I three-putt double the next hole. After that fine display, it seems like it takes a few holes for me to get a par again. I guess that's why I can't routinely break 80.
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Yea...when I was tinkering with the test, it seems the score doesn't differentiate between strongly and slightly and only looked at the agree/disagree part. It seems it would have been better to have a neutral category that counted as a half point. Still, for me, it wasn't every question that was borderline. So the odds of it changing the result by 10 isn't that likely. Regardless, having traits doesn't really necessarily mean you are necessarily autistic. The severity also needs to be looked at (which seems a lot more intense to get an actual diagnosis). My wife also took the test and she scored 23. I was hoping she scored the same as me (or higher) just for the irony. It will be interesting though as we are going to just accept the results and we are going to modify how we communicate with each other.
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After watching a Dave Plummer YouTube video (former Microsoft employee and the creator of the task manager) where he talks about his recent diagnosis with autism in his early 50's, I wondered if I also have autism as I strongly related to his story. I took the same test as he did (LINK). I scored 40 out of 50...the exact same score as him. Then I took the test with my wife checking over to make sure I was being truthful and my score went up...41. In pure twilight zone fashion, he did the exact same thing and his score also went up...42. From what I found online "A total score of 29 or more is indicative of clinically significant autism traits (Broadbent, et al., 2013). Using the cut-off score of 29 has a false positive rate of 1%." I'm 37 and have never even thought it to be possible. I'm nothing like Sheldon Cooper. It anecdotally explains so much about me if I do indeed have it. Professionally speaking, it hasn't held me back one bit. In fact, it may be why I'm good at my what I do and why I'm the leader of our team of 6. It's so much for me to process at this time. Thanks for reading if you made it this far.
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According to Zillow, our house has gone up in value by $230k since we purchased it in 2018. However, accessing this equity is not as easy as going to the bank and making a withdrawal. I'd have to either go back into debt and get another mortgage (HELOC) or sell it. Either of these options are not great. One comes with a hefty house payment (which it's really nice not having one now) and the other is something we have no interest in doing as we have a 3 yr old and twins that just turned 1. For us, it's a much better decision to save money and cash flow major expenses (essential net profit) from our income. I'm guessing that's where the Brewers make their decisions too. The other thing to consider is that valuation assumes someone is willing to pay that. Given that price, there aren't that many buyers. I'd love to purchase them, but our net worth is 0.15% of 800 million. Plus I'm in a partnership with my wife and I routinely get outvoted 1 to 1. Speaking of partnerships, the Brewers are also one. Attanasio is just the majority shareholder. I don't know what percent of the team is actually owned by him.
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As everyone is pretty much aware, the android and roku app is complete garbage. If you don't need to cast and want to watch on your phone, I've found watching the game on the Brave browser in desktop mode to be actually pretty decent (It actually won't let you stream on the mobile website). The text on my phone when I make it full screen is cut off a little bit (just can't see the score), but is is very manageable. I've found you can go into settings in the lower right hand corner and even put it in "picture in picture" mode too. Just make sure if you want to browse in picture in picture mode to not close the Bally Sports app.

