Fear The Chorizo
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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo
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Medeiros would've been difficult to get on the 40 man this offseason, and if the White Sox threw enough $ the Brewers way that 2019 option on Soria wouldn't be bad at all to pick up. I like the trade, as it upgrades their 2018 pen and probably gives them an affordable option to solidify it for 2019, too. Wishing Kodi the best - writing was sort of on the wall that he wasn't developing fast enough to have a MLB future with the Brewers.
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2) Seahawk bandwagon fans That wagon is getting pretty small...not going to be a good year for the 12th man, IMO I'm excited to see what a different defensive coordinator can bring to the table with what appears to be alot more speed across the Packer secondary and linebacker group. Also very intrigued by the heap of new skill position players (vet and rookie) Rodgers has to work with. It always comes down to Rodgers - if he's healthy this Packer team may be improved enough on defense to have a shot at winning it all. If not, they'll be drafting in the top 10 and we'll all be mad about not having star-caliber players at other positions, again.
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It's Bryant's left shoulder, so the throw from 3rd isn't the problem
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There is no way the Cubs would be able to trade from someone like Stroman without having to poach from their MLB squad. They have next to nothing in their farm system. In fact, I'd argue that the top 15 prospects on the Brewer list are better than anything the Cubs have. I wonder how awkward it is for Theo to inquire about these big names knowing full well they have nothing of interest to offer anyone. It's like going into Tiffany's to get a ring for your girl with 20 bucks in your wallet. From a minor league perspective, yes - but if Theo is willing to offer Schwarber, Happ, or Almora to headline a trade that would essentially allow the other two OF's everyday playing time, plus include a couple talented but completely undeveloped prospects from low levels, then he's got something. They need a starter badly, and I wouldn't be surprised if the Cubs are willing to include MLB talent to get a deal done. They've already thrown their whole farm system plus hundreds of millions of dollars at pitching the past few years, mightaswell add in some young MLB position player talent, too.
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I predict it's Dozier coming to Milwaukee...and I also predict it won't happen until July 30th, the Twins' next home game. That way the home crowd gets to clap and cheer for him one last time when he's hugging teammates in the field after the trade finally gets announced. Dozier is basically the marketing face of this team, and from a Brewer fan's standpoint that wants an upgrade at 2B for as many games as possible it's stupid - but I'm guessing that's the holdup in what seems like an obvious trade fit here.
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It would be very interesting to see what these reports would look like had the scout viewed these guys a month later. Mid June was when all 3 were really scuffling along... Otherwise, apparently there is nobody in the southern league capable of playing at the mlb level as an everyday player.
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A lot of people seem to have selective memory lately of our farm system. Our farm system turned to crap because we traded for Greinke and Marcum (and because we kept drafting busts in the 1st round afterwards.) The farm system started to stink because they drafted poorly even before those 2011 deals and they weren't about to trade away the impact bats at the mlb level for better prospects. The 2011 trades simply accelerated that circling the drain process for the minor league system. It would've been foolish to not make trades for quality starting pitching and have that 3 year window around 2011 produce no playoff teams before having to tear it down anyway. Booze hands lawrie, #4 starter jake o, and a slow developing cain wouldn't have been enough talent to overcome the lack of pitching those mlb teams had.
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The depth of the farm system is night and day to 2011, and I think Realmuto can be resigned by the Brewers. The Marlins aren't trading realmuto, so the discussion is a mute point. They definitely need a bat and another starter, and they've needed both a long damn time now. Something needs to get done.
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2018 Standings and Playoff Race Discussion
Fear The Chorizo replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
This is a gem of a quote following Yu Darvish's long toss and 16-pitch bullpen session yesterday by everyone's favorite hipster manager “There was no real terrible discomfort” -Maddon Not exactly a "He'll be back on the mound next week" sort of rosy outlook. Thank God Yu found a better offer than the Brewers' this past offseason, because it sure seems like he's going to need surgery again at some point if he wants to get back to being good a pitching. Yu being out keeps Montgomery in their rotation and continues to stress their pen - not a good spot for the Cubs to be in considering the lack of days off they'll have the rest of the season, and a lack of established prospects to try and dangle for a starter at the deadline. Brewers are actually tied with the Cubs in the win column currently - 3 fewer days off for Chicago over the dog days stretch of late July through August is a big deal. -
Considering both Jake Gatewood and Zach Brown went down with potential long-term injuries last night, I imagine even more teams are going to be asking for Ray in deals. Both those guys were prime trade candidates. I think Brown's injury happened a couple days ago, and the timetable for his rehab was just announced. I doubt Brown was a trade chip anyways, and his injury not being arm-related at all shouldn't impact his development - if he needs innings later this season he could easily get some in the AFL. Seems that Ortiz may be able to take over Brown's innings workload from now through end of this season and AA playoffs. Gatewood on the other hand, would've most certainly been a trade candidate. Hoping for him that there's some silver lining in the news on his ankle.
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I’m just scared we’ll wait too long, when we have an already crowded outfield, and his value will drop again. If he hits .260 or so, cuts down the K%, and improves approach he could be a big time contributor in the ML. The Brewer OF isn't crowded, when it's very likely for a guy like Phillips to be either traded or cemented in as a 4th OF, and Ray could wind up being the everyday RF option in 2020 (or sooner) - guys like Thames, who shouldn't be in the OF, and a rapidly declining Braun shouldn't block a prospect like Ray when he's ready. Santana is the wild card - if he goes back to his 2017 level of production then Ray would become a 4th OF to start his MLB career and still get plenty of ABs playing in CF and RF to spell Cain/Santana and work a platoon advantage against RHP. Looking at his 2018 stat line, Ray's two cold months (April and June) were both still better than his season-long 2017 stat line. His two hot months of May and July have been elite for the Southern League. So even when he's slumped this season, his production has been better than what he's done earlier in his development - and his hot streaks are anything but BABIP-driven luck. We've got to remember that despite his high draft pick status as a collegiate player, Ray was still a bit of a development project as a hitter - it was his physical tools that had scouts drooling. With a full offseason for a healthy Ray to work on his craft this past winter, it seems like we're seeing very positive results.
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2018 Standings and Playoff Race Discussion
Fear The Chorizo replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Cubs' Bryant still dealing with a sore shoulder, likely something that is going to hamper him the rest of this year. Baez had to leave the game tonight after he got slid into at 2b and dinged his knee. Despite blowing past the brewers in the standings right before the break they aren't really set up to just win 8 out of every 10 games from here on out. They aren't going to run away with the division... -
Zach Britton traded to Yankees
Fear The Chorizo replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Britton has looked really good over the last few weeks, this was along the lines of a trade package I expected would take to net him. Very glad the cubs didn't find a way to get Britton. Then again, once the bidding war started the cubs had no chance unless they would have used a young mlb piece to headline a deal. Theo did a great job giving them zero 40 man roster logjam concerns by gutting the system... -
Lol, found a way to plate a run with bases juiced and keep that team ops low...I'll take it!
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Please God find a way to score here...
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Dbacks and Mariners worse than the Brewers this season. Some of those bad Braves and horrible Astros teams a few years ago, and oddly the Dodgers around 2013-2014 ish OPS in the low-mid 0.400's as a club. Some of that depends alot on who's hitting in those scenarios, particularly in the NL where I'd guess pitchers are up quite a bit with bases loaded following IBBs and such.
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Much more like it - score before the bases get too clogged!
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This Junior Guerra guy at the plate! Let's do it right this inning...
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There are 11 clubs with a bases loaded team OPS north of 0.800 in MLB this season, 4 of which are over 0.900 and 2 of them are over 1.000. 18 teams are at least north of 0.700 OPS as a club, meaning the Brewers are terrible in this scenario compared to most of the league.
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.547 OPS with bases loaded, only 14/15 this year in the NL, can't be historically bad. AZ only has a .519 OPS You're right, not historically bad - but bad and a huge reason why the offense struggles. 0.547 OPS basically means the whole team turns into 2018 Arcia at the plate when the bases are juiced.
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Haven't dug much to confirm, but this team has to be historically bad offensively with the bases loaded.
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The #8 spot, the place where offense goes to die in brewerland... I know it's dumb, but I wish CC would put yelich or aguilar in the 8 hole, just to make it fun for a game to look forward to the bottom of the order hit.
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Even with the k rate concerns, that is extremely undervaluing Ray as a player, and I'm glad DS doesn't share your opinion. His actual ceiling is closer to starling marte.
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Suter Has Torn UCL, Will Likely Need TJ Surgery
Fear The Chorizo replied to OnaBadger58's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
You make the mistake to thinking that someone has to throw 95 to be a dominant pitcher. As someone who absolutely loved Greg Maddux, Moyer, and Tom Glavine, I absolutely do not think that - In fact I feel like having a rotation with at least one guy like Suter in it can be very valuable simply because the league has completely gone away from pitchability and is too focused on velocity, IMO. Unfortunately, Suter doesn't have near the level of command or movement on his pitches to be a longterm starter option in this league - he's never demonstrated the ability to consistently get through the order twice much less three times with ease. Even when he's dealing, if the top of the order comes up a 3rd time facing Suter, the bullpen better be loose. You cited his good #'s the first time through the order - to me that screams like his best role is as a middle reliever/swing man, like I stated. The comment about velocity has to do with you mentioning Suter as a potential closer - you don't have to throw it through a wall to be a quality closer, but you do need better stuff than what Suter has. He's not Trevor Hoffman - who still threw much harder than Suter during his best closer seasons to set up his bugs bunny changeup. I know you're Suter's biggest fan - but you also have to face the reality of a late 20's guy who throws mid 80's with a career 4 ERA getting ready to get a ligament surgery isn't someone teams are going to fall over themselves to add to their 40 man roster. -
2018 plan for Arcia and Santana
Fear The Chorizo replied to statman0007's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
probably has more to do with the caliber of pitchers he's faced at home compared to on the road - too small a sample size to draw any definitive conclusions.