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Harold Hutchison

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Everything posted by Harold Hutchison

  1. Harold Hutchison
    Well, well, looks like Felix Valerio is quite the interesting prospect. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=valeri001fel Walked more than he struck out, a good hit-for-average tool, and decent speed (16 SB in 22 attempts). Then again, the Brewers also have a 5'7" 2B in the DSL, in Victor Vargas. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=vargas002vic I had Vargas on my list for a superb walk rate (17 against 96 ABs), as well as a .300 average, and good speed (16 SB in 23 attempts). Good thing the Brewers will have TWO Arizona league affiliates.
  2. Harold Hutchison
    But isn't Brice Turang also slated for Wisconsin? They both can't play shortstop? Guess it's time to think Playstation...
  3. Harold Hutchison
    Am I understanding you correctly? Are you saying have tailgating at MP when the Brewers are on the road? Yes. Why not do that?
  4. Harold Hutchison
    The Brewers could have two good shortstops from the 2018 draft. We all know about Brice Turang, the 1st round pick who got $3.5 million, but Korry Howell is showing some elite speed, and he also seems to hit for average as well. Howell: .311/.398/.350 - .748 OPS, 12 for 16 in SB, and 14 BB in 103 ABs for AZL Brewers Turang: .283/.396/.352 - .748 OPS, 14 for 16 in SB, and 31 BB in 159 ABs between AZL Brewers and Helena Brewers At this point, which of these players should the Brewers think about moving to another position (CF, 2B), especially as both seem to be programmed for Wisconsin this year? Both players have moved from shortstop - Howell has played some third base, Turang some at second base. Howell does seem to be a pure speedster with a good hit-for-average tool and solid OBP skills, with very little power. Turang has a little more pop, good speed, but his batting average was 28 points lower than Howell's, albeit compensated for by superb OBP skills. It's a nice dilemma to have for the Crew down the road...
  5. Harold Hutchison
    This would be a good thing. A Brewers Hall of Fame, maybe an indoor training facility for baseball (batting cages, that sort of stuff), a nice apartment/condo complex, a few good restaurants, maybe even a decent hotel or two - one where visiting teams could stay. Have the Brewers own that complex, and it would be a new revenue stream. Add tailgating areas and wi-fi for a reasonable fee. Open the tailgating lots for away games, charge for the wi-fi and parking, and that makes Miller Park a gathering place for Brewers fans all season.
  6. Harold Hutchison
    Baseball Reference projects him to post a .777 OPS with 55 XBH and 12 swipes. cf: Cain 2b: Dozier rf: Yelich lf: Braun 3b: Shaw 1b: Aguilar c: Pina ss: Arcia I'd go one year, $11 million for Dozier, with a team option and a $1 million buyout. The Crew would need to find a taker for Thames quickly. That's the only real negative.
  7. Harold Hutchison
    I personally think it’s naive to think that one coach would make that much of a difference on a professional athlete. The Brewers are interested because they think his value could outweigh the cost. Derek Johnson has nothing to do with that. If the Brewers thought the way you do, they would have no interest in Gray. That doesn’t seem to be the case. I have no trouble eating the cost of Gray's contract... if the Yankees throw in a couple of prospects.
  8. Harold Hutchison
    Might not be a bad idea to add an option to that - just in case someone gets hurt.
  9. Harold Hutchison
    Dubon has shown an above average hit-for-average tool in numerous stops. Lowell (R+/Short-season A) in 2014, Salem/Portland (A+/AA) in 2016, Colorado Springs in 2018. I may have focused too much on the 2017 numbers.
  10. Harold Hutchison
    Not Stokes. Nuh-uh... Stokes is too good to be given up for a reclamation project like Gray. Grisham, too. Thames is the most, and I'd expect a lottery ticket or two to be thrown in.
  11. Harold Hutchison
    In addition to making the talent pipeline much more sustainable, that method is also significantly less expensive than spending in FA. The sustainable method is already bearing fruit. Want a quality SP in his prime? The floor looks to be $100M. Instead we have 4 younger lottery tickets already in the bigs who could give us 3-6 years of quality SP production (Nelson/Peralta/Burnes/Woodruff) To veer back on-topic, I agree with the original premise of this thread. I also agree that Hiura isn't quite ready yet, but an ideal timeline would be for him to get some more seasoning in AAA & then get called up in June (assuming he's ready). Then there are those other starting pitchers on the way: Roegner, Brown, and Supak are the next wave. Ashby and Sunitsch could be part of the wave after that.
  12. Harold Hutchison
    The Brewers don't need to upgrade everywhere. They need to upgrade 2B, and arguably C, starting pitching and, if they are feeling crazy, RF. Yes, I believe they have the money to do that. They do have an upgrade option at 2B: Keston Hiura. His AFL performance leaves me thinking he could be plugged in right away. Starting pitching: They could start with a Chacin, Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta, Anderson rotation. Option Nelson and Davies to AAA to get on track. I'd feel better if the Crew could get Wade Miley back. That would not be a bad rotation with the bullpen the Brewers can put together.
  13. Harold Hutchison
    Chicken & an Egg. I maintain that a World Series win would bringing in unprecedented revenue in TV contracts, sponsorships, merch sales, ticket sales. Wisconsin goes crazy over a winner. I think investing more in payroll will pay off tenfold. They still need people to want to come to Milwaukee - or to stay. Kikuchi and Tulo didn't want to come. The best choice is to put a lot of money into the farm system, into scouting, and into analytics. Use that to get enough assets for trades.
  14. Harold Hutchison
    I think the numbers for Hiura are low, I think he's a .300/.350/.460 hitter. Dubon's a little tougher, but I'd say, .270/.320/.385 (with 25-30 swipes).
  15. Harold Hutchison
    The press report from the source closest to the team: Yep, clearly the Blue Jays released him because he can't contribute at all in the majors... Their grand scheme is obviously to get some team to pay 1.46% of what he is owed... Tulo could be effective. The question is... how effective? Is he worth a 40-man spot that could go to Hiura, Gatewood, or someone else? Is he better than Dubon? In one sense, offering him a major-league deal would be low risk, but there is that opportunity cost with Dubon and Hiura in the wings. Dubon is someone I had low on my Top 25 ballots for the first two of 2017... but I may re-think it after a deeper dive into the stats. I generally keep injured players off my ballot, but I may have been mistaken - he's shown a hit-for-average tool far more often than not.
  16. Harold Hutchison
    I think some sort of set-up to help the Brewers generate more revenue would be a good thing. A few places where Brewers fans could congregate to watch the Crew on the road, maybe even opening the lots to let them tailgate - especially in a day and age where we have MLB.com's TV and radio feeds - on away games could be a way to pick up some more activity. Even opening up some more condos and apartments would be a good idea.
  17. Harold Hutchison
    Dubon has flashed a very good hit-for-average tool, and prior to 2018, his walk-drawing abilities were at least OK. In 2016, he racked up high batting averages in the Carolina and Eastern Leagues. In 2016, he racked up a .323 average with 45 XBH and added 30 steals. The big question is how his knee injury/surgery will affect his speed. But I think he could surprise, and be a valuable bench asset. Doesn't quite make Hernan Perez expendable, but he could force his way into the mix.
  18. Harold Hutchison
    I see him as a supplement to Perez on the bench. A bench of Kratz/Nottingham, Spangenberg, Perez, Boxton, and Gamel would be balanced and able to cover everything. All the Crew needs to do at this point is find takers for Anderson and Thames.
  19. Harold Hutchison
    Hate that the Crew missed out on him.
  20. Harold Hutchison
    Dubon is, most likely, a backup SS/2B who can play 3B or CF (5 games in the 2016 AFL season) in a pinch. He has decent OBP skills, plenty of speed (at least pre-knee surgery). What advanced metrics can do with him... anyone's guess.
  21. Harold Hutchison
    The problem is that we have yet to see a quality stopgap at second. The Brewers also need to move Thames (or Aguilar) at some point. The best way to do so is to see if he can produce, and get hot enough that when Hiura forces the issue at second, the Brewers can find a willing buyer. Jesus hasn't been awful at third. Shaw was far better than expected at second. Ideally, it's for two months at most, Hiura takes over second, and one of Thames/Aguilar gets traded while the other plays first, and Shaw goes back to third.
  22. Harold Hutchison
    Why? Just because? I'd say it's much more likely he keeps the .285 BABIP he had this year than the .339 he had in 2017 considering his batted ball profile and umm, lack of speed. True. But he's not Henry Blanco horrible at the plate (I hated seeing Blanco in the lineup), nor is he as bad as some other backstops the Brewers have had. I miss peak Lucroy, though, and it was nice to have one of the best offensive catchers. Then again, if Nottingham is as good as some say, he may push Pina to the #2 spot by the end of the season.
  23. Harold Hutchison
    Luis Aviles, Jr. and Carlos Belonis for Gray.
  24. Harold Hutchison
    Stop with the Jesus to 3b nonsense. It's not going to happen, nor should it. Agreed. The Playstation-level player moving gets pretty old. Shaw playing 2B worked out to a degree, but an infield of Aguilar/Arcia/Shaw/Thames would be catastrophically bad, no matter now good Arcia is out there on D. The very small sample size points to Aguilar being at least adequate at third. Shaw was okay at second over the second half of 2018. So, to some extent, this sort of thing has already happened. At the very least, this arrangement should be able to work for 2-3 months - long enough for Keston Hiura to come up. By then, Thames may well have established enough value that some team will take him off our hands. Shaw then goes to third, Aguilar back to first, and Hiura takes second. Oh yeah, the Crew could then go for Kikuchi and stand pat at catcher. Spangenberg and Perez can serve as defensive replacements. cf: Cain rf: Yelich 3b: Aguilar (to 1B by June 30) 2b: Shaw (to 3B by June 30) lf: Braun 1b: Thames (Replace by Hiura playing 2B by June 30) c: Pina ss: Arcia pitcher bench: Kratz, Spangenberg, Perez, Broxton, Gamel rotation: Chacin, Kikuchi, Woodruff, Peralta, Burnes bullpen: Jeffress, Hader, Knebel, Claudino, Barnes, T. Williams, Guerra
  25. Harold Hutchison
    What about Aguilar at third, Shaw at second, leaving Thames at first?
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