Harold Hutchison
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Down on the farm, the Brewers boasted a cornucopia of starting pitching prospects. Some came highly touted, others came from almost out of nowhere, the way Brent Suter and Tobias Myers did. Which was which? Without further ado, let’s see who was the Brewer Fanatic 2024 Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Year. Image courtesy of Wisconsin Timber Rattlers Honorable Mentions Josh Knoth, Carolina Mudcats, Carolina League 21 G, 21 GS, 84.1 IP, 4-6, 4.48 ERA, 1.399 WHIP, 78 H, 40 BB, 96 K Carlos F. Rodriguez, Nashville Sounds/Milwaukee Brewers, International League/MLB 28 G, 25 GS, 142 IP, 9-12, 4.75 ERA, 1.289 WHIP, 119 H, 64 BB, 138 K (total) 25 G, 22 GS, 129.2 IP, 9-9, 4.51 ERA, 1.242 WHIP, 100 H, 61 BB, 119 K (Nashville) Manuel Rodriguez, Carolina Mudcats, Carolina League 18 G, 18 GS, 94.2 IP, 4-6, 3.23 ERA, 0.972 WHIP, 82 H, 10 BB, 77 K Tate Kuehner, Wisconsin Timber Rattlers/Biloxi Shuckers, Midwest League/Southern League 23 G, 19 GS, 104.1 IP, 8-3, 3.19 ERA, 1.275 WHIP, 79 H, 54 BB, 115 K (total) 7 G, 6 GS, 35.2 IP, 3-1, 4.04 ERA, 1.346 WHIP, 27 H, 21 BB, 33 K (Biloxi) 16 G, 13 GS, 68.2 IP, 2.75 ERA, 1.238 WHIP, 52 H, 33 BB, 82 K (Wisconsin) Top Five Minor League Starting Pitchers Of 2024 5. Jacob Misiorowski, Biloxi Shuckers/Nashville Sounds, Southern League/International League 33 G, 21 GS, 4 GF, 97.1 IP, 3-5, 1 SV, 3.79 ERA, 1.202 WHIP, 57 H, 60 BB, 127 K (total) 14 G, 2 GS, 4 GF, 17.2 IP, 0-1, 1 SV, 2.55 ERA, 0.849 WHIP, 5 H, 10 BB, 22 K (Nashville) 19 G, 19 GS, 79.2 IP, 3-4, 3.50 ERA, 1.280 WHIP, 52 H, 50 BB, 105 K (Biloxi) Misiorowski continued a rapid rise through the Brewers’ farm system, where the biggest question would be whether he could stick in the rotation as a potential ace, or if he would be a dominant reliever. His 2024 season provided good arguments for either outcome. In Biloxi, he continued to make strides in the rotation, but when he went to Nashville, he primarily worked out of the bullpen and shut hitters down. The team did not call him up for the 2024 stretch run, though, as he had pitched 26 innings more than he did in 2023. He is likely to end up on the 40-man roster to protect him from the Rule 5 draft over the 2024-2025 offseason, and it will be interesting to see if the team puts him in the major-league bullpen for 2025 or continues to develop him as a starting pitcher in Nashville. 4. Shane Smith, Biloxi Shuckers/Nashville Sounds, Southern League/International League 32 G, 16 GS, 7 GF, 94.1 IP, 6-3, 1 SV, 3.05 ERA, 1.049 WHIP, 70 H, 29 BB, 113 K (total) 5 G, 3 GF, 6.2 IP, 1-0, 2.70 ERA, 1.050 WHIP, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K (Nashville) 27 G, 16 GS, 4 GF, 87.2 IP, 5-3, 1 SV, 3.08 ERA, 1.049 WHIP, 66 H, 26 BB, 106 K (Biloxi) Shane Smith didn’t even get drafted in 2021 – the Brewers signed him as an undrafted free agent out of Wake Forest University that year, and his 2022 season was marred by a lot of time on the injured list. He could be a big-time steal for the team for the 2021 draft class, and this is a draft that includes a prominent contributor on two NL Central Division Championship teams in Sal Frelick, a top hitting prospect in Tyler Black, and other top prospects, including another pitcher on this list. Smith mostly worked out of the bullpen in 2023, where he dominated to the point he was Brewer Fanatic’s Minor League Relief Pitcher of the Year that season. In 2024, he found himself pressed into duty as a starter, and posted a 2-3 record with a 2.96 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 67.1 IP when opening games for the Shuckers, with the ERA and WHIP actually being improvements over his time in the bullpen. 3. Chad Patrick, Nashville Sounds, International League 26 G, 24 GS, 1 GF, 136.1 IP, 14-1, 2.90 ERA, 1.086 WHIP, 109 H, 39 BB, 145 K Patrick was arguably the ace of the Sounds rotation in 2024, delivering superb numbers after he was acquired from the Athletics for utility player Abraham Toro (who came to the Brewers with Jesse Winker for Kolten Wong). Patrick did not appear on either MLB Pipeline’s Top 30 or Brewer Fanatic’s Top 20 list. Like Misiorowski, Patrick is Rule 5-eligible, and the Brewers will likely protect him on the 40-man roster based on his performance. In a bit of trivia, Patrick was acquired by the Athletics in a trade with the Diamondbacks for Jace Peterson, a contributor to two Brewers teams that made the post-season. 2. Logan Henderson, ACL Brewers/Wisconsin Timber Rattlers/Biloxi Shuckers/Nashville Sounds, Arizona Complex League/Midwest League/Southern League/International League 19 G, 19 GS, 81.1 IP, 7-6, 3.32 ERA, 0.910 WHIP, 59 H, 15 BB, 104 K (total) 6 G, 6 GS, 23.2 IP, 1-3, 4.56 ERA, 1.056 WHIP, 19 H, 6 BB, 26 K (Nashville) 9 G, 9 GS, 46.1 IP, 6-2, 3.30 ERA, 0.855 WHIP, 34 H, 7 BB, 58 K (Biloxi) 2 G, 2 GS, 6.2 IP, 0-1, 1.35 ERA, 0.900 WHIP, 4 H, 2 BB, 10 K (Wisconsin) 2 G, 2 GS, 4.2 IP, 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.429 WHIP, 2 H, 0 BB, 10 K (ACL Brewers) Henderson had a rapid rise through the system, despite a stint on the injured list that required a rehab assignment to the Arizona Complex League. Still, at the same age as fellow Nashville Sounds starting prospects Carlos F. Rodriguez and Jacob Misiorowski, he has completed his recovery from elbow surgery in 2022 to be at the cusp of the majors. Per MLB Pipeline, his fastball-changeup combination is a one-two punch that could work well out of the bullpen, but Henderson also works in an occasional slider, which could keep him in the starting rotation. Like Patrick and Misiorowski, Henderson will need to be on the 40-man roster to protect him from the Rule 5 draft. Brewer Fanatic Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Year for 2024 K.C. Hunt, Carolina Mudcats/Wisconsin Timber Rattlers/Biloxi Shuckers, Carolina League/Midwest League/Southern League 25 G, 14 GS, 4 GF, 102 IP, 8-3, 1 SV, 2.03 ERA, 0.931 WHIP, 70 H, 25 BB, 139 K (total) 6 G, 6 GS, 32.2 IP, 1-2, 2.20 ERA, 1.010 WHIP, 24 H, 9 BB, 39 K (Biloxi) 11 G, 8 GS, 1 GF, 50.1 IP, 4-1, 2.15 ERA, 0.974 WHIP, 37 H, 12 BB, 68 K (Wisconsin) 8 G, 3 GF, 10 IP, 3-0, 1 SV, 1.42 ERA, 0.684 WHIP, 9 H, 4 BB, 32 K (Carolina) If there was a steal of the highly impressive 2023 draft class for the Brewers, his name might be K.C. Hunt. Hunt wasn’t even drafted after he returned to Mississippi State for his senior year, declining a pro career with the Pirates, who picked him in the 12th round of the 2022 amateur draft. Hunt started off in the bullpen but moved to the rotation while with the Timber Rattlers. No matter where he was, though, he dominated, despite a lack of eye-popping “stuff” (a fastball that tops out at 93 miles per hour, per MLB Pipeline), usually because he has three other solid pitches to use. Hunt rose from the Mudcats to the Shuckers, and still has a year before he needs to go on the 40-man but could be in Nashville to start 2025. But the rapid rise and his sheer dominance makes K.C. Hunt the 2024 Brewer Fanatic Minor League Starting Pitcher of 2024. KC Hunt had a tremendous season. It's interesting to see pitchers like Hunt and Shane Smith move from the bullpen to the rotation and continuing to find success. For Logan Henderson, being healthy is the key to unlocking his talent. Speaking of immense talent, it will be interesting to see how Jacob Misiorowski will move forward as he approaches the big leagues. What are your thoughts on Hunt and all of these starting pitching prospects? How would you rank their 2024 seasons? Leave some comments below. View full article
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Brewer Fanatic Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Year - 2024
Harold Hutchison posted an article in Minor Leagues
Honorable Mentions Josh Knoth, Carolina Mudcats, Carolina League 21 G, 21 GS, 84.1 IP, 4-6, 4.48 ERA, 1.399 WHIP, 78 H, 40 BB, 96 K Carlos F. Rodriguez, Nashville Sounds/Milwaukee Brewers, International League/MLB 28 G, 25 GS, 142 IP, 9-12, 4.75 ERA, 1.289 WHIP, 119 H, 64 BB, 138 K (total) 25 G, 22 GS, 129.2 IP, 9-9, 4.51 ERA, 1.242 WHIP, 100 H, 61 BB, 119 K (Nashville) Manuel Rodriguez, Carolina Mudcats, Carolina League 18 G, 18 GS, 94.2 IP, 4-6, 3.23 ERA, 0.972 WHIP, 82 H, 10 BB, 77 K Tate Kuehner, Wisconsin Timber Rattlers/Biloxi Shuckers, Midwest League/Southern League 23 G, 19 GS, 104.1 IP, 8-3, 3.19 ERA, 1.275 WHIP, 79 H, 54 BB, 115 K (total) 7 G, 6 GS, 35.2 IP, 3-1, 4.04 ERA, 1.346 WHIP, 27 H, 21 BB, 33 K (Biloxi) 16 G, 13 GS, 68.2 IP, 2.75 ERA, 1.238 WHIP, 52 H, 33 BB, 82 K (Wisconsin) Top Five Minor League Starting Pitchers Of 2024 5. Jacob Misiorowski, Biloxi Shuckers/Nashville Sounds, Southern League/International League 33 G, 21 GS, 4 GF, 97.1 IP, 3-5, 1 SV, 3.79 ERA, 1.202 WHIP, 57 H, 60 BB, 127 K (total) 14 G, 2 GS, 4 GF, 17.2 IP, 0-1, 1 SV, 2.55 ERA, 0.849 WHIP, 5 H, 10 BB, 22 K (Nashville) 19 G, 19 GS, 79.2 IP, 3-4, 3.50 ERA, 1.280 WHIP, 52 H, 50 BB, 105 K (Biloxi) Misiorowski continued a rapid rise through the Brewers’ farm system, where the biggest question would be whether he could stick in the rotation as a potential ace, or if he would be a dominant reliever. His 2024 season provided good arguments for either outcome. In Biloxi, he continued to make strides in the rotation, but when he went to Nashville, he primarily worked out of the bullpen and shut hitters down. The team did not call him up for the 2024 stretch run, though, as he had pitched 26 innings more than he did in 2023. He is likely to end up on the 40-man roster to protect him from the Rule 5 draft over the 2024-2025 offseason, and it will be interesting to see if the team puts him in the major-league bullpen for 2025 or continues to develop him as a starting pitcher in Nashville. 4. Shane Smith, Biloxi Shuckers/Nashville Sounds, Southern League/International League 32 G, 16 GS, 7 GF, 94.1 IP, 6-3, 1 SV, 3.05 ERA, 1.049 WHIP, 70 H, 29 BB, 113 K (total) 5 G, 3 GF, 6.2 IP, 1-0, 2.70 ERA, 1.050 WHIP, 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K (Nashville) 27 G, 16 GS, 4 GF, 87.2 IP, 5-3, 1 SV, 3.08 ERA, 1.049 WHIP, 66 H, 26 BB, 106 K (Biloxi) Shane Smith didn’t even get drafted in 2021 – the Brewers signed him as an undrafted free agent out of Wake Forest University that year, and his 2022 season was marred by a lot of time on the injured list. He could be a big-time steal for the team for the 2021 draft class, and this is a draft that includes a prominent contributor on two NL Central Division Championship teams in Sal Frelick, a top hitting prospect in Tyler Black, and other top prospects, including another pitcher on this list. Smith mostly worked out of the bullpen in 2023, where he dominated to the point he was Brewer Fanatic’s Minor League Relief Pitcher of the Year that season. In 2024, he found himself pressed into duty as a starter, and posted a 2-3 record with a 2.96 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 67.1 IP when opening games for the Shuckers, with the ERA and WHIP actually being improvements over his time in the bullpen. 3. Chad Patrick, Nashville Sounds, International League 26 G, 24 GS, 1 GF, 136.1 IP, 14-1, 2.90 ERA, 1.086 WHIP, 109 H, 39 BB, 145 K Patrick was arguably the ace of the Sounds rotation in 2024, delivering superb numbers after he was acquired from the Athletics for utility player Abraham Toro (who came to the Brewers with Jesse Winker for Kolten Wong). Patrick did not appear on either MLB Pipeline’s Top 30 or Brewer Fanatic’s Top 20 list. Like Misiorowski, Patrick is Rule 5-eligible, and the Brewers will likely protect him on the 40-man roster based on his performance. In a bit of trivia, Patrick was acquired by the Athletics in a trade with the Diamondbacks for Jace Peterson, a contributor to two Brewers teams that made the post-season. 2. Logan Henderson, ACL Brewers/Wisconsin Timber Rattlers/Biloxi Shuckers/Nashville Sounds, Arizona Complex League/Midwest League/Southern League/International League 19 G, 19 GS, 81.1 IP, 7-6, 3.32 ERA, 0.910 WHIP, 59 H, 15 BB, 104 K (total) 6 G, 6 GS, 23.2 IP, 1-3, 4.56 ERA, 1.056 WHIP, 19 H, 6 BB, 26 K (Nashville) 9 G, 9 GS, 46.1 IP, 6-2, 3.30 ERA, 0.855 WHIP, 34 H, 7 BB, 58 K (Biloxi) 2 G, 2 GS, 6.2 IP, 0-1, 1.35 ERA, 0.900 WHIP, 4 H, 2 BB, 10 K (Wisconsin) 2 G, 2 GS, 4.2 IP, 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.429 WHIP, 2 H, 0 BB, 10 K (ACL Brewers) Henderson had a rapid rise through the system, despite a stint on the injured list that required a rehab assignment to the Arizona Complex League. Still, at the same age as fellow Nashville Sounds starting prospects Carlos F. Rodriguez and Jacob Misiorowski, he has completed his recovery from elbow surgery in 2022 to be at the cusp of the majors. Per MLB Pipeline, his fastball-changeup combination is a one-two punch that could work well out of the bullpen, but Henderson also works in an occasional slider, which could keep him in the starting rotation. Like Patrick and Misiorowski, Henderson will need to be on the 40-man roster to protect him from the Rule 5 draft. Brewer Fanatic Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Year for 2024 K.C. Hunt, Carolina Mudcats/Wisconsin Timber Rattlers/Biloxi Shuckers, Carolina League/Midwest League/Southern League 25 G, 14 GS, 4 GF, 102 IP, 8-3, 1 SV, 2.03 ERA, 0.931 WHIP, 70 H, 25 BB, 139 K (total) 6 G, 6 GS, 32.2 IP, 1-2, 2.20 ERA, 1.010 WHIP, 24 H, 9 BB, 39 K (Biloxi) 11 G, 8 GS, 1 GF, 50.1 IP, 4-1, 2.15 ERA, 0.974 WHIP, 37 H, 12 BB, 68 K (Wisconsin) 8 G, 3 GF, 10 IP, 3-0, 1 SV, 1.42 ERA, 0.684 WHIP, 9 H, 4 BB, 32 K (Carolina) If there was a steal of the highly impressive 2023 draft class for the Brewers, his name might be K.C. Hunt. Hunt wasn’t even drafted after he returned to Mississippi State for his senior year, declining a pro career with the Pirates, who picked him in the 12th round of the 2022 amateur draft. Hunt started off in the bullpen but moved to the rotation while with the Timber Rattlers. No matter where he was, though, he dominated, despite a lack of eye-popping “stuff” (a fastball that tops out at 93 miles per hour, per MLB Pipeline), usually because he has three other solid pitches to use. Hunt rose from the Mudcats to the Shuckers, and still has a year before he needs to go on the 40-man but could be in Nashville to start 2025. But the rapid rise and his sheer dominance makes K.C. Hunt the 2024 Brewer Fanatic Minor League Starting Pitcher of 2024. KC Hunt had a tremendous season. It's interesting to see pitchers like Hunt and Shane Smith move from the bullpen to the rotation and continuing to find success. For Logan Henderson, being healthy is the key to unlocking his talent. Speaking of immense talent, it will be interesting to see how Jacob Misiorowski will move forward as he approaches the big leagues. What are your thoughts on Hunt and all of these starting pitching prospects? How would you rank their 2024 seasons? Leave some comments below.- 19 comments
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In the Arizona Complex League and the Dominican Summer League, Brewers position player prospects stood out big time at the plate, showing impressive offensive tools. Without further ado, let’s go through the Brewer Fanatic Minor League Hitters of the Year for 2024, as voted for by our writers. Image courtesy of Juan Berson Before we get to our Top 3 short-season minor-league hitters, let's take a quick look at some other DSL and ACL hitters who deserve mention. Honorable Mentions Edgardo Ordonez – C/1B/DH Ordonez finished second on the Maryvale squad in home runs, despite playing in only half the games, while also displaying excellent OBP skills. Juan Ortuno – IF/OF Ortuno displayed superb plate discipline (29 walks to 27 strikeouts) and flashed both speed (22 steals) and some pop (12 extra base hits) for the DSL Brewers 1 squad. Josh Adamczewski – 2B Adamczewski displayed pure hitting prowess while with the ACL Brewers, posting a .950 OPS with 26 walks and 26 strikeouts. His OBP skills remained very solid when he got a late-season promotion to Carolina. Jose Anderson – OF Just how good was Anderson’s season with the DSL Brewers 1? He posted an OPS of .916, hit 8 home runs, had 34 RBIs, and stole 14 bases. By comparison, in the DSL, some guy named Jackson Chourio posted an .833 OPS, had five homers, 25 RBI and seven steals. The Verdict 3. Luis Pena, SS - .393/.457/.583 Pena nearly reached the .400 mark in batting average, fueled by incredible bat-to-ball skills (pitchers only notched 15 strikeouts in 44 games played). He drew only 15 walks, but much of his offensive game was from speed and just making contact. He also flashed serious potential as a threat on the base paths, stealing 39 bases in 43 attempts. He also drove in 36 runs, leading all Brewers prospects in the DSL, despite only hitting one home run. He’ll turn 18 over the offseason, but he could be looking at starting next year in Zebulon with the Mudcats, like Chourio. 2. Eric Bitonti, 3B/1B - .320/.451/.580 with the ACL Brewers Bitonti, a member of the Crew’s already outstanding 2023 draft class, just dominated during his time with the Maryvale squad. He led the team in hits, doubles, triples, home runs, RBI, and walks while splitting time at both corner infield positions. Bitonti’s left-handed power bat is the type of profile that can prosper a lot in the confines of American Family Field, as we have seen in cases like Christian Yelich and Prince Fielder. He also spent 28 games with the Mudcats in 2024, where he matched his ACL home run total (eight), good enough to finish second on the team behind Luis Castillo, where his bat took on a three-true-outcomes profile. Short-Season Minor League Hitter Of The Year: Jesus Made, SS - .331/.458/.554 What didn’t Jesus Made do during the 2024 DSL season? The switch-hitting shortstop who was one of the highlights of the Crew’s 2024 international signing class, led the DSL Brewers 1 in home runs and walks, tied with two others to lead the team in triples, and finished second in doubles, stolen bases, hits, and OPS. Made, who got the second-biggest bonus of the 2024 international class ($950,000), made the investment look very good for the Crew. He spent most of his time at shortstop, where he profiles as potentially a bat-first player at that position, but he also got plenty of looks at second base and the hot corner. While the power was projected in scouting reports, Made surprised by drawing far more walks (39) than strikeouts (28), a very promising sign for a young player early on. By comparison, Jackson Chourio had 23 walks to 28 strikeouts in his DSL season. For Made, there is a ton of potential here – perhaps even a rise as rapid as Chourio’s. I, for one, cannot wait to see what his bat can do stateside, especially with a full offseason of conditioning. Congratulations to Jesus Made for being named the Brewer Fanatic Short-Season Minor League Player of the Year! Do you agree with the choice, or might your 'ballot' look a little different? Share your thoughts below. Previous Brewer Fanatic Short-Season Hitter of the Year winners: 2023: IF Juan Baez 2022: OF Jace Avina View full article
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Brewer Fanatic Short Season Minor League Hitter Of The Year
Harold Hutchison posted an article in Minor Leagues
Before we get to our Top 3 short-season minor-league hitters, let's take a quick look at some other DSL and ACL hitters who deserve mention. Honorable Mentions Edgardo Ordonez – C/1B/DH Ordonez finished second on the Maryvale squad in home runs, despite playing in only half the games, while also displaying excellent OBP skills. Juan Ortuno – IF/OF Ortuno displayed superb plate discipline (29 walks to 27 strikeouts) and flashed both speed (22 steals) and some pop (12 extra base hits) for the DSL Brewers 1 squad. Josh Adamczewski – 2B Adamczewski displayed pure hitting prowess while with the ACL Brewers, posting a .950 OPS with 26 walks and 26 strikeouts. His OBP skills remained very solid when he got a late-season promotion to Carolina. Jose Anderson – OF Just how good was Anderson’s season with the DSL Brewers 1? He posted an OPS of .916, hit 8 home runs, had 34 RBIs, and stole 14 bases. By comparison, in the DSL, some guy named Jackson Chourio posted an .833 OPS, had five homers, 25 RBI and seven steals. The Verdict 3. Luis Pena, SS - .393/.457/.583 Pena nearly reached the .400 mark in batting average, fueled by incredible bat-to-ball skills (pitchers only notched 15 strikeouts in 44 games played). He drew only 15 walks, but much of his offensive game was from speed and just making contact. He also flashed serious potential as a threat on the base paths, stealing 39 bases in 43 attempts. He also drove in 36 runs, leading all Brewers prospects in the DSL, despite only hitting one home run. He’ll turn 18 over the offseason, but he could be looking at starting next year in Zebulon with the Mudcats, like Chourio. 2. Eric Bitonti, 3B/1B - .320/.451/.580 with the ACL Brewers Bitonti, a member of the Crew’s already outstanding 2023 draft class, just dominated during his time with the Maryvale squad. He led the team in hits, doubles, triples, home runs, RBI, and walks while splitting time at both corner infield positions. Bitonti’s left-handed power bat is the type of profile that can prosper a lot in the confines of American Family Field, as we have seen in cases like Christian Yelich and Prince Fielder. He also spent 28 games with the Mudcats in 2024, where he matched his ACL home run total (eight), good enough to finish second on the team behind Luis Castillo, where his bat took on a three-true-outcomes profile. Short-Season Minor League Hitter Of The Year: Jesus Made, SS - .331/.458/.554 What didn’t Jesus Made do during the 2024 DSL season? The switch-hitting shortstop who was one of the highlights of the Crew’s 2024 international signing class, led the DSL Brewers 1 in home runs and walks, tied with two others to lead the team in triples, and finished second in doubles, stolen bases, hits, and OPS. Made, who got the second-biggest bonus of the 2024 international class ($950,000), made the investment look very good for the Crew. He spent most of his time at shortstop, where he profiles as potentially a bat-first player at that position, but he also got plenty of looks at second base and the hot corner. While the power was projected in scouting reports, Made surprised by drawing far more walks (39) than strikeouts (28), a very promising sign for a young player early on. By comparison, Jackson Chourio had 23 walks to 28 strikeouts in his DSL season. For Made, there is a ton of potential here – perhaps even a rise as rapid as Chourio’s. I, for one, cannot wait to see what his bat can do stateside, especially with a full offseason of conditioning. Congratulations to Jesus Made for being named the Brewer Fanatic Short-Season Minor League Player of the Year! Do you agree with the choice, or might your 'ballot' look a little different? Share your thoughts below. Previous Brewer Fanatic Short-Season Hitter of the Year winners: 2023: IF Juan Baez 2022: OF Jace Avina- 4 comments
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Are the Brewers Making a Crucial Mistake With Jackson Chourio?
Harold Hutchison posted an article in Brewers
Jackson Chourio has become arguably the most potent threat in the Brewers lineup in the second half of 2024, and he’s been nothing short of dominant since the beginning of June. However, on 31 occasions, the Brewers have put Chourio in the “wrong” slot of the lineup, often against left-handed starters. We discussed how the Brewers lineup would look for a healthy team earlier, and Chourio is pretty high up, but there was a reason that he was slotted for the second spot in the lineup – at least with a healthy Christian Yelich. The likely leadoff options, absent Yelich and eschewing Chourio, are either Brice Turang or Sal Frelick. Against righties, Turang, Frelick, and Yelich all hit left-handed, so batting Chourio second would be logical to break up the lefties in the lineup. However, Turang and Frelick struggle against left-handed starters. So, the Brewers are using Chourio as their leadoff hitter against lefties. But with Yelich out, Chourio is arguably the best hitter on the team, and while he is solid at getting on base (.328 OBP) and possesses the speed to be a legitimate threat on the basepaths (21 stolen bases, tied with Yelich for third on the team), two of the most important tools for a leadoff hitter, there’s a number that makes the case against his use in the leadoff spot very rock-solid: 53. That is the number of extra-base hits Chourio has. A bat as dynamic as Chourio’s needs not just protection from other bats (so teams don’t intentionally walk him), but to have people who can get on base ahead of him in the lineup. If Chourio’s going to do damage, the Brewers benefit more if the big hit comes with men on base. Chourio leading off the game just doesn’t make sense, on that front. It wastes his extra-base power. Leadoff homers are nice, and with this pitching staff, jumping to an early lead doesn’t hurt, but the Crew can do better. It would be one thing if there weren’t other legitimate options to lead off. In 2017 and 2018, the Crew gave Eric Thames 39 games in the leadoff spot. To be honest, Thames was even less suited for leadoff than Chourio, posting only 11 stolen bases over those two years, even though he had superb OBP skills. Back then, though, the Brewers probably didn’t have much of an option. Even in 2018, when Lorenzo Cain primarily handled leadoff, there wasn't an obvious alternative when he needed a day off. In 2024, the Crew can choose other paths. Frelick and Turang are solid options against right-handed pitchers. But the Brewers also have other options when facing lefties like Chris Sale, Clayton Kershaw, and Sean Manaea. Joey Ortiz and Blake Perkins both boast OBPs within 10 points (plus or minus) of Chourio’s, and would arguably be comparably viable as leadoff hitters. Perkins has a .328 OBP against lefties and walks at a solid rate. He also brings speed to the table, with 22 steals on the campaign. Ortiz could even bat second on such occasions, nudging Chourio down to third and letting William Contreras, Willy Adames, Garrett Mitchell and Rhys Hoskins pile up behind him. Jackson Chourio’s bat is arguably the most dynamic one the 2024 Brewers have on their active roster, and the Brewers need that bat in the heart of the order. Against lefties, there's a case for sliding him up to the top, but it makes just as much sense to trust some less powerful players with similar on-base skills to get on in front of him and set the table. -
Jackson Chourio has made history for the Brewers, as the first rookie to notch a 20-20 season for them--a milestone that eluded Ryan Braun, Paul Molitor, Rickie Weeks, and Robin Yount, among other luminaries. But could the Brewers be making a big mistake with this incredible talent? Image courtesy of © Jovanny Hernandez / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images Jackson Chourio has become arguably the most potent threat in the Brewers lineup in the second half of 2024, and he’s been nothing short of dominant since the beginning of June. However, on 31 occasions, the Brewers have put Chourio in the “wrong” slot of the lineup, often against left-handed starters. We discussed how the Brewers lineup would look for a healthy team earlier, and Chourio is pretty high up, but there was a reason that he was slotted for the second spot in the lineup – at least with a healthy Christian Yelich. The likely leadoff options, absent Yelich and eschewing Chourio, are either Brice Turang or Sal Frelick. Against righties, Turang, Frelick, and Yelich all hit left-handed, so batting Chourio second would be logical to break up the lefties in the lineup. However, Turang and Frelick struggle against left-handed starters. So, the Brewers are using Chourio as their leadoff hitter against lefties. But with Yelich out, Chourio is arguably the best hitter on the team, and while he is solid at getting on base (.328 OBP) and possesses the speed to be a legitimate threat on the basepaths (21 stolen bases, tied with Yelich for third on the team), two of the most important tools for a leadoff hitter, there’s a number that makes the case against his use in the leadoff spot very rock-solid: 53. That is the number of extra-base hits Chourio has. A bat as dynamic as Chourio’s needs not just protection from other bats (so teams don’t intentionally walk him), but to have people who can get on base ahead of him in the lineup. If Chourio’s going to do damage, the Brewers benefit more if the big hit comes with men on base. Chourio leading off the game just doesn’t make sense, on that front. It wastes his extra-base power. Leadoff homers are nice, and with this pitching staff, jumping to an early lead doesn’t hurt, but the Crew can do better. It would be one thing if there weren’t other legitimate options to lead off. In 2017 and 2018, the Crew gave Eric Thames 39 games in the leadoff spot. To be honest, Thames was even less suited for leadoff than Chourio, posting only 11 stolen bases over those two years, even though he had superb OBP skills. Back then, though, the Brewers probably didn’t have much of an option. Even in 2018, when Lorenzo Cain primarily handled leadoff, there wasn't an obvious alternative when he needed a day off. In 2024, the Crew can choose other paths. Frelick and Turang are solid options against right-handed pitchers. But the Brewers also have other options when facing lefties like Chris Sale, Clayton Kershaw, and Sean Manaea. Joey Ortiz and Blake Perkins both boast OBPs within 10 points (plus or minus) of Chourio’s, and would arguably be comparably viable as leadoff hitters. Perkins has a .328 OBP against lefties and walks at a solid rate. He also brings speed to the table, with 22 steals on the campaign. Ortiz could even bat second on such occasions, nudging Chourio down to third and letting William Contreras, Willy Adames, Garrett Mitchell and Rhys Hoskins pile up behind him. Jackson Chourio’s bat is arguably the most dynamic one the 2024 Brewers have on their active roster, and the Brewers need that bat in the heart of the order. Against lefties, there's a case for sliding him up to the top, but it makes just as much sense to trust some less powerful players with similar on-base skills to get on in front of him and set the table. View full article
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To me it's not a hard call. Martinez replaces Bauers on the 40-man. More positional versatility (he adds CF to the corner OF positions Bauer can play) and a sub-Uecker batting average just won't cut it, IMO. Bauers was a decent stopgap, but the cost in two outfield prospects could be a bitter pill down the road.
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Six years ago, a couple of highly-touted Brewers pitching prospects helped propel the 2018 Brewers to a 96-win regular season that year (counting Game 163), a mark reached only once in the team’s history. You may have heard of them: The prospects in question were Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff. The latter even chipped in a memorable blast against Clayton Kershaw in Game One of the 2018 NLCS. Burnes and Woodruff's legacy needs little discussion. Both became potent 1-2 punches in the Brewers rotation after their 2018 turns as multi-inning relievers in the bullpen, propelling the team to playoff appearances in 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2023. Both rank among the all-time leaders in multiple rate statistics for the Crew career-wise. In 2024, DL Hall and Aaron Ashby were highly-touted starting pitching prospects. Hall was acquired in the deal that sent Burnes to Baltimore, placing some pressure on him. Ashby had missed virtually all of 2023 with a shoulder injury. Their 2024 seasons were not exactly smooth rides, though. Hall had a rough adjustment before missing time with injury, while Ashby spent most of 2024 regaining the form he had before his shoulder injury. Both currently work as multi-inning relief options out of the Brewers, where they excel. But could something greater be in the offing in the future? Now, each baseball player is unique – but for Brewers fans, the parallels offer quite an exciting future, not just because of the track record Burnes and Woodruff put together. But there will be openings come 2025. This year, the Brewers rotation has been solid, with Freddy Peralta, Colin Rea, Tobias Myers, and Aaron Civale, while Frankie Montas has not done poorly for the team at this time. Other players have chipped in, whether planned from the start or filling in until they, too, were sidelined. With Rea’s age (34), Freddy Peralta’s pending free agency after 2026 (leading to a probable trade), and Montas’s likely departure in free agency, the team will be looking for some new starters sooner rather than later. This is where Hall and Ashby can come in. Hall is already forcing some consideration for a rotation move as early as this year. His seven shutout innings against the Reds during an August 30 doubleheader was a major boost for the team. If Ashby can be stretched out during spring training next season, the Brewers could come into 2025 with a much better pitching situation than they did at the start of the season. Adding Hall and Ashby to Peralta, Myers, Civale, and Rea gives the Crew excellent rotation depth, regardless of whether they have Bryse Wilson on the roster. For starters, it gives the Crew more time to refine Jacob Misiorowski and Carlos F. Rodriguez in Triple-A Nashville while allowing Robert Gasser and Woodruff more time to properly recover from injuries that have kept them on the shelf for most or all of 2024. The Brewers could have a very strong rotation in 2025 and beyond, and the 2024 bullpen could contribute significantly to that rotation.
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Down the stretch in 2018, the Brewers used two of their top pitching prospects to bolster their bullpen, propelling them within one game of the World Series and setting the stage for arguably the most dominant rotation in team history. Could it be happening again in 2024? Six years ago, a couple of highly-touted Brewers pitching prospects helped propel the 2018 Brewers to a 96-win regular season that year (counting Game 163), a mark reached only once in the team’s history. You may have heard of them: The prospects in question were Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff. The latter even chipped in a memorable blast against Clayton Kershaw in Game One of the 2018 NLCS. Burnes and Woodruff's legacy needs little discussion. Both became potent 1-2 punches in the Brewers rotation after their 2018 turns as multi-inning relievers in the bullpen, propelling the team to playoff appearances in 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2023. Both rank among the all-time leaders in multiple rate statistics for the Crew career-wise. In 2024, DL Hall and Aaron Ashby were highly-touted starting pitching prospects. Hall was acquired in the deal that sent Burnes to Baltimore, placing some pressure on him. Ashby had missed virtually all of 2023 with a shoulder injury. Their 2024 seasons were not exactly smooth rides, though. Hall had a rough adjustment before missing time with injury, while Ashby spent most of 2024 regaining the form he had before his shoulder injury. Both currently work as multi-inning relief options out of the Brewers, where they excel. But could something greater be in the offing in the future? Now, each baseball player is unique – but for Brewers fans, the parallels offer quite an exciting future, not just because of the track record Burnes and Woodruff put together. But there will be openings come 2025. This year, the Brewers rotation has been solid, with Freddy Peralta, Colin Rea, Tobias Myers, and Aaron Civale, while Frankie Montas has not done poorly for the team at this time. Other players have chipped in, whether planned from the start or filling in until they, too, were sidelined. With Rea’s age (34), Freddy Peralta’s pending free agency after 2026 (leading to a probable trade), and Montas’s likely departure in free agency, the team will be looking for some new starters sooner rather than later. This is where Hall and Ashby can come in. Hall is already forcing some consideration for a rotation move as early as this year. His seven shutout innings against the Reds during an August 30 doubleheader was a major boost for the team. If Ashby can be stretched out during spring training next season, the Brewers could come into 2025 with a much better pitching situation than they did at the start of the season. Adding Hall and Ashby to Peralta, Myers, Civale, and Rea gives the Crew excellent rotation depth, regardless of whether they have Bryse Wilson on the roster. For starters, it gives the Crew more time to refine Jacob Misiorowski and Carlos F. Rodriguez in Triple-A Nashville while allowing Robert Gasser and Woodruff more time to properly recover from injuries that have kept them on the shelf for most or all of 2024. The Brewers could have a very strong rotation in 2025 and beyond, and the 2024 bullpen could contribute significantly to that rotation. View full article
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Roster crunches are a fact of life in Major League Baseball, and the Brewers have what is arguably a “good” roster crunch due to their talent. But should they keep around one name being bandied about as a potential casualty of the numbers game. Image courtesy of © Robert Edwards-Imagn Images Bryse Wilson came to the Brewers in the 2022-2023 offseason and slotted into a long-relief role for the 2023 NL Central champs. He did very well by any measure that year, posting a 6-0 record and a 2.58 ERA in 76 2/3 innings pitched. In 2024, his top-line numbers--a 5-4 record and a 4.04 ERA over 104 2/3 innings pitched--appear to be a step down, but Wilson’s been no less valuable. Yet, despite his contributions, Wilson could be waived or designated for assignment by the Brewers over this offseason, rather than the team electing to pay a potential $3 million salary for 2025. While the Brewers face harsh economic realities in every hot-stove league, things are different for this coming offseason for one big reason: The Brewers have a lot of in-house choices. Their rotation of Freddy Peralta, Tobias Myers, Colin Rea, Aaron Civale, and DL Hall would not be bank-breaking, and they have other potential rotation options in prospects Jacob Misiorowski, Carlos F. Rodriguez, Chad Patrick, and Logan Henderson at Triple-A Nashville, plus the returning Brandon Woodruff and the possibility of second-half contributions from Robert Gasser and/or Wade Miley. That is a lot of depth, before one considers possible free-agent signings. That said, between the prospects and injury returnees, the Brewers will need pitchers capable of going a time through the order to “bridge” the gap from the starters to the late-inning crew that would consist of Devin Williams, Trevor Megill, Abner Uribe, Craig Yoho, Hoby Milner, Joel Payamps, and Jared Koenig. Bryan Hudson has been one such pitcher for the Brewers, but so has Wilson been, even in 2024. As a reliever, Wilson’s posted a 5-3 record with a 3.57 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 63 innings across 25 appearances – not quite to 2023 standards, but still very solid numbers. It goes without saying that the Brewers will be looking to manage the workload for both prospects and pitchers returning from the injured list. Wilson lets them do just that, and can do so on a very reliable basis. Wilson is more than just a long-relief/mop-up guy. He also is a reliable spot starter, albeit a limited one. In nine starts for the 2024 Brewers, he posted a 4.75 ERA. It’s slightly lower than his career ERA as a starter (5.37), but the real value is that Wilson is readily available to be plugged in for a doubleheader or because of injury. Just look at what the 2024 Brewers have gone though, and ask yourself if paying Wilson $3 million is really a bad thing. They lost Miley, Joe Ross, Hall, Woodruff, Jakob Junis, and Gasser to injury for extended parts of the season. Wilson was one of those who filled in and helped the Brewers greatly exceed expectations in 2024. The Brewers have done well by picking pitchers up and turning them into valuable contributors. Wilson is but one example – others who have been more impactful include Rea, Myers, and Megill. That said, the Brewers have a known quantity with Wilson, and given their experience with pitching injuries, Wilson might be the most cost-effective option. The Brewers will face a lot of hard questions with the 40-man roster over the offseason. Keeping Wilson is not necessarily one of them. View full article
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The Brewers Would Be Batty Not To Keep Their Biggest Bulk Guy Around
Harold Hutchison posted an article in Brewers
Bryse Wilson came to the Brewers in the 2022-2023 offseason and slotted into a long-relief role for the 2023 NL Central champs. He did very well by any measure that year, posting a 6-0 record and a 2.58 ERA in 76 2/3 innings pitched. In 2024, his top-line numbers--a 5-4 record and a 4.04 ERA over 104 2/3 innings pitched--appear to be a step down, but Wilson’s been no less valuable. Yet, despite his contributions, Wilson could be waived or designated for assignment by the Brewers over this offseason, rather than the team electing to pay a potential $3 million salary for 2025. While the Brewers face harsh economic realities in every hot-stove league, things are different for this coming offseason for one big reason: The Brewers have a lot of in-house choices. Their rotation of Freddy Peralta, Tobias Myers, Colin Rea, Aaron Civale, and DL Hall would not be bank-breaking, and they have other potential rotation options in prospects Jacob Misiorowski, Carlos F. Rodriguez, Chad Patrick, and Logan Henderson at Triple-A Nashville, plus the returning Brandon Woodruff and the possibility of second-half contributions from Robert Gasser and/or Wade Miley. That is a lot of depth, before one considers possible free-agent signings. That said, between the prospects and injury returnees, the Brewers will need pitchers capable of going a time through the order to “bridge” the gap from the starters to the late-inning crew that would consist of Devin Williams, Trevor Megill, Abner Uribe, Craig Yoho, Hoby Milner, Joel Payamps, and Jared Koenig. Bryan Hudson has been one such pitcher for the Brewers, but so has Wilson been, even in 2024. As a reliever, Wilson’s posted a 5-3 record with a 3.57 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 63 innings across 25 appearances – not quite to 2023 standards, but still very solid numbers. It goes without saying that the Brewers will be looking to manage the workload for both prospects and pitchers returning from the injured list. Wilson lets them do just that, and can do so on a very reliable basis. Wilson is more than just a long-relief/mop-up guy. He also is a reliable spot starter, albeit a limited one. In nine starts for the 2024 Brewers, he posted a 4.75 ERA. It’s slightly lower than his career ERA as a starter (5.37), but the real value is that Wilson is readily available to be plugged in for a doubleheader or because of injury. Just look at what the 2024 Brewers have gone though, and ask yourself if paying Wilson $3 million is really a bad thing. They lost Miley, Joe Ross, Hall, Woodruff, Jakob Junis, and Gasser to injury for extended parts of the season. Wilson was one of those who filled in and helped the Brewers greatly exceed expectations in 2024. The Brewers have done well by picking pitchers up and turning them into valuable contributors. Wilson is but one example – others who have been more impactful include Rea, Myers, and Megill. That said, the Brewers have a known quantity with Wilson, and given their experience with pitching injuries, Wilson might be the most cost-effective option. The Brewers will face a lot of hard questions with the 40-man roster over the offseason. Keeping Wilson is not necessarily one of them. -
In the case of Martinez, there was a bit of injury problems, and he lost 2020 to COVID. I've been intrigued by him from the start, to be honest, just from his DSL numbers. Really was high on him after 2021, where he seemed to break out some. Injuries hampered him in 2022, but since then...
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At Which Positions Do Brewers Face Major 2025 Position Battles?
Harold Hutchison posted an article in Brewers
Why might one of the best teams in the National League, a team that is clearly the best in its division, make major changes? In Milwaukee’s case, it comes from a mix of both harsh reality and high-class problems. The harsh reality is one discussed before: Milwaukee just simply can’t match the payrolls of teams like the Dodgers, Mets, Yankees, Red Sox, Phillies, and others. The high-class problem is that the Brewers also have a lot of good options in their position-player group. So, which positions could be in flux? Shortstop The Brewers winning the World Series in 2024 might be seen as a miracle by some. Willy Adames remaining in a Brewers uniform come 2025 would definitely be seen as miraculous, by just about anyone who follows baseball enough to know who he is. In his final year before free agency, he is leading the Brewers with 29 home runs and 100 RBIs, and he boasts a 120 OPS+. Other than Robin Yount, he’s been the best to play shortstop in Milwaukee Brewers history. The question is who takes over for Adames. The Brewers have two very capable options. The heavy favorite for it is Joey Ortiz, the incumbent third baseman. Ortiz has played supernal defense, and he's been roughly a league-average hitter, even as a rookie. In this case, it may make sense for the Brewers to move Ortiz to shortstop, but that would create an opening third base. The other option is Brice Turang, their current second baseman. Turang offers Gold Glove-caliber defense, but his bat is somewhat inconsistent. His hot streaks can be hot (.816 OPS in April), but when he isn’t, his bat is below-average (.651 OPS since May 1). Third Base With Ortiz presumably moving to short, the Brewers need a new man for the hot corner. Options on the 40-man roster include Andruw Monasterio, who has been a solid defensive option with a below-average bat in 2023 and 2024; Tyler Black, who has been a hitter without a position; and Oliver Dunn, who played some third base in a platoon with Ortiz early in the season. Black has the highest offensive ceiling of the three, with Dunn having somewhat of an offensive edge over Monasterio as a left-handed power bat. However, the Brewers also could give 2023 first-round pick Brock Wilken a lengthy look in spring training. First Base Rhys Hoskins may not opt out of the second year of the free-agent deal he signed with the Brewers in the 2023-2024 offseason. Jake Bauers has been a solid backup at not only first base, but both corner outfield spots. But even then, the position could be in flux – the Brewers could find a taker for Hoskins and/or non-tender Bauers, and Black could see some time at first base in 2025. The Outfield The corner outfield positions might seem locked in, but even with the Joey Wiemer trade, the Brewers have a lot of outfield talent. Currently, Jackson Chourio primarily handles left field, with Garrett Mitchell and Blake Perkins splitting time in center, while Sal Frelick is usually in right. The return of Christian Yelich next season, the addition of Brewer Hicklen, and Black’s search for a defensive home could change things. Designated Hitter Yelich may get most of the at-bats at DH by default, partially to lessen the load on his surgically-repaired back, but also because the younger outfielders are that good defensively. William Contreras could also see time there, along with Hoskins (if he's still on the roster) and Black. Backup Catcher Gary Sanchez probably will not stick around after 2024, but Eric Haase is under team control and has made a fine case to stick around--unless and until Jeferson Quero makes up for a lost 2024 season. Bench The Brewers could even see some changes on the bench. Isaac Collins has handled multiple infield and outfield positions over the last two seasons and may be worth a look. Depending on spring training performances, the Brewers could see Frelick or Perkins as a fourth outfielder, although Frelick did see limited action at third base and could offer more positional versatility. Overview Successful teams often try to keep the roster together. In the case of the 2024 Brewers, there may be more changes than usual, some of which are driven by harsh economic reality, but others of which will likely be due to the emergence of prospects who might be upgrades over players currently on the roster. -
With an 80-57 record and a nine-game lead over the Chicago Cubs, you would think the Brewers are pretty set at most positions. Guess again, this team may be on the cusp of one of the best regular-season records in its history, but it is also a team that could see major changes over the offseason. Why might one of the best teams in the National League, a team that is clearly the best in its division, make major changes? In Milwaukee’s case, it comes from a mix of both harsh reality and high-class problems. The harsh reality is one discussed before: Milwaukee just simply can’t match the payrolls teams like the Dodgers, Mets, Yankees, Red Sox, Phillies, and others. The high-class problem is that the Brewers also have a lot of good options in their position player group. So, which positions could be in flux? Shortstop The Brewers winning the World Series in 2024 might be seen as a miracle by some. Willy Adames remaining in a Brewers uniform come 2025 would definitely be seen as miraculous by just about anyone who follows baseball enough to know who he is. In his final year before free agency, he is leading the Brewers with 27 home runs and 95 RBI and adding a 121 OPS+. Other than some guy by the name of Robin Yount, he’s been the best to play shortstop in Milwaukee Brewers history. The question is who takes over for Adames. The Brewers have two very capable options. The first would be Brice Turang, their current second baseman. Turang offers Gold Glove caliber defense, but his bat is somewhat inconsistent. His hot streaks can be hot (.816 OPS in April), but when he isn’t, his bat is below average (.639 OPS since May 1 per Baseball Reference), albeit with solid OBP skills (34 walks in 373 at-bats from May 1 to August 31). The other option is Joey Ortiz, the incumbent third baseman. Ortiz also provides excellent defense, but his bat is superior to Turang’s (100 OPS+ to 87 OPS+ for Turang). In this case, it may make sense for the Brewers to move Ortiz to shortstop, but that would create an opening third base. Third Base With Ortiz moving to shortstop to replace Adames, the Brewers need a new third baseman to replace Ortiz. Options on the 40-man roster include Andruw Monasterio, who has been a solid defensive option with a below-average bat in 2023 and 2024, Tyler Black, who has been a hitter without a position, and Oliver Dunn, who played some third base in a platoon with Ortiz early in the season. Black has the highest offensive ceiling of the three, with Dunn having somewhat of an offensive edge over Monasterio as a left-handed power bat. However, the Brewers also could give 2023 first-round pick Brock Wilken a lengthy look at the hot corner in spring training. First Base Rhys Hoskins may not opt out of the second year of the free-agent deal he signed with the Brewers in the 2023-2024 offseason. Jake Bauers has been a solid backup at not only first base, but both corner outfield spots. But even then, the position could be in flux – the Brewers could find a take for Hoskins or Bauers, and Black could see some time at first base in 2025. The Outfield The corner outfield positions might seem locked in, but even with the Joey Wiemer trade, the Brewers have a lot of outfield talent. Currently, Jackson Chourio primarily handles left field, with Garrett Mitchell and Blake Perkins splitting time in center, while Sal Frelick is usually in right. The return of Christian Yelich next season, the addition of Brewer Hicklen, and Tyler Black’s search for a defensive home could change things. Designated Hitter Yelich may get most of the at-bats at DH by default, partially to lessen the load on his surgically-repaired back, but also because the younger outfielders are that good defensively. William Contreras could also see time there, along with Hoskins (if still on the roster) and Black. Backup Catcher Gary Sanchez probably will not stick around after 2024, but Eric Haase will probably be around as a backup at the start of 2025, at least until Jeferson Quero makes up for a lost 2024 season. Bench The Brewers could even see some changes on the bench. Isaac Collins has handled multiple infield and outfield positions over the last two seasons and may be worth a look. Depending on spring training performances, the Brewers could see Sal Frelick or Blake Perkins as a fourth outfielder, although Frelick did see limited action at third base and could offer more positional versatility. Overview Successful teams often try to keep the roster together. In the case of the 2024 Brewers, there may be changes, some of which are driven by harsh economic reality, but others will likely be due to the emergence of prospects who might be upgrades over players currently on the roster. View full article
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The Brewers are still rolling toward a National League Central title in 2024, something that has defied expectations. But could this success carry a long-term cost for one Brewer, down the road? Image courtesy of © David Banks-USA TODAY Sports Brewers fans have it very good. Twenty-five years ago, they seemed to be more likely to contend for the #1 overall pick than the playoffs, and the only thing cutting through the gloom of the short- and medium-term outlook was the farm system and the hope for the long term. Now, they're perennial playoff participants and a Midwest baseball powerhouse. The farm eventually produced franchise icons like Rickie Weeks, Prince Fielder, JJ Hardy, Lorenzo Cain and others, who helped launch the Brewers into their current era of competitiveness, whether through their contributions on the field; the players they brought back in deals; or both. While Brewers fans celebrate the team making a seemingly magical run, despite injuries to so many key contributors over the course of the season and the loss of their manager last fall, could the team pay the price over the long term, when it comes to one particular player? Tyler’s Toolbox Entering this season, when it came to hitting prospects, Tyler Black was second only to Jackson Chourio in the Brewers system. While Chourio’s toolset looks to be along the lines of the 2018-2019 MVP version of Christian Yelich, Black’s is more centered on bat-to-ball skills. Although Black is not a big-time power hitter like Brock Wilken, Luke Adams, or Eric Bitonti, he is a potent offensive threat in other ways. He has superb OBP skills, drawing seven walks in 49 MLB at-bats and adding another 51 in 399 at-bats with Triple-A Nashville. He’s also very good at hitting for average, posting a .279 between 2023 and 2024 at Triple-A. He’s not punchless, as 26 doubles and 16 home runs in 477 at-bats in Music City would attest, though those figures aren't especially impressive by Triple-A standards. He also brings speed, with nine triples and 25 steals. Their 2024 seasons, though, went very differently. Chourio has been in Milwaukee since Opening Day, and the team let him adjust over the course of April and May – particularly in figuring how to kill certain pitches instead of taking a walk back to the dugout. It was a decision with an eye toward optimizing his development over the long haul, given that the team signed Chourio to a record-breaking eight-year deal. Black, though, never really got the opportunity Chourio did to adjust to MLB pitching. He went into the offseason as a candidate to man third base, and maybe see some action. In November, first base appeared off the table when the Brewers acquired Jake Bauers, but he still seemed like an option at third. Then, the Crew traded Corbin Burnes for a return that included Joey Ortiz shortly before spring training, and signed Gary Sánchez as the primary DH in late February. That's not to mention Rhys Hoskins, who took up the position for which the team seems to have discerned that Black is best suited: first base. Black suddenly became a player without a clear road to MLB. The result was three trips on the Milwaukee-Nashville shuttle, and in none of them did he receive sustained playing time or the chance to really adjust to MLB pitching, much less find a groove. So, in one sense, his .561 OPS over a small sample has not been a surprise. He's only had three short stints, none lasting longer that 12 days, and the playing time was inconsistent. The good news is that, despite that, his walk rate held up, and he showed he could be a threat on the basepaths. The Future Questions Where could Black play? Third base could be an option for 2025, especially if Willy Adames ends up walking as a free agent and Ortiz moves to short, but the Crew would probably have to give Black time to shake off the rust; he’s mostly played first base and the outfield. Chourio will likely handle one of the corner outfield spots, but Black has experience in both center field and left field. Regardless of where he plays, the Brewers need to discard the desire for Black to be a power hitter, and instead let him get his MLB plate appearances and make his adjustments. It isn't discussed as much as, perhaps, it should be, but there's an opportunity cost involved even in winning seasons. Young players like Black can't be given time to work through ugly slumps or prove their ability to adjust and improve at the highest level as readily, because the top priority is to keep winning games. The Brewers haven't been able to simply give Black 10 days to show his value to the lineup, without interruption. Now, with a 10-game lead in the NL Central, the Crew has plenty of flexibility to do just that over the last five weeks of the regular season. Add an off-season conditioning program like the one Brice Turang undertook between 2023 and 2024, and the Brewers might just have solved the need for another proficient bat, without needing to make a trade. View full article
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Brewers fans have it very good. Twenty-five years ago, they seemed to be more likely to contend for the #1 overall pick than the playoffs, and the only thing cutting through the gloom of the short- and medium-term outlook was the farm system and the hope for the long term. Now, they're perennial playoff participants and a Midwest baseball powerhouse. The farm eventually produced franchise icons like Rickie Weeks, Prince Fielder, JJ Hardy, Lorenzo Cain and others, who helped launch the Brewers into their current era of competitiveness, whether through their contributions on the field; the players they brought back in deals; or both. While Brewers fans celebrate the team making a seemingly magical run, despite injuries to so many key contributors over the course of the season and the loss of their manager last fall, could the team pay the price over the long term, when it comes to one particular player? Tyler’s Toolbox Entering this season, when it came to hitting prospects, Tyler Black was second only to Jackson Chourio in the Brewers system. While Chourio’s toolset looks to be along the lines of the 2018-2019 MVP version of Christian Yelich, Black’s is more centered on bat-to-ball skills. Although Black is not a big-time power hitter like Brock Wilken, Luke Adams, or Eric Bitonti, he is a potent offensive threat in other ways. He has superb OBP skills, drawing seven walks in 49 MLB at-bats and adding another 51 in 399 at-bats with Triple-A Nashville. He’s also very good at hitting for average, posting a .279 between 2023 and 2024 at Triple-A. He’s not punchless, as 26 doubles and 16 home runs in 477 at-bats in Music City would attest, though those figures aren't especially impressive by Triple-A standards. He also brings speed, with nine triples and 25 steals. Their 2024 seasons, though, went very differently. Chourio has been in Milwaukee since Opening Day, and the team let him adjust over the course of April and May – particularly in figuring how to kill certain pitches instead of taking a walk back to the dugout. It was a decision with an eye toward optimizing his development over the long haul, given that the team signed Chourio to a record-breaking eight-year deal. Black, though, never really got the opportunity Chourio did to adjust to MLB pitching. He went into the offseason as a candidate to man third base, and maybe see some action. In November, first base appeared off the table when the Brewers acquired Jake Bauers, but he still seemed like an option at third. Then, the Crew traded Corbin Burnes for a return that included Joey Ortiz shortly before spring training, and signed Gary Sánchez as the primary DH in late February. That's not to mention Rhys Hoskins, who took up the position for which the team seems to have discerned that Black is best suited: first base. Black suddenly became a player without a clear road to MLB. The result was three trips on the Milwaukee-Nashville shuttle, and in none of them did he receive sustained playing time or the chance to really adjust to MLB pitching, much less find a groove. So, in one sense, his .561 OPS over a small sample has not been a surprise. He's only had three short stints, none lasting longer that 12 days, and the playing time was inconsistent. The good news is that, despite that, his walk rate held up, and he showed he could be a threat on the basepaths. The Future Questions Where could Black play? Third base could be an option for 2025, especially if Willy Adames ends up walking as a free agent and Ortiz moves to short, but the Crew would probably have to give Black time to shake off the rust; he’s mostly played first base and the outfield. Chourio will likely handle one of the corner outfield spots, but Black has experience in both center field and left field. Regardless of where he plays, the Brewers need to discard the desire for Black to be a power hitter, and instead let him get his MLB plate appearances and make his adjustments. It isn't discussed as much as, perhaps, it should be, but there's an opportunity cost involved even in winning seasons. Young players like Black can't be given time to work through ugly slumps or prove their ability to adjust and improve at the highest level as readily, because the top priority is to keep winning games. The Brewers haven't been able to simply give Black 10 days to show his value to the lineup, without interruption. Now, with a 10-game lead in the NL Central, the Crew has plenty of flexibility to do just that over the last five weeks of the regular season. Add an off-season conditioning program like the one Brice Turang undertook between 2023 and 2024, and the Brewers might just have solved the need for another proficient bat, without needing to make a trade.
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That’s the odyssey of Colin Rea. He’s gone from a usable back-of-the-rotation pitcher to a solid No. 3 pitcher, as has been detailed here on multiple occasions. He’s even become capable of dominating, going seven innings without allowing an earned run against the Guardians on Aug. 18 and against Atlanta on Aug. 6. There is more good news: The Brewers have a $5.5 million option for 2025 – which the Brewers are going to exercise. But what about the years beyond? Rea will be in his age 35 season in 2026. That’s getting up there age-wise, but over the last two years, he’s arguably found a new gear, and as the 2024 season has proven, the Brewers can’t have enough insurance for the rotation. Over the last two years, Brandon Woodruff, Aaron Ashby, Wade Miley, Joe Ross, DL Hall, and Robert Gasser all are projected rotation mainstays who have, instead, spent significant time on the injured list. At worst, Rea is depth, but his latest run puts him more in the category of rotation mainstay when he is at his best. The Case Against An Extension Rea’s age leaves open the question of how long he can keep pitching well, as opposed to becoming a back-end inning-eating option. He’ll be heading into his age-35 year when he is up for free agency, so any extension carries the risk that the wheels may come off due to performance (see the Randy Wolf, Kyle Lohse, and Matt Garza contracts). That is a factor weighing against handing Rea a multi-year extension. The other major factor weighing against extending Rea really is not so much about Rea, but about the Brewers' roster situation in general--specifically, the two-fold roster management problems stemming from prospects and returnees from the injured list. Let’s look at the young arms coming up. Carlos F. Rodriguez, Jacob Misiorowski, and Logan Henderson could be vying for spots in the Brewers rotation at some point in the 2025 season, and they are just the top prospects. Chad Patrick, Brett Wichrowski, Bishop Letson, and Josh Knoth could also make their cases. The return of Gasser and Woodruff from the injured list is a factor to consider, as well. Woodruff will try to join Rea and Freddy Peralta at the front end of the rotation next season, and in 2026, Gasser should be back to full strength after the Tommy John surgery that ended his season early this year. It's possible Rea would be crowded out, or at least pushed well down the depth chart, by the time any extension kicked in. The Case For An Extension Have you seen how many starters went on the injured list the past two years? Rea has been reliable, and reliable starters are crucial to make the playoffs, let alone to have a fighting chance in a playoff series. Rea has pitched well the last two seasons, and this year, some of his best performances on the mound have been against potential playoff opponents. He's pitched well against the Phillies once, Atlanta twice, and Cleveland once to date. His trajectory has also been in the right direction. Even if he ends up as a back-end innings-eater, those have value over the course of a 162-game season. Also, extending Rea may not be a real budget-buster for the Brewers either. He's only due $5.5 million next year, and it's hard to imagine him being in position to command more than that as he enters his late 30s. Overview Rea has been a crucial part of Milwaukee’s success over the last two seasons. He may have been an NRI for the Brewers at the start of 2023, but now, he’s a crucial part of the rotation, and probably should get an offer that reflects that. If he'd be open to a deal that renews him at $5.5 million in 2026 and gives the team another option (with a healthy buyout) for 2027, the front office should be all over it. They should even be willing to give him a signing bonus that boosts his 2025 salary, in effect, to $7 million or so. Rea has earned that, and the investment would be small and worthwhile.
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He has posted 17 wins since Opening Day 2023 as part of the Brewers’ rotation. He was in one sense, a two-time scrap-heap pickup by the Brewers who now has emerged as arguably the team’s most reliable starter. He doesn’t overpower hitters, yet he is arguably the one member of the Brewers rotation who should get an extension ASAP. That’s the odyssey of Colin Rea. He’s gone from a solid back-end-of-the-rotation pitcher to a solid #3 pitcher, as has been detailed here on multiple occasions. He’s even become dominating going seven innings without allowing an earned run against the Guardians on August 18 and against the Braves on August 6. There is more good news: The Brewers have a $5.5 million option for 2025 – which the Brewers are going to exercise. But what about the years beyond? Rea will be in his age 35 season in 2026. That’s getting up there age-wise, but over the last two years, he’s arguably found a new gear, and as the 2024 season has proven, the Brewers can’t have enough insurance for the rotation. Over the last two years, Brandon Woodruff, Aaron Ashby, Wade Miley, Joe Ross, DL Hall, and Robert Gasser all are projected rotation mainstays who have instead spent significant time on the injured list. At worst, Rea is depth, but his latest run puts him more in the category of rotation mainstay when he is at his best. The Case Against An Extension Rea’s age leaves open the question of how long he can keep pitching well, as opposed to becoming a back-end inning-eating option. He’ll be heading into his age 35 year when he is up for free agency, so any extension carries the risk that the wheels may come off due to performance (see the Randy Wolf, Kyle Lohse, and Matt Garza contracts). That is a factor weighing against handing Rea a multi-year extension. The other major factor weighing against extending Rea really is not so much about Rea, but about the Brewers roster situation in general. Specifically, the two-fold roster management problems stemming from prospects and returnees from the injured list. Let’s look at the young arms coming up. Carlos F. Rodriguez, Jacob Misiorowski, and Logan Henderson could be vying for spots in the Brewers rotation at some point in the 2025 season, and they are just the top prospects. Chad Patrick, Brett Wichrowski, Bishop Letson, and Josh Knoth could also make their cases. The return of Gasser and Woodruff from the injured list is a factor to consider as well. Their successful comebacks could also make things crowded in the 2025, to put it bluntly. It is fair to ask if Rea would even be one of the best six the Crew could put in the rotation. The Case For An Extension Have you seen how many starters went on the injured list the past two years? Rea has been reliable for the Brewers to date, and reliable starters are crucial to make the playoffs, if not to have a fighting chance in a playoff series. But Rea has pitched well the last two seasons, and this year, some of his best performances on the mound have been against potential playoff opponents. He pitched well against the Phillies once, the Braves twice, and Cleveland once to date in the season. His trajectory has also been in the right direction. Even if he ends up as a back-end innings-eater, those have value over the course of a 162-game season. Also, extending Rea may not be a real budget-buster for the Brewers either. As note when discussing Milwaukee’s offseason options with Willy Adames, such an extension is not so much about what the player gets paid overall, but really, it’s about how much more one has to come up with to make a deal work. Overview Colin Rea has been a crucial part of Milwaukee’s success the last two seasons. In this case, a two-year extension at $7.5 million a year, with a team option for $10 million for the third year (along with a $4 million buyout) might be the best option. Long enough to keep a solid contributor who could be a veteran presence for the younger starters, but not so long as to risk repeating the Lohse/Wolf/Garza sagas for the Brewers. Colin Rea may have been a NRI for the Brewers at the start of 2023, but now, he’s a crucial part of the rotation, and probably should get an offer that reflects that. View full article
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Back in January, I reviewed potential non-roster invitees to spring training for the Brewers. One entry in particular seems worth a look after the way the 2024 season has unfolded for the Milwaukee Brewers. Image courtesy of © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports Here's what I wrote about a certain non-roster pitching project, just before camp opened. Monasterio and Colin Rea have each made legitimate impacts in 2023 and 2024. Monasterio rightly earned the Brewer Fanatic Top Rookie of 2023 award for what he delivered after he came up following a line drive that concussed Willy Adames, while Rea has blossomed into a reliable mid-rotation starter since he replaced Brandon Woodruff in May 2023. Like Monasterio and Rea, Myers came up due to an injury (Wade Miley’s left elbow inflammation, which turned into Tommy John surgery), and like Monasterio, Myers had a long journey to Milwaukee. He came to the Crew on Nov. 10, 2022, as arguably Matt Arnold’s first signing after David Stearns suddenly stepped down. Before that, he had been drafted by the Orioles, then traded to Tampa for Tim Beckham. Tampa, in turn, dealt Myers to Cleveland for Junior Caminero. After that, he had a rough 2022 season and was purchased by the Giants, before the White Sox snagged him on a waiver claim. The White Sox gave him his release in September of that year. After Myers signed with the Brewers, he spent 2023 in Double-A Biloxi, where some of the surface numbers weren’t good, but he also flashed a good strikeout-to-walk ratio. He posted two relief outings in Nashville last in the season. He was good enough to get an invitation to spring training in 2024--where he posted a 7.88 ERA in four outings. Myers started off in Nashville for two games, then got the call-up to Milwaukee as injuries ravaged the team. He hasn’t been on the Milwaukee-Nashville shuttle, though. He rode it once, but only got a chance to make one abbreviated appearance with the Sounds in mid-May before an injury to Joe Ross brought him right back to the big leagues. Since getting a second chance born just as much of necessity as the first, he's been on fire. Entering his start in St. Louis Wednesday night, Myers has appeared in 19 games, starting 18 (he picked up one win by pitching the 7th inning, right after being recalled while out of phase in the rotation), posting a 2.81 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, 85 strikeouts and 25 walks. That is superb performance on its own merits, and arguably a key reason why the Brewers are in a commanding position in the National League Central despite having so many pitchers from the Opening Day roster on the injured list. This understates Myers’s performance, though. Like the highly-touted Jackson Chourio, Myers has kicked it up another level since Jun. 1. He’s pitched 72 2/3 innings, with 58 strikeouts against 15 walks. Most impressively, his ERA is 1.86, and the WHIP is 0.98. The list of Brewers with a better 12-start stretch in the last 40 years (more than 70 innings, an ERA of 1.86 or lower) conveys just how special a run Myers is on: Teddy Higuera, 1988 Cal Edlred, 1992 Jeff D'Amico, 2000 Ben Sheets, 2004 CC Sabathia, 2008 Yovani Gallardo, 2010 Mike Fiers, 2012 Brandon Woodruff, 2021 Admittedly, Myers probably has more in common with Fiers and D'Amico than with Sabathia or Sheets. Still, his acquisition and development is a huge credit to Arnold, the team’s scouting and coaching department, just on the basis of this year’s performance. If he can sustain this brilliance for just one more start, to help put boot to neck on the unbeloved Cardinals, he'll enter territory unsullied by the previous occupancy of Fiers, or even Higuera. But whether he does that or not, Myers is perhaps the most impactful non-roster invitee the Brewers have had since Rob Deer in 1986. Arguably, he should not just be the Brewers' top rookie of 2024 and the team’s unsung hero of the year, but a serious candidate for National League Rookie of the Year. Even when compared to Jackson Chourio, he's not substantially outshined. That's saying a lot. View full article
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Here's what I wrote about a certain non-roster pitching project, just before camp opened. Monasterio and Colin Rea have each made legitimate impacts in 2023 and 2024. Monasterio rightly earned the Brewer Fanatic Top Rookie of 2023 award for what he delivered after he came up following a line drive that concussed Willy Adames, while Rea has blossomed into a reliable mid-rotation starter since he replaced Brandon Woodruff in May 2023. Like Monasterio and Rea, Myers came up due to an injury (Wade Miley’s left elbow inflammation, which turned into Tommy John surgery), and like Monasterio, Myers had a long journey to Milwaukee. He came to the Crew on Nov. 10, 2022, as arguably Matt Arnold’s first signing after David Stearns suddenly stepped down. Before that, he had been drafted by the Orioles, then traded to Tampa for Tim Beckham. Tampa, in turn, dealt Myers to Cleveland for Junior Caminero. After that, he had a rough 2022 season and was purchased by the Giants, before the White Sox snagged him on a waiver claim. The White Sox gave him his release in September of that year. After Myers signed with the Brewers, he spent 2023 in Double-A Biloxi, where some of the surface numbers weren’t good, but he also flashed a good strikeout-to-walk ratio. He posted two relief outings in Nashville last in the season. He was good enough to get an invitation to spring training in 2024--where he posted a 7.88 ERA in four outings. Myers started off in Nashville for two games, then got the call-up to Milwaukee as injuries ravaged the team. He hasn’t been on the Milwaukee-Nashville shuttle, though. He rode it once, but only got a chance to make one abbreviated appearance with the Sounds in mid-May before an injury to Joe Ross brought him right back to the big leagues. Since getting a second chance born just as much of necessity as the first, he's been on fire. Entering his start in St. Louis Wednesday night, Myers has appeared in 19 games, starting 18 (he picked up one win by pitching the 7th inning, right after being recalled while out of phase in the rotation), posting a 2.81 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, 85 strikeouts and 25 walks. That is superb performance on its own merits, and arguably a key reason why the Brewers are in a commanding position in the National League Central despite having so many pitchers from the Opening Day roster on the injured list. This understates Myers’s performance, though. Like the highly-touted Jackson Chourio, Myers has kicked it up another level since Jun. 1. He’s pitched 72 2/3 innings, with 58 strikeouts against 15 walks. Most impressively, his ERA is 1.86, and the WHIP is 0.98. The list of Brewers with a better 12-start stretch in the last 40 years (more than 70 innings, an ERA of 1.86 or lower) conveys just how special a run Myers is on: Teddy Higuera, 1988 Cal Edlred, 1992 Jeff D'Amico, 2000 Ben Sheets, 2004 CC Sabathia, 2008 Yovani Gallardo, 2010 Mike Fiers, 2012 Brandon Woodruff, 2021 Admittedly, Myers probably has more in common with Fiers and D'Amico than with Sabathia or Sheets. Still, his acquisition and development is a huge credit to Arnold, the team’s scouting and coaching department, just on the basis of this year’s performance. If he can sustain this brilliance for just one more start, to help put boot to neck on the unbeloved Cardinals, he'll enter territory unsullied by the previous occupancy of Fiers, or even Higuera. But whether he does that or not, Myers is perhaps the most impactful non-roster invitee the Brewers have had since Rob Deer in 1986. Arguably, he should not just be the Brewers' top rookie of 2024 and the team’s unsung hero of the year, but a serious candidate for National League Rookie of the Year. Even when compared to Jackson Chourio, he's not substantially outshined. That's saying a lot.
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The Back Issue Christian Yelich has dealt with back issues before–with one or more stints on the disabled list or injured list in 2014, 2015, and 2021 before his two times being shelved in 2024. There was also a right oblique injury during his 2018 MVP season that sidelined him. That’s a lot of missing time, and the ongoing issue is something that has to be dealt with. The Crew owes Yelich $104 million from 2025-2028, and potentially another $20 million for 2029 if the option is exercised. On Aug. 15, Yelich announced he would be having surgery, ending a season where he was posting his best OPS since 2019. What The Brewers Lost Yelich was posting a .909 OPS and an OPS+ of 152–both of which led the team, among players with more than 100 at-bats. He led them in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. In counting stats, Yelich was second in stolen bases and fourth in walks, as of Aug. 16. When he did play, he filled the No. 3 spot in the lineup, usually behind second baseman Brice Turang and catcher William Contreras, and ahead of Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins. In short, the Brewers went from an elite offense this season to a merely solid one when they lost Yelich. That’s yet another hole for the Brewers, whose rotation has been riddled with injuries all season. Despite all that, they are 11 games ahead of the focus of evil in the NL Central. Think Of The Rest Of The Season As An Investment Opportunity Though the lineup will miss Yelich, the team has very good young outfielders (Jackson Chourio, Garrett Mitchell, Sal Frelick, and Blake Perkins) who will now get plenty of MLB at-bats. It’s time for the Brewers to use the last few weeks of the season to evaluate Mitchell, Frelick, and Perkins, to calibrate reasonable expectations for each going forward. In essence, these players will be finalizing their adjustments to MLB, and the data profile on each will grow more robust. This will be very good news for the Brewers in 2025 and beyond. However, there is one non-outfielder who could and should benefit from Yelich missing the rest of the season, and he is who the Brewers should make an investment in, perhaps above all. That would be Tyler Black, who has seen action in center field for Nashville after some decent showings at first base and third base in the 2023 and 2024 seasons. His bat has been MLB-ready since spring training–and with Yelich out, Black’s bat could make up a bit of the difference, whether in left field, at third base, first base, or designated hitter. The last six weeks of the season and the Brewers’ playoff games could provide Black the extended at-bats needed to adjust to MLB pitching. It took Jackson Chourio two months of regular playing time for his bat to make the adjustment, so why not give Black those two months now, and have both him and Chourio ready to dominate on Opening Day 2025? Given that Black has seen a fair bit of Triple-A pitching, his adjustment might not take as long as Chourio's did, although his ceiling is also much lower. Overview The loss of Yelich is a huge hit for the Brewers, but it may actually end up being a good thing for them in the long run, if Black can make the adjustments to MLB pitching. Playing Black regularly, even if he struggles at the plate or in the field, might just be the best long-term investment the Brewers can make in the 2024 season.
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Christian Yelich tried to use rest and rehabilitation for the latest back issue that has him on the injured list, so that he could return by the end of the season. That was not to be. An Aug. 15 post on social media gave an update that was disappointing for Yelich and the Brewers in the short term. But is there a bright side to Yelich having surgery now? Image courtesy of © Troy Babbitt-USA TODAY Sports The Back Issue Christian Yelich has dealt with back issues before–with one or more stints on the disabled list or injured list in 2014, 2015, and 2021 before his two times being shelved in 2024. There was also a right oblique injury during his 2018 MVP season that sidelined him. That’s a lot of missing time, and the ongoing issue is something that has to be dealt with. The Crew owes Yelich $104 million from 2025-2028, and potentially another $20 million for 2029 if the option is exercised. On Aug. 15, Yelich announced he would be having surgery, ending a season where he was posting his best OPS since 2019. What The Brewers Lost Yelich was posting a .909 OPS and an OPS+ of 152–both of which led the team, among players with more than 100 at-bats. He led them in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. In counting stats, Yelich was second in stolen bases and fourth in walks, as of Aug. 16. When he did play, he filled the No. 3 spot in the lineup, usually behind second baseman Brice Turang and catcher William Contreras, and ahead of Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins. In short, the Brewers went from an elite offense this season to a merely solid one when they lost Yelich. That’s yet another hole for the Brewers, whose rotation has been riddled with injuries all season. Despite all that, they are 11 games ahead of the focus of evil in the NL Central. Think Of The Rest Of The Season As An Investment Opportunity Though the lineup will miss Yelich, the team has very good young outfielders (Jackson Chourio, Garrett Mitchell, Sal Frelick, and Blake Perkins) who will now get plenty of MLB at-bats. It’s time for the Brewers to use the last few weeks of the season to evaluate Mitchell, Frelick, and Perkins, to calibrate reasonable expectations for each going forward. In essence, these players will be finalizing their adjustments to MLB, and the data profile on each will grow more robust. This will be very good news for the Brewers in 2025 and beyond. However, there is one non-outfielder who could and should benefit from Yelich missing the rest of the season, and he is who the Brewers should make an investment in, perhaps above all. That would be Tyler Black, who has seen action in center field for Nashville after some decent showings at first base and third base in the 2023 and 2024 seasons. His bat has been MLB-ready since spring training–and with Yelich out, Black’s bat could make up a bit of the difference, whether in left field, at third base, first base, or designated hitter. The last six weeks of the season and the Brewers’ playoff games could provide Black the extended at-bats needed to adjust to MLB pitching. It took Jackson Chourio two months of regular playing time for his bat to make the adjustment, so why not give Black those two months now, and have both him and Chourio ready to dominate on Opening Day 2025? Given that Black has seen a fair bit of Triple-A pitching, his adjustment might not take as long as Chourio's did, although his ceiling is also much lower. Overview The loss of Yelich is a huge hit for the Brewers, but it may actually end up being a good thing for them in the long run, if Black can make the adjustments to MLB pitching. Playing Black regularly, even if he struggles at the plate or in the field, might just be the best long-term investment the Brewers can make in the 2024 season. View full article
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In a Fully Healthy Brewers Playoff Lineup, Who Bats Where?
Harold Hutchison posted an article in Brewers
Constructing a lineup isn’t strictly science – and it's not just a numbers game. At times in 2017 and 2018, the Brewers had Eric Thames leading off. Thames could get on base, but he was arguably a misfit for the top spot, both for what he didn’t have (speed) and what he had (power). So, how could the Brewers lineup be emerging, knowing that they might get Christian Yelich back before making their playoff run? Leadoff Brice Turang has often batted leadoff (55 times in 115 games) while providing Gold Glove-caliber defense at the keystone. The Crew has also seen Sal Frelick (19 times) and Jackson Chourio (17 times) handle leadoff duties this season, with William Contreras (8 times) and Joey Oritz (9 times) as occasional options against lefties earlier in the campaign. At this point, either Turang or Frelick can make a case for being the best option, with Frelick having a slight edge in OBP (.345 to .318) but Turang having great speed utility. Frelick usually plays right field lately, but could also handle left or center. Second Contreras (94 games) has been the principal No. 2 hitter for the Crew this year, but in the month of August, Chourio has hit there five times. Ask the Braves how it went for them. Rhys Hoskins had six appearances in this spot, and some other Brewers have hit there, but given his performance since the beginning of June, Chourio is probably the best option going forward. He's hitting for contact (.330 batting average since then), power (14 homers on the year), and speed (16 steals). Chourio’s played both corner spots, mostly in right, but lately has been a regular in left field. Third Christian Yelich has hit third in 71 of the 73 games he has played this season. That’s an easy call, given his .909 OPS, his best figure since his 2018-2019 MVP-level performances. At this point, the best option may be for him to primarily DH the rest of the year--assuming he's able to return, and at more or less full strength. Cleanup Willy Adames has been hitting the ball hard in his walk year (team-leading 21 homers and 79 RBIs) and he’s handled cleanup 91 times in 116 games, but with Chourio seizing the No. 2 spot, it's primarily been Contreras batting fourth over the last week. Fifth Hoskins, Jake Bauers, and Frelick have each had at least 20 games in the fifth spot so far this season. But when Yelich returns, Garrett Mitchell might be the best option, after recently holding down the three spot for three of the last five games. He’s missed a lot of time with injury, but in the small samples he's cobbled together, his bat has been dynamic. He’ll likely be the primary center fielder going forward, unless and until the league figures him out. Sixth Hoskins has hit sixth 38 times, the most in any spot. (He’s also the Brewer with the most appearance in the 5 hole.) However, as the development of Chourio and the return of Mitchell are pushing people down, Adames could end up batting sixth--if and when Yelich does come back. Seventh Frelick has hit the most in this spot for the Brewers (27 games). At this point, though, Hoskins might become a fixture there; it's where he's slotted three times in the last five contests. Hoskins has delivered a 111 OPS+ for the Crew, and his 20 homers and 59 RBIs are too much for the 8- or 9-holes. (Yes, I’m aware that Dale Sveum hit 25 homers and produced 95 RBIs in 110 game at those spots in 1987, but that should be a cautionary tale, rather than an object for emulation.) Eighth Chourio’s hit in the 8-hole 27 times this season, the most on the club--followed closely by Ortiz, who hit there 26 times. Here, the Crew faces a tough choice between Ortiz and Turang. Ortiz brings the higher OPS and OPS+, but Turang could break up the lineup and avoid having three right-handed hitters in a row. In this case, the OPS and OPS+ indicate that Milwaukee’s primary third baseman should hit here. Ninth Either Turang or Frelick will end up hitting here, but it’s really due to the immense offensive talent and production that’s in front of them. It’s not that either would be horrible at leadoff--they've been very good, if you remove their dearth of power from the equation--but Frelick’s OBP is higher, so having Turang down here would be wiser. He’s got some pop this year, but not so much as to warrant hitting in the middle of the order. Turang can still do a lot of damage in the 9-spot – not as much as Sveum did in `87, but plenty. In essence, he can set the table for Frelick and Chourio. Potential Playoff Run Lineup: RF Frelick LF Chourio DH Yelich C Contreras CF Mitchell SS Adames 1B Hoskins 3B Ortiz 2B Turang Overview The Brewers have the offensive talent to have no trouble scoring runs off the best teams in the league, as the three-game series in Atlanta shows. The trick is to build the lineup that can do so on a very consistent basis, to back up a pitching staff that has performed miraculously in overcoming injuries this season. What do you think the Brewers lineup should be for the playoff run?- 3 comments
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The Brewers had an impressive series against Atlanta, hitting marks never reached before in a three-game series, and tacking on eight more runs against the Reds on Friday. But are we seeing the emergence of a lineup that could dominate in the playoffs? Image courtesy of © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports Constructing a lineup isn’t strictly science – and it's not just a numbers game. At times in 2017 and 2018, the Brewers had Eric Thames leading off. Thames could get on base, but he was arguably a misfit for the top spot, both for what he didn’t have (speed) and what he had (power). So, how could the Brewers lineup be emerging, knowing that they might get Christian Yelich back before making their playoff run? Leadoff Brice Turang has often batted leadoff (55 times in 115 games) while providing Gold Glove-caliber defense at the keystone. The Crew has also seen Sal Frelick (19 times) and Jackson Chourio (17 times) handle leadoff duties this season, with William Contreras (8 times) and Joey Oritz (9 times) as occasional options against lefties earlier in the campaign. At this point, either Turang or Frelick can make a case for being the best option, with Frelick having a slight edge in OBP (.345 to .318) but Turang having great speed utility. Frelick usually plays right field lately, but could also handle left or center. Second Contreras (94 games) has been the principal No. 2 hitter for the Crew this year, but in the month of August, Chourio has hit there five times. Ask the Braves how it went for them. Rhys Hoskins had six appearances in this spot, and some other Brewers have hit there, but given his performance since the beginning of June, Chourio is probably the best option going forward. He's hitting for contact (.330 batting average since then), power (14 homers on the year), and speed (16 steals). Chourio’s played both corner spots, mostly in right, but lately has been a regular in left field. Third Christian Yelich has hit third in 71 of the 73 games he has played this season. That’s an easy call, given his .909 OPS, his best figure since his 2018-2019 MVP-level performances. At this point, the best option may be for him to primarily DH the rest of the year--assuming he's able to return, and at more or less full strength. Cleanup Willy Adames has been hitting the ball hard in his walk year (team-leading 21 homers and 79 RBIs) and he’s handled cleanup 91 times in 116 games, but with Chourio seizing the No. 2 spot, it's primarily been Contreras batting fourth over the last week. Fifth Hoskins, Jake Bauers, and Frelick have each had at least 20 games in the fifth spot so far this season. But when Yelich returns, Garrett Mitchell might be the best option, after recently holding down the three spot for three of the last five games. He’s missed a lot of time with injury, but in the small samples he's cobbled together, his bat has been dynamic. He’ll likely be the primary center fielder going forward, unless and until the league figures him out. Sixth Hoskins has hit sixth 38 times, the most in any spot. (He’s also the Brewer with the most appearance in the 5 hole.) However, as the development of Chourio and the return of Mitchell are pushing people down, Adames could end up batting sixth--if and when Yelich does come back. Seventh Frelick has hit the most in this spot for the Brewers (27 games). At this point, though, Hoskins might become a fixture there; it's where he's slotted three times in the last five contests. Hoskins has delivered a 111 OPS+ for the Crew, and his 20 homers and 59 RBIs are too much for the 8- or 9-holes. (Yes, I’m aware that Dale Sveum hit 25 homers and produced 95 RBIs in 110 game at those spots in 1987, but that should be a cautionary tale, rather than an object for emulation.) Eighth Chourio’s hit in the 8-hole 27 times this season, the most on the club--followed closely by Ortiz, who hit there 26 times. Here, the Crew faces a tough choice between Ortiz and Turang. Ortiz brings the higher OPS and OPS+, but Turang could break up the lineup and avoid having three right-handed hitters in a row. In this case, the OPS and OPS+ indicate that Milwaukee’s primary third baseman should hit here. Ninth Either Turang or Frelick will end up hitting here, but it’s really due to the immense offensive talent and production that’s in front of them. It’s not that either would be horrible at leadoff--they've been very good, if you remove their dearth of power from the equation--but Frelick’s OBP is higher, so having Turang down here would be wiser. He’s got some pop this year, but not so much as to warrant hitting in the middle of the order. Turang can still do a lot of damage in the 9-spot – not as much as Sveum did in `87, but plenty. In essence, he can set the table for Frelick and Chourio. Potential Playoff Run Lineup: RF Frelick LF Chourio DH Yelich C Contreras CF Mitchell SS Adames 1B Hoskins 3B Ortiz 2B Turang Overview The Brewers have the offensive talent to have no trouble scoring runs off the best teams in the league, as the three-game series in Atlanta shows. The trick is to build the lineup that can do so on a very consistent basis, to back up a pitching staff that has performed miraculously in overcoming injuries this season. What do you think the Brewers lineup should be for the playoff run? View full article
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