igor67
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Everything posted by igor67
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Given that most of the guys playing now are young players who we wanted to see what they could do it is a little convoluted to argue against them showing they know how to play.
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He's got me thinking he could be a solid player for sure, but a lot hinges on how much power he'll show outside of the FSL.
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Minor League Wages -- A Major Issue in the MLB Boom Era
igor67 replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Other people get treated like garbage by their employers is the opposite of a compelling argument for MLB not to treat minor leaguers with a minimum amount of respect. -
Clark seems to be trying to make a case to start next year with the Rattlers. Not sure where that would put them with OFers
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Baseball America's Hot Prospect Sheet Thread - 2015
igor67 replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Put me in the camp that for Arcia there is very little he could hope to accomplish in the AFL at this point that he hasn't already done to improve himself as a player/prospect. I could be persuaded, but I'd be inclined to invest that playing time in other players with more to work on. -
The probability as requested above would be 0.0000926 or 0.00926% of hitting a losing streak of 10 in a row with that record.
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The type of prospect matters vs. just cash. We don't need another OF prospects at the high levels for example, and we don't really need an under performing shot in the dark kind of OF prospect at the lower levels either, since they would just be taking PAs away from prospect with a similar chance in that case cash would be somewhat more useful. On the other hand there are plenty of other positions that we could easily accommodate prospect depth without taking chances away from other players.
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Those are reasonable points, I think it would be possible to do the multiple in season polls if we had the dates arranged ahead of time. Instead of announcing it's time for another one. If we posted warning a week before the deadline that we'd open the voting the day after the deadline and only take submissions for a couple of days it could work.
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A good example of why pigeonholing every 2 pitch pitcher as a reliever is lazy scouting. It does not necessarily take all that long to add a 3rd pitch. What I would love to know is what pitcher characteristics correlate best with the ability to add another pitch successfully, and are there particular combinations of pitches and/or grips that are easier to adopt then others?
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Collymore the athlete is certainly well on his way to finishing the season strong, mid game his batting average is up to a .316 and an OPS in the .870's in slightly fewer PAs then he had for the Cards in the Appy league. All of his secondary numbers are at least solid. If he could still truly make it at second I'd be getting very intrigued, but at the least he's making an argument for making the top 30 prospects. Micheal Reed also having a pretty good start to his game pushing his OPS well over .800 by the end of the night regardless of the rest of the evening.
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The other thing with players like Cravy is that they often can take some time to make the adjustments they need to be successful. In other years he wouldn't be someone you'd have a long leash with, but we can afford to and see if he gives us a few solid years.
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I could very well be wrong, but the timing coming near the end of the season may be quite helpful in letting things settle down. Even if it does manage to become more than a couple of days worth of story (which is forever these days) the teams will be done in a couple of weeks and everyone goes home. He's not the first athlete, he's in a small market and rookie ball at that it seems a stretch to imagine there being much follow through next year unless someone says something incredibly silly. If he takes off at the plate and suddenly finds himself close to the majors in a couple of years it could take off again, but I'd guess at that point it would be less disruptive.
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Should Khris Davis be traded?
igor67 replied to Harold Hutchison's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I'm on record of not being opposed to trading Davis, but we should all be prepared for him to blow up where ever he goes. He added the walks back to his game throughout the year and has started to get back in the grove hitting the HRs as well. It's not difficult to imagine him putting together some really good years, a classic short peak kind of player. -
Three year factors are done somewhat more commonly for analyzing trends, but check out the HR part of the park factor this year a 1.7! Only one other year has a team had a higher factor in the last 15 years and that was Progressive Field in 2001 when they actually posted a little over a 2. The only 2 other years a team finished 1.6 or higher was Colorado once and Miller park once otherwise most years the highest in the league is in the 1.3-1.4 range.
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I'm excited that Franly has really started to dial in, almost to an .800 OPS in the DSL as an 18 year-old at SS is not getting the recognition it should. Along with Ignacio it will be interesting to see how IF spots are divided up in Arizona and Helena next year. Roache about a week shy of 200 PAs in AA and his OPS is .846 with more power, more average, more walks, and fewer Ks. I could be convinced, but between the power potential and OF defense of him and so many of our other prospects moving to first in the offseason seems to make a lot of sense. Micheal Reed- Yeah
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Sardinas' night got me to look a little closer at his previous career numbers. As a big plus he is still only 22. At first glance a negative would be not having an OPS over .700 since 2013. However in 2014 despite never posting a .700 OPS at any level the Rangers promoted him to AA briefly then AAA, and finally the majors. Back in 2013 his BB numbers were close to 1/10 ABs, but have plummeted since then given the rise in levels and the tendency that can produce for guys with borderline discipline to start hacking away that is not surprising. Consider me a little more optimistic for his future. Could be a very crowded AAA infield to start next year.
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Both are valid concerns, but Roache is a good example of the virtue of patience with guys who have tools. Both Taylor and Coulter have had more good performances than Roache as players, so concern yes but we don't want to discount them too much for an off year, or couple of months. Alternatively go check out the early career WAR numbers for Escobar, Cain, and Brantley multiple years of nothing special before their current peaks.
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Lopez is definitely someone I would promote slowly at this point. Having waited forever to get a home grown rotation I'm looking to line-up a couple of quality starting pitching prospects every year at AA and AAA to promote when injuries happen and to swap out as guy near the end of the their arby years. Peralta, Jungman, and Nelson are very nicely spaced out right now in terms of service time, so I'd hope to continue that. For those mid rotation types (2-4 in my thinking) they often need some time to really develop at the big leagues and spacing them let's you carry those ups and downs towards the backend of your rotation, while the more experienced guys hold down the top. Cravy as a low stuff player is someone you give the extra time to this year to see if he can establish himself. When it comes to pitching I'd spend more time trying to promote those young relief prospects and see how they do.
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After our earlier burst of excitement Trent is the only position player that looks like he might get pushed to Wisconsin to start the year. Lara and Demi don't have the strikezone control yet to not get totally worked over. There is also the 8000 OF prospects issue that would seem to make it less likely they would rush Demi. Perry could potentially make the jump, but I think Denson has done enough to get a prolonged shot at Wisconsin again without interference. Different direction how good is Cooper's defense? I'm starting to get intrigued, especially if he is a good defender at 1st in the Overbay/Olerud mold. Given the quality at first base league wide that would actually be a pretty solid prospect these days.
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Phillips a HR short of the cycle right now with 1 AB to go
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Between the smaller market and the fact that the Brewers tend to run a quiet ship we generally hear almost nothing this time of year until a deal happens. I'd be surprised if anybody outside of our young players was actually claimed and then mostly the pitchers plus Davis and Segura. Cotts maybe since there would be little risk in absorbing his salary.
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Doug Melvin steps down as GM; moves into advisory role
igor67 replied to torts's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Doug had some definite strengths as a GM and also seems like a very low key person and not a meddle from the shadows kind of person. Doug's strengths also tend to line-up well in a number of areas where a young GM could easily be weaker, so the I like the senior level advisory position. At least in the abstract, reality on the ground could be different in a ton of different ways. -
I'd suggest the following times for the community list: 1) End of the regular season (give or take a few but before the AFL starts) 2) Beginning of the season (captures fall and winter leagues, deals and spring) 3) Pre-draft (I'd close it the day of the draft) so we can hammer out the impact of the first half of the season, and it provides a jumping off point for starting to discuss how the new draftees would slot it. 4) Post deadline (gets any deals and is long enough after the draft that we know who actually signed and have seen them play a bit)
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One would think that in the NL and a pitcher heavy roster that getting ABs for bench guys wouldn't be a problem. Hopefully they can work Jason in a little more regularly and get an idea of what he can really produce.
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Every indicator on Gallardo was pointing down, Garza's first half has been his only real blemish. If one must indulge a talk radio mentality "how anyone can still believe that teams won't take on contracts is beyond me" The last 15 years+ of baseball is littered with teams finding ways to trade guys that people said were untradeable. Yes some of those were junk for junk deals, a substantial number have involved including some cash, but you don't even have to get beyond Aramis this year for the hyperbole about untradeable guys to be shown false. One can quibble about a player's precise value, but even if Garza pitches to a 4ERA the rest of the year he has mainstream tradeable value to someone. There are always teams that lose out on the big name starting pitchers in the offseason, and Garza's option year is nicely structure to minimize the risk of the contract turning into a long term issue.