igor67
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Everything posted by igor67
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I suspect Broxton's variation outside of the early part of the year is consistent with other 3TO type players, his batting average will tend to fluctuate quite a bit likely getting a significant boost when the HRs tend to come in bunches which also spikes the SLG quite a bit. The nice thing is that his walk rate has held out quite well even at the start of the year. What stands out to me looking at the month to month splits was how much the relatively short but just awful start in April was for his season stats. He was bad the first half, but only normal bad. In my mind right now he looks like an .800 OPS CF with about that .250/.360/.440 slash line and a boat load of SBs. But along with that I expect significant ups and downs and frankly I could see him getting the Jose Valentin treatment which would be a shame.
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I can't say that I'd be super excited about Puig, but given the modest number of places we can likely trade Braun if something like this made Puig the 3rd higher end 'prospect' included in the deal and therefore a lot more palatable to the Dodgers that could make sense.
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I feel like it hasn't been mentioned much, but Broxton now has 21 SB compared to 1 CS. But given his plate appearances that is in the realm of a 70-80 SB season. I'm sure he'll get caught more then he has, but that adds a fair amount of value.
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Anyone have any idea if the T-rats would be playing at home next Saturday if they make the playoffs. I'm going to be in town looking for something fun to do.
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Diaz with a nice reward
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It's also possible that the league has improved its framing substantially. Early in his career Lucroy and a few others posted huge numbers relative to the league, which seems to have gotten much harder to do.
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Weeks is an interesting comp, a lot of that mixed reaction though is driven not by his performance it was the scouting build-up, and just watching him play. With as fast as his wrists were and as good at taking walks people expected that he'd be at least a .300 hitter to go with all of the other skills.
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More then just a little bit crazy.
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...? shall we bean him a few times in a series to see if he is tough enough and won't lose his temper too?
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Well the amount of difference between his 2 half parts of the year is just insane, but the BB has been quite consistent. In this case that is important because it means those 20Ks are over 70 plate appearances, which is high but not historicallly high anymore. The power and speed tools were there before, so it is hard to think he's going to maintain this 1.000 OPS pace, but a streaky .800 OPS with good defense and steals seems pretty doable and quite the value for Jason Rogers
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2016 Rule 5 Protection & The 40-Man Roster
igor67 replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I think you have a lot more value in trying to play Reed or Wren and see if they can develop into solid 4th OF options and give you multiple cheap years of production then playing Kirk and hoping you can flip him for a meaningful prospect relative to what we already have in the system. -
The FA comparison is very useful because as a potential trade target he makes more sense as an offseason then he ever has as a deadline guy. So it is definitely a limited pool, but given the higher levels of production a team might very well prioritize that especially if they are paying less per year then the open market. Similarly a team that comes in second on a FA bid might be very motivated.
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Overall it has seemed like the hitters are doing better at the end of the season, but Arcia is a nice reminder when it comes to expectations for these super young guys. Even without the lost year due to injury his performance was mostly great defense and excellent contact skills until breaking out last year.
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While I like seeing a guy do well, it is always a good idea not to get too excited about a college guy who hits well in the Pioneer league.
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I'm pretty sure PEDs are now almost completely irrelevant to trade value. It looks more like the limited number of teams he can be dealt too and potentially concerns about how healthy he might stay would make teams a little less likely to pay a fair price for a difference maker. And at the moment he does bring a lot of value to the team playing the game. It is possible in the near future one might start to think his presence in the OF is taking up playing time for someone else, but it's not too hard to see having him anchoring the line-up makes it a little easier for other young guys to develop and for the team to be watchable.
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By my count that gives him an 8 game hit streak, which is a season best.
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According to his player page Coulter was moved up to AA on Aug 1st, so if he goes he'd be the 1 lower level player your allowed. I can talk myself into him going and not going. If he has a strong August, you'd really love to see him get a chance for more ABs and help him keep going. On the other hand if he does well you might be thinking of letting him rest mentally on a successful end to the season. That said I'll give him the nod. Brinson looks to have had a pretty successful season so far, and is already at AAA. Consequently I'd think Phillips might make more sense to give a shot. And then Demuth, Orf, and/or Johnny Davis in some combination as older guys with some positional flexibility they would make some sense as the non-priority players who get shuffled around. That would leave 1 or 2 spots for pitchers which sounds right I'm just not sure who would be a good choice.
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Scooter Gennett's trade value
igor67 replied to Harry Doyles JD's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I'm optimistic in the sense that everything about Stearns up to this point suggests that if there is an opportunity he'll pull the trigger. A cheap guy who can do everything ok absolutely has value. Now normally most teams probably have their own guy they'd just as soon plug-in and give a chance. But the right injury and if your not picky about the return you can turn him back into an interesting player. So I'd say it is more a matter of whether or not the situation materializes. -
Hendrickson is probably not the best example of a results oriented prospect he did have an outstanding curve ball, so there were some tools there.
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Wow indeed even with Fiers having done well it would seem like it might be hard to get past that trade if your an Astros fan.
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I think the modestly large chunk of Stearns players is mostly due to the shiny new toy effect. There are a lot of guys who dropped off below 25 that could push themselves back-up.
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Might I suggest MMA? I think people would pay to watch that.
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Actually I believe the point of my post was to demonstrate that the idea that every team generates major league players is not strictly true. Certainly over that 3 year period I looked at the Brewers produced a few, but an average of 1 per year regardless of how good they were is really bad. In fact I will make an argument that the lack of prospect depth was the root cause of not getting more oomph out of the Fielder-Braun years. While we definitely had a nice little run where we drafted a bunch of impact players back-to back, the roster has 25-men and the lack of solid contributors to have in place, before and during those years held the team back. Imagine the potential snowball effect of just 1 Jimmy Nelson caliber starting pitcher in the early 2000's, with another developing every 4 years. Not aces by any stretch of the imagination, but a cheap guy you can plug in and avoid the Suppan-Wolf-Garza contracts... Or take this a different path and more back on track. The comment about not being able to compare results to lists is off the mark of the original point, which was quite simply that the prior noise would have a person believe that those years were going to be barren wastelands. When much the opposite we can see that even before Melvin started trading guys he left way more in the cupboard at the minor league level then Bando left Taylor. Of course Taylor didn't do himself any favors by doing a terrible job of flipping some pretty good major league talent for random bits and pieces.
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Prince Fielder's career ends due to medical issues
igor67 replied to MrTPlush's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I don't think anyone is surprised that Prince is going to have shorter career then Braun or most of the other Brewer stars from that era, but I don't think a neck was on the list. I agree that his time here was great and hope they can find a fun way to celebrate that -
A lot of his rating is driven, by the fact that his floor is so high because of the defense. With his hit tool he'd have to regress to not be a quality starter even in a SS rich era. He doesn't have the power to ever be an MVP type SS, but the bat to ball combined with solid pitch recognition does give him an outside shot of turning into a high average high OBP, gap power demon.