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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Guerra was hitting 94 with regularity out of the pen in September. In his start on the next to last regular season game, his 4 seamer by pitch was: 92.8, 92.2, 92.5, 93.3, 93.4, 92.8, 93.2, 93.2, 91.9, 92.9, 92.3, 91.6, 92.4, 92.9, 92.1, 91.0, 91.3, 91.0, 91.0, 92.1, 92.1, 92.5, 92.5, 92.5, 92.2, 93.7, 93.1, 93.4, 93.6. I'm in the camp that Guerra is poised to rebound and might be the better in the short term than most of the high priced FA.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    I like Cashner for the value. If he fails miserably, they can eat most of a 2 year, $20 million deal. If he's okay, he'll have trade value if room is needed for an emerging young arm or when Nelson comes back. I'm still not ready to give up on Guerra either. His return to 2016 form would be like finding a FA for next to nothing.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Hopefully Las Vegas will set their over/under total based on this projection so I can cash another ticket around Labor Day.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    Am I the only one who thinks the Brewers have the ideal bounce back starter already on their roster? Everyone seems to dismiss Junior Guerra. His hamstring injury on opening day set him back the entire year. But he performed well in his minor league stint starting, and when he returned to pitch out of the pen as sort of the forgotten guy, his velocity was back. Who knows if Counsell had left him in on the next to last game what would have happened? There was only one ball hit hard off him in that fateful 3rd inning.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    The benefit of opt-outs from the Brewer perspective is that in theory, if a guy has an opt-out, he has the incentive to perform well immediately instead of just being happy with the big money. Personally, I wouldn't give Arrieta a deal that averages more than $23 million per year. He's simply not a $25 million guy. Seems like a small difference but you have to draw the line somewhere. Make the first couple years $25 million, then $22 and $20 over the next two with an $18 million option and give him an opt out after 2. If he pitches like an ace in 18 and 19, he'll look for more elsewhere. That would be fine with me.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Della Reese performed in pregame festivities prior to Oakland A's vs. White Sox game at,County Stadium in 1968. Her rendition of "On a Clear Day" under cloudless skies seemed so perfect at a time when we were all so hopeful that baseball would be back. Been a fan ever since. RIP Ms. Reese!
  7. JohnBriggs12
    Verlander is signed through his age 36 season at $28 million per year. From age 32 through 36 he'll earn a total of $140 million. My guess is the Brewer interest in Arrieta is partially based on the thought he's a lot closer to Verlander than Matt Garza. Arrieta had flashes of greatness in 2017, but there were many times to me at least, he looked very hittable. If they do sign him, it'll probably be for around 5 years at $23 million per year with a 6th year option. If he does well enough, the Brewers could be in position to recoup some of that money if they deal him in say 3 years. Still a ton of risk is involved.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    Financially front loading is a poor choice for quite a few reasons...simply put. Really? Do you think the Cubs regret their "over the top" free agent signings (Lester/Zobrist/Heyward) being much cheaper now as they are on the decline? Absolutely the Cubs regret the contract they gave to Heyward who hasn't come close to living up to it from day 1. Being stuck with it is a big reason the Cubs aren't going harder after keeping Arrieta. Yes, they have deep pockets, but they are spending a lot upgrading the park and have monster deals down the road in not too distant future to do just to keep Bryant and Rizzo much less their entire core. Cubs do have a budget, albeit one that likely double the Brewers.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    Whether it's Stanton or not, we should assume the Cardinals will land a big bat and the Cubs will add a starter or two.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    I was at the game and had a good view of the entire field. I couldn't count the number of times Cobb was running free in the Raven secondary and Hundley never looked his way. He locked in on Adams all day long and Adams had a good day, but if he wasn't open, Hundley panicked. Hundley throws a nice ball and is athletic enough to avoid a rush but his instincts of when to run and when to throw it away just are lacking and he just doesn't see the field well enough to succeed. The defense played hard all day. Flacco's completed a lot of passes that were short of the markers on third down. That's how you defend him. Packer special teams were outplayed badly too. Crosby's one kickoff was fielded around the 15 and almost taken to the house. That set the tone for the 2nd half.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    NO thanks! Trading Harrison in any package that does not get us an ACE is a silly proposition imo...I am not on the Archer or Cobb train, they just aren't going to be difference makers, in that they can get us over the hump to a playoff appearance. Trading away our future for either guy is just not smart. Not sure if your serious - Our Future OF is stacked and Monte is still #5 on the OF list. Archer is a #2 guy I don't think that package gets it done either though that's a fair offer. Archer's a solid #3 in my book, but Rays want return worthy of a second tier #1. He's nowhere near that good. His poor W/L record can be discounted but not totally ignored, but his ERA has been over 4 the last two years.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    Archer is the definition of overrated. He's not a number 1 starter. He lacks the stamina of a top flight starter which is why he's 8 games under .500 for his career. The Rays keep waiting and wanting him to be that guy who gives them 7 quality innings, and they leave him in games which he ultimately loses. His 7th inning ERA last year was 10.03 and that wasn't all the pen as the OPS against was a whopping 1.146 in the 7th. He'd be great on a team with a very deep bullpen, but the Rays want ace value back for him. No thanks.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    He can't hit.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    Dubon? Really? He had a .513 OPS on the road at AAA. If they did deal Arcia, which in my opinion would be a huge mistake, Perez/Sogard would be sharing SS. Dubon's ceiling is as a utility infielder.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    I can't imagine they are going to "clean house" unless Thompson retires, and even then that's an iffy proposition. Best case scenario is Dom Capers retires/is fired. Vic Fangio, the current Bears DC, who was previously with the 49ers, is in the final year of his contract. He's a 3-4 guy and highly respected in the league. Packers could do a lot worse than hire him away from Chicago. He's not a kid at 59, but that's considerably younger than Capers.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    Wisconsin's got the help they needed. Odds were that would happen so I was never too worried about that. Now the hard part will be winning out. Getting through the regular season undefeated would be a tremendous achievement. Beating Ohio State in Big Ten championship game and getting to the playoffs would be fantastic.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Instead of bringing back Lucroy, I'd look long and hard at Alex Aliva for a platoon with Pina. Been a high OBP guy his entire career, bats LH, has some pop and is solid defensively.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    Pitch framing is more dependent on the type of pitches thrown than what the catcher does. If you have a staff with a lot of pitchers throwing high 80's, low 90's cutters and consistent sinkers, a catcher will get more credit than with a staff full of hard throwers with a ton of movement. Lucroy hasn't lost his ability to catch. Lucroy has been a premier catcher because of his bat, arm, and ability to block pitches, not because of pitch framing. His bat has slipped some, but he still blocks balls and throws well. Pina looks solid but he burst on to the seen as a 30 year old, so he's not a long term answer either. I wouldn't consider catcher to be a huge need, but I'd like to see a LH catcher to go along with Pina. Vogt has the bat but will his arm ever come back to serviceable?
  19. JohnBriggs12
    Is Hammel any better than say Mike Fiers who'll likely be non-tendered by the Astros? Fiers could likely be had for a third of the cost of Hammel on contract that's not fully guaranteed. Bringing in a bounce back candidate or two is not a bad idea, but wait and see who's out there after the big money is spent.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    You have to really be nitpicking to criticize his performance today. He was solid, protected the ball (2nd straight game with no inteceptions), and made big plays in the 4th quarter with the game on the line. With the team rushing for 160 yards, dare I say his performance was very "Zak Prescott" like. Over his last two games he's completed close to 70% of his passes. It's amazing how so many football experts took his lackluster performance in his first couple of games playing meaningful time and concluded he wasn't a capable NFL quarterback. You don't draw conclusions about a player in baseball over 1/8th of a season nor should you in the NFL. He's not Aaron Rodgers. That doesn't mean he can't help his team win. He's settling in and getting comfortable in his role. He'll continue to fine tune. With 3 of the next 4 games very, very winnable, it's possible the Packers could go into their last 3 games with an 8-5 record and a playoff spot within reach. Then we'll see if Rodgers can return or Hundley can lead them to a playoff berth.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    Chris Sale's first 79 major league appearances were out of the pen, and like Hader, he was highly effective in that role. He seamlessly transitioned to a starter in 2012, and posted strong numbers: 3.05 ERA in 29 starts with 192 K's in 192 IP. The rest is history. Hader's delivery and stuff have been compared more to Sale than anyone else. He's a great weapon in the pen, but I'd rather have 180 innings than 70 from him. As has been stated, generally acquiring relievers is a little more cost effective than top of the rotation starters. Besides, I think his arm will hold up longer as a starter than being used frequently out of the pen in high leverage situations where he really has to bring it.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    It was odd that he came back from the bye week injured. I just assumed he was cashing in some unused PTO days before he retired. It will be interesting to see the details as they unfold. It was clear Bennett had no desire to stay on a sinking ship and having him around with that attitude did not sit well so he orchestrated his release. Good riddance. He didn't do anything even when Rodgers was healthy.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Two starts and two losses where the opposing QBs were seasoned vets Brees and Stafford. Now they get Bears and Trubisky, a rookie making his 5th start and the playing field is equalized a bit at the position. If the Packers defense is going to rise up and give them a chance, this has to be the week. Ravens offense the next week isn't very good either. They have to get off the field and set the offense up with some decent field position. It's way too early to give up on Hundley. He's making some progress. One of these weeks he's going to have a break out performance and McCarthy is going to fine tune his game plan to allow his talents to show. Hopefully it's sooner rather than later.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    Maybe if Nelson were healthy keeping Hader in the pen would be a fine idea. But Hader has the chance to be the next Chris Sale, a premier LH starter who first made his mark in the pen on a team and franchise that's almost completely devoid of LH pitching. It's a lot more cost effective to add one or two quality LH relievers than overpay for a FA starter from a crop that's not all that impressive. I think Nelson's injury makes it worth trying Hader in the rotation, especially if the Crew re-signs Swarzak. If Swarzak walks, though, then Hader will be needed in the pen. If Hader does well, awesome. The Crew has options for the rotation (one of Woodruff/Davies could become trade bait). If he struggles, then move him back to the pen. Pry away Brad Hand from the Padres, sign Swarzak, and they'd have one of the top pens in the NL and allow Hader to start instead of overpaying for Arrieta. They can always find a veteran back end rotation guy later on if they need to. Hader initially would be number 3 behind Anderson and Davies but has the potential to be every bit as good as Arrieta this year.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    What will it take to get this guy? I think he's the best fit out there as a trade target. Adding Hand would allow Hader to transition to starter. Like Hader, Hand is more than a loogy. He's a late inning stud. Might have to give up some talented young pitching from the system and maybe a guy like Perez and/or Broxton or maybe even expand the deal to get Solarte too.
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