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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Will be interested to see what they do with Blazek. I'd remove him and see if he clears waivers then offer him a minor league deal.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    Would expect him to start year in Colorado Springs which would make his chances of seeing his first big league time in 2017 at age 28 pretty good should he perform well.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    The return for Guerra won't be equal to his upside for the Brewers. Should he post a full season of 30 starts with an ERA around 3, his trade value would skyrocket or the Brewers could just hold on to him as a tremendous value. Anderson can be moved but it would have to be part of a package. He's a reliable 4-5 starter that most teams probably aren't coveting. Teams still might view Nelson as having untapped upside and make offers for him.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    I'd push Erceg to Carolina and if he hits there, I'd move him to Biloxi for the 2nd half. I certainly wouldn't block him with a guy (Gatewood) who's a year younger. My guess is that they move Gatewood around and at Carolina and let him settle at 3B when and if Erceg gets promoted. Gatewood and Ghelfi could share time at 1B at Carolina.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    Highly unlikely with Arcia filling the SS position... Again, Villar to 2B. Sorry about the error. Didn't realize people would be confused by that. I knew what you meant.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Castro put up a respectable .757 OPS vs. RHP in 2016. Considering the lack of LH punch in Brewer lineup, and the fact that Castro came through Houston's system, actually making the AL All Star team in 2013, anyone think there's value in this guy for the Brewers as bridge to Nottingham or another prospect and platoon partner with either Susac (who has career .950 OPS vs LHP) or Pina? He's still only 29 and shouldn't break the bank thought there's teams out there that would like a LH hitting catcher and Castro was a highly rated prospect at one time.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    10. Jason Heyward is still owed over $162 million 9. They can't pay them all. Rizzo, Bryant, Baez, Russell and Schwarber are all eligible for FA in 2022. 8. Chapman is a rental 7. Arrieta and Lackey are both FA in 2018 6. They won't be drafting in the top 20 anytime soon 5. Jon Lester will be soaking up significant payroll in his age 34 through 36 seasons 4. Arcia will prove to be a superior SS to Russell 3. Maddon is 62 going on 63 and will likely prefer sipping wine in the Napa Valley in a few years over managing a big league club 2. They're the Cubs 1. Heyward is still owed over $162 million (yes a repeat for emphasis)
  8. JohnBriggs12
    Rivera is a fringe major league utility infielder. Those guys are a dime a dozen. They've stated they like Perez' versatility. He's like their insurance policy if someone anywhere goes down. The premise for signing a guy like Valbuena is if Gennett is traded, they'll have one LH bat in their lineup to face RH pitching or be forced to play Nieuwenhuis (if he's still around). Valbuena's no great player, but he's a solid defender at 3B, and can also play 2B and 1B, and he's averaged about 2 WAR per year over the last 4 seasons. Assuming Gennett's gone, he'd be platooned at 3B with Perez, who'd be freed up to fill in other places when Valbuena's playing 3B. Even if he costs, say $7 or $8 million, about $2.5 to $3.0 million would be offset by Gennett's departure. There's zero reason that Valbuena at 31 can't be the same hitter he was at 28 or 29. If he were say 34 or 35, then age might be an issue. It was suggested Cecchini would be a viable option. Really? A guy who posted an anemic .705 OPS at Colorado Springs? I'd be shocked if Cecchini spends another day on a major league roster. I won't do handstands if they signed Valbuena, but he was at Houston when Stearns was there, and FA aren't flocking to Milwaukee these days. Valbuena is a guy that might. He fills a need for some LH punch for a lineup that is in need of it and he won't command a long term commitment.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    I'd be more worried if his injury involved a joint (see Hart). He never had any speed. I wouldn't be too concerned about his lower BA either. Part of that is he's never been able to beat out infield hits plus his first couple years in Chicago, the lineup around him was horrible. I like his slugging over a 3 year period was pretty consistent. For a couple years, he should be near his peak. Not an All Star by any means, but a guy who could be solid LH platoon at 3B with Perez. They'd still need an upgrade over Nieuwenhuis in the 4th OF role, and that might involve some expense as well, but Valbuena should provide close to what Gennett has done from the left side with slightly more HR and a bit lower BA but close to the same OBP.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    Good question. He fits the profile of what the Brewers could use (a LH bat with some pop and decent defense) and can't rule out the Houston connection coming into play. I'd be wary of going over 2 years and $15 million, but certainly he could be fit into the budget for a bit more than that. I can't imagine the Astros extending a QO. Only downside for me was he sort of represented the kind of players the Cubs trotted out there when they were tanking, though he's improved since then.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    Two very different situations with these players. One at the tail end of his career and the other would be trying to get one actually starting in the MLB. It would be nice to get Asche because of his age and he does provide a little left handedness to our team but he hasn't done much in his playing time so far. Hill might be the safer of the two for next season but is that really what next season is about? I lean towards giving Asche an opportunity even though he rarely played 3B as of late. Ideally, you try to get Asche on a minor league deal and see if he can win a spot, and also take the proven vet Hill if indeed Gennett is traded. Neither would preclude Perez ending up as the everyday 3B but it would give them options.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    Thanks missed that. Nice thing about offseason is there's more time to study the system.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    I understand your overall point, but Gomez was quite the heralded prospect back in 2007-2008. The flipside being, if anyone dismisses those rankings out of hand because they don't agree, is a fool. The people who put together those rankings are smart folks. They're smart but there is very little separation between the guys ranked 50-100 and the next 50. They also tend to over-rank the guys who flash big power early on as pros and often times those guys end up being more vulnerable to advanced pitching than guys who make contact and develop power as they mature.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    Nothing wrong with bringing Aaron Hill back for $1-2 million. He didn't hit in Boston but it was a small sample and his BABIP was just .236 there. He showed with regular playing time he could be productive. If the Phillies non-tender Cody Asche, I'd take a flyer on him as buy low guy.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    Anybody seen a scouting report on this guy? His first 54 pro innings stats are eye popping. Could he bypass Midwest League?
  16. JohnBriggs12
    He went from bashing NAIA pitchers to bashing pros. The Pioneer League is mostly recently drafted college arms. It wasn't like he smacked around a bunch of 30 something round guys just out of high school.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Erceg just might be good enough to rise quickly through the minors and be in Milwaukee in 2019. He'll likely start 2017 in High A and could end up in Biloxi by end of 2017. If it's Perez or a combination of Villar and Perez at 3B, they should be able to cover the position adequately the next couple seasons. An infield of Erceg, Arcia, Diaz and as yet to be named 1B, is something to look forward to.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    I'd prefer Grandal over Puig in any deal with LA. A rationale for dealing Braun ostensibly is to make room for an OF of Brinson, Broxton and Santana in the short term and Ray, Clark and Brinson in the long term. Grandal is only controllable through 2018, but they could explore an extension or deal him next offseason and he gives them a much need power boost from the left side in the short term. So Grandal, Bellinger, and McCarthy and a low level arm for Braun and Maldonado might work for me.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    Nieuwehuis has zero value. He'll likely be non-tendered if they can acquire an upgraded LH OF bat to fill his role and there will be guys available. Boyer is a FA and will be gone. Maldanado's value is as a backup, so would bring next to nothing on his own. I really think they believe Peralta can return to his 2014 form and he's not going anywhere. Garza needs to be unloaded regardless of return just to clear a spot in the rotation. Even if they have to take on a similar bad contract of a position player, that's what they should do. I get the assumption that Gennett will be traded, but I wouldn't expect a huge return, so I still see scenario where Gennett essentially platoons with Perez and Villar plays 3B against RHP. Scooter did not have a bad year by any stretch and he'll still be relatively cheap.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    In theory if the haul for Thornburg was significant enough, you have to consider it, but that would probably force them to sign a couple former closer types who are looking for opportunity to rebound after down seasons. Of the young arms around, Barnes might have the most promise as a closer. Even on teams not serious about contending in a given season, having lead after lead blown late dampens the clubhouse significantly. The number one reason the 2012 Brewers did not return to the playoffs was not so much that Fielder was gone (the Brewers led the NL in runs scored that year), but that the late inning relief collapsed historically. The 2016 Brewer team for it's flaws, closed out games and that made all (fans included) feel better about this team.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    It's one that still gnaws at me. In 2014, Marco Estrada was on his way to setting the all time record for HR allowed in a season, when he was removed from the rotation to make room for Jimmy Nelson who at the time was dominating at AAA. Now after a few promising starts, Nelson struggled to a 2-9 record with an ERA just under 5, and the team collapsed in the final 5 weeks scuttling a division lead and a playoff appearance. Estrada, meanwhile, was shuffled to the pen where he eventually righted himself to the point where he didn't allow a run in 16 1/3 innings in the final month. Still, nobody batted an eye including me when Estrada was shipped off to Toronto for Adam Lind to solve the Brewer 1B problem that many saw as a prime reason for the 2014 collapse. Now while Lind performed to expectations, the team and particularly two veteran starters making substantial salaries failed miserably, leading to the ouster of the manager, and the decision to essentially dismantle the roster that just a year before was 19 games over .500 and 6 1/2 games in front in the division as late as June 28th. Lind's time on a Brewer team that was actually trying (albeit with little success) to compete, amounted to about 5 weeks and he was dealt after the season for 3 teenage arms that didn't have a full season between them under their belts. Estrada meanwhile went on to a stellar season in 2015 and another solid one in 2016 and is now poised to start the first game of the ALCS. One wonders if they'd have dealt Lohse for Lind instead where this franchise would be and where in fact would be the Blue Jays.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    I don't think anyone is ransoming the franchise to get a guy like Gillespie. He's not even a top 100 ranked player. But he is a guy who may be blocked (he may not be either, but that's a different story), so it behooves the Brewers to take a look at a guy like him. They did well with blocked players last year - Villar and Broxton, specifically. Gillaspie was the 20th overall pick just 2 seasons ago. His ceiling might not be through the roof but he possess the kind of bat the Brewers could use and he's not likely the type who'd be a bust either. He doesn't project as a 30+ HR guy but he'll likely hit 20-25, not strike out a ton, and get on at a decent clip. I'm guessing after his AAA success in 2016, he'll crack some top 100 lists even though many guys on those lists are boom or bust types. An even higher ceiling 1B in the Rays system might be Jake Bauers who posted an impressive .789 OPS in AA as a 20 year old. He was acquired by the Rays in the deal that sent Wil Myers to the Padres. Point is that Rays have pieces that would seem attractive to the Brewers.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Where did I suggest who to trade to get Gillaspie or that a 23 year old 1B with under 300 AAA at bats is competing now? Rays have announced they aren't rebuilding. They have areas of need on the major league team that they will address. Tampa Bay might have interest in Carter as a DH if they can even out the money somewhat with another player. One way might be to package Carter and Gennett for Gillaspie and Forsythe who's scheduled for a big raise next year. Rays have bullpen needs as well. Torres is a guy that might interest them along with a mid level prospect at a position the Brewers are deeper in than 1B.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    Despite a last place finish, the Rays are not going to tear down their roster and rebuild. They are likely to move Brad Miller from SS to 1B permanently as they will lose Logan Morrison to FA. That would leave switch hitting 1B prospect Casey Gillaspie blocked in AAA. Gillaspie would be a nice fit for the Brewers.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Lots of pressure on the Cubs if they don't rally in the 9th. Giants playing with house money.
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