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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    First off, I hope you're joking. Second of all, playing for the Cubs is going to skew those numbers somehow. Visiting teams aren't used to playing multiple day games in a series. His Cubs career wasn't that long and why would I be joking? I recall one dominant start he had as a Cub against the Brewers and that was in Miller Park during the day. Back in his heyday, the Dodgers used to give Warren Spahn fits, so often times the Braves moved Spahn around so he would miss the Dodgers. Spahn averaged 107 career starts against the other 6 pre-expansion franchises, but started only 77 times in his career against the Dodgers, far fewer than any other team. I'll admit it's "outside the box" thinking, but the game could use some of that. Of course it's impossible to maneuver his starts to just be during the day, but you can do a little here and there with off days to switch around your rotation to maximize his strength as a daylight pitcher.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    In thinking about Garza pitching today, I thought it seemed like his best games are always in the day, so I looked up his splits and they are stunning. For his career, Garza is nearly a run better in day starts: 3.34 ERA vs. 4.28 at night. It's even more pronounced this year: 3.98 during the day vs. 6.21 at night. One year might be an anomaly but his career includes a lot of starts. May just be his concentration and focus is better during the day. Might be a good idea when possible to get him as many afternoon starts as possible.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Garza is a different pitcher in day games. He owns a career 3.34 ERA in day games compared to 4.28 at night. This year it's even more pronounced. His day game ERA is 3.98 vs. 6.21 for night games.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    1. Braun's defense is bad. UZR has him -7.2/150 in RF. at It is what makes him an average to above average RFer. His bat is above average but his defense drags it all down. He's 11th in fWAR with 1.9 wins. The maligned Van Slyke has a WAR of 1.6 is about half the playing time. Ethier has 1.9 in fewer PAs as he's basically being platooned. 2. I get the Harper comparison to a degree. But it is important to stress that Bryant is older than Harper. And Harper's 2012 rookie season may still end up being a better season that Bryant's 2015 as Bryant's BABIP comes down to a sustainable level. I've never seen a guy with the athletic ability of Braun give up on so many balls hit over his head that seem catchable. I guess he's trying to preserve himself which isn't a bad thing but it's more noticeable this year that he never goes near the wall on anything but very, very high fly balls. Ironically Upton did it last night on a ball Braun hit off the base of the wall.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    If you are going to deal Lind, the returns should be major league talent in return, not A ball talent. Brewers have two starters on the cusp of stardom and a talented crop of young players on the cusp of the majors. This needs to be a quick rebuild or they'll end up wasting prime years of studs like Nelson and Jungmann and we all know those guys don't come around all that often for this franchise.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    I just don't see him as any more than a 4th or 5th OF. I'll give him this, he knows how to play the game and has learned how to maximize his somewhat limited ability, but anyone who's played 850 minor league games with over 3,500 plate appearances should know how to play the game.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    You hold on to Lucroy for now. There should be ample assets at their disposal and some cash to spend to acquire his replacement after next season or into 2017. Having a premier catcher is kind of a luxury and not something you can usually trade for. Nonetheless, you can usually find a serviceable starting caliber catcher without too much difficulty. You might have to pick up some excess salary though like the Cubs did for Montero. They thought they were buying low too but Godley looking like a steal. Continue trying to develop and or draft there too. You might just hit on one.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    If he's anything like another lanky lefty in Brewer lore, Bill Travers, that would be fine with me. Travers gets overlooked but his 1976 season was one of the finest in club history. Imagine a rather frail looking 23 year old throwing 15 complete games and logging 240 innings? Of course it probably was the reason he was never the same after that enduring shoulder problems the very next year.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    I'm sure when the winter meetings take place that it will be common knowledge that Davis and Segura are available but they won't be given away. The real question would any deals for Segura or Davis would what would the Brewers be looking for in return? More high level minor league talent, a controllable major league player or low level high upside guy? I could see a Davis/Lind combo to SF for Brandon Belt and Gregor Blanco. Blanco's ideal one year stopgap CF. Belt's controllable for two years. Giants replace Belt's production with Lind and get Davis for multiple years. Brewers move Braun back to LF and start next year with Santana in RF, Blanco in CF, and Braun in LF, with Belt at 1B, Reed and Peterson as 4th and 5th outfielders and Rogers as platoon partner for Belt. On occasion you could play Braun at 1B and Reed in LF vs. LHP to start the inevitable transition.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    For top of the line prospects, like Arcia and Phillips, service time is huge. Otherwise it's not. I think casey's point is Santana and Reed are nice prospects but not cornerstone franchise guys. The likelihood they become lineup fixtures for 6 seasons is remote.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    Fielder and Braun were top 10 picks. Trades generally go only so far. The real studs are drafted usually very high. Clark could end up being that middle of the order bat and next year they figure to draft in the top 5. There could be a Yo in the system now. Certainly Nelson can still go on to a Yo-like career.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    There's one guy who was in the Brewer system at that time that wasn't in that top 50 who's still in the major leagues (currently on the DL). Any guesses? If you said Carlos Corporan, you are correct. I remember trying to make a case for his inclusion at some point, and he may have made it but just barely at some point.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    Still wouldn't be a bad pickup for 2016. Yes they are rebuilding, but that doesn't mean you can't have a relatively inexpensive proven major leaguer on your roster capable of filling in several spots or bailing out a lesser prospect like Perez that proves to be in over his head. Counsell himself did that in 2004 while they waited on JJ Hardy and eased in Bill Hall. They have a couple guys in Perez and perhaps Dominguez they might want to look at, but neither fall into top prospect 3B of the future category. Hector Gomez and Herrera are guys who can be carried when the everyday lineup is pretty well set and they don't have to play a lot. In a rebuilding situation, the last thing you need are 30 year old career minor leaguers getting frequent starts.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers obviously are rebuilding but at the same time they are trying to prevent attendance from slipping over multiple years. The talent they acquired along with many of their better prospects are all within one to two year of the major leagues. They are okay with not contending in 2016 and perhaps 2017, but I don't think they are okay with chasing fans away either. What creates some excitement without winning? Starting to see young talented players joining the roster. I think we'll see some in 2016 and nearly all of the top guys at AA and above by 2017 with the prospects currently in the lower levels more likely to be used for trades down the road to flesh out the roster for 2018 when they hope to back competing. They could try and extend Lucroy (his cost is trending down) or they could deal for a catcher for 2018 using their farm system. They are short in some positions in the minors, with catching the most notable.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    If Ethier weren't already a 5 and 10 guy and able to nix it, a swap of Braun for Ethier would make some sense. Braun's still better and slightly younger but the gap in performance is narrowing and Ethier's deal is shorter.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    Alex Rios in 2009. As I recall, the Blue Jays put Rios and his long hefty contract on revocable waivers and White Sox claimed him so rather than withdrawing the waivers and working out a deal, the Jays just said, fine, he's yours and the White Sox took him and his contract. He had decent years with the Sox with one clunker in there in 2011.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Garza's also 5 years younger than Lohse. It's one thing have an off year at age 31. Guys can bounce back from that. It's another when it comes at age 36. The consensus is going to be that Lohse is done. Garza's not been good but he's not been Edwin Jackson 2014 bad either (6-15, 6.33 ERA). Jackson was at similar point in his very similar contract last year. Cubs moved him to the pen this year because they couldn't live with his production and contend. He wasn't bad in a low leverage role but they just dumped him and about $20 million left on his deal because they were never gone to give him a shot to build any trade value and risk losing. Where the Brewers are now, they have nothing to lose by keep running him out there every 5 days.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    From a marketing or competitive standpoint, they can't have a roster full of minor league vets like Schafer, Peterson, Herrera, or Hector Gomez around with no track record of success in the major leagues. Maybe Peterson as a bench bat but those other guys need to go. Lind's value is he's the only legit LH power bat. Unless as I suggest, they invest in a couple lefty vet hitters, for full time duty in CF and at least part time duty in LF or 3B, the lineup would be too RH and yes they aren't likely to become contenders but they should still try and field a team capable of competing and having some entertainment value. Santana may be the most major league ready, but there will need to be maneuvers to get him in the every day lineup. It's just hard seeing Rogers as full time 1B, and Gennett as the lone LH bat in a lineup. I'm of the belief that staying too long in the minors can stunt a player's growth. So if by June, Arcia's done all he can do at that level then just bring him up. It would give a lot us a reason to show up, and it would help Arcia's development. The idea that you can wait until all these guys are ready to win is rather foolish. Just because they can compete at the major league level doesn't mean they are good enough to win. Why not adjust to major league pitching when nothing is expected team-wise? The biggest stud for the Cubs isn't Bryant, it's Anthony Rizzo, and he endured the worst of it in Chicago.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    I will go out on a limb and say Brewers will sign Jon Jay and David Murphy as FA on short term (1-2 year) deals. Shane Peterson has to show me he deserves the Parra role for 2016, as soft platoon with Davis. I'm not convinced. Jay is the perfect buy low stopgap guy to play CF and lesser free agents tend to stay in division so I think Brewers have a decent shot at him. Murphy is an older poor man's version of Parra. Bolstering the offense from the left side without spending a lot and not impeding any young players should be the goal this winter. If they can add two legit major league lefty bats, then they can deal Lind and move Braun to 1B opening up RF to Santana.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    Which future? A year from now, 3 years from now or 6 years from now? My guesses: 2016: Lind/Rogers 2018: Braun 2021: Some college kid Maybe they can deal Braun to the Cubs for Dan Vogelbach. If Santana takes over in RF, and Braun moves to 1B, they are very light on LH bats.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    I'd give Thornburg August to show what he has. If he doesn't perform bring up Cravy and Davies to make some September starts. Maybe Burgos too if you want to limit service time for guys.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    You don't deal Garza when he's sitting with an ERA over 5. Wait and hope he starts next year with an ERA in line with his career numbers. He'd be much more valuable in the midst of something other than a career-worst season, and with less remaining on his contract. This is where you need a manager that knows how to keep a starter's ERA in line. You don't let him get so far into games where he's blowing up his numbers as Counsell did back in May when Garza was left in to surrender 10 earned runs. Garza gave up 5 or more earned runs in 5 of his starts. Give him a shorter leash and you can cosmetically hold his ERA to around 4.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    If the Yankees could get back Cano for Sabathia and Drew, they aren't going to need Brewers in deal and there's numerous better pitching options they could go after than Lohse. If they want Lohse, they can just wait for him to be released. Lohse has negative trade value. His release is long overdue.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    Strangely, he was getting shelled in AAA in 2013 too, then put up a 2.03 ERA in Milwaukee. Nothing to lose giving him another shot at this point. Decisions on the 40 man await after the season. Have to see if Thornburg deserves a spot or not. I think he's better as a starter. Not to say he'd be in next years rotation even if he pitches well over 7 or 8 starts, but he'd have some value if he did pitch well.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Great idea, but why would Zimmermann want to come to a team with such a punch-less lineup? Zimmermann or no, the Brewers figure to have a very talented, young, inexpensive rotation, but a lineup of AAAA and AAA players, walking dead (waiting to be replaced by the hot prospects) and a few disgruntled veterans on long term deals who will hate losing. Melvin's strengthened the farm system and presumably there are bats on the way, but for the near term, the lineup is awful around a very promising rotation, and he has plenty of money to spend if he chooses. But the FA market is rich and deep in starting pitching and sorely lacking in position players. In line with the Cubs comparison that's so popular, is there a "Cashner for Rizzo" deal out there using one of the young starters? Probably not. Pitching is going to be readily available, so nobody is going to want to give up top talent to get it.
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