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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    The title of this thread "If we are Buyers". Rogers is still a guy with talent but questions. You think if the Brewer thought Rogers were capable of a 2.20 ERA pitching in a set up role, he'd be starting now at Nashville with the Brewer bullpen woes? It's possible but not something you'd try in the heat of a race (the premise for this thread) given Rogers career long control issues. Belisle is capable of stepping into a late inning role right now in pennant race and addressing a pressing need for now and also one that needs to be addressed prior to next season. A month ago Rogers was barely holding on to a 40 man spot. He's gained some value with some good starts. Belisle isn't a bad return at this point for Rogers. Maybe it's time to take advantage before he has a couple clunkers at Nashville. Farris has speed and has played OF, which in Colorado with a big outfield and a hole at 2B might be of some perceived utility value which should be enough for Scutaro, who as you point out hasn't produced much. Colorado also would get some salary relief. But I just threw Farris name out there. Maybe make it Green and Rogers and get Colorado to add another prospect to even it out.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    Rockies actually have 2 guys the Brewers could use, Scutaro and Matt Belisle. It might take a little more than the Brewers are willing to pay to get both as Belisle is signed (decent value) through next year. Colorado's starting pitching is a real mess. It might take a Rogers and say Farris. With Peralta, Nelson, Burgos all at AA or higher and Thornburg, Estrada, and Fiers all cheap starting options, maybe solidifying the pen the rest of this year and next with Belisle might be worth a Rogers who's value goes up and down and now may be up. Toronto's close enough in the AL wild card, that I doubt they'd deal Escobar until after the season.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers are only 4 games back of the Dodgers right now so unless that gap widens between now and the end of July, I don't see them dealing Ramirez to LA.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    You are not looking at it the right way. The issue has never been the number of games back, but the number of teams ahead of them. 6-7 games to make up on 1 team over 70 games isn't that daunting. St. Louis made up a lot more than that in a month last year. Since the break, in a week by just going 4-2, they've gained 3 games on the Cardinals, 4 games on the Mets, 2 on the Dodgers, and 2 on Arizona and 1 on Miami, the latter two who they are now tied with. They haven't lost ground to anyone. Now they are within just 4 of every team between them and the current WC teams. That isn't insurmountable. If they were to "just" win 2 of 3 from the Reds, they'll even be in better shape relative to the field competing for the WC spots. The Brewers still have 9 games left with the Astros (6 of which are at home), and 7 with the Cubs. Now the Cubs have played well lately, but won't be the same team if they unload Dempster, and/or Garza and some key vets off their bench. As to the Reds, not only will Votto miss this series, he'll likely miss the series in Milwaukee Aug 6-8 too. That has to be factored in as well.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    How is the situation muddy? They are 5 1/2 back of the 2nd wild card now. They are right on the heels of 3 of the teams ahead of them in that race. Winning this series puts them likely within 6 games of either wild card spot. Sunday is July 22. There's still 9 games after that before the deadline. No way do the wave the white flag if they win this series nor should they.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    This makes me think there's actually a chance of it happening. Will Carroll is a very credible source. Before now, I really didn't believe there was any chance. Was this on Bill Michaels or Chuck and Wickett? I'll have to listen to it later. I've heard the same thing from Phil Rodgers on Chicago radio. The Narron connection is huge but so is Attanasio's commitment to winning. The thought that they'd be left short of pitching has been eased considerably by the performance of Estrada and Fiers. They'll either get another pitcher back by dealing Greinke or use some of the money saved on him for a less expensive FA option. Narveson, Thornburg, Peralta, Burgos, Rodgers, give them a lot of other candidates. There's enough coming off the books with Wolf, K-Rod, and Marcum.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    Just last year he hit .290/.369/.413. He twice topped .800 in OPS eariler. That's his ceiling and for a SS, that's pretty high. He's not all that much unlike Weeks, only with a much more team friendly contract and at a position of greater need.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    Most teams could handle the $2.67 million that would be left on his deal, but I doubt they'd give more than a low to mid level prospect back. Still that's money saved.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    You are right. Not only is the team that would get Greinke not be getting the picks along with him but there's enough arms available that the buying team can be choosy if Melvin demands too much. I'd be thrilled if all they got from Texas was a young controllable starting pitcher that would replace Greinke in the rotation. Holland for Greinke would be fine by me. Brewers could use a lefty in the mix for next year.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    Carlos is back in the starting rotation for Jays and has posted back to back outings where he hasn't allowed a run. He's a FA to be this year and will be 29 in November. It will be interesting to see what he gets in FA assuming the Jays don't sign him. Will he be paid as a veteran middle reliever or as a guy with starter potential? I'm still aggravated the Brewers let him go for nothing a couple years ago. Would they be tempted to try and bring him back as they have needs in both areas?
  11. JohnBriggs12
    The Jays have Cuban Adeiny Hechavariria tearing up AAA: .318/.366/.449, so I can see them shopping Escobar. My guess is they think they can take advantage of the dearth of SS and really get a haul even with Escobar having an off year.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    Well put Monty. I'd assume other teams are asking the same question. This has to lower his value in the FA and trade market. Can anyone imagine Sabathia needing a what amounts to a mental break? Now it all could be a negotiating ploy by the Brewers to lower his free market value, but when has Melvin ever been accused of that type of cunning?
  13. JohnBriggs12
    I'd throw Burgos into the mix as well though it might be next July before we see him. We've seen from the results Fiers is having that you can't completely toss out great results in the minors as a predictor of success, and nobody is getting better results this year than Hiram.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    I'm not sure Kottaras has much trade value, but you trade him for what you can get. He's not done enough offensively since April to justify keeping as an extra bat (.192/.387/.245, 0 HR, 3 RBI in 57 AB, 75 PA). At some point you bring back Green and DFA Izturis, and bring up Schafer and trade or DFA Morgan, but neither has anything to do with the catching situation. Maldonado has to play enough while he's hot to make other teams take notice and covet him as a starter. That makes him very, very valuable down the road.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    That offer is more than fair based on his production. $20 million per year? That's very generous and I'm guessing is well above what level the Brewers were thinking prior to Cain's deal. I don't see teams lining up to give him more than that. The big spenders all have reservations about him pitching in a big market. The last 3 seasons, Cain's been the better, more consistent pitcher. Greinke shouldn't expect a payday equal to or better than Cain.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    Come on Ax, end this.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Who'd have thunk it. Biggest hit of the year so far belongs to Cody Ransom.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    It all depends on what they plan on doing with the money they save. I don't have a problem with them moving guys who are under-performing big contracts (Weeks) or who aren't likely to produce at levels in the future that match their deals (Ramirez), if they plan on using that money on something of real value. With Braun in his prime and Lucroy just about entering his, I can't see Attanasio agreeing to a complete rebuild. I have a suspicion they'll spend some money this offseason.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    I tend to agree with igor67. Brewers have the money to sign Greinke, it's coming to an agreement on his value. If he leaves and signs elsewhere, they'll look at other FA. Would dumping Ramirez' salary be enough to get in bidding for Josh Hamilton? Probably only if they also dumped Weeks'. Then you'd have to hope that with a Green at 3B and a fill in until Gennett is ready at 2B, it would be enough to fill in around a Braun/Hamilton/Lucroy/Hart middle of the order. It just might be.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    I think 6-3 or better is what's needed over the next 9. I'll even go further. I think they must go 10-5 out of the break. If that happens, instead of selling, they'll be buying. The 28 games that follow that include 7 with the Cubs who could be minus both Dempster and Garza, 4 with the Phillies likely without Hamels, 6 with the lowly Astros, and 3 with the lowly Rockies, albeit in Denver. If they can go into that 28 game stretch .500, they are in decent shape. They've been a very good team in August over the years.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    It's another band aid and typical of baseball that has refused for 30 years to address the real problem. Wake me up when there is a salary cap and local tv and radio revenues are shared.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    We know Estrada can relieve if they want to flip flop at some point. My only issue is that if they wait too long, Thornburg will need to start over and need to be stretched out again. Another bad start by Wolf, and he could be either be banished to the pen or released. Glad to see them making moves. I wonder if Burgos is going to get bumped up to Nashville in light of this move?
  23. JohnBriggs12
    The Brewers have most likely given him their top offer by this point. If he hasn't already signed, then he will be testing the market. Also, I don't really think a solid fan base and comfortable stadium have much to do with remaining competitive. The Rays have done alright with terrible fans and a terrible stadium. The Marlins too. And the Pirates have had both solid fans and a great stadium but are just starting to get good now after 20 years of awfulness/mediocrity. It's not out of the question for an "out of the box" thinker like Greinke to be perfectly happy with the last offer the Brewers made, but he's waiting to sign knowing if the Brewers drop out of contention all together, that they can rent him out for 2 months, and he can return in the winter to a team that's added needed talent.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    I agree on Segura, but Coward and Cron are a few years away. Richards would be a nice get, but the Angels aren't overloading with starting pitching in their system so I doubt they'd include him with Segura. I think along with Segura, Brewers should be asking for young major league bullpen arms and the Angels have 2 that I'd like, David Carpenter or Jordan Walden. Brewers are woefully short of arms to stock their pen over the next couple years. So Segura and either Carpenter or Walden makes sense to me. If they want to throw in Jerome Williams maybe the Brewers could add a piece.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    I know the Brewer MO is to favor veterans, but in this case in particular, it's very shortsighted. They need a SS beyond this year. We all agree on that. Doesn't it make sense to evaluate a guy like Bianchi over 250 major league AB's? If he performs well, maybe the need isn't as critical and resources could go elsewhere. If not, nothing's lost.
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