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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Yeah, cut em both at the same time.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    Barney? One, he plays 2B and two, he's the 2nd to last guy the Cubs would deal.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Yuni is capable of 70 games of .270/.300/.380. He hit .260/.295/.421 in the 2nd half last year. They could do worse. Don't judge him entirely on what you've seen so far. Remember too, he's now had a half season in a new league, and he should benefit from having seen guys the 2nd and 3rd time around. Betancourt hit .314/.321/.431 in interleague play and did a number on the Twins staff that he was very familiar with.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    Exactly. The gap between AAA and the majors has never been wider. That's not so say Green hasn't earned a shot, but bringing up a guy to start in the middle of a pennant race is a lot to ask and is risky. There are other guys out there they could get that have a major league record of some success. Two names that jump out are Greg Dobbs and Wilson Betemit.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    Bartlett has a contract for next year at $5.5 million, plus a 2013 option with a $1.5 million buyout. That's $7 million. That is a lot for a guy who has made 50% more errors this year than Betancourt and who has never really been all that great defensively. He's a marginal upgrade on offense, with some upside potential beyond marginal, but then Yuni too has potential to exceed his first half on offense. Maybe if the Pads threw in $3 million.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Furcal is a name but his numbers are awful. Jamey Carroll makes more sense. I like Ryan easily over Wilson, who is worse than Yuni offensively. Carroll would be my choice as more the anti-Yuni, with good on base skills. I know he's despised on here, but Yuni is going to get his hits (I'm not so sure about Casey though), and you don't drive in runs from 2nd with walks, so you can't just throw anyone out there and think it's going to make that big of a difference. So I'd stay away from the bottom guys. Bartlett's an interesting name but defensively he's no better than Betancourt and he's not worth $7 million he's owed after this season. The focus needs to be as much or more on 3B where I think there's a better chance of truly upgrading, either with Green, or with a Wilson Betemit or Greg Dobbs who won't cost a ton. Not only would it take a slumping McGehee out of the lineup, it would add a lefthanded bat to the lineup. While I think the Brewers like Green, I just don't think they want to throw a raw rookie like that into the starting lineup of a team in the middle of a pennant race.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    I think you may be the only one. Casey has at least had two good offensive seasons for us to fall back on to pin hopes on a turnaround. Can we say that YuBet has ever had a "good" season? He's not the only one, I agree with him. Betancourt hit .289 and slugged over .400 his first two full seasons in the majors. Sure, his OBP was low, but for a SS,. a .289 BA and SP over .400 is quite good. More important though is what is going to happen the next couple months. Betancourt is much more predictable than McGehee. We know Betancourt puts the ball in play. In fact, he probably puts too many in play, but I digress. His BABIP is a career low .246, leading to a BA of .240. If anything changes with Betancourt it will be that a few more balls he puts into play will fall in so it's pretty safe to assume what you are going to get with him, a BA of at least .250 with an OBP not much higher, and a SP between .350 and .400. That's still not good, but it's not off the charts bad for the position he plays. Who knows what McGehee will do the next couple months? Since May 1, he's hitting under .200. He's never had a slump like this in the major leagues, so it's anybody's guess if he can pull out of it. If he does, certainly he has more upside than Betancourt, but he also plays a more offensive position and it may be easier to find an upgrade (they may have one internally) than it is to find one at SS. Fielding wise, they are probably a wash. SS is the more important position, but McGehee has 3 more errors than Betancourt. Both are below average, though Betancourt hasn't been nearly as awful as he is portrayed.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    McGehee is actually hurting the team more than Betancourt. At least with Betancourt, you know he's going to put the bat on the ball, and even with his BABIP at historically low levels, some of those balls are going to fall in, and he's good for some sac flies. McGehee's hitting .197 since the beginning of May. The sad part is even if you wanted to bring up Green or trade for a lefthanded hitting 3B and keep McGehee in a platoon, Casey is hitting just .150 off of lefties.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    With the depth from the right side, the need for a loogy isn't that great, but someone needs to replace Braddock on the roster, and soon.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    Braun did play SS in college, and he probably would be more comfortable there than at 3B. That won't happen either. The Brewers are thrilled with their OF. It's the last place I suspect they'd add a guy.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    Anyone interested in Cody Ransom? At 35, he is tearing up the PCL to the tune of .326/.406/.643, with 85 RBI playing mostly SS. Reno is a great place to hit but those numbers are impressive nontheless. I don't know much of his defense at short (though his .972 FP isn't horrible), but at worst, his bat would figure to be an improvement over the current IF bench combo.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    You can never have enough good relievers in a stretch drive. The Reds series proved that. What I like is it takes away the temptation for Roenicke to return Loe to the 8th inning after a few good outings. Loe will probably now be used more in multi inning, middle relief and he's fine there as far as I'm concerned. If need be, they could actually deal one of their veterans like Saito or Hawkins too.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    Everybody's getting the same rest, 7 days between starts. That makes sense to me instead of giving a couple guys 5 and a couple guys 10. There isn't a huge difference between 1 and 5 on this staff.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    "no way they should even think about this". Oh it's definitely worth thinking about. It's not a long term financial commitment, and if Fielder walks, it just offsets the salary coming off the books for him. There is definite risk. Ramirez has always been streaky (in May when he was struggling this deal was unthinkable) and he could fall on his face. But his bat could get them over the hump this year too and make them a much more formidable lineup come playoff time. Plus it would weaken the Cubs this year and the Brewers have 9 games left with the Cubs. The other thing to consider is Brewers are an indoor team and Ramirez struggled in the cold weather months in Chicago. The question is what would they have to give up. The Cubs will want something of value in return to deal him within the division to a rival although the Cubs actually might prefer to see Brewers win over the hated Cardinals.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    No, we are talking roughly $22-23 million for 1.3 seasons. His option for next year is vested if he is traded, meaning any team acquiring him is locked into next year as well. He's been hot lately, but he's shown signs of decline too. I might do if if I thought I could trade him in the offseason to unload most of that $16 million and open up a spot for Green. His injury history is with a shoulder, and yes it could crop up again.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    The guy who gave up the ball was 23, proving once again that young people do foolish things because for the most part they don't have much perspective. Anyone who had experienced job loss, medical bills etc, which is the vast majority of people over 50, would not give away something that valuable out of sentimental attachment to a sports franchise.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Post All Star Greinke needs to be significantly better than pre All Star Greinke. If that happens, it lessens the need for improvement at those two spots.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    They're not scalping their own tickets. The Brewers are the market maker in Brewers ticket prices and the tickets are being sold in the primary market. There's no third party/secondary market stuff going on here. You can't scalp your own tickets when you're selling them in the first place. They are setting a price, and it's a price that happens to move. That's all. In effect they are scalping. Not literally of course. But if the demand is there, the prices will be higher for the same ticket that could have been bought earlier for less. I'm not begrudging them for doing it, just pointing out the net effect for the ticket buyer.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    No way would I give up something of significant value. I'd immediately put it in a safety deposit box and contact an auction house. Once sold and the government and the auction house takes it's share, I'd make a nice charitable contribution, and keep the rest. Getting a ball like that is the equivalent of winning a raffle. Why would I give money back I won in a raffle?
  20. JohnBriggs12
    Obviously the Brewers are trying to maximize revenue by in effect scalping their own tickets. But this carries a downside risk for them. In recent seasons they've been able to lock in revenue through season ticket and preseason single game ticket sales made at a time when generally optimism reigns. Even if the team tanks, this money is in the bank. The season ticket purchasers, many of whom intend to sell a portion on the secondary market carry all the risk and yes they can profit if the team contends, but generally they sell at a loss, if they can sell at all late in a disappointing season.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    Yesterday showed how a really dumb move can sometimes work. How on earth do you send a guy in an 0 for 28 slump up there to hit for another position player with the game on the line and Ryan Braun supposedly available to hit? Sac fly or no sac fly, Counsell hasn't had a hit in a month. Four of the five starting pitchers have better OPS. Counsell should not be used to pinch hit. It's as simple as that and yesterday doesn't change that.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    Since when do broadcasters get vacations in season? They get 4-5 months off from October to March as it is. Even in season, they have plenty of time to play golf, fish or do whatever during the day. That's a schedule even a government worker would envy. As for Cirillo, he's been so-so. He has insight, but he has been too low key. It's obvious he hasn't been around the team all season and he's not all that invested in their success.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    My guess is the plan all along was to bring back Dillard but they had to wait 10 days, hence the move with Scarpetta. Bringing up Gamel didn't exactly work out. While you cannot draw conclusions over 26 AB's, his hot AAA hitting once again didn't carry over and I'm certain that's going to make them think at least about bringing in another 1B should Fielder walk. They are going to need production there, and despite his minor league numbers, Gamel is totally unproven at the major league level.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    The problem I have with that argument is that the concept of a "replacement player" is arbitrary, completely based on aggregate numbers, and the term "replacement" is a complete misnomer. There is no individual player that is guaranteed to put up exactly neutral WAR year to year, yet the term replacement player implies that there is. An actual "replacement player" will have some seasons significantly above and some significantly below that level. Seasons where that player is significantly below that level, will likely result in him losing a major league roster spot. That's not to mention that pure numbers alone don't tell an entire story of a player's value. The thing about Kotsay is that for the most part, he hasn't fallen off the proverbial cliff. His numbers aren't great and may fall below a level that constitues a truly positive influence on a team's performance, but generally not by much, and in the opinion of many in the game, knowing that is better than taking a chance on an unknown quantity who could be truly awful. Plus having a player who's experienced virtually every situation the game can present has more value than just pure numbers. Kotsay, with roughly 1,700 major league hits, certainly fits that category.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Can we put to rest the notion that Kotsay doesn't deserve a spot on the bench? He's a veteran major leaguer who's been in tough situations in big games. He may not put up huge numbers but he's not going to embarrass himself either.
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