You're still overestimating the importance of these two losses. Like you said, these games account for 12.5% of the games against the Reds this season. Any loss to a division rival hurts, yeah, but if you're going to try to look at it objectively - which, by your post, it seems that you are - why should Game 1 "sting" any more than any other loss?. It still accounts for exactly 6.25% of the games against a divisional opponent, no more, no less. It's way too early to be so worried about two losses. I mean, completely anecdotally, the Reds lost the first two games of their season to the Cardinals last year. The Cardinals actually ended up going 12-6 against the Reds last year overall. We all know how the division race ended up. The point of this example is that in such a small sample of games, certain outcomes will happen. The "better" team as will be established over the course of 162 games will sometimes lose two games in a row to an inferior team. The "better" team will also sometimes win two games in a row. That is not to say that that Reds are inferior to the Brewers, or vice versa. The jury is still out on that one. And that is not to refute your point that a game against a divisional contender is more important than a game against, say, the Nationals. It is simply to say that it is highly unrealistic to expect the Brewers never to lose two games in a row to a divisional contender. Such things happen, even with good teams.