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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. Ennder
    Which is one of the worst position players in baseball~ To take the optimistic side maybe moving to the easier league and a better hitters park helps. Also moving to a team where winning actually matters might help too since he seems to be a lazy player and playing on a losing team can't help with that.
  2. Ennder
    I wasn't suggesting he needs to try to bunt for hits more, just was saying he has bunted a lot in the past so it isn't something new for him. I like the bunt for hit approach when it doubles as a sac bunt. I like it against weak defensive players etc, basically situations that increase your chances above the norm.
  3. Ennder
    Gomez bunted constantly his rookie year with the Twins and had pretty good success with it. He had 30 bunt hits in 2008.
  4. Ennder
    Roenicke is pretty much correct, pretty rare that a closer gets yanked when they come in with a 1 run lead on the road. Hard to be so bad you have to get removed when 2 runs and the game is over.
  5. Ennder
    If Betancourt were an average fielder his offense wouldn't be a huge problem. Yeah he would still stink offensively but a lot of SS stink offensively. It is just the combo of hitting and fielding both being poor that makes him a bad player. If he could just BB close to the league average rate he'd be fine too but the poor plate approach pretty much sabotages any gains from his pop.
  6. Ennder
    Sac bunts by Morgan or Gomez are fine since they can get hits out of them, hard to ever complain about that. If he has someone else sac bunt who isn't a pitcher I can see the complaint though.
  7. Ennder
    Against RHP there was no reason for Kotsay to play and there was no reason for Gomez to hit 2nd before Morgan got banged up.
  8. Ennder
    I don't mind Gomez playing, right now he is one of our 3 best OF. The issue was mostly Kotsay playing over Morgan when he was healthy and Gomez batting 2nd instead of like 7th.
  9. Ennder
    Ball was hit too hard... Nah, that is a ball that 90% of baserunners end up on 3rd on except for big slow 1B and C. I'm not saying he should have gone on it but his lack of speed certainly cost a run right there.
  10. Ennder
    Wolf has a really complicated set of signs for some reason and he pitches sort of backwards compared to most pitchers so it is harder for him to get on the same page as the C.
  11. Ennder
    They don't even do that though. A pitcher doesn't really control his ERA very much, the other teams offense controls 50% and the pitchers fielders control a portion, the relievers control part of it and of course a portion is always just dumb luck, that is why an elite pitcher is only 1-1.5 runs a game better than a merely average pitcher, they just can't control a lot of it. Baseball is still a team sport and most stats are individual stats, they can't really tell you how valuable a player was to the team, they are just results of how the team ended up doing in certain situations. To me it seems you are a very results oriented thinker so I doubt we are going to see eye to eye on things. It is a team sport, the results aren't generally in control of an individual. It takes a long time for the results in baseball to have any meaning at all. A pitcher can be pitching great and give up a bunch of ER and the result I take from that is he is pitching great. You can be walking a ton of guys, not striking anyone out and getting lucky all over and not giving up many runs and the result of that is you are pitching poorly. The only way to cut out all the noise is to have such a large foundation of evidence that you can spot clear trends and for ERA or defensive stats that takes more than a year worth of data.
  12. Ennder
    But he said "What Betancourt has done so far this year has no meaning at all in the discussion," when the discussion is about what Betancourt has done so far this year. What he's done is what he's done. If you are talking about what he's done, then what he's done is pretty relevant. The stats don't describe what a player has done over such a small sample though. A player can actually play poorly and still put up good offensive or defensive stats over a small sample, they just don't really mean anything. BIS is a little better than the other stats because of how it is done but even those don't mean a whole lot. And no we aren't just talking about the predictive nature of things. Here is an example, a ball is into to the right of the SS with a runner on 2B. One SS with good range would get to the ball but not be able to throw the runner out at 1st, however since he knocks the ball down the guy on 2nd goes back to 2nd fearing a throw at 1B. Another SS doesn't come close to the ball and it goes right through for a single and the runner ends up on 3rd. Pretty much every defensive system scores these two exactly the same when the results are clearly different. That of course is kind of a silly and extreme example but there are all kinds of little things that can't be scored properly on defense. Over time a stat is going to mostly get it right but over a small sample it just isn't capable of telling us what happened.
  13. Ennder
    I was a little concerned with him going into the season because he has had control issues in the past. However I'm not concerned about him because of what he has done so far this year. April stats count but they are so erratic as to be virtually meaningless, you could probably throw out April completely and get a better picture of how good players actually are at the end of the year because of how random April tends to be. I mean baseball is always a streaky game but April takes it to the excess since it just takes some players longer to get things together each year and since there are so many struggling pitchers the random hitters who get to face them get inflated stats as well.
  14. Ennder
    Is Kotsay and Reed on RR? We don't know exactly how much input Melvin gave a rookie manager when making the final cut downs. At least on Kotsay, given that Melvin signed him to a MLB contract, that has to be on Dougie.Yeah there is no way to know, that is why I didn't specifically mention him. All around there has been some really bad choices made with the team and they could sabotage a playoff run since our margin for error is so small.
  15. Ennder
    I'm really hoping for a rainout. At least you don't have a defeatist attitude or anything... The team is banged up and we face two of the best pitchers in baseball the next 2 games, a rainout would almost certainly help the team assuming it doesn't mess up the schedule too much of course which it very well might do.
  16. Ennder
    Kotsay and Reed making the roster, Gomez batting 2nd and Morgan not getting to play before the injury have nothing to do with the injury. There has been some absolutely terrible decision making going on with this team so far this season.
  17. Ennder
    But again the sample size means everything, you can't tell anything about how someone has done this year from such a small sample. The current samples are just useless. Every stat needs a certainly amount of time to become useful and none of them have reached that at this point, defense takes by far the longest so it is the most useless so far. Trying to quote 2011 stats to prove anything is beyond worthless at this point, it doesn't even tell you how guys have played at this point because the spread of results are so random regardless of the actual skills displayed by players. At this point it really has nothing to do with Betancourt, it is just misusing stats to try to prove a point using so few games.
  18. Ennder
    But again quoting stats of any type much less defensive stats over a small sample is just completely useless, it has no meaning. What Betancourt has done so far this year has no meaning at all in the discussion.
  19. Ennder
    I didn't get to watch all of the game today but he did make a couple of nice plays today, I'll give him that. The ball of off Mitres leg/butt and the ball towards the hole a bit earlier in the game.
  20. Ennder
    Not sure I can get excited about a 4 ERA quality RP even if our bullpen has been shaky at times.
  21. Ennder
    Your friends are simply misjudging his defense, he is definitely above average. Punto wouldn't have been my target though, his value is more from versatility than anything.
  22. Ennder
    For our rotation I prefer every 5 games, we just have too many guys who haven't gone 200 innings before.
  23. Ennder
    I don't see much reason to be excited about Hawkins coming back, it isn't likely he is that much of an upgrade over any other RHP in the pen. He is a mid to high 3 ERA pitcher at this point in his career and with our defense he might be a 4 ERA bullpen guy.
  24. Ennder
    FIP normalizes LOB% and BABIP more or less. xFIP normalizes HR% as well. None of them are perfect but FIP is just an odd choice to use for WAR. ERA tells what happened better than FIP and xFIP shows true skill level better than FIP so why use the middle one.
  25. Ennder
    I didn't see the 1st single but it is very likely Weeks doesn't make a play on the 2nd one even without the shift, it was right in the hole and there was a runner on 1st.
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