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Ennder

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Everything posted by Ennder

  1. The team needs Riske to turn it around so I have no problems with it. I don't have any more faith in McClung, Turnbow or Torres than Riske. Gagne was being held for the 9th. The only other choice was Mota who has pitched a lot.
  2. No real complaints about today's game other than the bad baserunning which is the players fault. I would have pinch hit with Counsell instead of Gwynn but the difference between the two isn't nearly big enough to worry about.
  3. wow tough crowd. Weeks had hits in the last 3 games and you want to bench him for going 0/2 with 2 BBs. He has also scored a run in each of the last 4 games now.
  4. He just did that so when we take the lead in the bottom of the 8th Gagne doesn't have to face Utley in the top of the 9th.
  5. I guess maybe I am one of those people that has been fooled into thinking he is a better contact hitter than he has been thus far. I know he was in the minors In the minors he has 299 in 2103 PA which still isn't amazing but it definitely is better. In AAA he has 98 K in 647 PA, I think he is just overmatched a bit at the higher levels still.
  6. Gwynn has 41 Ks in 226 major league PA so far. That is hardly a great contact rate. Weeks has to learn to not take close pitches with 2 strikes and runners on. He gets struck out a lot like that.
  7. I disagree, Weeks was better than DeRosa last year and will likely be better again this year.
  8. They are about the same over the last two years. DeRosa gets an edge with defense, Weeks gets an edge with the SB. Looking at EqA which is just an offensive stat Weeks has been .276 and .292 the past two years. DeRosa has been .280 and .276. Weeks obviously has more upside than DeRosa as well as most of those stats were put up while playing through an injury that historically is very hard on a hitter. I don't think Weeks has been better than DeRosa, the two have been about the same, there isn't a clear advantage either way. However given ages and career paths I'd expect DeRosa to regress this year and Weeks to improve so there is no way I'd rather have DeRosa this year. But you make it sound like DeRosa is a good player and Weeks should be in the minors which isn't the case at all. The first thing you want to do is throw AVG out as an evaluation method, AVG is a stat that helps you understand how a player gets value but it isn't very useful for telling you how valuable someone actually is. DeRosa the last two years has had the following line OBP/SLG/OPS - .357/.456/.813 and .371/.420/.791. Weeks has had the following line .363/.404/.767 and .374/.433/.807. RC/G - DeRosa with 5.7 and 5.5, Weeks with 5.6 and 6.5. The real thing that seperates them is defense vs speed. How much does Weeks speed help compared to the defense mismatch. DeRosa is an average 2B, Weeks a below average one defensively. DeRosa is slower than your normal 2B, Weeks is one of the best baserunners in the game.
  9. Ok well if you look at the best years of the Cubs players and assume all their young guys will improve and then assume all the Brewer players will get worse and use some messed up valuation system that thinks that DeRosa was better than Weeks the last 2 years (which he wasn't btw), then yeah I agree with you. It won't surprise me one bit if Braun > Aramis, Fielder > Lee, Hart > Soriano. The backbone of our lineup is every bit as good as the Cubs. The two teams are extremely evenly matched in overall talent. Soto and Fukudome will of course be pretty big keys, neither have played a full season in the majors so they will have downs with these ups they have had. There is no reason to expect the Cubs to score significantly more than we do this year though. remember Fukudome is replacing a tandem in RF that had a .375 OBP last year, it isn't like he was replacing a bad part of their lineup. I think Cameron replacing menchkins will be just as big an offensive upgrade.
  10. I don't really get how Fukudome and Soto fall into your sure thing type guys. I'd much rather have Weeks than DeRosa and Hardy than Theriot as well.
  11. The thing is the Cubs have had an easier schedule and are playing extremely hot. Almost every single hitter is putting up career year type stats so far. The Brewers are actually struggling a little so far in my opinion. So we have a team that is very hot and a team that is about where they should be or a little bit lower and they have almost the same record. The Cubs will not last like this. The lineup will get cold at some point, Dempster will be Dempster at some point, Zambrano has never had 3 dominant months in a row in his entire career so he most likely will fall apart at some point. It isn't time to say the Cubs are going to take the division, every team looks great during a hit streak. It is how the team plays when they struggle that matters and we haven't really seen the Cubs struggle yet but it will happen at some point. It is a long season.
  12. Gagne but they need to baby him, I cannot understand why Yost doesn't understand this. gagne should get roughly 75% of the save opps and someone else should get the other 25%. We should protect our investment by not pushing him instead of getting 'the most' out of the investment by abusing him.
  13. It mostly comes down to how much you value batting average and gracefullness in the field. Gross is statistically a decent OF and I think he looked fine out there but his mishaps generally looked pretty bad. His AVG is low but everything else is good and a lot of people still think AVG is one of the more important stats for some odd reason.
  14. I'm going to say this and it will be controversial and might get me banned but only morons are upset with Weeks at the plate. If you are way too obsessed with AVG instead of stats that actually matter you think Weeks sucks but if you understand baseball you know he is a top end offensive 2B. It is that simple and if you disagree with me you need to study the game more. That sounds harsh and I'm sorry for it but it is the truth. His defensive issues sure do matter and they are what holds him back from elite 2B status but offensively he is just fine.
  15. I agree, he was a mediocre backup player at best, the problem is we are now stuck with Gwynn who is even worse than Gross.
  16. Well we downgraded to Gwynn now until Cameron comes back but I think Gwynn probably makes a better bench scrub than Gross does so even if Butler doesn't pan out we didn't lose all that much.
  17. The defense was good until yesterday, we were something like +9 using plus/minus. I wouldn't judge the team by just a couple rough games though it is obviously a concern since we were so bad last year.
  18. I think this is a very short sighted view of things, there is no way you put either of the last 2 BS on Gagne. He should have never been in the one game and a bad umpire and error caused the second one.
  19. Wow other than that play I think Fielder has looked a ton better defensively this year.
  20. To be fair he did strike out the leadoff guy. It should be runner on 1st and 1 out, but that is the story of our season.
  21. We are gonna lose this game, I'm leaving the house so I dont' have to watch it.
  22. Gagne hit Izturis and they are wrapping up his arm and yes Gagne struck him out on the 5th pitch but the ump mysteriously called it a ball.
  23. I don't have a lot of confidence in Gagne in 1 run games.
  24. Yep we are, with a few walks and a few flare singles which makes it more annoying to me at least.
  25. The team needs to start hitting but the pitching and defense is looking very good. Yost is going to cost us 3-4 games this year and that is probably what we'll miss the playoffs by. I just hope Melvin cans his behind before next year.
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