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kramnoj

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Everything posted by kramnoj

  1. kramnoj
    As I said before, his numbers weren't bad enough to warrant a demotion to Nashville when also considering his defense. Maybe not for other teams, but the Brewers had a top 10 prospect that was universally regarded as a defensive whiz. just don't see teams sending tenured vets down to the minors like this. Alex Gordon was sent down. A reason that this doesn't happen more often is that it's unusual for a former all star to have such a bad season and have a top prospect waiting at the same position. After seeing this, now I'm beginning to understand why Sheets hates the team. Sheets saw the future and knew this would happen? Sheets may have bad feelings about how he was treated medically, he may have bad feelings about contract negotiations, but you would need to explain how this results in Sheets hating the team.
  2. kramnoj
    I hate to turn every thread into a Suppan bashing thread, but why is he immune from this, considering that he's the 'brutallist of them all'? 1. If you really hated to do it, you wouldn't do it. 2. He's immune because that's what the rules are. 3. He isn't brutal compared to the pitchers who have been asked to replace him. Instead, he/they keep coming up with these 'injuries'. You need to explain your logic on this one. He was replaced by pitchers who have been worse than him. Do you really think the Brewers were giving Suppan a paid vacation while watching their playoff hopes vanish?
  3. kramnoj
    I guess the thing I'm missing here is why would anyone give up top prospects for Hoffman? Flags fly forever, and Lidge isn't looking dependable enough to be a contributor to a champion. It all depends on how motivated the Phillies are to go for that ring when they are so close.
  4. kramnoj
    The one thing it will tell us is if someone is claimed we know that they were not in the plans for next year. That may be true for some players, but not for all. If Counsell gets claimed and Melvin can get a lottery ticket A ball pitcher, there's nothing stopping Counsell from coming back next year if he wants.
  5. kramnoj
    Playing time doesn't seem to factor into those ratings.
  6. kramnoj
    Idle speculation about who could claim the players: Cameron- I wonder if the Cardinals would claim him. He would be an offensive upgrade over Rasmus. Hoffman - I don't know if he makes it to the Phillies, but I don't think he would make it past them. I had no idea that Lidge had a 7+ ERA. Lopez - I wonder if the Dodgers would claim him if he got that far. Furcal has a OPS below 700. Looper - Just perusing bref, it looks like the Angels may want him. Counsell - I'm sure he'll get claimed. Will be interesting to see what Melvin gets offered.
  7. kramnoj
    Gamel could bat leadoff, he should have a good OBP. Cameron could bat leadoff, his career OBP is higher than Lopez. Hart could bat leadoff. It's good to have a good hitter at leadoff, and if you have a good hitter who can make waves on the basepaths, that's good too. But a team doesn't need to have a prototypical leadoff hitter to succeed.
  8. kramnoj
    FIP for FA Backe 5.91 (2008) Batista 4.97; 6.97 in 2008 Bedard 3.14 Benson 7.71 Cabrera 6.35 Colon 5.64 Contreras 3.98 Davis 4.64 Duchscherer 3.75 (2008) Eaton 5.22ish Fogg 4.33 (was over 5 previous 2 years) Garcia 5.49 Hampton 4.47 Harden 4.43 Hendrickson 4.71 Hernandez 4.67 Hudson 3.78 Jennings 4.62 Johnson 5.18 Lackey 3.87 Looper 5.84 (was under 5 previous seasons) Marquis 4.02 Moehler 4.46 Myers 6.26 Padilla 4.93 park 3.4 Parrish 4.84 Pavano 4.37 Penny 4.58 And the list goes on, but I need to head to work. If teams spending is going to remain curtailed, we could see a repeat of last year where several starters sign one year deals for $6-$8M. I would want to be confident of that before making the decision on Looper, but we could certainly see improvement from some of these pitchers.
  9. kramnoj
    How is Burns below replacement? That's how he's performed so far this year. Sure, it's a small sample. But I would rather bet on Looper's 2010 than Burns, even with the salary difference.
  10. kramnoj
    Burns is below replacement level, Wright doesn't look impressive in AAA. Burns looks better in WAR, but he has pitched 1/3 the innings that Looper has. If he pitched as many innings as Looper, he would be worse.
  11. kramnoj
    Looper has pitched at half a win below replacement level. The problem with isolated thinking like this is that the idea of freely available replacement level talent is a myth. Looper is below what is calculated as replacement level, but is better than what the Brewers have been able to bring up this season. It may certainly be the case that the Brewers will be able to get better talent this offseason, but a serious look at the FA pitching and a calculated guess at which teams will be pursuing that talent should be done first. The Brewers best option may be to bring back Looper.
  12. kramnoj
    Nothing more frustrating then watching a guy strikeout with guys in scoring position, especially with a guy on 3rd when the defense is conceding a run. Cameron this season with RISP: .755 OPS with a .393 OPB, 28 BB and 23 K in 135 PA and 31 RBI. Cameron this season with man only on 3B and less than 2 out: .491 OPS. True, it's awful. It's also only 26 PA. And he only has 1 K in those PAs.
  13. kramnoj
    I'm having trouble understanding that. Why would the Brewers pay the $400k minimum for Hall in 2011?
  14. kramnoj
    Per this link: http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/sports/53843957.html the Mariners are stuck with Hall's 2010 option as well, so the Brewers are really saving about $1.75M. That's the first time I have seen that reported.
  15. kramnoj
    If Doug Melvin does not fully understand that the #1 priority in building a World Series contender is pitching, then he has no business being a MLB GM. Why should he have that understanding? The Braves won WS with their pitching staff. Having good pitching really helps, but it's not the only way. The best way to build a team is to assemble the best talent that the budget will allow. It also helps to be lucky. The Brewers were winning with the team that Melvin assembled this year. Injuries to Bush and Suppan derailed the season. That's a fault with depth, which is certainly Melvin's responsibility, but seasons are lost in baseball because of injuries, it happens.
  16. kramnoj
    is not going to be the Red Sox everyday catcher for very long maybe for the rest of the season but he will be either their 1B or DH next year. He will be C, as well as 1B and DH. The Red Sox don't trade for him if they don't plan on using him as a catcher. He won't be the everyday C, but he will see significant time there. trade pitching away when you have two equally as good players in Martinez and Youk? Martinez is only equally as good as Fielder at C. There is no way that Martinez would be equally valuable as Fielder at 1B or DH. As far as why trade away pitching to get Fielder: if Fielder would be available this offseason (I don't think he would. but that's one of reasons this thread exists), there wouldn't be a better hitter available. If Theo thought that Fielder was the best way to improve his team, he could trade pitching away to get Fielder and sign FA pitchers like Lackey, Harden, etc to replace pitching they trade away. At the beginning of the season, this idea wouldn't even be worth talking about, because it was thought that Lars Anderson would be ready to replace Ortiz, whenever that would have been neccessary. But with both Ortiz and Lars struggling, I don't think it's inconcievable this could happen, if Melvin could extract enough from the Sawx.
  17. kramnoj
    Martinez is a 1B/DH even if the Red Sox get rid of Ortiz Martinez and Youk are still blocking Fielder. The team that employs him disagrees with you. He is mostly splitting time between C and 1B. As to the larger point, if the Red Sox thought Fielder was their best solution in the offseason, they may do it. Youk can play 3B, so he wouldn't be blocking Fielder. If Theo really thought that offense was holding them back, I could see a deal where the Red Sox trade a couple of their young pitchers for Fielder, also trade Lowell to the Brewers to play 1B and then the Sox take back Suppan to equal salaries. I don't think it's likely, but I wouldn't rule out the Sox as a target.
  18. kramnoj
    Are you sure the clock starts on the 12th and not the 13th? I'm not positive, but I don't think he would get service time for a day in which he wasn't on the 25 day roster come game time. At any rate he has to remain down 21 days, not 20. This isn't clear. From http://milwaukee.brewers....s_mil&fext=.jsp&c_id=mil "According to Articles 19e and 21b of Major League Baseball's Basic Agreement, "If a player is optionally assigned for a total of less than 20 days in one championship season, the player shall be credited with Major League service during the period of such optional assignment(s)."
  19. kramnoj
    He has to remain down past the Sept 1 roster expansion to gain another year of service time. We don't know that to be true. Aug 12-Aug 31 is 20 days. I don't know how much of a difference it will be. I think he will be more valuable, but I don't think he nets a 3 starter with 1 year left and a 2 starter with 2 years left. If we really want to see what the market is for Hardy, we should just look at teams that think they could contend next year, that need a shortstop and have extra pitching to give up. What teams fit that criteria? I thought the best return the Brewers could get was Buchholz, but I don't think the Red Sox thought Hardy was enough of a return.
  20. kramnoj
    As a point of comparison, when Lugo was DFAed by the Red Sox, they paid all of his remaining salary and got Chris Duncan back in return. If I'm given a hypothetical choice between $1.3M and Chris Duncan, I am comfortable with taking the cash.
  21. kramnoj
    MA already turned down a Harang for Hardy deal before the deadline because of the salary implications next year. AFAIK this was reported, but I don't know how much it should be believed. When I read that, I just assumed that the message got garbled by the time it got to the writer. I highly doubt that Hardy for Harang was turned down because of money. I very much believe it was turned down because the Brewers hope to get something better than Harang back this offseason when they trade Hardy.
  22. kramnoj
    Suppan is a lock because the Brewers don't have 5 SP that are better than Suppan when he is healthy. The key, of course, is finding a way to know when he isn't healthy before he costs the team a game or two.
  23. kramnoj
    Why would we think Bourgeois is better offensively (or defensively) than Hall? You really find this implausible? Hall was terrible as a CF. He got better as he went on, but he shouldn't be expected to be an asset as an outfielder. As far as offensively, I just plugged Bourgeois's season into an MLE and got .281/.312/346. That's better than the .606 OPS that Hall has provided this year, and doesn't include the speed that Bourgeois has.
  24. kramnoj
    I meant as a result of opening up a spot on the roster when they DFAed him. They were able to bring up a player who should be a better outfielder and who shouldn't hit as poorly as Hall has hit so far. Why not have kept him on the roster, put him through waivers and then try to trade him, without this artificial deadline? Seattle can use him right now, with Beltre and Wilson unavailable. I think Jack Z did Melvin a favor, paying as much as he did. I certainly wouldn't expect a team to give up more. Moving him now is a benefit. It's one less thing for the Brewers to do this offseason when a pitching staff is waiting to be built.
  25. kramnoj
    What was the point of doing that at this late date? What great improvement to the 25 man roster did this result in? There is no official answer, but I think some of us thought that Hall was kept around in case he could be used in some bad contract swap that improved the Brewers. As to the 2nd question, why should be expect a great improvement to the current roster by trading Hall? The savings that the Brewers get from this isn't insignificant. It could be the difference in retaining Counsell next year, for example. The Mariners can use Hall now, and they could have tens of millions coming off the books next year. They basically just signed their UI next year for $1.3M next year.
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