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pete

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Everything posted by pete

  1. pete
    Zone ratings has to be one of the most flawed of attempts at quantifying performance in baseball. Individual factors can radically change the outcome. The Brewers use shifts aggressively causing a massive influence in rating. Prince Fielder is both not tall and not highly adept at balls in the dirt. That alone could change a "bad" ZR to a "good" one. Someone like Hardy plays with Rickie who sometimes takes balls that Hardy could field, but also Hall and Branyan who tend to range quite wide toward their left. Those are just three examples. Infield conditions is a significant factor. Troy Tulowitzki credited Colorado's as a big factor in helping him last year in an TV interview before the world series. Maybe the ever aggressive salesperson Mitch Lichtman can provide a "linear adjustment" based on species and height of grass. Perhaps to live up to the ultimate sales pitch he could include turgidity to measure the lushness at any point in time. Defense is inherently a team activity. Constantly extending the mathematical formulas won't change that.
  2. pete
    Maybe we'll all know soon, as the artificial deadline for Weaver is at hand. They could extend it though. I wonder if something unexpected might happen.
  3. pete
    The point is that if the Brewers are making a decision based upon a deadline with a pitcher that had 1/2 of a good season three years ago and three mediocre AAA outings surrounded by three awful ones its a bad thing. I'm sure if they did it, it would be based on his ability to pitch. Its like putting McClung in the rotation based on a ERA that was fueled by an unsustainable low home run rate instead of him actually pitching better. Pitching better produces a better ERA. C'mon, be honest, he's obviously pitching better and has lots of ability. Moving Bush down to make way for Weaver and McClung based on one or two starts is a sign of a bad franchise. Keeping him is the sign of a bad franchise. He's bad. I find the emotional attachment to him mystifying.
  4. pete
    McClung is what I would say. The gorilla in the room is Dave Bush. If Weaver, DiFelice or whoever gets an audition, it might be his spot where its made.
  5. pete
    Throwing Vargas away was incredibly stupid. To top that they kept Dave Bush who was terrible in spring training. Its not like its a mystery that Yost is completely infatuated with him. Yost and Melvin both lied when they talked about there being a "competition" in spring when the reality was that Bush was in regardless of performance, the same way he is starting tomorrow. And people list Capuano in the list of possible starters? Good grief. I get the impression that there are a significant amount of people who would rather have a bad team with Cappy, Bushy, Matty, Jenksy and Branyan than a competitive team if they have to watch a "clown" like McClung or "chum" like Vargas. I constantly hear fabricated statistics about Vargas. Nobody talks about him pitching with a bad back when the team needed him. Instead they holler about the fact that the outcome wasn't great. He was a 4.3 ERA pitcher over the first half of the year.
  6. pete
    Some good info in there, but Ned works for Doug, no?
  7. pete
    You're talking about rules of thumb to make estimates. Just because Bush had some good peripheral at some point, it isn't logical to conclude that he was unlucky. And the whole "regression to the mean" is a misuse of the term. It isn't appropriate to use for performance events. Its used for things like coin flips. He could be performing more in line with his true ability right now. Luck probably has little to do with it over such a significant time period. If you let him start over and over and over, his performance now may be "average" for him. And ERA is a good measure as well.
  8. pete
    You don't know that. You don't know how good any of the people who might take over will be. There were plenty of folks like you trashing Torre and Leyland before they had the reputation. If I wanted I could go back and use your own arguments against you, but you're devoted to Yost as a semi-permanent manager regardless. Just say it and everybody will accept it.
  9. pete
    http://nowheyjose.files.wordpress.com/2007/11/meatballs.jpg
  10. pete
    I give you Ned Yost, a perennial failure - at least to me.
  11. pete
    Slowed down is one way to put it. So how many years for Ned? Two more? 3-4-5? More?
  12. pete
    I was talking about his record of turning around teams. You said that there was "absolutely no evidence." And a ratio of fifty to one? I doubt that, but I'm not sure I care. I have no idea if the people on and off the field have confidence in Yost. So I wouldn't conclude something like that. Do you think Yost should get more time after this year? Two? Three? Four?
  13. pete
    About a half year ago I read an article about deaths and injuries at ballparks and one that was frequent which still doesn't make it common, was people getting broken necks from people falling on them from the aisles above. Think about that when some drunk is attempting to maneuver behind you.
  14. pete
    How about Jack McKeon's record? And, of course, many (most?) believe that someone with as much involvement in the operations and performance of the team affect that team.
  15. pete
    I don't think he gets much of a leash, maybe a couple of games. It sounds to me like it is basically an audition. But I think there will also be someone to take over for Bush unless he improves. Think two spots rather than one. He's had a leash that is measured in months stretching toward years. Weaver, Narveson, who knows?
  16. pete
    He looks heavier to me. Its easy to gain weight without eating meat, even if you exclude cheese. Rice and beans or pasta will pack it on. Mood and food often are linked. Maybe if his hitting continues to improve, he'll plateau or slim a bit. I thought Boras had a scientific health program or something like that. You'd think that he would encourage him pretty strongly to keep fit. Really, in a way, it shows what an exceptional athlete he is.
  17. pete
    Prince caught a liner that was never shown and there was another play, I think by Hall that was never shown.
  18. pete
    All anyone can do is speculate - well, unless they have "sources close to the team." It does seem like odd timing. But, in addition to the possible reasons for the trip already cited, there is also a long political process of upgrading the ballpark. Melvin could be meeting with the owner of the Sounds along with any civic characters involved in making that happen. That would definitely be something that could require personal involvement.
  19. pete
    I'm not sure which would be more painful, the buildup to the event or the aftermath which would go on for decades. But don't worry - its the Cubs.
  20. pete
    No, everyone who strives to break stories doesn't have them. The people who would have knowledge of the decision to fire Yost and the exact timing of it is quite small. The question is whether your buddy actually knows one of these people and that person provides him with inside advance information. Color me skeptical. Not sure how any of it would relate to Deep Throat. Government contracting of road building being manipulated for benefit of constituencies and use by government entities of designated funds is pretty much standard operating procedure. It has gone on for generations in this country and probably in the Genghis and Kublai Khan administrations as well. Adding the words "raid" and "scam" doesn't make them so. If they aren't accurate, then it becomes disinformation. The manipulation of the semantics of raising taxes is about the most tired dead horse there is. Those aren't "scoops."
  21. pete
    Actually, I said generic propaganda. I wouldn't be surprised if there never was anything to the story. Calling someone a source is meaningless. Is the guy a friend of yours? And what are these hot scoops?
  22. pete
    I visited badgerblogger. I left a response that included no profanity. I didn't defend Tom H. either. But somehow my comment wasn't posted and now I can't post. What I saw there was generic propaganda without much thought.
  23. pete
    If you ask me, the "cool" thing to do is to defend Ned Yost. I think its pretty natural to dislike him based on his public persona which is acidic and the lame way he defends his actions. I think its pretty easy to make an argument that he is a pretty good manager, yet he is unpopular or at least that's my impression.
  24. pete
    The blog is now backtracking before the day is over. His senses tell him that something big is going to happen soon. That puts it right up there with predictions for the apocalypse. I'll go on the record right here and say that something apocalyptic will happen someday.
  25. pete
    My impression is exactly the opposite. When you hear Ned having one of his mini-tantrums, if you listen to the questions that prompted it, they frequently come from Haudricourt. In fact, that is his reputation, that he is persistent with questions to the point that he ends up getting yelled at. That reputation precedes Yost's arrival on the team. The management has no choice but to respond to him. He doesn't have to kiss anyone's backside to get access - he has it regardless. And really, do you think he cares about the pesky kids on the internet? Why would he?
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