BuckyBrewer61
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Everything posted by BuckyBrewer61
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Well then - I certainly stand corrected. Thanks for giving your personal perspective. Maybe I should give him more of the benefit of the doubt, but I'm also not trying to attack him. I truly don't judge him for using PEDs - if that was his primary reason for taking them. But I know many baseball fans would. If his cover story is indeed true (which I still doubt, but am more open to now), then it was very irresponsible of him to take any medication without consulting with team physicians first. Fertility drugs are well-known PEDs, and have been implicated in high-profile MLB suspensions (see: Manny Ramirez) As someone who doesn't see players that use PEDs as scumbags...I'd almost be more disappointed in his judgment if the statement is true. Anyway, that's just my $0.02, and I certainly may be wrong. Mostly just bummed we lost our backup catcher for half the season. I'll be rooting for him to have a great season starting in game 81. -
No, I don't think they believe it. And I think the Brewers have proven pretty conclusively that they don't cut players that make up BS stories about why they have PEDs in their system. And again...I don't blame them for that, or any professional sports organization, for a second
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Because as you alluded to in an earlier post, for many baseball fans PED use = cheating = scumbag. I don't feel that way, but many baseball fans do. The cover story sounds way better than "I took some illegal drugs in order to cheat," Which is what many baseball fans would hear if he fessed up. And even if his story is a total lie, he's not a big enough deal for anyone to dig into it further, call him out, and there's no suspensions for lying. He gets plausible deniability, some fans buy it, and everyone gets to move on.
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Not saying he's a scumbag, at all. In fact, I honestly don't really blame guys (especially guys on the fringe of MLB like a backup catcher) for doing PEDs. There are millions of dollars at stake, and if they see other guys all around them - that they are competing for a roster spot with - using these things...who among us wouldn't be tempted to do the same? I get it. He is likely making more money long term by using PEDs than not. Who knows if he would have ever gotten an MLB payday without them. I'm just saying, clompihene is a known PED, on the MLB PED list, and he is a professional baseball player. Best case scenario, if his statement is true, it was haphazard and irresponsible of him to take anything that is now going to cost him about a million dollars. Again, choose whatever you want to believe. For me, if it looks like a duck, and quacks like a duck...it's probably a duck. And that doesn't make the duck a scumbag.
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Clomiphene is a fertility medication that induces ovulation in women. In men, it obviously does not have that affect, which is why it is not prescribed to men. Ever. In men, it affects the hormonal axis in a manner which increases testosterone levels, which is why it is a PED. There is no physiologic reason, nor FDA-approved indication, for a man to take clomiphene. Even if he is going through fertility treatments with his wife. Either Severino's doctor is a quack, or he took it for performance enhancement You can choose to believe whichever you wish.
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I completely agree with this sentiment, but part of the problem is that if you want to go after premium bats you aren't just paying money during this window - you also have to commit to years after that. Seager just got 10 years, Semien got 7, even Baez got 6. Anyone want to be paying 37 year-old guys $25-35million 4-7 years after Burnes and Woodruff are long gone? We know all too well how those contracts end, and for a team like the Brewers that can be crippling. Maybe you want to go for it now, and are ok with a team for years to follow of a few aging former stars and no money for anything else. And to some extent I would get that, but I'm not as keen on it.
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It's kind of crazy looking at the stats in comparison to today. Obviously WAR wasn't a thing back then, but of the 9 AL pitchers to receive Cy Young votes that year, Vuk was tied for the lowest WAR of them all at 2.8. If this vote happened today, it appears Dave Stieb would've won by a landslide, but instead he finished 4th. Stieb had 19 complete games (to Vuck's 9), 5 CGSHO (Vuck 1), 288 IP (Vuck 223), significantly more K's, significantly less walks, even a lower ERA which was of course a much bigger deal stat back then. But Vuckovich went 18-6 and Stieb was only 17-14
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The Braves are further proof that the goal of any franchise should be to get in the playoffs consistently - especially one like the Brewers who, even if you really do "go for it," would still be unlikely to be able to build a roster 1-26 that is clearly better than the large markets. Once you're in, legitimately every team has a shot. Sure the best teams has the best odds of winning it all, but those odds are far less insurmountable than in the NBA, NFL, etc. You're more likely to reach/win a World Series with a decent team making 10 playoff appearances than if you have the best team making just 1 or 2. Recent history is littered with pennant and World Series champions that were wild cards and/or had the 3rd/4th/5th best record in their league.
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What is the difference between a hitting coach and a "hitting mechanics instructor"?
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Rowdy has absolutely earned a roster spot for 2022 with his play in 2021. That said, he has a career WAR of 0.7 in over 900 MLB PAs, and even with a nice 2nd half in Milwaukee had a WAR of -0.5 in 2021. To this point in his career, he is Daniel Vogelbach with better defense. Not to say he can't improve, he's still early in his career and absolutely has shown encouraging stretches. If he's all we can afford given the glut of bad contracts in the outfield...I get it and I wouldn't be terribly upset about it. But I would be actively looking to upgrade the position if possible. I'd be much happier with him as a bench bat than as an everyday starter.
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0 for 19 is reaching improbable status. You'd figure on even some sort of dumb luck hit happening, like a broken bat flair that finds the grass. It's remarkable to see how bad the offense has been. Can’t get lucky if you don’t put the ball in play
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100% this
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Single season splits vs LHP are automatically a small sample, only 89 PAs for Tyrone this year and 126 PAs for Yelich. A multi season look will generally be a better representation of the ever elusive "true talent level". Problem is Taylor only has 19 PAs vs LHP before this year. He posted a .669 OPS in those PAs bringing his career line to .807 OPS over 108 PAs vs LHP. It's also tricky for Yelich since he's been a different hitter post-2018-19, when he posted .983 OPS | 192 PAs and .936 OPS | 202 PAs vs LHP. But even then, he posted a career best season vs LHP in 2020 with 1.068 OPS | 72 PAs...which almost further reinforces just how fluky single season splits vs LHP can be. While agree with the pure statistics of this, the small sample size argument means that we are frequently discounting that players evolve, improve, decline year to year. By the time a player has a large enough sample size of ABs to satisfy statistics, he is rarely the exact same player as he was as he accumulated that data - just as you eluded to with these two players. I don’t think we need a large sample to say current Yelich is not 2019 Yelich. And that current Taylor is not 2020 and earlier Taylor. Sometimes small samples are relevant. How relevant…well if I or anyone had the answer to that, then we could just let a computer manage the team.
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We are better on the road anyways But if we made the World Series I’d be fine If they played it on the moon Same. But if they made the World Series and could have home field advantage or not, I’d prefer they do.
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Say what you will about how big a deal it is (it is certainly not a very big one). But by coasting to the finish line and losing so many games the Brewers have now decreased their odds of home field advantage in the World Series.
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If it comes down to Woody or Corbin
BuckyBrewer61 replied to brewmann04's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
They'd be better set for life if they took a $200 million contract that pays out before they retire (which they certainly may be offered) so they can put it in the bank and let the interest and investments roll in over the next 20 years instead. -
These games could matter in one possible scenario. We are currently 3 games behind the Rays and 3 games ahead of the Astros in the standings. If we were to reach the World Series, home field is determined by the team with the better record. So flip-flopping in the standings with either team would change home field in the World Series should we match up with them. So - given the 3-game gap between our teams with 4 to play - I would argue that these games do, in fact, matter in the slightest. Of course, no...I'm not suggesting Counsell and the staff treat them any differently than we currently are. Just pointing that out.
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I wonder how a 4-way tiebreaker for 2 Wild Card spots would work? I would love to find out.
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Glad to see Yelich moved down. He’s been…fine…this year but he’s had enough ABs since 2019 to show he doesn’t fit at the top of the order when this team is at full strength.
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Pretty amazing stat, in particular because we haven't been playing the the Iowa Cubs all season. 9 of those 15 wins came against the Bryant/Rizzo/Baez Cubs team that was supposed to compete for the division. Instead, the Brewers put the nail in the coffin that led to the tear down. That core was supposed to be a dynasty, but combine taking the 1-seed from them in 2018 with this season...and the Brewers are no doubt a big part of why that never happened.
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Fair enough - of course I wouldn't actually move Wong, I was moreso just saying that the top 5 guys have all been good this year and I'd be happy with any of them in just about any order at the top. I guess I take issue with "it is what it is." Why? The "stats on our end" are the same stats on the organization's end. Is there something I am missing? For an organization that is so analytical and has been so willing to try new things, think outside the box, why are we batting a guy at #3 that isn't even one of our best 5 hitters? And hasn't been for two seasons? If Yelich wasn't MVP caliber in 2018-19, or hadn't been signed to a long-term contract...would he still be batting #3 right now? I too hope he regains his MVP form, and if he does obviously #3 is a great place for that. But at what point do the results outweigh the hope?
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I know it's been beaten to death in in-game threads and elsewhere, but in light of yet another slump...can we please not bat Yelich 3rd in the playoffs? So many better options for the top of the lineup based on actual performance. Give me: Wong Adames Escobar Garcia Narvaez Yelich Tellez Cain 2 to 4 there are pretty interchangeable, and Omar or even Kolten could be moved around the top 5 if it makes sense based on pitching matchup and LRLR lineup construction...but at some point, we have to acknowledge that the best chance for us to win is to not have Yelich batting in the meat of the order...right? I'd even be ok with batting him leadoff given his OBP...but I don't want him to be getting multiple at bats during our best scoring chances.
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To be fair - no matter how hard a front office might try, come September there are going to be some teams that are just plain out of it and playing meaningless games. And in the absence of some exciting prospects - even for an avid baseball fan it's hard to get excited about a completely meaningless September game, much less 25-30 of them. Like all of you I am a huge Brewers fan, but I'll admit that I'm not tuning in for 3-4 hours a night at the end of the season if the games mean nothing, and I'm even less likely to go out of my way to pay for/attend a Tuesday night game in September if it means nothing...whether we are 4 games under or 40 games under .500. Maybe that makes me a bad fan...but I think it's just the nature of a 162-game season. It's thrilling when your team is playing meaningful games daily, and hard to get excited about if they aren't. Frankly I'm more impressed by the fans that are in that picture than I am surprised by the seats that are empty.
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The Rockies officially will finish 2021 below the Brewers in the standings
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