For the sake of argument, let's assume this is true: Brewers 44-39, 79 games remaining. At .470, their remaining record would be 37-42. Final record 81-81 Cubs 40-41, 81 games remaining. At .520, they finish 42-39. Final record 82-80 Cards 39-41, 82 games remaining. At .520, they finish 43-39. Final record 82-80 The later in the season we get, the less separation any supposed difference in talent makes in the final standings. If what you say is true, the Brewers are destined for a pennant race down to the last day of the season. Far from the other shoe dropping and the Cubs/Cards running away from us.