I still think one of Cappy, Bush, or Vargas will be traded, with Vargas being the most likely to go. In addition, Villy will probably at least start the year in the rotation until Gallardo is ready to go. I wouldn't mind Vargas being the long man, though- he could be made into a good reliever; he throws hard, works slow, and is effective at getting out of jams. As far as Mota goes, I would be pretty disappointed if he was on the roster instead of Villy or Parra. If there's room for Villy and Mota, then it is a decent gamble that he would pitch effectively enough to justify the roster spot. Remember, Elmer Dessens was on the roster coming out of spring training last season. I agree with you about the Riske/Turnbow situation, although unfortunately I think Turnbow will start the season as the eighth inning man. In general, bullpens are volatile. The group of 7 that leaves spring training will not be the only seven that pitch from the pen all year.