How does a team that didn't really lose anything of note personnel wise in the offseason (besides maybe Bulaga) take a 6-game swing record-wise? And who are you saying are the 3rd and 4th best options? Allison and Kumerow? Graham? Those guys are very, very replaceable. I mean, I understand the idea that last year's team perhaps outperformed its talent level, but 7-9? Really? Well, they did exactly this, a 7-game swing actually, the year Rodgers replaced Favre. It would be easy to say that was a huge change, but Rodgers played quite well and surely did not account for 7 losses. I think it's a relevant comparison because that Packers team in 07 was received much the same way the '19 team was. One that came out of nowhere, "overachieved," had a lot of young guys, and a lot of skepticism. In '08, they had truly miserable luck, losing 7 of their 10 losses by 4 points or less. If Rodgers is healthy I think this team is too good to win 7 games, but nothing in football really surprised me. An unlucky year where a few key guys get hurt and you drop those toss-up games and going 8-8 just wouldn't be terribly shocking.