This is a little misleading because Tom Brady and Peyton Manning have won like half of these games, so you're not really comparing apples to apples. Manning won two. A lot of these guys were just repeat winners with long careers in the league. 6 is still quite a few over time frame when you figure a lot of the veteran QBs that they're up against are generational HOF quarterbacks, Brees, Brady, Rodgers, Manning, Manning, etc. It's obviously a tremendous advantage to be able to save money at the most expensive position and invest elsewhere in the team, it would be illogical to say otherwise, regardless of the raw numbers of appearances by rookie QBs. And for the most part, NFL quarterbacks compete at this level much earlier in their career than years ago. Redshirting for 3 years like Rodgers did is almost unheard of now. I'm very confused at how you find this not comparing apples to apples? I'm thinking you are implying that P-Manning (on his second SB) and Brady were low-cost HOF QBs that won the SB when they were off their rookie contract? Otherwise, I can't simply remove specific cases of winners/losers just because... this was a simple analysis of results. Looking at the data (actual real data not opinion; not excluding anyone) there were some easy conclusions: 1) Tom Brady wins a lot of Super Bowls. He won two (of the six I mentioned) on his rookie contract as well as the other after. He alone is an anomaly. If he skews the data after the rookie contract, he skewed it on his rookie contract also. 2) HOF "probable" QBs have won about 80% of the last 20 years of SBs (Brady, 2 Mannings, Rodgers, Roth, Brees, Wilson, etc..). The number was slightly lower for the losing side, but still far more likely than not. 3) Most QBs have required 4 years at a minimum (P-Manning took longer) to win a SB. The exceptions: Wilson won, but with a huge run game and fantastic defense. Tom Brady...is again the anomaly. Certainly there is more behind the scenes that I could dig into here... At a simplistic level, getting a great QB on a cheap contract is obviously a good thing. But that doesn't always mean a QB on a rookie contract meets that description. They take a few years to really be good enough to lead a team there. The data points stronger to getting a HOF probable QB (on any contract) to win the SB; obviously the cheaper the better. Also, Rodgers red-shirting for 3 years was unheard-of at anytime for a 1st round QB. Three years is a really odd situation. But it is actually more common now for a rookie 1st round QB to sit initially than 20 years ago. The rookie salary slots help fix the huge rookie salaries (P-Manning, Ryan Leaf) that force the team to start them. Mahommes sat one year. Fields wasn't going to start until Dalton got injured (and looks like he isn't ready either). Love will sit behind Rodgers 2 years at least. Without counting, I would guess it is about 50/50 if a 1st round QB starts for the team (non-injury related) they are drafted for in the past few years.