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topper09er

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Everything posted by topper09er

  1. topper09er
    Starting lineup in game 1 for WS champs Giants: 1 Andres Torres CF 2 Freddy Sanchez 2B 3 Buster Posey C 4 Pat Burrell LF 5 Cody Ross RF 6 Aubrey Huff 1B 7 Juan Uribe 3B 8 Edgar Renteria SS 9 Tim Lincecum P How is that any different from: 1. Gomez/someone else CF 2. Hart RF 3. Braun LF 4. Gamel 1B 5. McGehee 3B 6. Lucroy C 7. Any SS 8. Any 2B 9. Zach Grienke P That lineup in 2012 with Marcum and Gallardo is just as good as the Giants If you put Weeks at the top of the lineup and replace Marcum with Narveson you are worse off. I want to keep Rickie, but it wont be a franchise killer if we lose him.
  2. topper09er
    This is so stupid, why would we be miserable now because we lost a WS that half of our fans dont remember. How in the world do we get a 6 for future misery, we have the best overall roster in the NL? I hate ESPN, this guys just has no clue about non eastern teams, they dont even pretend to care anymore. I cant think of a time when I was less miserable to be a brewers fan.
  3. topper09er
    I wouldnt be surprised if Hart totally bombed and is hitting .200 in May and Gamel starting platooning with him in RF for most of the year.
  4. topper09er
    It would be cool to see a Milwaukee Walk of Fame and include guys like Al Simmons and even Hugh Duffy who was a player/manager on the 1901 Milwaukee Brewers (now the current Orioles) in the inagural season of the American League. Duffy is in the MLB HOF and has the record for the highest single season batting average (although pre 1901) at .440 in 1894. Other non Brave/Brewers from Milwaukee that could be considered are Ken Keltner (famous for making 2 great plays to rob Joe D of hits and end his streak), Joe Randa or Mark Grudzielanek (maybe), certainly Lave Cross (19th century player who is a borderline HOF candidate) and Harvey Kuenn. It would also be cool to see the other 3 HOFers (in addition to Al Simmons) born in WI, Burleigh Grimes (last pitcher allowed to use the spitball), Kid Nichols (7th all-time in wins) and Addie Joss (threw a perfect game, 2nd all-time in ERA, best ever WHIP, died after 9 seasons at age 31)
  5. topper09er
    "YES, YES, YES, YES" - Bill Schroder after we clinched the wild card "You're either first or last" - Reece Bobby Now we have a chance to be first.
  6. topper09er
    Crap I was hoping to sign him to my softball team
  7. topper09er
    I would think the Rays would not want to trade Garza to the Yanks, we need to root for Grienke to Texas. It would be bad if the Nationals got Grienke
  8. topper09er
    Quotes from http://forums.nyyfans.com...instripes-in-2011...-NOT!/page52 "Ugh. This Yankees team right now is not that good. Aging infield and a 2 reliable starters. This blows." "Phillies buy the World Series" "You know this was his wife because only a woman can convince a man to leave 50 million on the table. No man in his right mind would ever do something so foolish. It takes a woman (with an axe to grind) to torture and torment him into leaving that much money on the table. Clearly she was holding a grudge over those drunken idiots and this was the payback." "Our rotation is mediocre and our lineup is aging. This is ugly. Cash better have osmething up his sleeve or this team will win 87 games." "Obviously our fanbase and the organization's expectations were too much for Mr. Lee. If anything this makes me respect CC's guts that much more. "
  9. topper09er
    Now, thankfully we are out of the Grienke talks. It will be a Rangers/Yankee prospect battle. I really want a Gamel+ for Garza deal and I will be very happywith this offseason. The Giants beat Halladay and Lee in the playoffs, why couldnt we?
  10. topper09er
    "It's also true that not acquiring talent isn't a great way to make a team get better." "KC would have been much better off not spending money on either player, instead spending that money on international free agents, increasing scouting, or saving money to offer to truly elite talent." These 2 points seem to be contradicting each other
  11. topper09er
    or baseball-reference.com Also, it sabr for Society for American Baseball Research
  12. topper09er
    Based on this the breakeven point was 75.7%, and they were only 66.6% which explains the negative WPA. Also please remember that the goal of baseball is to win games, not score the most runs. Less stealing may lead to more overall runs but many of them will only increase a large lead or be too little too late. Looking at the linear weight of SB and CS over different run scoring environments (http://www.tangotiger.net/customlwts.html) we see that if the game is low scoring, say 2 aces matched up and you predict a 2-1 game 2 runs per game PER TEAM: SB = .149 CS = -.261 breakeven = 63.7 % only if you predict a high scoring game, say we scored 2 runs in the first and Manny Parra is pitching 8 runs per game PER TEAM: SB = .212 CS = -.678 breakeven = 76.2% So depending on the context of each INDIVIDUAL game you can swing from less and 2/3 SB rate needed to more than 3/4 rate needed.
  13. topper09er
    Yeah they were actually winning by 3 at that point. They scored 9 in the 13th to win 17-8 in extra innings, odd game...unfortunetly reminds me of the Matt Kemp extra inning GS against us a few years ago, although the brewers may have scored a few more to close the gap a little bit.
  14. topper09er
    They seem to have this for every offensive event except SB at bbreference, maybe they will add it soon. Just looking at one game year where the angels stole 5 bases and were caught 3 times http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA200905190.shtml 1st: Hunter steals 2nd, WPA = .02 2nd: Figgins steals 2nd, WPA = .01 3rd: Hunter steals 2nd, WPA = .02 3rd: Hunter CS 3rd, WPA = -.07 4th: Kendrick CS 2nd, WPA = -.03 6th: Izturis steals 2nd, WPA = .01 8th: Izturis CS 2nd, WPA = -.03 9th: Abreu steals 2nd, WPA = .02 total: -.05, and that is stealing at a 63% rate in that game which is below any threshold. In another game they stole 5 bases with 0 CS http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/BAL/BAL200908160.shtml 6th: Double steal 3rd/2nd, WPA = .02 7th: Aybar steals 2nd, WPA = .01 8th: Abreu steals 2nd, WPA = .01 13th: Aybar steals 2nd, WPA = .01 So they didnt do a great job of leveraging those SBs in this particular game either.
  15. topper09er
    Bush's perfecto broken up by Lee in the 5th
  16. topper09er
    Looks like Gomez got the start today batting 6....nice start by the crew HR, 2B, HR, BB
  17. topper09er
    Hopefully the next # they retire is 8.
  18. topper09er
    Didnt one of our coaches question his work ethic last year? Not totally sure
  19. topper09er
    If Gamel is the type of guy who is complaining about his position after he has shown he is terrible at 3rd we should just trade him now. Guys like this tend to be underachievers who whine and make excuses about everything and dont work really hard. He still has a lot of trade value now and we need pitching.
  20. topper09er
    There were stretches this year when he led the league in Ks and he currently leads in NL (remember including Halladay, Jimenez, Lincecum, Wainwright etc.) in K/9. Leading in those categories is basically the definition of an ace.
  21. topper09er
    Also, my rug was stolen.
  22. topper09er
    Probably have four more detectives on the case. Working in shifts! Do you find them much, these, muggers?
  23. topper09er
    Well the reason would be so that he could gain some service time...but I agree it would not be a good move overall
  24. topper09er
    This is not on MLBTR yet...
  25. topper09er
    This smells like a move from the top to show the fans they are serious about improving the pitching staff and mediocre to crappy SPing is not acceptable
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