You clearly don't understand the other side of this argument if you are making blanket statements. Assuming perfect health with some good breaks in close games this team is maybe a mid 80s winner... Is that what the eternally optimistic are hoping for? Repeating the excellent best case scenario that was the 2011? A couple of key players were on the DL in April and that was it, smooth sailing the rest of the year. I'll appeal one more time for people to take a macro view of the division. Who has ascending youth? Which teams are already better? For example on the MLB forum someone brought up that Beltran is leaving STL, but so what? They can replace him with Oscar Taveras who's one of the best pure hitters in the minor leagues. Obviously yes I know 2013 was a lost season with family issues and injuries for him, but he has the potential to be a stud. The Cardinals may not win 97 games, but they aren't falling off all that far and are getting more youthful. They are what posters like me were hoping the Brewers would become... mostly perennial contenders with the occasional down year. They have more WS wins since DM took over the Brewers than the Brewers have WS appearances in the history of the franchise. Pittsburgh will be able to insert a legit impact pitcher into the rotation (excluding Cole who's already up) each year for the next 2-3 seasons. There will likely be some growing pains with their youngsters, but I would expect them to compete for the division every year in the near term. Cincinnati will maintain over the next 2-3 years until they hit the stage the Brewers are at now with a bunch of aging veterans and a thin farm system. Cingrani will be up to stay for the Reds, they still have Stephenson coming, and I think Hamilton will be a very productive player at least until he loses a step. After those 3 I'm not so high on the rest of their prospects. Corcino falling off horribly really hurt them, and on the plus side Ervin is intriguing though not toolsy. Finally Chicago is on the verge of having a super line-up, they have more legit hitting prospects than any team I can remember since I started following the minors; Soler, Baez, Almora, Vogelbach, Olt (still a believer), and Bryant. Not to mention Alcantara and Candelario who I've also been impressed with. The Cubs are horribly thin on pitching, right there with the Brewers in comparison with the rest of the division, but the difference is the Cubs can buy pitching in FA to go with the bats when they mature. The NL central has become one of if not the best division in baseball, many of us have been saying for years that there is very strong management around the division, it's been a steady climb for the Central for years. The Brewers are clearly the 4th best team in the division, and have a much tougher road to that wild card than the 2nd place team in any other NL division. When the division was "down" we were 3rd place team as often as not, and now that Jack Z's scouting department who drafted Braun, Fielder, Hardy, Gallardo, and so on are gone, there are no more impact potential prospects to trade for a short term pitching. Melvin's "best" moves have been bought with prospects... unfortunately for him he's been out of that currency for some time, now his true "creative" colors will show. If Lohse is the best the Brewers can do, we're hopelessly out manned now and in the near future. Kyle pitched great, but we gave up a 1st round pick the team desperately needed to finish 4th in the division and under .500. The move made no sense from any kind of macro view, it's the kind of move than can only be justified by framing the argument around the rotation for a single season... any larger perspective and the logic just doesn't hold up. Simply put the Brewers were still horrible in 2013 with Lohse and had no chance to add an impact player than might have helped in the future. I'm not going to look at this in the false way that you are doing by taking last season division standing as a measure of where the Brewers are at. Considering what we found out in Gomez and Segura and what we already know in Lucroy, and knowing that we went the majority of the season without Ryan Bran, Rameriz, and Hart I'd re-think calling the brewers a 4th place team when if they had gotten more playing time out of Hart, Braun and Ramirez and had they had 1 more pitcher like Lohse they could have easily been the 2nd best team in the division. Lohse is right up there with Gallardo. I view them both as a 1/2 SP's, then thre is Peralta with his high ceiling, Estrada, and 2 very impressive SP's in Nelson, and Thornburg who both really impressed at the end of last season. Add in there another number 2 SP, and our rotation will be good enough to go with what will likely be the top offense in Baseball should Hart be re-signed. The Brewers bullpen was 3-4 th in the NL last year or was in all of MLB? The Brewers starting rotation was BETTER than the Cardinals during the last few months of the season. Btw.. I'm not going to even think about injury's in this equation, because they happen to every team and you don't know when and for how long they will strike. I just know what these Brewers players are capable of. We clearly have different views/projections of this Brewers team. I'm not worried at all. That's in large part because i know DM and know what he will likely do, and that is go after another top pitcher and more bullpen help.