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Oxy

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Everything posted by Oxy

  1. Kimbrel's agent isn't holding Kimbrel out, Kimbrel is holding Kimbrel out. If Kimbrel wants to sign a deal presented to him, he would direct his agent to accept the deal. Or change agents. Yes, you are correct. That was a poor choice of words on my part. Especially with Kimbrel, who is a veteran that's been around the game a long time, has played for different teams, has seen many teammates come and go. Albies is still a very young guy that hasn't been around MLB clubhouses that long and probably relied heavily on his agent. If Kimbrel gets burned by his current situation, he really has no one to blame but himself. He should know how the business works. And maybe Kimbrel has had a somewhat miserable time of it constantly moving around all the time chasing the highest paycheck all over the country--thus refusing to sign a one year deal. He wants to settle down for 5 or 6 years and end his career in one place. Nobody has been willing to commit to a reliever for that long. His agent sees this and Albies sees this and is like "I want to stay in Atlanta for the rest of my career--Meter, make that happen" For him perhaps the difference between 35 million and 100 million is just negligible monopoly money--the way the difference between 100 million and 300 million would be fairly negligible monopoly money to me. That may or may not be the case for him 10 years from now, but that might be how it seems right now. Speculation is fun.
  2. This is kinda the elephant in the room. It's gotta be pretty much impossible to enforce something like this. We have trouble enough enforcing actually important things like drug smuggling and immigration--and giving a little extra help to some Latin American teenagers and their families is supposed to be a bad thing? And then we are supposed to be outraged if that teenager happens to reward that type of "help" with a loyalty signing like this? Color me shrugged.
  3. Do players have to join the MLBPA? If not, are there any players now in the league that aren't in the MLBPA? I seem to recall Griffey not being a member--but that may only been for a short time. What is the cost of membership? When do they join? As soon as they are placed on the 40 man roster? I tend to doubt the claims of players that THEY are the product. The stadium is the product and the show is the product and winning is the product. Winning only happens with the best players. Owners should want to win by paying the best players in order for people to come to the ballpark.
  4. Right now, Hiura might be able to get the Scott Kingery treatment, but even that is at least 12 months away.
  5. This is on the assumption that he will reach those lofty standards of a perennial All-Star. I already listed 2 examples (Castro, Odor) of deals that either went sour for the team or was neutral at best. And you are 100% wrong about Hiura. And if you aren't wrong, then Hiura is either a fool or comes from wealth himself. Hiura is far from a can't miss prospect. He's a guy that has ONE can't miss tool (granted, the most important one) that has yet to be demonstrated at the MLB level just like dozens of other prospects over the years. If he comes up and has a year like Albies I'd hope the Brewers make an overture similar to this one, but I wouldn't want to go all Rougned Odor and give him $50Mil unless he demonstrates more than being just that tool (can handle defense at 2B and shows some real power potential or perhaps the ability to adjust to MLB pitching even after pitchers adjust to him)
  6. A very comparable player/timing of extension would be Rougned Odor right before the 2017 season. At that time he actually had another year of decent production under his belt as compared Albies and was also one year older. He signed a 6 year deal for $49.5M with a 7th year club option for $13.5M. The 5th and 6th years were at $12M and would have been FA years for Odor. He then proceeded to hit .204/.252/.397 for an OPS+ of 63, then kinda bounced back last year to put up .253/.326/.424 OPS+ of 95. If the Rangers could go back in time I would guess they would NOT sign that same contract with Odor, but there haven't been any headlines the last coupla years about Odor robbing the Rangers. In that context the deal looks to be fairly sensible. Looking back even further, Starlin Castro signed a deal with the Cubs in 2012 for 7 yrs/60M with a club option for an 8th year at $16M. Castro hasn't gotten any better but he hasn't really regressed either, reliably producing solid numbers for a starting caliber 2nd basemen. Still, if the Marlins (Or Yankees/Cubs) could go back and re-do that deal I doubt they would make that offer. The only way this is a "robbery" by Albies is if he becomes a perennial All-Star/borderline MVP candidate. I would guess he is far more likely to be happy with his contract and regress to league average or worse production.
  7. He's a good player. Before this deal, he would be making a little over a million over the next two years and then would be subject to the arbitration system. Last year he had an OPS+ of 102 as a 21 year old. Now he is guaranteed 35 million. The option years are kind of a joke though. If those were player options then it would be a fine deal. If they were north of $12 million team options then it would be an okay deal too. As it is, those options are a pretty bad deal for him though.
  8. The type of spending people are advocating for is not buying an asset (a car). At least an asset has a multi-year use and is collateral against the loan. They are talking about using the unrealized gain in their homes (even if they have to take out a loan to cover it) and then hiring a maid or a gardener (operating expense). I don't know any of this fancy financial jargon, but I think I can follow what people are saying. Still, it seems to me that there could be a HUGE difference in a permanent operating expense and a year-to-year variable operating expense. Say the property hosts a party every year and needs to hire entertainment. They can afford Steely Dan every year--OR they can hire The BoDeans for 4 years and bring in U2 every 5th year, even though in that year that U2 plays the property takes a loss. The 4 years they hired the BoDeans instead of Steely Dan makes up that difference, and keeps people interested, as Steely Dan year after year after year after year just doesn't cut it and people lose interest and then there is no more party at all. Thus, they aren't leveraging the total value of the asset/equity, they are planning for moderate gains every year to pay for a moderate loss once every 5 years or so--all within the same category of expense.
  9. I think he initially wanted to go to 3rd but nobody was covering. Why?!? There is no possible way a runner from 2nd could be slower to third base than the batter to first base.
  10. That was weird. He had the wrong foot on the base which got him all screwed up. With the left foot on the base you have reverse pivot 270 degree turn with your momentum of the turn making it an easier throw to 1st. With the right foot on the base you end up dancing around in circles and looking foolish.
  11. There is a joke here about becoming an astronaut to get a date with Angelina Jolie and she turns out to be your cousin. Weird.
  12. Notso sure walking Trout is a great move when it's Anderson vs. Bour/mistakehittingleftypowerguy (it wasn't even that bad of a pitch but...welll...Anderson)
  13. While I’ve found out more about his sporting past, I’m still guessing most of his appearances are more for his business than not. He seemed to spend a lot of time waking around and taking pictures with people. You never know though. People want to take pictures with him?? That’s what I thought! Most people I know want to punch him in the face! Does he put lipstick on before the selfies?
  14. Or the opposite, bases loaded and up by 1. Seriously Trout is hot enough right now that an IBB every time is a safer option (only 1000 ops instead of 1500). If it's in the 3rd inning, I still might walk him. Late game you let Hader pitch to him.
  15. It's difficult for me to envision a scenario where Trout should be honestly pitched to during this series. Maybe if we are up by 4+ runs and the bases are empty.. Otherwise, I think I'll take my chances against Bour, Pujols and Simmons.
  16. 7-2. When the bad parts of your bullpen are the only thing you can complain about, you know things are going pretty good. The lineup 1-12 is mashing (outside of Aguilar--and even he has hit a lot of balls hard). Get Jeffress to come back strong and get one other reliever to "find it" and we are looking at a 95+ win ballclub (or just continue on the pace we are on and end up 126-36....with a break even run differential...)
  17. We already used the dregs last night. If Guerra was going to pitch no matter what he should have started the inning--or at least come in as soon as there is a baserunner. HR--okay, still no baserunner, but a 3 run game against the Cubs bullpen is still very winnable. Then a BB. Then a single. Now the game may not be winnable. We had a fresh bullpen to use in a winnable game at a time when the ^new^ "book" says you should change pitchers.
  18. I'd imagine he'll get the day off tomorrow. He's hit a few at 'em balls right on the screws though the last few games.
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