Oxy
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Everything posted by Oxy
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The more freedom that consumers have, the more they will choose the best. The longer the best is in business, the more time they have to undercut their competition.
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To Extend or Not Extend: Corey Knebel
Oxy replied to Harold Hutchison's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Ja, Knebel is far closer to the "trade high" category than the "offer an extension" category. -
Braun Working on a Swing Change
Oxy replied to True Blue Brew Crew's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
This just seems logical. Shorten the bat by 1.5 inches and stand a couple inches closer to the plate. -
Also, when it comes to the reason that the "Hall of Fame" exists--Pretty much everybody who calls themselves a baseball fan knows how great Joe Jackson was. That same sample of people are less familiar with Ray Schalk...or Sam Crawford or Harry Heilman. It's not like Pete Rose, Roger Clemens or Barry Bonds will ever be forgotten for as long as anybody in the HOF is remembered, anyway.
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I know it's splitting hairs, but Perry's sleight of hand was done in front of everyone, including the 4 umpires who are charged with monitoring the pitcher. I think that's different than behind-the-scenes cheating, like playing with a corked bat, or using drugs illegally. Perry's antics could be considered gamesmanship, like sign stealing, though I recognize I'm being generous to him. The same could be said for all the juicers prior to the Mitchell report coming out. McGwire certainly wasn't trying too hard to hide his use of androstenedione. If you are a professional athlete and you've got trainers and doctors and nutritionists all telling you to take this stuff because it's going to improve your body and your baseball skills, I'm sure it's awfully easy to just trust the smart guys--don't ask too many questions and go hit a lot of home runs (not to mention make millions upon tens of millions of dollars for doing so). It's hard for me to get too worked up over excoriating guys who did a lot of high tech stuff that wasn't explicitly against the rules at the time. Obviously, after 2007 it is a whole different ballgame. For a modern educated person, it is easy to draw the line between protein shakes, multi-vitamins and anything that might mess with your hormones/endocrine system, but it wasn't that easy 20-30 years ago. There are still all sorts of gray areas that make it a very complicated ethical issue.
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Drew Pomeranz Signs with Giants, 1/$1.5 Million
Oxy replied to RollieTime's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Now that's a contract that makes sense. I've always thought that there should be more heavily incentive laden contracts like this. I guess that teams like to have more cost certainty--and there is potential for a lot of friction between the FO, the manager, and all the players fighting for ABs and IP because it might cost them $100K+ for each outing or game started? -
I totally agree with the philosophy, and I think Stearns does too after jettisoning Broxton and Santana (although Thames is still around). Give me 9 athletic guys who can run and play defense and make contact and lay off pitches out of the zone and that's a fun, winning ballclub.
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This is why I want Gonzalez, Cabrera or Solarte. Send Spangenberg down to AAA and keep Thames. A right handed bench bat with pop would be redundant with Aguilar and Braun and Perez--so it would be difficult to find a place for him to spot start in place of Braun/Aggie. Still, you aren't wrong. A switch hitter would be perfect. Solarte had a bad year last year, but that's what would make him cheap. And he can play everywhere, probably better than Cabrera could.
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I think Stearns is going to wait until at least June in order to see what he's got in all of the players listed above. There is a ton of talent and potential in all of those names, and also a ton of question marks and short track records. Some of those guys could blossom into superstars who we'd have under control for 6 years, half of those years at the league minimum. We aren't in a desperate need of pitching right now (as long as we have those guys listed above) and can even absorb an injury or two. If you make a big trade for Kluber and then Kluber gets hurt you're stuck with nothing, and little depth to fill in for that injury. We'll know a lot more by the end of June.
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If we trade Thames, then we could look at Granderson or somebody just like him. Until then, there isn't any room on the roster/payroll. We aren't going to outright cut Thames for nothing before the season even starts. I'd certainly love to bring him in as a non-roster ST invitee though. He would be ideal for that.
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I'm guessing we just keep them both. If we trade Thames, we will have to replace him with somebody and that somebody will probably be a Thames clone--a left handed bench bat with some pop and some upside who can spell Aguilar at 1B and provide insurance in case Jesus regresses greatly. I guess Grandal fills that roll nicely on the days he isn't behind the dish, but that's just kind of a bonus--and hopefully he'll be starting a minimum of 120 games. Thames has a lot of warts, but anybody else we get is also going to have warts or else they'll be too expensive to acquire. Might as well just keep Thames. Anderson is more expendable, but it's difficult for me to see another team give something up for him. If Stearns has a bunch of low level minor league guys that he values more than whatever organization would want Anderson then something could work I suppose, and we'd get a little salary relief.
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Thinking the agent would have preferred the 4 year deal. Sure--now. But after the Mets signed Ramos, that wasn't an option. Mets offered 4/60. I'd guess his agent countered with 5/75. It sat that way for a couple weeks and then the Mets signed Ramos leaving Grandal to look elsewhere--where nobody was even offering 4/60. I'd be curious to know if Stearns had different offers on the table based on the number of guaranteed years. If I were Stearns, I'd have offered Grandal this deal that he ended up accepting OR 2/30 or 3/40 or 4/50.
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Yeah, I took that as meaning the players union/agent had set a number/contract that they felt he was worth based on previous contracts for guys of his caliber. 4/60 was below that number, so he declined out of deference to the union even if he personally would have taken the contract. The flaw in the logic of the union/agents is that those deals were bad deals for the clubs. It's hard to be the guy that the market corrects itself on. I'm not sure that he even thinks this is a 'better" deal than that one, but that offer wasn't on the table anymore, and this one was. It's getting a bit late in the game for a starting catcher to sign with a team, as it would be nice to know where he's reporting to when pitchers and catchers report for Spring training.
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It's a position of strength but Knebel and Hader are at the top of the pyramid, and losing one or the other would have an effect that losing guys further down wouldn't. And yet if trading one of them means we extend our window to contend for a WS from the next 2-3 years to the next 4-5 years it is definitely worth it. I get what others are saying though about holding onto him for 1 more year. We'll be losing Grandal after this year-- and Cain and Braun will be another year older, and we'll have a better idea of what to expect from Arcia, Hiura and Aguilar and our young pitchers. If those guys end up disappointing, we may have to do a little re-build around Yelich and Shaw. If those guys all step up to be better than average we'll just have to re-load a little. In short, it would be a shame to give away Knebel or Hader when next year is kind of a mini-window to go for it. Still, I'd welcome an Eloy Jimenez or Gleybar Torres type of return.
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He's definitely a trade candidate for the right package. Selling high on a player at a position of strength is generally a good move--especially a reliever. I wouldn't give him away though, that's for sure.
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How much money do the Brewers have left to spend?
Oxy replied to TexasCheesehead's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I think everybody's been happy with MA as an owner. Taking a loss every 8 or 10 years in order to make a serious run at a WS might cut into his profits a little bit. Then again, maybe not, that's kinda the point of the discussion. -
How much money do the Brewers have left to spend?
Oxy replied to TexasCheesehead's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If we offered him a 1 yr/$40M contract he might blink. There is a non-zero probability of this happening, but it might be less than 1%. I don't think I want to operate a franchise like that, but the Grandal deal already opened the door to that type of thinking. If for whatever reason we don't have a WS caliber team on July 15th, he and Grandal would both be dealt anyway. -
This is where I'm at with him too. They are pretty much the same player. Harrison prolly makes a little better contact and Hernan is probably a more versatile and reliable defender all around--and is younger. Give me a switch hitter like Cabrera or Solarte, anyway.
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2019 Lineup Thread (Batting Order)
Oxy replied to BrewCrewBlueDevil's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Christian Villanueva was released by the Padres but went to Japan. OPSed over 1.100 vs lefties in 120 ABs or so last year. Think he had an option too. -
We better not give up Hiura to get Bumgarner and Panik. I can't see how Panik at $3.85M would be better than signing one of the FA guys.
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I'm not sure what the numbers said, but I was very impressed with Perez's play at SS last year. Dubon is lurking around as well to cover for short periods of time. If Arcia suffers a season ending injury I think we'd have to make a trade to more permanently cover the position, but I would doubt that the ability to play SS plays into who they sign to start the year.
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If his value is as low as Brewerfan thinks it is I sure hope Stearns can make a great buy low trade for him. I'd love to have him.
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I totally agree. Still, other than Trout, who is definitively better than Harper and Machado? If baseball is making XXX amount of dollars, the best players should probably get the largest contracts, and I have a difficult time finding anybody else to give it to. Granted, it makes sense on the surface if the costs of everything were halved (cheaper tickets/food/parking and cheaper contracts) but that's not the way it works.
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We would also be getting a top draft pick in compensation after next year...So we'd likely have to throw in Micah Bello or Joe Gray or the equivalent on top of whatever a fair trade would be for 1 year of MadBum at $12M.
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If there are hotel(s) or apartment buildings also go up then adding a few bars and restaurants certainly wouldn't affect existing businesses, it should only help the entire area. There is plenty of parking lot space to use--just put up a couple parking ramps connected to the hotels/bars/brewpubs/restaurants/movie theater/retail space complex type thing to replace the surface lots that it is built upon. So it's not space...it's more of a culture thing. There is a certain charm to the vast lots used for tailgaiting. Still, I don't think it would infringe upon that too much as there is plenty of space.
