Oxy
-
Posts
3,995 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Events
Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings
Milwaukee Brewers Videos
2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors
Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources
2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project
2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by Oxy
-
Braun keeps costing Prince RBIs. He's liable to get sued by Boras if it keeps up. -
I don't think those are bad numbers. Not great by any means, but serviceable. They get a little better when you add in the Atlanta series when he went 4/11. Basically he's been pretty good since starting the year 0/11 in Cincinnati. Admittedly, my initial math was bad and he hasn't done as well as I thought he had. EDIT: bad numbers on intial post/edit
-
What are the odds that Gomez and Betancourt would simultaneously have 7-game hitting streaks going?
-
Depends on the stat you are talking about, but generally speaking never. A single season isn't really enough to discuss a baseball player and compare him to other baseball players. To use an example, I would have had a problem with someone saying Bautista is the best power hitter in baseball after last year. It looks like he is repeating it this year and that second year of doing it makes the argument carry some actual weight, but way too many guys have some goofy spike year (like Bill Hall) and it turns out to be just a fluke. You want to say someone is having a good year or whatever that is fine, but when you try to argue about how good a player actually is, you need more than a 26 game sample. The problem is that you apparently have a light bulb mind without a dimmer switch. On or off, with nothing in between. Either statistics have meaning because the sample size is large enough OR the statistics have no meaning because the sample size is too small. That's just not true. The fact of the matter is that all data means SOMETHING no matter how large or how small the sample is. The smaller the sample, the less meaning, the larger the sample the more meaning. The more recent, the more meaning as well. I've yet to see anybody talk about how great Yuni is because of the last month. Pretty much all the "positive" things that have been said are just as you described. He had an atrocious first week of the season, and he has been quite good since then. That's basically the extent of the positive comments around here. However, his detractors refuse to admit that he's been good for the last 3 weeks. This makes no sense.
-
Fine. Insert "Matt Meyers, former writer for Baseball America and current editor for ESPN the magazine and ESPN Insider recently...." Is that better?
-
These years stats are still completely worthless by themselves. These stats happened. They are what they are. No, they aren't predictive, but at least for offensive statistics they do show how well a guy has performed. And they DO play a part in changing a guys overall perception and value, although only to a certain extent. The most recent 100 ABs and 250 innings played in the field are more important than 100 ABs and 250 innings played in 2008, but they aren't as important as the 1500 ABs and 3000 innings played over the last 3 years. They are certainly more than worthless, but less than everything. Then again, this is the internet, so it has to be either everything or nothing.
-
ESPN recently had an insider article about the worst everyday players in the majors (with heavy use of advanced stats). No mention of Betancourt. The big losers were James Loney, Kevin Kouzmanoff, and Jonny Gomes.
-
Rickie Weeks: Let's enjoy how far he's progressed
Oxy replied to TooLiveBrew's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
It's too bad that he had the bad wrists. He's really made slow and steady progress throughout his career in every aspect of his game, and I can only imagine his injury issues played a big part in how slowly he has developed. It's all in the past now though, and hopefully he is an all-star for the rest of his time as a Brewer. It wouldn't be shocking to see him creep into MVP discussions either, although that certainly isn't a likelihood. -
OBP = not making outs. Not making outs is the single most important contribution any player can provide to an offense, regardless of where he hits in the lineup. A guy who's going to put up an OBP below .300 is a detriment to your offense regardless if he hits 2nd or 8th. You can limit how detrimental such a bat is by putting him lower in your order (and limiting his at bats), but saying that the value of OBP is varied depending on lineup location is really statistically false.My goodness. The black and white perspectives of internet message boards is maddening. Apparently .300 is the magic OBP where a guy either helps your team or hurts your team no matter what the situation is no matter where he is in the lineup, all other statistics be damned. The difference between a .290 OBP and a .310 OBP is literally ONE less out per 50 PA. A 3TO player who bats .220 with an OBP of .310 and slugs .400 with a 25% K rate isn't as valuable in the 7th spot in the Brewers order as Betancourt, who bats .270 with an OBP of .290, slugs .400 and Ks at a 10% clip. There IS a point where a high slugging and BA can outweigh a low walk rate. Is Betancourt at that point? It depends on who you compare him to. Is there anybody who thinks that, say, George Kottaras is a better hitter than Betancourt? That question is sure to provoke original, insightful discussion. It's free-swingers vs. 3TOers.
-
He's had far too many quality innings and quality stretches of pitching this year to send him down. I really don't think he's been nearly as bad this year as his results have indicated. All this talk about his command and getting ahead of batters has been overblown as well IMO. For example, in his complete game 2-hit shutout, YoGa only faced 28 Atlanta hitters. 14 of those batters began with a 1-0 count. NINE batters had a 2-0 or 3-1 count. Was he nibbling too much that day? Contrasting that outing was the Washington and Houston games, where he faced 53 batters, 21 of which he started out with ball one, and only 7 of which had a 2-0 or 3-1 count. While yesterday he was terrible all around, on the whole this season he has been inconsistent rather than outright bad. Giving up three 3-run homers in his last few starts is awfully unlucky. I'll give him another 3-4 starts before I start to wonder if something has actually changed and he needs some time-off/make some changes.
-
Historically, this is true. But this is shaping up to be a terrible year for SS, which lowers the bar that "replacement level" is set at. We don't have a AAAA player to stick in there, and there don't seem to be any available, thus this "replacement" player doesn't exist right now making YB better than actual replacement level. YuBet seems pretty durable too, which is something that cannot be said for a lot of veteran replacement level IFs around the league. Later in the year, perhaps we will trade some of your bullpen arms to pick up a better option, but right now he is what we've got. EDIT: grammar
-
Percentage of Black Players Goes Down Again
Oxy replied to Warning Track Power's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
It's all great in theory. The US has been a melting pot for cultures for hundreds and hundreds of years. 100 years ago in New York there were Irish neighborhoods and Italian neighborhoods and Polish neighborhoods and Jewish neighborhoods etc etc etc. Each had different stereotypes. Over the generations, generally the cultures become more or less unified as "American." Most ethnic groups shared something in common: they immigrated here, wanted to be here, and wanted to be Americans. The history of the African-Americans is a bit more complicated, to say the least. History is important in order to learn from the successes and mistakes of our ancestors (all of them), so I don't think that ignoring it and not talking about it is the best way to go about things. -
Do Rock and BA get bonuses every time they mention how the Brewers don't commit a lot of errors?
-
To be fair, he had to hold up to see if it was going to be caught.
-
Did Braun do any commercial shoots in the off season? Like, perhaps a Miller Lite commercial about a vain guy with bad hair?
-
Does Gomez have ADHD? Seriously?
-
Well, his first start was in Brevard County, so it's not like he left the team he was playing for. Not really a reason to head to Nashville (or wherever they play) early. I still wouldn't be surprised if he came back to Milwaukee between his Nashville starts. Isn't he going Brevard, then Huntsville, then Nashville though? Plus, I am guessing that Kranitz and Roenicke want to watch him throw BP sessions between starts.
-
Holy smokes. There is something to be said for having sure handed fielders, even if they have little range. As frustrating as it is, it is far less so than watching a little league team like the Astros throw it around the yard. It's been nothing short of atrocious.
-
6 batters, 6 first pitch strikes, 4 Ks for Yovanni. Hopefully he can keep up this command through the 6th and 7th inning.
-
There is no question. Taking care of the Brits in the Battle of New Orleans and his subsequent rulings in the Black Sox scandel of 1919 have cemented his place in history.http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif Also, the cynic in me says that this is Boras' doings. Basically it's a deal where if you are a reporter who says nice things about his clients, he'll give you inside information about future negotiations, etc.
-
For that matter, the concept of crediting an individual with either a "win" or a "save" has been bad for winning individual baseball games. On the whole though, part of the reason that baseball has such a rich history is because of individual counting statistics. They create drama and stars and a reason to get fans excited. Unfortunately they also create psychological hurdles which drastically alter the common sense strategical moves of winning an individual baseball game.
-
Well, the reason he signed that is because of how the union has negotiated it's contracts. That players are under team control for 6 years and go through the arbitration process. He would've ended up making more money through 7 years than he would have otherwise, and maybe a bit less over 8. I will go on record that this exact same deal probably could've been done 2 years from now, instead of 4.5 years from him being a free agent. I can't help but think of Alphonso Soriano's deal with the Cubs... This is true, but I would guess that Braun and Bolelo approached the Brewers about the extension. So far, there is absolutely NOTHING about Braun which makes one worry about him being able to keep it up, thus when a player like that approaches you about an extension you talk to them and figure something out. To tell Braun "Meh, give us a couple more years" would be a slight slap in the face to Braun, damaging the relationship and perhaps giving him reason to walk or ask for more money.
-
Really? Prove this to me. I'm open to changing my mind but nothing, ABSOLUTELY NOTHING I have seen the first two weeks makes me believe that Nieves deserves a spot on any roster in MLB. He is an average catcher and he is a horrible hitter. Kottaras may be just average at hitting, but he isn't horrible catching. That's enough of a difference to keep Kottaras. It cannot be proven using numbers. Hard to believe, I know, but sometimes you just have to trust the eyes and opinions of pretty much every GM and coach in MLB. Neither one of these players is going to win you ballgames with their bat. However, Kottaras has the (dis)ability to lose you more games than Nieves behind the plate.
-
I'll never understand the Kottaras love around here. The gap between Nieves and Kottaras' defense is far greater than the gap between their offensive production. And catcher is only the most important defensive position on the field. People act like we just sent Mike Napoli down or something.
-
This is amazing. Braun and Aaron Rodgers are the recent past, the present, and apparently the long-term future of the Wisconsin sports scene. While Braun is a lot more Hollywood than Midwest, he will be right up there with Yount and Molitor by the time he hangs them up. If we can win a World Series within this contract I'd guess that he ends up as a Brewer lifer with a place in Cooperstown.
