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Eye Black

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Everything posted by Eye Black

  1. Eye Black
    I took a closer look at teams that could be realistically considered in contention for a playoff spot next season. Of those teams, I found six that appear to have a plausible need to upgrade a corner outfield position: Giants Mariners Blue Jays Orioles Dodgers (assuming Yaisel Puig is traded) Nationals (assuming Jayson Werth is traded) Of those teams the Giants, Mariners and Blue Jays seem to have the most glaring need. I didn't realize how left handed the Mariners are currently, 6 of the 9 projected starters. Obviously the Jose Bautista signing will potentially affect this market as well. Curious if there are any other likely contending teams I am missing for which Braun would provide a significant upgrade? I didn't include teams such as the Phillies since I don't view them as likely to break .500. Edit: Missed the Orioles the first time through, now added.
  2. Eye Black
    Infielder Mitch Nilsson played in Saturday's game (OPS .930). It appears that both are Dave's nephews and currently playing for their uncle. Dave's son Jacob Nilsson is also listed on the Brisbane roster, although he's only had one at bat (Jacob is just 18 years old).
  3. Eye Black
    Alex Speier's Boston Globe article, How the Red Sox made the Chris Sale trade happen, includes some detailed information about the discussions that led to the Thornburg trade. Below is a snippet from the article.
  4. Eye Black
    Chris Kusiolek speculates Bickford's path this season may include extended Spring Training, Biloxi, and Fall League...
  5. Eye Black
    Not to mention with Preller running the show I wouldn't put it past them to be very liberal with placing Diaz on the DL in order to get through stretches of the season.
  6. Eye Black
    Brewers take Caleb Smith, LHP from the Yankees Here is his Baseball Reference page.
  7. Eye Black
    Tough to see Miguel Diaz go, a guy I had been legitimately excited about.
  8. Eye Black
    I do find it interesting that the offseason discussion that led to this trade started from a call by David Stearns to inquire about Travis Shaw. I would have figured it was the Red Sox who were the aggressor, but apparently the Brewers sparked the conversation (although I believe the teams discussed Thornburg prior to last season's trade deadline as well).
  9. Eye Black
    The prospect return in this trade was shocking to me. Good for the White Sox, they did an honest evaluation of the state of their organization and have rewritten the script for their future in just two days. With their crosstown rival winning the World Series the White Sox have focused on taking a step backward in order to add top end impact talent to their organization, and they have plenty more major league trade chips left.
  10. Eye Black
  11. Eye Black
    Don't be! Just having fun with you and I drug the previous post out too much!
  12. Eye Black
    I probably should have consolidated my previous post into 140 characters. Looks like Jonathan Mayo confirms that the Comp A draft picks are set for 2017.
  13. Eye Black
    Well it appears we have our answer, the Brewers are going to receive a Competitive Balance Round A pick for next year's draft along with the following teams: Cincinnati Reds, Miami Marlins, Minnesota Twins, Oakland Athletics, Tampa Bay Rays In addition to those 6 teams receiving Round A selections it looks like another 8 teams will receive Round B picks, those teams: Arizona Diamondbacks, Baltimore Orioles, Cleveland Indians, Colorado Rockies, Kansas City Royals, Pittsburgh Pirates, St. Louis Cardinals, San Diego Padres Not sure of the actual order within each round as the teams are listed alphabetically. The teams who receive Round A selections for the upcoming 2017 draft will also receive Round A selections in 2019 and 2021. They will receive Round B selections in the other years, but receive additional money to spend on the international market in those years. The deductive reasoning used for the above information is a combination of sources including the previously linked MLB.com article which states the following relationship between the international draft and the competitive balance picks: Then we found out from Ben Badler's Baseball America article on the International Bonus Pools that the Brewers are among the teams assigned to get $5.25 million in international bonus pool money this year. The 8 teams (including the Cardinals) that are assigned to receive $5.75 million in international bonus pool money should receive Round B picks this year. When the Brewers alternate to a Round B draft pick in 2018 and 2020 they will be allotted the higher international bonus pool.
  14. Eye Black
    The Nationals reportedly offered Victor Robles, Lucas Giolito, and Reynaldo Lopez for Chris Sale. I think that would have been a much safer return with not much sacrificed in terms of upside. I think the White Sox are going to ultimately regret turning that offer down, but it will at least provide an interesting trade retrospective in about 5-7 years.
  15. Eye Black
    I feel they would just be better off sticking Calhoun at 2B so I am not really sure Arcia is a fit with the Dodgers. They would be on opposite ends of the defensive spectrum, but Calhoun's bat may overcome that liability.
  16. Eye Black
    Alex Speier put together the Red Sox top ten prospect rankings for Baseball America and ranked Dubon #7. Back in November he joined the podcast for SoxProspects.com and had some very encouraging things to say about Dubon. Skip to the 27-minute mark for about 5 minutes of discussion about Dubon... SoxProspects.com Podcast: Episode 109 - Alex Speier
  17. Eye Black
    Dubon finished 7th in the AA Eastern League with a .909 OPS (270 plate appearances). The league was packed with top prospects, he finished behind guys like Austin Meadows (.976), Dylan Cozens (.941), Yoan Moncada (.910), and ahead of some good hitters including Amed Rosario, Andrew Benintendi, David Dahl, Bradley Zimmer, Chance Sisco, Clint Frazier, Dominic Smith, etc.
  18. Eye Black
    ...But then the Nationals realize they still want to upgrade their outfield and trade for Ryan Braun sending back one year of age 38 Jayson Werth (at $21 million, ouch) as well as Reynaldo Lopez, Juan Soto, and Drew Ward. Ok, probably a little far-fetched and a different thread. Now back to your regularly scheduled programming...
  19. Eye Black
    I am also very curious how the initial Competitive Balance selections are going to be ordered within Round A and B. Based on Jonathan Mayo's MLB.com article it appears the initial order will be based on a combination of revenue and record. Also, as many as 12-14 teams will be involved with a similar criteria as before, the smallest 10 markets as well as the lowest 10 revenue earners qualify. Not sure if the formula to set the order weighs one factor greater than the other or how far back in time they will go to measure revenue and record. Below is the relevent portion that indicates record and revenue will set the order of the initial groupings:
  20. Eye Black
    Heading into his age 32 season, Mark Melancon is reportedly on the verge of signing a 4-year, greater than $60 million free agent contract. I realize Melancon has a much longer track record than Tyler Thornburg, but it isn't a stretch to envision Thornburg as a better reliever moving forward. I am fine with the Brewers holding on to Thornburg or even looking to extend him at some point down the road a year or two, but I have a feeling there are going to be some enticing offers for him this off-season and leading up to next year's trade deadline. In my opinion Thornburg is a more valuable trade chip than Will Smith if the Brewers decide to go that route.
  21. Eye Black
    That's a head scratcher of a quote to me. I know he wants to praise the new players, but Haniger's entering his age-26 season, hasn't been particularly impressive at the higher levels of the minors overall (& keep in mind the western part of the PCL is notorious for greatly inflating offensive stats) and I never remember reading anything about him when he was with the Crew that indicated he could handle CF full time. I know he was praised a lot for his makeup & approach, & seems like a 'baseball guy's baseball guy'. But that quote just stuck out to me as being way embellished. I agree, the "high ceiling prospect" tag seems exaggerated. The narrative with Haniger is that he completely rebuilt his swing over the past year (LINK) with a series of changes that have reportedly led to more power with greater ability to hit to all fields and recognize pitches. This Fangraphs Article does an excellent job of recapping some of the advances Haniger has made. While he didn't have a great MLB debut, I found it interesting that in terms of average exit velocity, last year Haniger ranked in the 95th percentile in the majors. I am curious to see if the new swing and approach produce successful results in the majors over the coming years.
  22. Eye Black
    If the Dodgers had reservations about giving up Bellinger in July, he hasn't made it any easier since. He had a great Arizona Fall League showing, here is a nice summary from Baseball America:
  23. Eye Black
    Baseball America's Top 100 High School Prospects compiled by Hudson Belinsky.
  24. Eye Black
    Some nice praise for Mitch Haniger on Twitter...
  25. Eye Black
    Funny to think how amazing that trade would have looked on paper for the Brewers at mid-season in 2014.
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