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3and2Fastball

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Everything posted by 3and2Fastball

  1. 3and2Fastball
    Very good point about context. I argue context quite a bit in favor of players from an integrated league vs players from MLB prior to 1947 (or the Negro Leagues) so it wouldn't be fair to turn around and try to ignore context just to support my own point of view in this case. I'll crunch some more numbers on Soriano and look at his career more closely.
  2. 3and2Fastball
    Soriano has a 112 career OPS, both Morgan and Brett are over 130. Maybe their career numbers sort of compare to one another, but taken in context they really aren't in the same stratosphere. Yes that is true, however OPS+ is somewhat of a strange stat. It is challenging to put up a huge OPS+ if you play in Wrigley or play for the Rangers. The one year Soriano played for Washington he had a 135 OPS+ ... I tend to look more at Total Bases as opposed to OPS or OPS+. George Brett averaged 302 Total Bases per 162 games in his career. Soriano has averaged 324 total bases per 162 games in his career. If you look at Total Bases + Walks + Stolen Bases, then Soriano is even further ahead.
  3. 3and2Fastball
    it is crazy how lost he looks at the plate. Bizarre even. I've seen slumps before but this is something else.
  4. 3and2Fastball
    On the radio tonight Bob Uecker said he thought it should've been a 10 game suspension.
  5. 3and2Fastball
    Just wanted to add that after going through the numbers again, I realize that Alfonso Soriano does compare favorably to George Brett but not Joe Morgan...
  6. 3and2Fastball
    Looking at it further, Tony Gwynn had the highest career Batting Average among anyone who played their entire career in an integrated league. For that reason alone he probably deserves to be in the Top 25
  7. 3and2Fastball
    Tony Gwynn is a tough player for me to rank, and I think he's probably about where he should be at #55 although I'd probably move him up into the Top 40. On the one hand he hit .338 in a modern integrated league and the only season that he hit under .300 in his 20 year career was his rookie season, which is truly remarkable. Because of this I might be inclined to put him in the Top 25. But Gwynn basically was a singles and doubles hitter. His OBP was only 50 points higher than his BA, too. Rarely hit HR's but did average 36 doubles per 162 games. Missed a lot of time due to injuries. He did have some speed in his early career and stole quite a few bases but didn't really sustain that beyond 5 seasons. Because of all that it is very tough for me to rank him in the Top 25 even if he has the 10th highest career batting average in the modern era. If I was managing a team of All-Time Greats though, Gwynn would sure be a great choice as a pinch-hitter off the bench vs a RHP when you really needed a hit (career .345 BA vs RHP). Gwynn also had a .375 career BA in the World Series
  8. 3and2Fastball
    A few of the players who are poorly ranked in this list are Brooks Robinson & Alfonso Soriano Brooks was an incredible fielder and a good hitter who was very good in the World Series, but if you start looking closely at his numbers, no way does he deserve to be in the top 75. Maybe an argument could be made for Brooks, the complete player including his defense in the top 100 (similar to Ozzie Smith) Alfonso Soriano, while we still don't know how steep his decline will be, had a rare combination of power and speed. 5 seasons of 35+ HR's and 4 seasons of 35+ stolen bases plus averaging 40 doubles per 162 games. If you start looking at Soriano's total bases (including stolen bases and walks, although Soriano hasn't walked much) he begins to compare to players like George Brett and Joe Morgan and no way does he deserve to be ranked as low as he is in the 400's. Soriano has averaged 34 HR's and 26 stolen bases per 162 games during his 14 year career. One of the very few 40/40 players and I think he deserves to be in the Top 100. Seriously. http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/soriaal01.shtml
  9. 3and2Fastball
    He got suspended 4 games (according to MLB Network) and is appealing the suspension
  10. 3and2Fastball
    Ishikawa's 2 Home Runs last night means that Green won't start much for a while unless Travis goes 0 for 10 in a stretch. Small samples are what Roenicke thrives on
  11. 3and2Fastball
    In our house we call him "I Claudius, Master of Baseball". Ahh yes, back in the days of 2005-2007 when you had to humor yourself during Brewers games and look forward to the youngsters from the Minors that were on their way I hope we don't ever need Vargas again. Vargas had a 1.912 WHIP for us in 2010. Seriously there is no one better out there?
  12. 3and2Fastball
    Countdown to Tony LaRussa coming out of retirement to manage the Angels? Countdown to the revelation that Albert Pujols is actually 35 years old?
  13. 3and2Fastball
    I believe he deserves a 15 game suspension (seriously) but will likely get 5-7. He was very close to the ump when he threw his helmet and he threw it right at him
  14. 3and2Fastball
    Bill James' "Runs Created" stat has Rickey Henderson at #10 http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/RC_career.shtml Henderson is #1 All-Time in Runs Scored http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/R_career.shtml
  15. 3and2Fastball
    Absolutely Rickey Henderson belongs ahead of those guys, if we are looking at this in terms of Offensive Value. A guy with a .400+ OBP who is the greatest base stealer of all-time is going to deserve to be ranked way ahead of Clemente, who while he hit .319 for average, didn't have the OBP, didn't steal many bases and didn't make up for it with tremendous power. If the object of the game is to score runs, i.e. get on base and advance to home plate, Rickey Henderson is easily one of the top 20 hitters of all-time... I actually think an argument could be made to put Rickey closer to #10 or #11 rather than #20 A key stat with Henderson is Total Bases Plus Steals Plus Walks: Henderson had 4,588 Total Bases plus 2,190 Walks, plus 1406 Walks for a Complete Total of *8,184* Barry Bonds had 9,048 Hank Aaron had 8,498 Ty Cobb had 8,000 Babe Ruth had 7,978 Willie Mays had 7,868 Stan Musial had 7,811 As best I can tell, Henderson is #3 All-Time in Total Bases plus Walks plus Steals Henderson ranks 4th all-time in Times on Base behind Rose, Bonds, Cobb. You add in the Stolen Bases and he's ahead of all those guys except Bonds Someone like Pujols may have a credible argument to be ahead of Rickey, based on his .417 career OBP and 1.026 career OPS and 42 HR's per 162 games (!), however Pujols is "unproven" in terms of the All-Time greats, i.e. we don't know how steep Pujols' decline will be....
  16. 3and2Fastball
    Apparently Shoeless Joe Jackson & Vada Pinson are the only other 21 year olds in MLB history (along with Starlin Castro) to have 200 hits, 20 steals, 35 doubles and 65 RBI's in a season
  17. 3and2Fastball
    What do folks here think about the potential of Starlin Castro? He doesn't walk much and he doesn't hit for power, but he sure does seem to be a talented hitter: a .308 career batting average with nearly 400 hits already as a 22 year old, and he's batting .333 this season with 12 stolen bases. Do you think Castro is a guy who can contend for the batting title year in and year out? Potential superstar? Or just a real good player whose liabilities with the glove and with OBP will prevent him from being one of the greats? Seems to me that right from the start at age 20 he's always been able to hit
  18. 3and2Fastball
    I think speculation as to "such and such team is interested in Josh Hamilton" is true to the extent that every single MLB team, all 30 of them, are interested in Josh Hamilton. It all comes down to dollars and cents and if it makes sense. But every team would like Josh Hamilton on the roster...
  19. 3and2Fastball
    Chorizo won the race in the 12th inning of the game on Friday. He probably needed a few days off to rest after that
  20. 3and2Fastball
    My main hopes for Braun in drawing walks have little to do with hopes for more effectiveness and more to do with purely a fan based thing: Braun is my favorite player and I'm hoping he'll someday be thought of as one of the greatest players of all-time.... so I'd like to see him with a career OBP over .400 and a career OPS in the .970-1.000 range which would then compare favorably to the very best ever. His slugging % is already in the top 15 all-time so the place where he can most improve his career OPS is by drawing more walks.... I know, it isn't very rational, but that is the fanatic part of being a fan....
  21. 3and2Fastball
    still no word on Weeks' injury, huh? It sure didn't look good
  22. 3and2Fastball
    Hamilton now has 17 HR's and 40 RBI's with a 1.336 OPS! In 30 games played. On pace for an 83 HR 196 RBI season
  23. 3and2Fastball
    I see he has Tyler Naquin going just ahead of us to Arizona. It would be pretty tough to pass on Naquin if he drops to us. He may project as an OF but that guy can hit for average I like Joey Gallo's potential a lot. I like Addison Russell's potential even more. Even if Russell doesn't stick at SS, his bat will play somewhere (maybe 3B?) Sounds like the college position players are the weakest class in a long time so it makes sense to look for a high school bat
  24. 3and2Fastball
    Ramirez, Gonzales and to a lesser degree Braun are all players who will rip at 1st pitch fastballs, so I don't think it is a team-wide thing. Lucroy, Weeks & Gamel are known as players who will work a count more.
  25. 3and2Fastball
    I've been following Hunter Morris for awhile now. He is a guy who tore up the SEC in college ball, a .386 BA, .460 OBP and 23 HR's/76 RBI's in 64 games for Auburn in 2010. He has potential. I don't put much stock into Brevard County hitting stats, that is a pitcher's park if there ever was one.... Morris needs to walk more, he needs to get back to the 80-100 points above his BA for OBP that he displayed for all 3 of his college years. He's probably still adjusting to the pro game and to wooden bats. Right now in this season he is hitting .303 with a .357 OBP, so it appears he's starting to "get it" in terms of taking his walks. He has just 2 HR's in 35 games, but he does have 16 doubles. He's starting to project into a Lyle Overbay type, which wouldn't be so bad at all. I think he can be a starting 1B in MLB. He has the work ethic and the background to do it. Hopefully he can finish up the season in AAA this year Here is a cool article about him http://www.al.com/sports/index.ssf/2012/04/the_home-grown_star_hunter_mor.html
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