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3and2Fastball

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Everything posted by 3and2Fastball

  1. 3and2Fastball
    Probably a good signing. Cueto is somewhat inconsistent and has had a few injury concerns so the contract has a little more inherent risk than many of it's type. He should pitch well in that stadium and in that division. The money the Giants put into Cueto & Samardzija could have just been spent on Greinke, which I think would've been a smarter move. Meanwhile, it sure has been a strange offseason for the Dodgers. I imagine they'll try to trade for starting pitching now? Corey Seager for Wily Peralta & Jimmy Nelson!
  2. 3and2Fastball
    A strikeout, for the hitter, is, in general, better than hitting into a double play. I say "in general" because a ground ball hit into play will not (of course) always end in an out. Who is playing SS? Yuni B or Andrleton Simmons?
  3. 3and2Fastball
    Personally I think the Heyward signing was fantastic, but only if they play him in RF where he is elite defensively. Acquiring great defense is a smart way to help build a roster. I feel in a similar way with the Angels trading for Andrleton Simmons which I think was the best move of the winter so far. The Brewers do have one tremendous trade asset: Jonathan Lucroy Drafting smart, developing players and letting players go in free agency (or trading them prior to free agency) is a tried & true way to build a team. Hopefully with Stearns now in place we will never again sign aging 30-something free agents I think there are some innovative ways that the Brewers can & will approach strategy & analytics that can give them a competitive edge. That, in part, was a key to the Royals success. The Brewers don't necessarily need to model themselves after the Royals (elite bullpen, athleticism, high contact hitters, great defense) but it is certainly smart. Getting out ahead of whatever the next trend will be would be even smarter. Defining that trend and putting it into place in 2017-2018 would be smartest of all.
  4. 3and2Fastball
    I think a lot is being made in terms of the Royals putting the ball in play a lot offensively, and there is probably something to that. To what degree remains to be seen. I think a bigger aspect of their success is their elite bullpen, overall athleticism, above average if unspectacular starting pitching, and defense
  5. 3and2Fastball
    All it takes is one team willing to overpay though. I would imagine that teams will be waiting to see how the Gordon/Upton/Cespedes signings shake out
  6. 3and2Fastball
    Josh Lowe is, indeed, the play at # 5. He has the glove, the hit tool and the speed. Check out that Double @ 1:20 of the video. He can flat out fly. 95 mph across the diamond at 3B with an elite lefty bat and 6.6 60 speed. I wouldn't hesitate to pick that kid at #5. 6'3" frame too Check it out around the 1:50 mark: he's almost at 2nd when the ball skips the fence.
  7. 3and2Fastball
    Adam Lind is an often injured 1B on the wrong side of age 30, with one year left in his contract, who cannot hit LHP at a MLB replacement level. The question would be better posed as: has Adam Lind ever been this overvalued? The answer, unfortunately, is yes.
  8. 3and2Fastball
    Big picture, if asked: Who would you want on the roster --- Tulowitzki at 15 million a year or Segura at 1 million a year, my choice would be: Orlando Arcia
  9. 3and2Fastball
    One thing I will add in terms of comparing players: there is value in players who are in the lineup every day. We can say "well this guy is better but he was injured" or "that guy was better but he was a backup to a star". I'm not real big on the "what if" game. I'd prefer to look at the facts of what actually has happened. Projecting future results based on the past is, of course, murkier In a larger context look at the comparisons of Willie Mays & Mickey Mantle: Mays was clearly the better defensive player and had a better arm, but on offense Mantle obliterates Mays. However Mays averaged about 30 more games per season than Mantle. So in one fifth of the season while Mays was playing way better defense than Carlos Gomez could dream of all while hitting 40-50 HR's a season and being a disruptive force on the basepaths, Mantle was on the bench while his backup played. That's why I'd give the nod to Mays. Now I'm not saying Segura is an All-Time great or anything, just using the above as a big picture example. Segura has been durable and hustles all out. There is value there. Would I rather have Tulowitzki for 85-90 games a season than Segura for 162? In a vacuum, yes. But in the larger context of a roster, and how much is owed Tulo, and depending on who else I have to provide offense, it isn't quite so clear. Now for all we know Tulo may never get hurt again and Segura might average 40 games a season for the rest of his career. It's a roll of the dice when looking at player personnel.
  10. 3and2Fastball
    Carlos Correa & Francisco Lindor look like potential superstars. It'll be interesting watching their careers. Reminds me a little of when Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez & Nomar Garciaparra were all young players. Lots of tremendous SS talent coming up these days. Hopefully Arcia can be one of the greats, too. No matter how much we might disagree as to how we view Segura, I think we all realize that his place in the lineup is just a holding spot until Arcia is ready for MLB.
  11. 3and2Fastball
    According to FanGraphs, Segura is 13th among all MLB SS's between 2013-2015 in Defensive WAR, 9th in Batting Average, 2nd in Stolen Bases, 11th in BABIP It is true he falls below the median in wOBA & wRC+ .... it depends on where you place your value. The Royals have shown that athletic ballplayers who put the ball in play, steal bases, and play strong defense can help win a lot of games Again I would say that Jean Segura for 2+ months of what turned out to be below average Zack Greinke was one heckuva trade. One of Melvin's better ones.
  12. 3and2Fastball
    In 2015 among MLB Shortstops, Jean Segura ranked: 18th in WAR 9 in Defensive WAR 19th in Offensive WAR 20th in wRC+ 20th in wOBA 14th in Batting Average 19th in Slugging 2nd in Stolen Bases 12th in BABIP He is a legit starting SS in MLB. He isn't Troy Tulowitzki or Brandon Crawford, of course. But he has plenty of value. He's far from the worst SS in MLB
  13. 3and2Fastball
    Ya, I would disagree. His couple hot months almost cost the club a lot as he was offered an extension but thankfully turned it down. We might actually have been stuck with him for awhile while paying him for 2 months of success. Well, lets be really real about this: Doug Melvin cost the club a lot in offering extensions to players based on a small sample of work. Bill Hall, Corey Hart etc etc
  14. 3and2Fastball
    2.3 defensive WAR out of Segura in the last 3 years isn't horrible, especially after suffering through the Yuni B fiasco. Segura just hasn't been able to hit well enough in the last 2 years. He's given us just 4.8 WAR over the last 4 seasons. Personally I think his 4 WAR season in 2013 alone at SS was worth a few months of Greinke, but others will disagree.
  15. 3and2Fastball
    Like it or not, the Cubs & Astros method of rebuilding was having several years of horrible teams and amassing talent through successive Top 5 Draft picks The Brewers pick 5th in 2016. Wouldn't be surprised to see them picking in the Top 5 again in 2017 Such is the way of Major League Baseball
  16. 3and2Fastball
    A perfect signing for the Cubs. They just got a heckuva lot better.
  17. 3and2Fastball
    Another solid move that brings in a versatile young player with upside, and a lefty bat, too. I like it.
  18. 3and2Fastball
    Great to be rebuilding. The slow decline of 2012-2015 was brutal to witness
  19. 3and2Fastball
    Alvarez actually makes almost too much sense. If it is just a 2 year contract for reasonable money He's a name player who can help put people in the seats. My 12 year old kid and his friends would all be saying, "whoa, the Brewers signed Alvarez? Cool!!!" Plus Alvarez is a proven HR hitter. You can platoon him with Rogers. He just might have a great comeback year, too
  20. 3and2Fastball
    I have a sense that Stearns' plan, for the 2016 Brewers, is for them to be better than the 2015 Brewers even while rebuilding. Let's let things play out a little to see the complete picture
  21. 3and2Fastball
    Last year's team would have been insanely bad with Yogi Berra or Johnny Bench behind the plate. OK, maybe 7 or 8 wins better, still insanely bad, still in 4th place. Just with a worse draft pick in 2016 (!) Bingo. We have a winner
  22. 3and2Fastball
    Walker is an upgrade over Murphy, I believe, but he'll be a free agent over 2016, right? Good trade for both sides
  23. 3and2Fastball
    I wholeheartedly join you with that sentiment. It has been a long long time since I was this optimistic and excited about the future of the Milwaukee Brewers
  24. 3and2Fastball
    Speaks to the likelihood of more trades coming, i.e. Lucroy and/or others for multiple players who would be added to the 40 man Please forgive my ignorance: at what point in a player's minor league career does a team need to put them on the 40 Man or risk losing them? Thanks in advance
  25. 3and2Fastball
    One season of a 3 WAR guy who has been frequently injured and cannot hit LHP's? That isn't going to bring back Taijuan Walker.
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