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3and2Fastball

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Everything posted by 3and2Fastball

  1. Zack Greinke's new contract essentially amounts to One Million Dollars per start. Think about that for a moment or four.
  2. Harper will be 26 when when he hits free agency. I'm predicting he will be the planet's first half billion dollar athlete
  3. It certainly makes sense to give him a shot. A young left hand hitting 3B who has hitting potential seems like too good of an opportunity to bring in as an undervalued asset
  4. I feel confident that Stearns and his crew have scouted out multiple other elite pitching options who are "ace potential" but do not have as much injury concern as Bundy.
  5. Wow that is pretty funny. The reactions on Twitter when an athlete or celebrity tweets is a bizarre look into the dynamics between stars & fans. Shows why so many stars are hesitant to speak their mind!
  6. Lord have mercy, Chris Carter last year .199/.307/.427 w/ 24 HR's. Russell Branyan would be proud.
  7. Oh Yuni B. Yuni had a -6.6 WAR (not a typo, negative six point six) from 2008 to 2013 while earning over 14 million dollars during that time. That still just blows my mind.
  8. Braun has also been proven in clutch situations and in the postseason. Which, (despite Sabermetricians dismissing such a thing), I think has real value in if nothing else human perception, which still drives value & trades more than computers. (I think/hope.)
  9. Exactly correct. I think they have learned that lesson, or at least the new GM knows it very well. Look at the Top 5 MLB Pitchers in WAR in 2011: Halladay Lee Verlander Sabathia Weaver Investing big money in long term contracts for any of them for the 2012 season and beyond would have (and in the case of most of them in reality) result in disaster. I will admit I was very wrong in wanting the Brewers to break the bank for Sabathia way back when. Very very wrong.
  10. If Doug Melvin was still the Brewers GM, I would put it at a 50/50 chance that the Brewers bring in Pedro Alvarez. He'd be a perfect "Melvin'esque" player in that pseudo "win now" pathology they preached in recent years. If I am reading David Stearns correctly, there is no chance they bring in Pedro.
  11. Smart move by the Brewers as he's not young and they have traded for utility players who they think they can develop. But as a fan I will really miss him. He's the kind of player I find easy to root for. Enthusiastic, very good defense, hustles, etc and I tend to root for the guys who had a struggle making it. I hope he lands with a team that is a good fit for him and has a great 2016 season.
  12. I doubt PED's have gone away. Players are much more savvy as to masking agents and keeping secrets now. (Just my opinion) We are in the midst of a historic pitching era combined with advanced analytics defensively (shifts, etc). That, in my opinion, is the biggest reason for the decline in league OPS
  13. Hear hear on that! Price plus Kimbrel is a big upgrade to the Red Sox pitching staff
  14. Can you elaborate on that please, that is interesting. You mean in terms if trading a long-term contract of a player with injury concerns the Tulo trade shows us that Braun is more tradeable than many think? That's a good point. Tulo, though, being one of the very very few very good hitting/very good fielding Shortstops, seems more rare and worth rolling the dice on. I'm not presuming that you think Braun has the same trade value as Tulo, more that you are saying Braun can be traded, correct?
  15. Well sure you could have a DH in the NL (I hope they never do) and then the subject would simply be maximizing pitcher efficiency. Since the Brewers are an NL team, and there isn't a DH in the NL, I thought it relevent to point out how using the Super Reliever concept while simultaneously taking the bat out of the pitcher's hand most of the time would increase production both offensively and in run prevention.
  16. By far the #1 way to improve offensive production in the National League is to not have the Pitcher bat, as often as possible. Even if you have 2-3 "Designated Pinch Hitters" hit for the pitcher 2-4 times per game (allowing for double switches) you wll have tremendously improved your average runs scored per game, all while better maximizing pitcher efficency. Yes, there will be extra innings games where you run out of pinch-hitters, but that is very much worth the trade in offensive production.
  17. I'm not buying what Bill James is saying, at all. 80 pitches and 2 days rest? Crazy talk. Maybe 50 pitches but not 80. Surprised James is missing the boat so much on this, he's often one of the game's great thinkers. Point is, pitchers are much more effective pitching in short stints. Compare John Smoltz' ERA+/WHIP/FIP/ERA- etc when he was a closer vs a starter. You take a truly great pitcher and let him throw just 2-3 innings max and he can be dominant. In order to make it work you'd probably need one "workhorse pitcher" who can go 7-8 innings every 5 games, to give the rest of the staff a rest. You'd also need more "Ben Zobrist" type super utility players as a team would likely need at least 13 players in the pitching staff, maybe even 14
  18. I am expecting Garza to be a salary dump/trade player prior to the season. The Brewers will likely have to pay most of the contract but in doing so might get a decent lower level prospect back. Garza might still have value as a 5th starter in a pitcher's park (thinking San Diego, for instance)
  19. Good signing for Detroit. A little risky of course but they need pitching & have money
  20. Does this include Minor League players? Everyone from the 40 man roster eligible? Or every player from the Brewers organization eligible?
  21. That contract is a cautionary tale as to how important it is to develop young pitching. Fortunately, Stearns already knows that. Random factoid: Ethan Happ, the freshman Basketball player at the University of Wisconsin, is J.A. Happ's cousin
  22. Lucroy in the 2nd half of 2015 .289/.347/.461 It is hard to imagine his trade value getting higher in the future. What Lucroy could bring back has the potential to be a cornerstone of the future Brewers franchise, especially if a top flight pitching prospect is included.
  23. I'm probably reading too much into a whole lot of things, but when I read David Stearns' quote: "In this industry, the game is, ‘What is the next frontier in baseball and where can we get the next competitive advantage?'" And I think about how the Tampa Bay Rays have somewhat gotten out front with this concept of limiting TTOP (time through the order penalty) and that Matt Arnold, who was a Rays front office person, was hired as the Brewers Assistant GM, I can't help but that think that some form of what we are discussing in this thread will be a part of the Brewers' plan/strategy moving forwards
  24. Here's an article on MLB.com by Mike Petriello that speaks to this very topic http://m.mlb.com/news/article/157383440
  25. The difficulty is trying to calculate how much more efficient a pitcher will be going from 6-8 innings per start to 3-4. We've seen pitchers like John Smoltz or Dennis Eckersley have all their numbers skyrocket in value (in terms of ERA+, ERA-, FIP- etc) when they only pitch 1 inning at a time (2 sometimes in the case of Eck) as opposed to when they were starters.
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