3and2Fastball
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Everything posted by 3and2Fastball
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I don't know. Front Offices are going to continue to look heavily at advanced sabermetrics. ERA-, FIP- etc..... if you post Mariano Rivera type numbers going 3-4 innings once every 4 games, I think you will have tremendous value on the market. I think pitchers like Matt Harvey, Jacob DeGrom, Jake Arrieta etc, if they knew they were only going 3 innings, 4 innings max could really let loose and put up astronomical numbers
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That would indeed be a huge challenge. How many times have we seen rallies end with 2 outs and the pitcher coming up? And then there is the intentional walk of the 8 hole hitter in order to face the pitcher with 2 outs. With the game very much in a pitcher's era, teams have to find creative ways to manufacture more offense. But yes, needing more pinch hitters and more relief aces does not add up to 25
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One of the ideas I've seen thrown around by the Sabermetric crowd is the idea of "Openers". i.e. you'd have Craig Kimbrel or Wade Davis pitch the first 2 innings of a game. In especially the 1st inning you are guaranteed to face your opponents Top 3 hitters. Ideally you'd want your best or one of your best pitchers throwing against them, then you'd go with your "middle guy" who is a former "starter/traditional starter" for 3-4 innings and then turn it over to relief aces I've also seen lots of talk of TTOP (or "time through the order penalty") in which they've shown that pitchers do significantly worse the more times a hitter sees them in a game. By limiting pitchers to 3 or 4 innings, the opponent would never get a 3rd at-bat vs them in a game. Also, in the National League, it would be advantageous to almost never have a pitcher hit. If you could pinch hit for the pitcher almost every time their turn in the order came up, you'd be essentially creating a huge offensive advantage over your opponent (at least until the rest of the league caught up)
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Villar went 3 for 4 with a Double & a Triple in the Caribbean Winter Leagues Semi-Finals game last night and led off tonight's game with a HR (game is being televised on MLB Network). Kid looks like the real deal
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Luis Sardinas to Mariners for OF Ramon Flores
3and2Fastball replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I'd be willing to bet good money that Stearns has talked to 15-20 teams on Lucroy/Lind/Braun and has begun negotiating trades on all of them. Trades like that take a tremendous amount of negotiating time. And sometimes nothing comes of it. In the meantime he is taking opportunities to bring in other young talent when trades present themselves To think that Stearns is ignoring trading Lucroy/Lind while focusing solely on utility players and longterm prospects is naive. -
Luis Sardinas to Mariners for OF Ramon Flores
3and2Fastball replied to markedman5's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Flores will be 24 in 2016 and put up .308/.401/.454 in AAA ball in 2015. Venezuelan Winter League in 2014 he hit .347/.435/.505 Not much pop but I like that he gets on-base. He hits lefty -
That is correct. Pre-2011: Rated #94 Prospect
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Yes. And Gennett is the only one who seems to be able to out-hit Pillar, and that is only vs RHP
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It could be, if a team offers a valuable return for Scooter. I think Villar will be a platoon mate for Scooter.
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I would not expect Arcia to play MLB until 2017 Interesting. I had not thought that at all. Im not sure what he has to prove at CS? Is there something he needs to work on? I would think they'd prefer not to start his clock in 2016. Maybe they'll bring him up in May? He hit .307/.347/.453 in AA in his age 20 season. Why rush him to MLB at such a young age when we are rebuilding? I would interpret the Villar trade as evidence that they won't rush Arcia to MLB. I also interpret Villar as the much needed platoon mate for Scooter. Could be wrong (of course!)
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I would not expect Arcia to play MLB until 2017
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He'll only be 25 years old next year. Tremendously versatile. He could platoon with Scooter at 2B. He can play SS vs the best RHP's if you want to give Segura a break, he can play 3B. This is one heckuva trade
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a switch hitter who is under team control through 2020, can play SS/3B/2B and hit .291/.361 vs RHP at the MLB level last season and you guys are complaining? Wow
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I think it'd be more like 3 or 4 "starters" who go 3-4 innings at a time (in other words, they never face a batter for a 3rd time in a game). You'd then have a bullpen full of Relief Aces. Flamethrowers in the Wade Davis mold who can pitch 1 to 2 innings at an elite level. Easier said than done, however I think MLB will gradually move towards that, with starters only expected to go 5 to 6 innings and then turn it over to the bullpen. Maybe 5 years from now starters will only go 4 to 5 innings. Hopefully it will help reduce arm injuries....
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Until you win the World Series and the every team does it. If starters only pitched 3-4 innings you could have a 4 man rotation. I apologize I'm getting way off topic here. Back to the OT: as the first day has gone by we are getting more & more positive reports on Javi B. He is several years from MLB but the kid has potential. I'll be fascinated to see Stearns' next moves. I'll say this" "expect the unexpected"
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Really really bizarre.
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Both of these young stars are rumored to be on the trading block. Fernandez is 23 & Puig is 24. Of course the Brewers would be considered longshots to trade for either of them, but they do fit into David Stearns' mantra of "controllable young talent". Fernandez especially would help keep excitement for the Brewers going among casual fans & ticket buyers during the rebuild. He is arby eligible in 2016 and would be a free agent in 2019. Puig is much more expensive but isn't a free agent until 2020. I'm not suggesting the Brewers trade for either, but they do present an intriguing possibility. Lucroy plus Braun for Fernandez as essential components of a trade would be a very fascinating blockbuster. Both would have huge trade value in the future if they actualize their superstar potential & remain healthy. Again: not predicting it is going to happen but I bet Stearns is at least exploring every parameter. He would need to determine if the Brewers could actually contend in 2018 (or 2017)
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Probably. Starting pitchers command huge contracts and might not be seen as valuable if the only go 3-4 innings at a time
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That is great to hear. People associate "Moneyball" with high OBP and HR hitters but Moneyball was really about finding cost effective ways to improve your team by acquiring underappreciated players. The Royals emphasis on high contact/great glove players will be imitated league wide. Javi B is exactly that type of player
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Great trade today w/ K-Rod. Young affordable talent is what Stearns will stockpile. I'm excited to watch the young Jedi work his magic.
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FWIW, what you are saying you hope is long behind us was our last playoff team and our first decent chance at a World Championship since 1982. I would not mind having more teams like the 2011 Brewers at any point in the near term. I understand that very well. However the MLB paradigm has flipped dramatically since then even more towards pitching, defense, and young talent
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People need to understand how quickly the game is evolving and how much Sabermetrics were applied in the Royals development of back to back World Series appearances and one World Championship. The Royals correctly built that team on pitching & defense. It doesn't take a sabermetrician to tell you that in most sports, "defense wins championships". The Royals took it a step further though with that incredible bullpen that shortened games. Give them a lead in the 6th inning and the game was essentially over. I think that is a trend that will only continue. The Royals also correctly determined that in a pitching era like we are now in, very athletic players who are high contact hitters are more valuable than the traditional old paradigm saber darlings with a high OBP and high OPS. Thus you have someone like Alex Gordon in LF instead of the traditional lumbering slow 1.000 OPS guy. They had athleticism at 3B & 1B. They had players who jumped on 1st pitch fastballs and "kept the line moving". They didn't get a ton of offense out of their middle infield, although trading for Zobrist really helped as a rental. All of this was determined through analysis by Dayton Moore and his staff. They used Sabermetrics to flip the game, and I love it. We have seen a paradigm shift. No doubt things will shift again sometime soon enough. We may eventually see "starters" who go 3 innings and a succession of relief aces who pitch an inning or two each in innings 4-9. We actually have already seen it: in the All-Star games
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I think we traded for a potential starting 2B. We are in a pitcher's era, get used to it. The days of putting together starting lineups of Fielder/Weeks/Yuni B that bungle or can't get to ground balls are hopefully long behind us. Pitching & Defense is where it is at. Javi B has a long ways to go but he's got a great glove and this hopefully indicates a change in direction in the Stearns era
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For perspective, Clint Coulter's numbers last year in the same Florida State league, which nobody seems concerned about since it is a notoriously pitcher friendly league A+ Ball: .246/.329/.397 at age 21 Javi B ranked 21st in Batting Average in a league against players mostly a year or three older than him. I'd say that, considering not only his glove but his age, he is more than a "fringe prospect" http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?t=l_bat&lid=123&sid=l123
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Craig was a good hitter outside of lacking power. Javier is coming off a string of 1000-plus ABs where his OBP has barely peeked over .300; you can't find a stretch like that for Counsell. But as others have said, it's probably fair to say that the jury's still out. Maybe Betancourt has Craig Counsell potential. Counsell had the benefit of entering into pro ball after playing college baseball Counsell Age 22 in A+ ball .280/.401/.380 Counsell Age 23 in AA ball .280/.366/.403 Counsell is also 6' 180 and had a strong enough arm to play SS in MLB Javi B is closer to Jean Segura's size Segura Age 21 in A+ ball .281/.337/.422 Segura Age 22 in AA ball .304/.358/.413 Javi B Age 20 in A+ ball .263/.304/.336