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brewcrewdue80

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Everything posted by brewcrewdue80

  1. That's sort of what I mean with my last post. People not wanting to mock Kyle Hamilton early because they've done that and want some different content. Drake London has started becoming the WR1A with Wilson looking at mocks and in the top 6-8! It's like refusing to go with best likely drafted and taking the #1 on the board for the teams 2nd need vs their highest need with a more likely higher up the board overall player. Seen Malik Willis not even drafted in 1st round while the other 3 QBs that make up the consensus top 4 were. Crystal Lava (seriously Closed Captioned every time) is more and more available in mocks for GB. (London effect) Seen Watson going to the Jets at 4 one time. Will say Wilson looks like a skinny HS kid on tape. Beyond slender! I'd question withstanding the hits forthcoming if the #1WR without bulking up some. Thinking there needs to be some thought on Pickens since he went up against Stokes. The scouting would certainly have some notes taken down considering they took Stokes in 1st round.
  2. Watching mocks lately and something became apparent. People who are streaming mocks within their own group are saying things multiple times of "I went with so and so the last time we did this. I want to do something different this time" And suddenly a guy falls beyond 10 or in to the 20s while you hear the next or 2nd to select say that ruined their selection and they wouldn't go for that guy who should have been selected due to not having the need. Opens up some perspective on mocks 3.0 and beyond being more wrong most likely than the first 2 mocks because the decision to not select who they would/should. Anyway GB is sitting in a great position to select the dropping player with 22 for say 10-16 expected and 28 for 15-21 expected falling. Then trading up in 2nd to take a 1st rd talent that is falling towards 40. So many multiples at the positions of need in the top 50 ranking. It'd be a blunder to not walk away with a B+ or higher grade when draft is done.
  3. After what GB just accomplished with Adams, gotta believe Seattle would just go that route and get a 1 and 2. They would get a future look at how well the QB they will draft works with an elite WR.
  4. With the Watkins signing the team won't be handcuffed on not selecting a shorter stature Below 6ft WR in the draft. So if the WRs they wanted are selected you maybe get that #2-slot who can add to special teams returns. It looks like half the WRs in this draft are below 6feet and 5 of top typical 7 are over 6feet where all 5 may be picked before GB has their chance..
  5. Imagine a 1 year deal 4mil with Rodgers targeting you as #1 WR. And the comment is he'll just get hurt? Can you see the money being thrown to WRs? 1year to show he can remain healthy and show with an elite QB the numbers he can provide. For his next contract. Big day for GB, Rodgers and what the team outlook is for 2022.
  6. Ok So I watched some breakdowns on Alec Pierce, and couple things became apparent. 1 Pierce has possession WR written all over him by how well he commits to making the catch. 2. As a result of his tenacity to ensure he catches the ball, he is often falling to the ground vs making any Yac. Ridder the QB underthrew Pierce very often though as Pierce outran Ridder's arm(Something alarming to me that whoever drafts Ridder will find themselves looking for a new QB in 4years) The underthrows left the defenders right on top of Pierce so the Yac skills just may need a better thrower to his speed. Pierce wins at completing the 50-50 jump balls with his size and hands and that tenacity he must catch the ball. I see now why he's not in the 1st round discussion because he won't be breaking plays and taking it to the house making defenders miss tackles. He showed an ability to separate from the CB after his first move and has the speed to make the catches 20+yards downfield. Tenacity to make the catch, but not the tenacity to break it open and in to the end zone. Unlike George PIckens. Fun video watching what limited amount there was. Eric Stokes teammate 2years ago and Pickens for as well as Stokes is showed the ability to beat Stokes....not every time in the few plays shown, but you could see on Stokes face he wasn't invincible vs Pickens. Pickens is the complete opposite of Pierce after he makes the catch. He wants to get to the endzone with the ball in his hands. Highlights showed he was a playmaker and he has the speed 4.4 40(Pierce 4.41) and moves to expect him to do so. Definitely at the next level he will score more yac TDs than Burks or Pierce. The ability to create and win at line of scrimmage with such a little history I couldn't infer a determination on. He is shifty and agile and has attitude on making plays. Notch another WR with Burks/Watson/Pierce to be just fine with when GB selects them.
  7. Think we are overreacting on the age thing. Majority of these young men were coveted and given scholarships to play football in college as a senior in HS before they graduated. General 2-4years before turning pro to enter the draft means they are 21/22. 2020 happened though so you may have a player 1 year older because the extra year of eligibility. So the rarity is being 23 and older to even be drafted, much less your team then actually selecting such a player. There may be just a handful typically where they are 23 or older and actually drafted each year. As to Raimann himself, hes at a position where I see no reason to look that route and address in the 1st round. He drops(and realistically happening) at 53 or 59 if you don't see talent exceeding what he can bring, go ahead pull the trigger. I think it's becoming apparent Williams with his ACL is still going to be thought of as the #1 WR in this draft. Wilson #2 and after that it seems like a tier of 6-8 names who anybody would clamor is 3rd best. I seen something on London in regards to some sorta OPS number that has predicted the poor results of certain WRs drafted with high regard. Reagor was in that list. Yet at the same time I've seen a few mocks he's going in top 12 1st even WR off the board. Generally I see mostly Burks being there at 22 to select though not always mocked to be the pick by GB. Olave has gotten the choice over Burks if he was available. Yet for whatever reason, Sky Moore seems to be the name you wouldn't expect over Burks to end up being the mocked pick. I can't see GB using a 1st rd choice on a short WR when Amari Rodgers is 5'9" Jones is 5-9 Hill is 5-10 Dillon is 6 even. Lazard at 6'5" But we're talking Lazard as your #3 WR. You just can't line up another sub 6foot WR option for Rodgers to work with as #1 or 2 WR. Dotson is another one below 6 feet. You gotta believe any WR 6feet and below is being lowered on GB's big board til the 3rd rounds and later. I think you include Olave in that to small a build to insert as 1 or 2 from day 1. Burks has to be the WR you see GB taking with Watson or Pierce as #2. I mean there is London and that OPS stat scares me away who could be tied at 1 with Burks. Since the team has been a high RAS seeker I figure the OPS slight would keep London off GB's radar.
  8. Seen a little bit on mocks and it gave me this insight on a trade or twice in the 1st round. Seems a few believe KC will move up to draft a new WR1. ahead of GB at 21 or a few picks higher. I've also seen Seattle mocked the QB from Ole Miss Matt Corral. McShay suggested with the #40 pick. You could gain draft capitol with 2 stones here. KC has 29 and 30. GB very much can just offer KC their 22 increasing the likelihood they get their WR for KC's 30th pick. at 28 you are ahead of KC's 2nd pick and get the next option or 2 at WR with it. Now having heard about Seattle looking at what is essentially the 4th QB on the board Corral, There's the 5th year rookie option gained by selecting him in the 1st. Detroit is apparently in on the 3rd QB which is Desmond Ritter from Cincy. at #32 But who knows maybe the two like the same QB or Det is just happy to let a guy fall down to them. But you're talking moving from 22 to 40 with 2 trades that net you additional 4th round picks or say you manuever a 2nd that gets both Seattle's 40-41. We've seen the likes of Watson or Pierce as high boom potentials. Maybe the trade down comes from 28 for 40 after selecting you WR at 22. Don't know how the OL rank tier wise as compared to what WR rank tier-wise. Pulling something off where you drop to 30 from 22 and then gain 40 and 41 could provide a decent chance to grab 2 of 3 of the two types who fall down beyond expectations. The 4th round selection I seen and heard Jeremy Ruckert as a potential huge fill at TE with what is said NFL blocking talent from day 1. The fact he was so far down the offense go to after Wilson, Olave and the RBs they use, he figures as a potential sleeper as a pass catcher grade. So while not Woods you gain a new and younger Mercedes Lewis to play with. I looked at trade pick values and Seattle checks in at 990 for 40-41. Gb checks in at 970 for 28 and 59. The 30scenario after trading down with KC would require 53 and both fit 990. But I'd imagine you would want a lil extra for that 5th yr option so maybe Sea 5th for GBs 7th. Something to watch for though since values on 28-59 fall just a touch in GBs favor.
  9. Just remember he played with a WR 1 who should get drafted before Olave as to why you didn't see another WR close to that chart. Every team is playing WR1 worse than his teammate and he's WR2. As to my previous post, I would so love to see the teams BPA big board. How they rate their guys or tier them. What their "we need to trade down ifs" or we need to trade up if" are. Do they use a need to draft by round from this tier? Or is it like many of fantasy drafters everywhere where Gutey falls in love with 1-2, 2-3, say 3-5guys he expects to draft with that rd's pick and when the others have been selected he does whatever possible to get that last player? This draft will tell where he's at. Because staring at 4 picks in first two rounds, the needs the team has, and draft mock boards, he should be able to make 4 checkmarks finding the needs the team most needs.
  10. Who was going to start at safety for GB in 2020? Traded Dix, Gutekunst acquired Amos. The issue I've stated a long time was Gary was in a tier of at least 6 similar type players at the time. Gutey was unable to pull a trade to move down and acquire extra draft picks. 12 down to 21 is 400pts on trade calculator. 30 up to 21 is 180pts. 220 pts is equivalent to 10th pick of 3rd round. More points to move up and acquire Savage if you didn't use your pick on him right there. Montez Sweat went 26th and has outproduced Gary. Deebo Samuel was drafted 36th. Wasted opportunities on being aware if 6 players with say grade 88-89 at position you plan to address and trade values going from 50points per selection to 25pts 6 below yours screams trade down. So much volume wasted. And Love that had no reason to be move up for. Most of 2nd rd is 10 pts per selection. Starting from 7th selection 2019 PFRef has 6 1st rd with 20 or higher car pts. 2nd rd 5 of them. 3rd rd 4 of them. 2020 make it 13pts or higher from 7th selection- 9 in 1st 10 in 2nd. 4 in 3rd. It's almost like the blueprint is to trade below 18th selection and use what 4th and 5th you can to acquire 2nd or early 3rd selections who dropped far below projected value or just can't believe on your board is there. Maybe Gutey realized this for 2021 by staying put. And he'll do it again with the 4picks they own 1st and 2nd.
  11. Apr 25, 2019: Seahawks traded 2019 1st round pick (21st overall, Darnell Savage) to Packers for 2019 1st round pick (30th overall subsequently traded, Deandre Baker), 2019 4th round pick (114th overall subsequently traded, Dru Samia) and 2019 4th round pick (118th overall subsequently traded, Hjalte Froholdt) 2 4th rd picks higher cost than I remembered. St killers. Steenburgen was 3rd selection 1 pick before Terry McClaren 2 picks before Chase Winovich. Loves 4th rd led to GB selecting Deguara in the 3rd who was projected 5th and 6th rounds
  12. Brewer Predictions. Wins Milw-101 StL-88 CHC-79 CIN-71 PITT-64 Cy Young Burnes Best Hitter-Willy Adames Rookie of Year- Think Ashby will be only one to qualify Bold prediction-Adrian Houser inserts himself as 2nd best pitcher on team Disappointment-Urias and 3b woes. Health. 3b will be the biggest position covered in trade deadline move. World Series here we come. I've hit the ads twice while writing this. SO goodbye.
  13. Won't lie but I would fear that their trade to acquire a 2nd pick ahead of us could result in them running a combo QB-WR ahead of us knowing we are selecting one in the 1st round. Interesting to look at WalterFootball. There the big board they have has Alec Pierce at 25. https://walterfootball.com/scoutingreport2022APierce.php There are 26 strengths listed. 2 weaknesses. Basically his ability after the catch to break it for big chunks of yards. Further down they make a comp to him believed to be Jordy Nelson as who they could see him being. I can get that if you watch the very last catch he makes in that video they have for him. Fully feels like watching Jordy up the seam in to endzone. At least if you miss your favorites(Olave, Watson, Burks, or Datson) It almost reads that Pierce could be darkhorse #1 of the group. You wouldn't need to get upset that you missed on the other top WRs. Reading up it would sound like the duo of Burks and Pierce then would compliment the other. Above someone mentioned looking for 2 OL in the first 4 picks. I see 1 being likely but the 2nd should come in the Runyan 6th or 7th round selection. Jenkins and Myers are recent 2nd round picks. With Bak locked up, Runyan's production, you are kinda wasting a chance to improve the team elsewhere if Bak and Jenkins return to form. LB or someone on the defensive front should be considered in 1 of the 4 picks.(if Gutey allows us to have 4picks in 1st and 2nd rounds) 11 of Walter Football's big board would be that type from 32-60. Datson is the only WR that is in that range. Only 3 OL in that range. Those in the trenches guys always see a few drafted later than expected. Though typically a lot of those are 1st rd expectations that are selected by the time 50 rolls around. As the draft rankings shape up it would feel like what GB needs are where the talent filling those needs are projected. We should have a good draft.
  14. And I get that sentiment 100pct. I don't think he can reach elite #1 WR status due to that. But I would absolutely believe he's somebody that comes in and helps from day 1. Line him up at #2 or slot and let the intelligence and winning aspect of him get that part of the game done for you. He's bigger sized in weight and could see a speed increase by slimming down and working on finding that extra half step or full. I think with Rodgers and seeing his game film, Burks stands a good chance to gain trust and be targeted. There's just that possession and winner look I see the team and Rodgers needs. We still gotta find the #1 type but at #2 I think we'd be set there by selecting Burks big time.
  15. So Packers FB posted a prospect primer on Treylon Burks. It was eye-catching. So go find some more video to watch. This young man right here you want on your team. You just see it. He's the Smartest guy on the field. Arkansas used him on so many different types of plays or routes, and Burks just owned them all. Typically you watch a highlight film and it's got too many similar type of plays. It felt like each highlight was for a different skill you want to see #1? Multiple different versions showing it. Slot? He showed going through the middle of field wasn't going to hold him back. Getting the ball to run a sweep or screen and he was going to get you yards and possibly break it big. I mention smartest on field, 1 sorta messed up goal line play he flashed open knew was about to be and had that signal to throw him the ball. It was high and behind yet still made that tough catch. Zone defense, QB rolling out he couldn't have presented an easier target for the QB. He recognized the zone broke off what appeared to be an out to sidelines and sat between the sideline defender and who was trailing in the middle. Maybe he had a bad combine. But that game tape shows me he would be an instant fit for Rodgers and Lafleur. The plays you see MLF call were covered successfully by Burks in highlights. You had Adams-MVS-Lazard while being able to run jet sweep. Dare I say DK Metcalf type? Watson hype was knocked down not 1 but 2 pegs.
  16. Looking at a draft trade value offering 22 and 28 would acquire Washington's #11 with a little workaround for something else back in the 4th or 5th round grading or a player. That would be the Make a trade to get ahead of division rival and take somebody they may have considered. Though I don't see Minnesota with a need for WR from PFF mock. They do list SD and NO as teams who need a WR at 17 and 18. Running a quick mock first WR is drafted at 10. If these type of events play out you are staring at the possibility where GB moves up to select the #1 or #2 graded WR in the draft with having the draft capitol to do so. Garrett Wilson was that #10 pick. Drake London and Jameson Williams at 12 and 18 with being questionable due to injury would not make sense for GB. Olave and Burks at 20 and 21. So how much do we love Garrett Wilson over Olave or Burks? Seems Wilson was thought as around 8-12 a long time while London rose post Williams injury as well as Burks. Williams can not be realistically drafted in the teens. ACL tear will keep him out a long while before even returning to action as a Rookie. Aside from WRs What need who may be a top 12 on draft board would you expect GB to trade up to acquire should they drop around there or that you would want to see them trade up and draft if falls in the 10-15 selection.
  17. Watch Gutey trade up and pick a QB and trade Love for a 6th rd selection. Seriously though Gutey having 2 1sts and 2 2nds, I don't see how he avoids trading up. In all likelihood he has his decision made up who he will trade up for if they reach a falling point. Olave for instance, I could envision he's convinced Olave won't make it below 17th selection and should he make it through 15th pick trades up to 16 to select him. Sure you can appreciate the aggressiveness, but he's done it twice where the projection was below that selection. That's what pains me using high draft capitol and overpaying on the toy using it on. Then somebody slides of course and you are unable to move up and get that new toy on a discount. 22 and 28 is perfectly reasonable to use 1 and trade down in to very early 2nd rd. It seems lately the at least 4 of first 6 2nd round selections are players expected to have been selected in 1st round. The draft capitol for trades really drops on what it takes to move up. Think I've said something like this before but I'd love to fill a draft with 2nd 3rd and 4th rd picks and make nearly none in the 5th-7th rds.(1 preferably for drop value) UDFAs seem to hit as much or more with impacts to the team than the 6th and 7th rd guys.
  18. Btw I seen a replay of Giants? St game. Is it me or is Joe Gray's swing nearly identical to Cain's? Love to see an overlay of the two.
  19. Yelich should be considered for Leadoff. He's great at swiping bags when he gets on. The concern for OBP is an odd concern. Hey should see better protection with the 2 and 3hitters to bat behind him with 0 outs. If Yeli can find a way back towards MVP Yeli, it will be a simple move back to 3 in the order. Doubt it happens because of Wong and Handedness L/R/L. I'd also mention confidence being removed that he's a 3hitter and placed leadoff to start the season might wreck Yelich's psyche even more. We haven't seen this yet in ST have we? Let's get the season started and adjust. Hiura hitting bombs again like 2019 could work to Yeli in the 3spots favor.
  20. Yelich should be considered for Leadoff. He's great at swiping bags when he gets on. The concern for OBP is an odd concern. Hey should see better protection with the 2 and 3hitters to bat behind him with 0 outs. If Yeli can find a way back towards MVP Yeli, it will be a simple move back to 3 in the order. Doubt it happens because of Wong and Handedness L/R/L. I'd also mention confidence being removed that he's a 3hitter and placed leadoff to start the season might wreck Yelich's psyche even more. We haven't seen this yet in ST have we? Let's get the season started and adjust. Hiura hitting bombs again like 2019 could work to Yeli in the 3spots favor.
  21. In case we'd forgotten. Pina is no longer on the team. Severino is working with these Stud Pitchers of ours for the first time. I think there's going to be some adjustment period. Never-mind that they have had a shorter time working together at this point than normally to this point. When the ST games started and I seen 3 or 3+IP by starters right away I was like whoa! We are exceeding 2IP Starts already? Forgetting that the ramp up time is reduced. Seen Something on Degrom needing something checked or sore. It's going to be a brutal season for Starting Pitchers. A big reason I'm good on what they have done. If we make the season without 3 or more pitchers that start games for us not needing the 60day DL or season ending DL Ill be amazed.
  22. That is unbelievable to have such a low to 1 odds. First 15seed to make Elite 8. This bet was to win the National Title? Marquette should have had higher odds than 200-1. 2500-4500-1 would seem more appropriate for a 15seed. And I still wouldn't put a dollar down.
  23. And he's pretty much where the line changes to slot size WRs except Watson it seems from next tier of WRs projected below Olave. Watson when compared to those guys it's not only his height advantage but he has longer arms, larger hands, better jump ability and top of the line speed. I so want a guy that should dominate jump balls in the end zone. Corner routes or crossing back of end zone. It takes but 1 offseason to have a guy deemed light for their size to bulk up. Which when you read the cons on NFL writeup seems to be his combined negative. "Can get locked up at LOS, Not winning enough contested hand catches. Not winning strength on jump contended passes. Less willing to cross middle field" All seems simple to address if he's underweight to size. Different logic would be he's filled out for his size and has these cons. Another con was seeming to mistake jump balls. Well Rodgers is pretty damn accurate with aversion from traffic where higher throws get picked. This con isn't a huge concern with ARod.
  24. Well seems I found the guy to target via a WalterFootball WR rankings. #6 Christian Watson 6-4WR 4.36-40. North Dakota St. 32.5 Arm 10.13 Hand. Project a late 1st rd potential and certainly early 2nd rd. A comp listed Chase Claypool among N'Keal Harry and Elijah Moore pre draft. Surprise in senior bowl with a note that he had excellent explosion in jumps at combine. Besides the speed. Tell me how you can pass on the measureables along with the speed and jump? I now have a name to hope for in the draft. About last post Penning was my 2nd 1st selection it was Nakobe Dean who I took with 1st since he fell and Playing for Georgia which is a battle tested experience to produce those results. Edit: And now I see his Father played 5 years in the NFL. Dude. you have got to target Watson. The work ethic and results on his Athleticism for 6'4" WR more than likely a result of a father upbringing his kid to NFL style trainings. Dad was a CB maybe that was the push and desire but he overgrew that.
  25. I took a mild 1 look see mock on pff. And also had an NFL.com mock with names to see what was written up. The WRs are plenty short. 6ft or under it seemed graded at or below our picks. Considering we have Amari R. I dont like that type in the 1st rd and I think went Tackle Penning and an Edge Rusher or ILB. 2nd rd picks those shorter WRs were gone And just felt draft was over. The names or positions didn't feel like a fit. I think now it had to be an ILB because Chenal was there and I didn't want to double down on LB picks. The Jist I got out of this is GB will need to move up and grab one of the taller WRs with higher grade to truly get the type to put on outside. They will clearly have ammo with 2 1sts and 2 2nds to get that guy(Gutey moves up in 1st 2 times already) so who is the top 20 WR in draft that we will be moving up for? Edit add. There seems to be a very large number of smaller Div 1 programs in this drafts top 50. I'm not the most enthused opinion on drafting these types when maybe 1 game played a year was vs a Top tier Program. I'd rather stick with the more experienced in first rd who have played vs NFL type speed and strength more often than somebody who will be learning and adjusting to adapt to it that first year or two on 1st rd selections.
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