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SoCalBrewfan

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Everything posted by SoCalBrewfan

  1. SoCalBrewfan
    Reading Geno's read on the White Sox bullpen makes me think that he will be delighted to read the following from the trade rumors forum:
  2. SoCalBrewfan
    The thing with the Cubs is that they're having their run and still haven't managed to catch the Brewers. Yeah, if they play .750 baseball the rest of the year, they'll win it going away...but they are very likely to cool down. And if they cool down and are still in second, do they have another run like this in them? There are encouraging signs....the rotation pitched well this time through with the obvious exception of Suppan. Hall will be back soon, and rested, and eventually Sheets will as well. And Spurling, for that matter. Suppan remains a question mark, but I expect him to stabilize things. All told, though, I think our youngsters are tired...162 games is a long season, and there are going to be ups and downs.
  3. SoCalBrewfan
    Seriously, are we stretching out Wise to become the new once-a-week long man? Seems to me he used to pitch in longer stretches, but Yost has recently seemed allergic to allowing relievers multiple innings, with the exception of one designated guy...which used to be Villy. Maybe Villy is now officially the Seventh Inning Man and Wise is the BurbaHelling.
  4. SoCalBrewfan
    For a team that has had the best record in its league, a nascent superpower and dynasty in the making, this must be considered a slump.
  5. SoCalBrewfan
    Actually, wouldn't it be more than a week, since Wise can only pitch one inning every 2-3 days? Yeah, well, at least a few games you'd think. Does Yost want to stretch out Wise and make him a once-a-week long man, giving Villy the job formerly held by Wise?
  6. SoCalBrewfan
    With the Wise hit, every spot in the batting order has one....except cleanup. Graffy/Counsell on base seven times with 5 RBI.
  7. SoCalBrewfan
    OK, hold on a minute here. What is Wise's role in the 'pen? I thought he was a setup guy to be used sparingly in holding leads in the sixth or seventh inning. Giving him 2 IP here means he's unavailable for at least one game, right? Huh?
  8. SoCalBrewfan
    At this point, Yost could probably pitch well enough to hold the lead. Perfect spot for Parra.
  9. SoCalBrewfan
    I'd assume Parra for the 8th, and the 9th if all goes well. But I have gone crazy trying to outguess Ned and Maddux. Parra would get Montero, a lefty, followed by a PH and then the SH Davanon. Good spot for him to break in I'd think.
  10. SoCalBrewfan
    The one concern about trading Wise away from T-Bow is the same concern when they took Angelo Dundee away from Tyson? Or Rodman and Jack Haley?
  11. SoCalBrewfan
    Does a five run lead mean Manny Parra makes his debut?
  12. SoCalBrewfan
    I could be way off, but I don't think 4/$50 is going to get it done. That's less in average value than Halliday, less than Buerhle's recent 4/$56M extension. Ted Lilly got 4/$40 from the Cubs. And of course the Brewers gave Suppan 4/$42...Sheets can see firsthand what a $10M free agent pitcher looks like. While I don't want to think about Zito, and most people think SF was crazy, you know Sheets noticed that deal and thought, hey, I am a good bet to be better going forward than Zito. (Which he is, I think.) Zito's deal, 7/$126M, *averages* $18M a year. If Sheets gives up years by signing for 3 or 4 years, I'd assume he'd do so in exchange for a greater average value...say 4/$75M? 4/$80? Russ had a discussion with tangotiger about this a while back, and as I recall there was a pretty wide range of estimated value per year, but the low end in 2009 was on the order of $17M. (Edit: found it, and tango says $17M - 26M.) rluzinski.blogspot.com/20...worth.html
  13. SoCalBrewfan
    I would actually be pleased to see the team use some of its minor leaguers to pick up a pitcher. That, to me, is one of the key roles of a farm system...not only to fill holes on your team from within, but to provide attractive chits in the trade market. We've got depth, and pretty solid guys in the high minors whom we are unlikely to use in the near future: Gwynn, Jackson, Escobar, etc. And there's enough ammo in the system that I think you have to consider moving a top ten prospect if you can get a pitcher who is more than a rental...Inman isn't going anywhere, but you have to assume most other pitchers and any position player to be fair game in the right deal. (Maybe you exclude Salome since that's one spot where we don't have an established young player on the roster.) My sense is that Melvin is less reluctant than many bf.netters to include prospects in deals if he can improve the team...Nelson Cruz and Dana Eveland come to mind.
  14. SoCalBrewfan
    This is his worst season, and he's been struggling with forearm tendonitis for the last few months. Sounds like a perfect fit for Milwaukee. Acquiring him might also give fans another target for their wrath, and thus deflect some of the criticism that Sheets currently gets...
  15. SoCalBrewfan
    The various injuries could drive down his price a bit, but what does that mean? Would it be more likely to affect the years, the dollars, both? Burnett was a greater health risk IMO, but got 5 years nevertheless...so I think Sheets can get five years. Oswalt at 5/$73M is a reasonable comp...or Halladay's extension at 3/$40M...you're looking at $15M /year probably. (Let's not think about Zito.) Even if you think he's not as good as those guys, FA contracts go up every year, so by the 08-09 offseason the going rate for a guy like sheets might well come out to be 6/$96M or more. It could well be that the minor dings Sheets has endured have minimized the wear and tear on his arm, but there's a lot of risk from the Brewers' point of view.
  16. SoCalBrewfan
    PWI?
  17. SoCalBrewfan
    A trade for a good, but not spectacular (above average) starter would not surprise me in the least, and I would love to see it. As I said in the trade rumors forum, I could see a minor move for an inning-chewer like Jamey Wright or Kyle Lohse, but I don't expect they'd do that until they see how the new recruits respond.
  18. SoCalBrewfan
    Carleton College, bachelor's in Physics. I did some grading and working at the Math Skills center, but also worked housekeeping...the Saturday / Sunday early morning crew, which was, um, exhilarating. (Due of course to the aftereffects of Friday / Saturday night.) I also worked at the US Postal Service Bulk Mail Center one fall when I was not taking classes (due to an off-campus summer program.) I was also an RA for a year, which was a pretty good deal all things considered. Then, after a couple of years in New Orleans, University of Washington (Seattle), MS and PhD.
  19. SoCalBrewfan
    Getting a top-flight starter is not terribly likely, but maybe the Brewers could do it if they are willing to move prospects and/or a guy like Gwynn. Otherwise you're looking at relievers or guys like Kyle Lohse and Jamey Wright. I wouldn't be totally stunned to see a guy like Wright acquired to eat some innings, but I also think they will try to cover things internally first.
  20. SoCalBrewfan
    The guy has hit in the minors, but with relatively little HR power, and in very favorable hitters' environments. He doesn't have a lot of defensive value, and hasn't played a lot of LF or done so well. I don't see him as a good fit for Milwaukee given what he'd cost.
  21. SoCalBrewfan
    Well, this stretch will be one to watch...if I'm a Cubs fan I see an opportunity here, with Hall and Sheets out and some questions elsewhere. Balfour and Parra have pitched as well as you can in AAA, but it could well be a rough stretch for the pitchers. If the rotation can remain solid for the time being, with Capuano and Suppan picking up some of the slack for Sheets and our minor league reinforcements adapting successfully, that gives the team options in a few weeks, whether that be in the trade market or for internal rearrangement. But we've seen a lot of youngsters falter in this situation before, and I fear a cascade effect if starters leave early and relievers are taxed...fortunately we've had the break so arms should be fairly fresh, but there have already been a lot of bullpen innings this week.
  22. SoCalBrewfan
    Well, somebody was arguing that point on draft day (I don't remember who, so don't you moderators accuse me of baiting http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif ), but I never saw the reasoning behind that argument...you'll see that Lucroy got slot money as did most of our picks.
  23. SoCalBrewfan
    I only wonder whether the same people who talk about clogging up the basepaths also talk about how home runs kill rallies.
  24. SoCalBrewfan
    It's too early to tell of course, but that's a discussion that people will have again and again. Makes me wonder if that draft will start to be talked about like 1985, in which college hitters taken in the first round included Surhoff, Will Clark, Bonds, Barry Larkin, Incaviglia, Palmeiro. Right now it's hard not to like Braun, but I think the consensus has been that Z has the best defense and Gordon the best potential with the bat. Braun might be the most well-rounded player, though, and he's obviously started off on the right foot in the majors....we'll see where he sticks long term.
  25. SoCalBrewfan
    I have mixed feelings about the Mariners this year...I kind of hoped they'd really crater so Bavasi could be expelled from town. Now with the team's resurgence and this resigning the odds improve that he'll hold on for another few years to be sure. Maybe he'll even get an exclamation point: Bavasi! I think the team is a bit fluky at this point, but they've outperformed my expectations. They have obvious places they can improve, but I don't count on Bavasi to push the right buttons here...pulling the plug on Vidro and bringing up Jones is a step in the right direction though. This contract, well, it's a lot of money but I think Ichiro will age better than many players do. He has those young-player skills that have been found to age better than old-player skills, so he seems less likely to have the mid-30s collapse that I'd expect of a slugger like, say, Sexson or Carlos Lee.
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