Jump to content
Want to get your head around free agents the WORLD CHAMPION Brewers can spend on this winter? Click here and check out our top 75 free agents ranking! ×
Brewer Fanatic

KeithStone53151

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,435

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by KeithStone53151

  1. KeithStone53151
    One thing to keep in mind, you can't exclusively protect all our lefties against all LHP. And Moose/Shaw/Thames/etc will only be worse against lefties when they face a lefty starter or situational lefty if you rarely let them hit against LH starting pitchers. It's not something you want to do over the course of an entire season. It's probably unlikely that Perez starts against every lefty, and Shaw/Moose will for sure see quite a few LH starting pitchers. It's an identical argument with Perez against RH pitching. Playing the matchups makes sense in September and October, but not for an entire season.
  2. KeithStone53151
    This is super pointed. I feel like he's basically calling out the other side. That's not a really good way to get a player to sign with you, I bet he's frustrated with the Boras clown show.
  3. KeithStone53151
    The players union should be applying a little pressure on Machado and Harper to sign. They are clearly holding up the market on a lot of those other guys. I think even one of them signing should unleash a barrage of signings. Well right, the crux of it for anyone that didn't read...one of Harper/MM signing could cause the teams that missed out to increase their offers for the remaining player...so both players are worried they won't maximize value by signing first. Also apparently both agents are still portraying strength in negotiations. I don't think it's at all fair to solely blame the teams or the players. It's not fair to expect teams to basically write a blank check and let Harper or MM fill in whatever $/years they want. That seems to be the expectation of Josh and all other agents/players.
  4. KeithStone53151
    Passan posted this article, I specifically looked at item 1...Harper and MM. There's some interesting stuff regarding the 2 agents and overall dynamics of their potential signings. http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/26002896/the-bryce-manny-stalemate-latest-mlb-free-agency
  5. KeithStone53151
    This guy hasn't pitched in the majors since 2015, and only has logged 4.1 total MLB innings. Fangraphs has him as a 95/85 FB slider only guy in that limited work. It looks like he had some success in Japan over the last few years as a reliever. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=jackso001jay
  6. KeithStone53151
    This type of thing might happen once in a while, but it won't be the norm. Heck we saw it happen in 2018...Josh Hader pitching 2.2 innings and striking out 8 Reds is one example of it. The strategy that was almost universally shot down is the idea that we won't have a set 5 man rotation and will instead employ some sort of piggyback scenario where guys only go 3-4 innings at a time but maybe pitch every 3-4 days instead of every 5 days. I'd have to look back at the specifics, but it was pretty bizarre and only works on paper. I think most here fully expect quite a few outings by relievers that include anywhere from 4-8 outs, but that isn't some sort of new/cutting edge strategy...every team in baseball had multi-inning relievers last year. Once in a while, Guerra will finish up a blowout...or Hader will be so sicknasty that you just let him pitch 3 innings and finish it. But those won't be common and will probably only happen a handful of times over the course of the season.
  7. KeithStone53151
    Does the .2 represent 2/10ths or 2/3s? 5.2, not 5 and 2/3. You can do a quick search for 2018 brewers stats on fangraphs and punch the figures into a calculator.
  8. KeithStone53151
    I see the starting rotation in a much better spot (both talent-wise and depth wise) going into 2019 than 2018. Therefore, I think I'd take that bet. I think I'd take that bet also. That stat includes the September nonsense, and as noted...our SP will probably be better in 2019 than 2018. Chase and Davies struggled more than expected, Miley/Guerra were solid yet very inefficient and won't be back in the rotation. If anybody struggles, we have excellent young options that are ready and can fill in. CC will probably have a somewhat quicker hook than most managers, but I still doubt it's as low as 5.2 innings per start again.
  9. KeithStone53151
    Looking through that list, yeah maybe 8-10 should have major league contracts. The rest are prove-it minor league deal types at best...or simply AAA or out of baseball at worst. In what universe should every free agent get a contract?
  10. KeithStone53151
    I couldn't agree more with this, very well said. If you gave us the choice of billionaires or millionaire players getting more money, almost everyone is going to choose the players. Players/agents simply have a message/strategy problem right now.
  11. KeithStone53151
    Not a bad move by the Cubs. I'm sure their fan base will be underwhelmed, they are used to spending a lot of money on mediocre guys...must be quite the shock to instead spend a minimal non-guaranteed amount on a mediocre guy.
  12. KeithStone53151
    Would Bill Michaels actually know anything like that? I feel like he's throwing numbers out that make sense to him.
  13. KeithStone53151
    Agents complaining about teams leaking information... oh please. I think the majority of people agree with a lot of the complaints the players/agents have, myself included. But they couldn't be handling it any worse. On Twitter, Josh is calling people who don't agree with him morons and just being a general troll. Is that really how a professional should be handling this? I tend to agree with you that the current market conditions are unfavorable and unfair for players, but I just think the argument the agents/players are bringing to the table is wrong. They are calling collusion simply because they aren't getting their way, teams have grown smarter and they can't adapt. Every fan that pays any attention sees how these big deals work out for teams, and don't want to see their team signing a player to a bad contract. How screwed would the Brewers be if Cain turned out to be like Heyward? Cain, who was signed to a market value contract in the middle of this so-called "collusion"...by the way. The big long term contracts are super risky and can cripple a franchise for half a decade if the player fails. The right argument should be to get players money earlier in their career...in their more productive years.
  14. KeithStone53151
    Wouldn't it be fair to consider it tampering for all the agents to cry to the media about how unfair and broken the system is in the midst of serious contract negotiations? Isn't it also incredibly hypocritical for the players union to complain about teams allegedly leaking rumors through the media...when agents have been doing it for way longer and continue to do it? The actions of players/agents right now, are simply not going to garner any sympathy from anyone...and rightfully so. Try approaching this situation like professionals and adults...you'll garner more sympathy and probably be more successful. https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/why-manny-machado-bryce-harper-and-other-free-agents-have-reason-to-be-upset-over-leaked-contract-values/
  15. KeithStone53151
    I find this weird. I'm sure Rosenthal didn't make this up. I can understand liking a guy much more than industry, but it's weird to me that they liked him better than Medina and other options. Then again, it is Marlins front office...
  16. KeithStone53151
    We still had pitchers getting yanked early and cycled in your Williams, Albers, Zagurski, and 10 other guys to pitch the 5th through 7th inning (or 9th) when the bullpen was out of gas or a blowout. It was even better in September but we operate on an abbreviated version of it prior to September. Well right, 10 other guys filling 7-8 bullpen spots. Not a 5 man bullpen caused by this piggybacking nonsense. I wouldn't be overly surprised to see our starters not go super deep into games unless they pitch well, but when I say that...I mean they'll pitch into the 5th-6th inning fairly consistently. We have a lot of multi-inning relievers so you have 7-8 guys to cover 3-4 innings most games...and most of these guys are able to pitch 2-3 innings if needed. We need more multi-inning relievers because we haven't invested as heavily into starting pitchers.
  17. KeithStone53151
    This happened a bit ago. If I remember right, the surgery was successful...but I don't think they are 100% safe yet at this point. I would check Jimmy's instagram account, he posts updates on there often enough.
  18. KeithStone53151
    It worked last year and we're risking that it works again this year. It's our only way forward. Just like the Mets are praying that Jacob deGrom's arm stays healthy or Cleveland hopes for Kluber to pitch to his norms this year (this is a special case where they may win the division no matter what). We're risking a very contingency-based bullpen management strategy in lieu of having frontline aces. No, it worked in September and the playoffs last year. Throughout the regular season, we had 5 starters and 8 relief pitcher...and operated as a bullpen normally does. The biggest difference we may see this year is more multi-inning relievers, but we won't see the September type stuff that everyone seems to remember so well from last year...at least not consistently throughout the season.
  19. KeithStone53151
    He had the thumb injury, which you just never know with hand or wrist injuries. It hasn't seemed to be an issue since then, and all his other injuries were freak injuries that aren't any more likely to recur or cause long term issues. I'd personally really like to know what teams are offering and what his asking price is. I'd think this situation was a bit more absurd if he had any other agent than Scott Boras. Who knows what that delusional clown is asking for...for all we know he has a 10/400M minimum and hasn't budged an inch from that asking price. That's why I find it silly for all these players to be crying foul, unless of course they have more info than we do. It's notable that all the best 4-5 FA besides Machado are repped by Boras...and Machado has his own issues of being a lazy "me-first" player and clearly holding out hope of being able to take less to play for the Yankees.
  20. KeithStone53151
    I don't think it's THAT great a deal for the Phillies. Aside from having a Degrom caliber season, maybe Nola could have gotten 4-5 million more overall in arbitration and then $25 million per year in FA. So he's taking a $45 million guarantee, which will likely be worth $57 million with the option...versus risking a best case scenario of maybe $80 million max($30 million in arbitration and $50 million in his 2 FA years. If I'm Nola, I do this all day every day. That guarantee sets you and your kids for life no matter what happens on the diamond.
  21. KeithStone53151
    I thought this was noteworthy as a bit of a benchmark for pitching value. The deal includes $2 million signing bonus and salaries of $4M, $8M, $11.75M, and $15M. There is a club option for $16M with a $4.25M buyout. This covers 3 arbitration years and 1 year of free agency...potentially 2 years with the club option. If Nola continues pitching himself into the top 10 of cy young voting every year for 4 years, he left a lot of money on the table...but this is a pretty nice guarantee for a 25 year old. He'll also be able to hit free agency again at age 31.
  22. KeithStone53151
    Why do you say that? Hader, Jeffress, Knebel handled late innings in close games all of last season and none of them were over-worked. I think what we miss sometimes is this list of 13 is just the initial list. They will use at least 10 other pitchers over the course of the season. That's how the middle innings get eaten up, even some of the starts. I guess I shouldn't point specifically to the late inning plan, but you can't have 5 options for innings 6-9 every game. I don't care how good you are at shuffling from AAA, it's not sustainable...especially when the inevitable extra innings games happen. This bridges into the whole 1st out getter thing(which is just a fancy way of saying starting pitcher) and piggybacking...all this stuff works well on paper when everything goes perfectly to plan...but that's not reality.
  23. KeithStone53151
    If your goal is to completely wreck the back end of the bullpen by July, this is a great plan. Joe Maddon would be proud.
  24. KeithStone53151
    A couple tidbits from McCalvy. Nelson throws a 45 pitch bullpen with full arsenal, and Burnes is told he will be a starter in 2019.
  25. KeithStone53151
    Disagree on almost everyuting you wrote Kluber >>>> Peralta Shaw> Moose Is it more valuable to pay $20 million for a 3.0 ERA or $500k for a 3.5 ERA. If Kluber blows out his arm, we still owe him big $. If Peralta blows out his arm, sure we lose the talent but much easier to adjust with so much less $ involved. This is a super simplified example, but there is so much more to consider than simply X pitcher is better than Y pitcher.
×
×
  • Create New...