KeithStone53151
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Everything posted by KeithStone53151
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If this happens, I'm happy its the Phillies and not the Reds. I know that Phillies team is going to be tough, though. In the end, I'll just be happy when its over and Realmuto is on a new team. It has reached Chris Archer-level of speculative annoyance. I have Realmuto on my dynasty fantasy baseball team, I was sorta kinda hoping for the Reds for that reason...but frankly getting him out of Miami will definitely help his production. The deal as reported is Sanchez + Alfaro but working on additional pieces. This will probably be a bit more than I expected, but Sanchez has a ton of risk with his upside so I can understand it a bit more. All depends what the 3rd piece is. I can't imagine it's Bohm or Haseley, I also think it would be weird if it was Moniak just because he was 1st overall pick.
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In case anyone was considering becoming a Marlins season seatholder. Postseason priority for as little as $120...
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This seems like a done deal to me. And I wouldn't be surprised if a Harper signing was announced in the next handful of days.
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Maybe today this saga finally ends. Now if only the other 2 sagas would end as well and we could focus on baseball.
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I've seen rumors of the Phillies jumping into the mix, with the Marlins wanting Sanchez. I think he might be the best prospect that the Marlins could realistically get, given the risk associated with him. Of teams that are in on both Harper and Realmuto, those teams know adding Realmuto increases their chances of getting Harper.
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What's the purpose of having 14 position players when one is a DH? That seems incredibly stupid. This would seriously hurt the value of guys like Perez that can play multiple positions. It's almost like they made a list of rule change proposals with the specific intent of negatively impacting the Brewers. The only one that really wouldn't hurt us is the 3 hitter minimum, because we tend to have guys go multi-inning more often than not and very rarely utilize a LOOGY. I also generally disagree with rules that prevent Maddon from singlehandedly destroying the Cubs bullpen by late-August.
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Oh this would be such trash to decide to add now. You can't make changes like this a week before guys report for Spring Training. This is the type of thing you decide on now, with the plan to definitely implement in 2020. This is crazy sloppy. I frankly don't really care whether they add the DH in the NL or not, but they should plan better than this.
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Just because the top 2 players don't have offers from 27 plus clubs does not equate to collusion. Seriously. Comments like this make it obvious that you have no concept of the big picture. You think 27 teams should be bidding on a guy that reportedly turned down $300 million? Enough said...
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There is a TON of middle ground between blaming the players and owner collusion. It's completely possible and likely that many will blame the owners, but at the same time not think they are colluding. What many here think including myself, is an unfortunate set of circumstances is leading to players losing a percentage of the total revenue. This is not ok and needs to be fixed, but the solution that makes sense is not to go back to handing out 5-6 year, 9 figure deals to above average players in their early 30s.
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I doubt we were in the market for him, but still somewhat relevant.
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I personally agree with your $150 million number, but again not every year. The Brewers would probably lose money if they had that payroll and won 72 games, whereas they'd probably have a bit of a profit margin if they won 98 games and made the NLCS again. Again, this is all opinion.
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Can you elaborate on that please? We know on a factual basis that the Brewers cannot afford another $40 million in payroll? The consequences would be that the Brewers would lose money? With the value of the Brewers increasing $750 million since Mark bought the team, I would beg to differ. But I am open to the contrary point of view The Brewers payroll in 2005 when Mark A bought the club was about $43 million per Cots, and Mark A bought the club for $223 million. We are looking at a $120-130 million payroll right now. So payroll has roughly tripled while the franchise value has quadrupled if the $750 million figure is accurate. Those don't necessarily have a direct correlation, but it definitely helps the argument that the Brewers payroll is roughly where it should be. The Brewers overall valuation increasing means it's highly likely the Brewers have been overall profitable, but it doesn't mean we have $750 million lying around to throw at payroll or anything like that.
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Not every team has a revenue stream to support a payroll at or near the luxury tax. That's a dreadful argument. I know a lot of teams aren't trying to win as most teams are utilizing a 60 win or 100 win mentality, but even if every team tried...half the teams in baseball could not support a luxury tax payroll without losing money. I would be curious if you assign any blame to some of the players on these monster deals who started to coast once they signed. Like Pujols, who hasn't tried to even keep himself in shape since he signed the big contract. For every Scherzer, there are at least 3 Pujols or Hosmer or Russell Martin or Victor Martinez or Hanley Ramirez or Sandoval or pick your guy that signed a big contract and immediately was terrible. I get that you're in the room and you know more, but I don't need to be in the room to see how badly most of these contracts work out for the team. The days of these big contracts for guys in their 30s are over, you should probably be more interested in trying to adjust min salaries and team control rules to get players more money sooner.
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2019 Farm System Rankings & Prospect Valuations
KeithStone53151 replied to sveumrules's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Accorinding to this list, it looks like Brewers top 30 will drop March 1st..... http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2019?list=ari -
I don't think gio is what makes that rotation good. I think I could be the number 5 starter and it would still be a heck of a rotation +1. I think it's weird that they'd want Gio unless they have no decent prospects or internal options. With that many established guys, that's a good situation to put in a young guy if you have one.
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The things I've said that you disagree with just haven't happened yet. You'll come around. I didn't want to dirty the other thread, but this is EXACTLY the type of arrogant non-sense that ruined the last thread. What is wrong with you guy? I'm trying to figure out how you function in your daily life if you are anything like this in the real world. You're welcome to your own opinion, but it's just that...an opinion. Nothing that we've disagreed on is factually provable yet or definitive one way or the other.
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To Extend or Not Extend: Corey Knebel
KeithStone53151 replied to Harold Hutchison's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Youd be very wrong to use the word "cheap" for any reason next time. LOL! I wouldn't laugh so hard at that. If Jeremy has 2 more strong seasons and stays healthy, he'll definitely get paid. But that's far from a certainty in this game. I don't think it's wise to guarantee a big payday next time he hits free agency. -
While I disagree with collusion being the likely reason for players struggles in FA, I think many are oversimplifying this with the argument of players getting signed to bad contracts in their 30s and teams getting smarter. That's only one piece to the puzzle. Is it fair for Josh Hader to be getting paid $550k this year? Absolutely not, he'd be worth probably $10 million per year on the open market...at least. Players were willing to overlook this severe injustice in the name of competitive balance, so long as they still got the big FA contracts which maintained their share of the revenue. I think Josh's primary argument is that it isn't fair for Josh Hader to make $550k this year and then for teams to get smarter on players in their 30's and stop doling out the big contracts. And on that he's absolutely right, that isn't fair. The collusion cries are a bit silly though. It's not like every team all of a sudden got smart at once. Most teams can't and don't bid up in those territories anyways, and the ones that did have slowly realized how bad those contracts are. Teams stopped hiring the Dave Stewart's of the world and started hiring guys like Stearns, who are better suited to analyze data and maximize their value. And again, collusion doesn't make sense when there still are quite a few guys getting big contracts the last 2 years. Corbin, Cain, Eovaldi, Darvish, Hosmer, etc...you didn't see that in the other instances of collusion.
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Weird, I actually agree with you for a change. Strongly agree in fact, at least on this point.
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The biggest problem i have with the collusion theory is that some guys are still getting the big contracts. Hosmer, Darvish, corbin, eovaldi are some examples im the last 2 offseasons of guys getting the big contract. Those contracts don't jive with prior instances of proven collusion at all. It makes far more sense that it's simply an unfortunate set of circumstances ffor players causing their overall percentage of the revenue to go down. IM NOT SAYING THIS IS OK. it is in fact not ok. I just don't think collusion is the right explanation. I'll also add that agents are always going to be biased to some degree. I don't believe agents have any interest in working out a fair deal. They simply want more, and more, and more, and more. If they could work the system to where they get 100% of the revenue... they would. And players are at least partially to blame for teams not wanting to hand out the big contract to declining players. Too many guys sign that guaranteed deal and coast. Treat it like a 9-5 and become an albatross for their team.
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Also many teams employing the cubs and astros model of full tear downs and intentionally losing is factoring into the current marketplace. I generally disagree that collusion is happening, but that doesn't mean this situation is at all fair for the players
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I think the days of the albatross contracts are gone. The vast majority wind up being terrible deals for the teams and cripple their ability to compete for years. The key is to find a way to pay players more money in their younger years while maintaining competitive balance for small market teams. The NFL model of salary caps and floors with significantly expanded revenue sharing is the best model in my opinion, but i cant see the big markets giving up their inherent advantage. I can't imagine the players not getting behind caps and floors that guaranteed them x% of league wide revenue.
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I could get on board with Tillman or Hellickson, possibly Liriano in a pen role. The others don't interest me all that much.
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To Extend or Not Extend: Corey Knebel
KeithStone53151 replied to Harold Hutchison's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Fair enough, I think we generally agree. As sad as it's going to be, the cream of the crop from this current team...guys like Hader, Knebel, Shaw, Arcia, Aguilar, etc...all should be cycled out at some point. None of those guys are great candidates for a long term deal, and that's especially sad for me regarding Hader as I anticipate him being fairly high on my all-time favorite Brewers list in due time. Yelich, maybe Hiura, and maybe(though unlikely) Burnes are probably the only guys we should consider extending significantly beyond team control years. If we could extend Hader of Arcia for an additional year beyond team control along with an option year, I'd probably be meh on the deal depending on $...but I'd be pretty annoyed if we bought out 3-4 years of Hader's free agency at what I imagine would have to be Chapman-level prices. -
To Extend or Not Extend: Corey Knebel
KeithStone53151 replied to Harold Hutchison's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
This is precisely how the Brewers need to operate in order to remain competitive. Lifelong Brewers like Braun need to be a dying breed if we want the Brewers to continually be relevant. It will be hard, as I am as guilty as anyone with romanticizing the lifelong Brewer. However, I would rather see consistently winning baseball in Milwaukee. Braun is really the wrong choice of a person to drive your point home. If not for the HGH/injury issues, he's exactly the type of generational player that you specifically do keep and try to build around. Weeks, Hart, Fielder, Knebel, Scooter, Khris Davis, etc...all very very good players in their prime, but there is a good reason in each case for those guys to not be extended into their mid-late 30s as a lifelong brewer. Spoiler alert, but Yelich might be the type of player we try to extend if possible...though if/when he wants $35 million per year we'll probably have to let him go to LA.