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KeithStone53151

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Everything posted by KeithStone53151

  1. KeithStone53151
    Hitting ok at Colorado Springs is hardly an indication that he has righted the ship. Everyone hits well there. Someone with Santana's skillset should be ripping the cover off the ball there. He isn't doing that. He was arguably the best slugger/hitter for the whole season last season. I think the Brewers are over-reactionary on Santana and not giving him enough of the benefit of the doubt. They did the same thing with Scooter one season with us where he started a little slow. Santana is a stud. Broxton is comparably a dud. I just don't get it ... nothing personal with you, mind you. Broxton is a better option for what we need. Late game sub for defense/speed and minimal atbats. We are better off in my opinion having Santana get regular atbats in AAA while he doesn't have a spot for regular playing time here. Hopefully he can provide some value in September and down the stretch. Despite his ok numbers, I wouldn't say he is all the way right...not yet.
  2. KeithStone53151
    Over the last 2 seasons, Thames has averaged 1 hr per roughly 7 PA against the reds. If literally every other PA was an out, he'd still have about a 570 slugging.
  3. KeithStone53151
    I'm an Epstein fan but it's hard to say. I think if Epstein was tasked with being GM of the Rays or Brewers he would not be going out and paying $50 million/year to put a band aid on the pitching staff. That said, I don't fault any of the moves he's made given how he set up their big picture to do so. Stearns might've gone out and gotten a pitcher like Hamels if he was the Cubs because with each move where you toss $5 million to fix something, there is still more money waiting in the coffers. Epstein is a good GM but if Stearns got aggressive with pitching before this season and they still had to get a 5th pitcher, he probably wouldn't have the leeway remaining to make a Hamels move (and I'm not even sure he could've this year anyways). I've made my opinion on Theo abundantly clear, so I won't rehash. I'll generally agree with bill hall that these 2 guys are working with completely different sets of resources and therefore have to operate in a completely different manner. It's hard to know how Theo or Stearns would operate if they switched places/resources. I think it's relatively safe to say that Stearns likely would be more aggressive while Theo likely would be more cautious. It is definitely much more difficult having success with a small market team than a big market team. Regarding the bold, that's definitely not true. I'm gonna grab the low hanging fruit and say Theo signed Chatwood for double the money while Stearns "settled" for Chacin. That's just one of plenty of examples of Theo not making the absolute best decision every time.
  4. KeithStone53151
    I could probably find 20 pitchers that haven't "been there" having excellent months down the stretch for contenders. I see 2 in our rotation, Miley and Chacin...
  5. KeithStone53151
    We might have a bunch of leads in September against lesser competition and (hopefully) playoffs to worry about. It's possible that both of those guys throw 5 innings/week the rest of the way. I wish we'd have pulled Guerra early against the Cubs last week, but several of these other teams...the proof came out and we didn't make the comeback regardless. I personally believe CC doing something like leaving in Lyles to give up 2 runs after we trim a 3 run deficit to 1 run has a negative affect on the mentality of players. You approach your atbat with a 3 run deficit in the 9th much differently than 1 run. Heck who knows, maybe we can scratch one out if that's all we needed. I admittedly haven't paid as much attention the past week, but I saw that blunder and it was infuriating. That specific move almost seemed like CC was trying to lose...not trying to win.
  6. KeithStone53151
    I generally agree with bill hall. With all the offdays we'll have down the stretch and September callups coming, eating innings shouldn't be a major concern. Quality innings should be a much greater concern, and I'm not sure Shields or Estrada will provide better quality innings than guys like Woodruff or Houser. On a similar note, all the off days coming make it that much stupider that CC has put Jeffress/Hader in a box and won't use these guys to try and keep deficits close and give the offense a better chance to come back.
  7. KeithStone53151
    By not pitching this year Nelson is limited next year. He can’t go from 0 to 200 innings. That isn't how it works. You build your IP based on the highest of your career, not the past season. He may be limited to like 180 IP or something but not to 100 IP or less. The rebuild has barely started so I don't get how you can be down on the future. We have a ton of talent in the minors and almost none of that talent has seen time yet, these are the filler guys almost making the playoffs, not the rebuild. I generally agree with your comment, but I wouldn't go as far as to say our filler guys are almost making the playoffs. Very few of what's coming through the minors are likely to be impact talents in the near future, Hiura is the main guy. It will definitely be beneficial having rotation pieces like Nelson, Davies, Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta return and/or fulfill their potential...but those guys are Hiura are likely the only impact talents we have helping us in the near future...unless of course we utilize free agency/trade. My main point is, what we see now is the vast majority of our core for this window that Stearns created.
  8. KeithStone53151
    Less specific optimism here, but how fun are the standings in general? 6 teams basically within a game of each other, and the dodgers lurking about 2 games behind that group...cubs 3 games ahead of that group. Nationals and Pirates are a 10 of 12 type stretch from being right in it again like the cardinals.
  9. KeithStone53151
    I assume it wasn't planned that way?
  10. KeithStone53151
    Shaw's range cost us at least 1 run this inning.
  11. KeithStone53151
    Not sure if your being factious or not but that is exactly why you send him with 2 outs. Because you will score more runs sending him there then holding him and hoping for a hit from Pina or Guerra. Maybe, I get that we have bad hitters coming up...but Heyward is going to cut down Schoop far more often than not. A very inaccurate throw and Schoop was still almost out.
  12. KeithStone53151
    Was thinking the same thing. Guerra doesn’t have it today. Too late now and the rally is over Normally I'd disagree, but we can afford to blow through the whole pen today considering we don't play again until Friday night. Also, there's a decent chance the game is cut short by rain.
  13. KeithStone53151
    terrible decision by windmill eddie to challenge heyward there. Thankfully the throw was way up the line...
  14. KeithStone53151
    All that movement on his fastball. It starts right down the middle and is in off the plate, getting consistent swings...
  15. KeithStone53151
    I look at this as not much different than Sogard or McGehee. I'd be very very surprised if he did anything near this again.
  16. KeithStone53151
    Great pick by Thames, but terrible flip to Guerra. Nice play by Guerra to handle it.
  17. KeithStone53151
    That David Bote is probably part of their 26-40 when at full health. Also quite a few of their bullpen pitchers are AAAA fodder with mediocre stuff that are managing to get outs pretty consistently. So hard to say, I doubt they'll get a ton of help outside of bullpen arms.
  18. KeithStone53151
    I like the idea of opening with the better hitters, though I generally disagree with benching Arcia right now. He's seeing the ball well right now and should be getting semi-regular atbats considering how valuable he is defensively.
  19. KeithStone53151
    Let's try some data here, the season started on March 29th, we are now 133 days into the season. Josh Hader has pitched 39 times this year (including the all star game) or an average of once every 3.4 days. He's only had 5 or more days rest between outings 4 times. But yes, clearly Counsell is mismanaging Hader, because he's been completely unsuccessful in his role. I'll add to this point, Hader has a .419 OPS against over the last 28 days. He's allowed runs twice since July 1, 2 runs both times. The 2 runs allowed on August 7th is probably fairly fresh, and he pitched on both August 4th and 5th with 1.1 combined innings allowed 1 walk, no hits, striking out 2. So it isn't like he had a long layoff before this bad outing. Hader has made 10 apperance over a 41 day span since July 1st which included most of a week off for the all-star break. My point here is that even lately, he's been pitching fairly regularly. It definitely sucks when Hader gives up a couple runs in an outing, but he's not perfect...his ERA isn't going to be 0 and strike out 2/3 of the guys he faces. San Diego as a team is red hot and they lit up every one of our relievers not named Jeffress.
  20. KeithStone53151
    I view this moreso as, they added a couple bad pitchers to soak up innings in losses because they have no depth. The smoke and mirrors from guys like Rosario, Hancock, Bass, etc from AAA is starting to not work anymore...to the point that guys like Chavez and de la rosa are becoming better options. It's generally a good thing that we aren't emulating this example.
  21. KeithStone53151
    Guerra got hit with a line drive. Someone queue Rock saying "that's the best it's gonna feel all game"
  22. KeithStone53151
    I specifically noticed him laying off Phil Hughes curveballs yesterday. I was wondering why the Padres threw him a single fastball, until I saw him lay off a couple breaking pitches.
  23. KeithStone53151
    This is a fairly likely lineup I would think, the only possible shift could be Yelich finally getting a day off with Perez starting in his place. Though with all the off days coming up, we may opt to not give him a day off.
  24. KeithStone53151
    It's actually crazy how close it is. I view the race as 6 teams right now, with all of the Nationals, Pirates, Cardinals, Rockies, and Giants as a "win 12 of 14" stretch from climbing into the race. Even the Cubs with the best record in baseball are only 3.5 games ahead of the second wildcard. Every one of those 6 teams knows that losing 2 in a row could drastically change their situation. If we lose 2 in a row, we could be tied for the 2nd wildcard. It's all so close. 45 games left, I think we might need 90 or 91 wins to guarantee a playoff spot and 94 or 95 for the division. If that's accurate, we need to go 29-16 to make a run at the division or 25-20 for a wildcard spot. Neither of those will be easy considering our schedule, we don't really get an easy opponent the rest of the way...unless you count the Reds(which I don't).
  25. KeithStone53151
    I know this is a bit nitpicky, but I suspect we still have an 8 man pen with 4 starters at most. It's also possible we have 3 starters and then 2 guys like Davies piggyback in the 4th game to some extent. With offdays, using most of the bullpen on a given day shouldn't be a major concern. Even with that said, Davies certainly will have to show quite a bit to earn a spot on the postseason roster even in relief. And, even if he comes out healthy and pitching well, Nelson might also show up in September and would probably win a spot over Davies if he looks good. Playoff rotation will almost certainly include 3 of Anderson, Guerra, Chacin, Miley.
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