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KeithStone53151

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Everything posted by KeithStone53151

  1. KeithStone53151
  2. KeithStone53151
    The Yankees shouldn't expect anything substantial at all for Happ regardless of whether they kick in salary or not. And no team is taking Happ and his full contract off the Yankee's hands for free. His potential vesting option only complicates things further. I tend to agree here. The one thing the Yankees have going for them is the SP market. So many teams in need. Happ is probably worth between 1/3 and 1/2 of his salary for 2020, and 2021 obviously depends how he does in 2020. My guess for the Brewers, they'd take on maybe 3/5 of his salary and send someone like Joe Gray over for an organizational prospect in the 6-8 range. That's probably what a trade for Happ looks like. I think it's wildly unlikely though...I doubt Stearns is interested in the risk that vesting option poses.
  3. KeithStone53151
    I tend to agree with this. Taking on bad contracts for prospects makes sense for a team like the Tigers or Orioles or Marlins or Cubs, not the Brewers.
  4. KeithStone53151
    Sounds like a guy that really puts in the effort, love to see it.
  5. KeithStone53151
    The Yankees aren't that good at developing talent. And then there's the media wildly overhyping every decent guy they have. Hard pass.
  6. KeithStone53151
    I have a suspicion they don’t envision Hiura as a second baseman long-term. I think they ultimately move him to either LF or 1B, or a longer shot that they trade him. This was my thought personally. Maybe they're simply ready to move him to 1b. Or maybe they are simply acquiring what they view as the best use of their payroll $ and sort out the positions later.
  7. KeithStone53151
    I think it’s an important note. That it isn’t just a 3 batter minimum. It’s that or he finishes an inning. He could come in with 2 outs and only pitch to one batter. Could you just pull him after a batter? What is the penalty/rule? Would he have to be sent down for 15 days? If so, I could see the Brewers breaking this rule, pulling a lefty out after one batter, and just sending him to the minors since he probably is heading there anyway in the near future. Also, we all know that a pitcher could just fake injury (or real injury). Is there any rule about this on the books? That doesn't seem realistic. Faking an injury could happen, probably will happen. That type of thing would only make sense for arms with options, which I'm not sure Claudio has any. And I'm not sure someone like Hader or Knebel would appreciate getting pulled after 1 or 2 batters solely because of a rule and getting sent down for 15 days.
  8. KeithStone53151
    +1 on all counts
  9. KeithStone53151
    I don't think Cole will be a $300m pitcher. Also worth noting significant deferrals in this deal. Cole is probably looking at 8/280 with minimal deferrals and an opt out after 3 or 4 years with a significant chunk of that money frontloaded. Maybe the first 4 years he gets 160. That would make more sense than $300m...that's just a crazy number.
  10. KeithStone53151
    I like the move. Great job bringing him back. Not every reliever in our system is going to be Josh Hader. Claudio is a good LOOGY or middle relief option. I have no problem putting him in to get Votto out with a guy on 2nd and 2 outs in the 6th or 7th inning. And contrary to popular belief, he's not a terrible option to pitch the full 6th or 7th inning. It would certainly be prudent to bring in one more back end of bullpen option to ease the burden on knebel/hader. I'm not sure I want to trust Peralta or Black in that type of role just yet.
  11. KeithStone53151
    We definitely have to pull the trigger on someone, but you're paying more for past performance and jersey sales at that price than future value.
  12. KeithStone53151
    I like Joc but he is relatively useless against LHP. In 2019, Joc had 36 HR and 74 RBI. He had 0 HR and 1 RBI in 50 PA against LHP. I would look elsewhere unless it is a salary dump. It might require patience, but I think we could get Joc or Kike for virtually nothing but payroll $.
  13. KeithStone53151
    I know we're talking about further down the roster guys, but I'd only really be interested in Joc and I doubt we'd match up on prices. Pollock is 32, very injury prone, might be a 2 WAR guy and is locked up for 3/$45 plus a player option he likely picks up making it 4 years at a high price tag. Hernandez is a nice utility guy but can only hit lefties. All of those are reasons these guys should come inexpensively. Heck we'd probably get salary relief on Pollock. I also like Joc best of the 3, probably like Kike 2nd best. Joc seems like that type of player/athlete that really figures it out for a couple years in his 26-29 range and puts up borderline MVP type numbers before fallign off a cliff. I think he has 2 really good years in him coming up, though he'd be tougher to platoon with our current OF situation. And Kike is basically a better version of Perez in every way. Again, all depends on cost.
  14. KeithStone53151
    The Dodgers have made it known that Joc Pederson, AJ Pollock, and Kike Hernandez are available for the right price. The "right price" is clearly posturing and they'll definitely be looking to move at least one of them, probably 2 of them. Those guys are fairly redundant considering their roster and prospects on the way up. I like all 3 of those guys pending the price, though obviously would only want 1.
  15. KeithStone53151
    If he's anything like 36 year old Verlander...why not?
  16. KeithStone53151
    I would like to think the Brewers can do better than the Royals. The last few years, the Brewers have been in the top 5 in tv ratings among MLB teams. I would like to think despite similar market size, number of people actually watching matters. I think the Rays got a deal somewhere in the $80 million per year range. Despite our ratings being better, that market is significantly bigger than ours to the point that it's probably hard for us to get a similar deal. My guess is for sure between those 2 numbers, probably on the lower side of the midpoint. I'll add, $30 million of additional tv revenue does not necessarily mean an extra $30 million in payroll. It definitely is not that simple.
  17. KeithStone53151
    He absolutely is a bit unproven and a bit of a gamble. If Smith had back to back 900+ ops seasons, for starters the Mets might not want to trade him...but also he would cost a ton more in trade.
  18. KeithStone53151
    Normally I would agree with this, but then I see what the Dodgers have been doing over the last handful of years. They don't make bad FA signings, they are hands down the best MLB team at developing talent and it isn't even close, and they are legit WS contenders every year with no sign of that changing over the next 5 years at least. I feel like the Dodgers guy is more or less operating like a small market team, using his virtually unlimited resources to set up the very best talent development system and is simply churning out blue chippers left and right...supplementing where needed.
  19. KeithStone53151
    Thanks eye black for posting all that. I was going to add a few accounting tidbits but you seem to have mostly covered it. Tom may be certain the Brewers operated in the red, but I suspect they were still very financially successful when looking at EBITDA, which is probably a much more useful metric in this type of business. The value of the franchise increasing definitively makes it easier to get loans if the Brewers happen to be short on cash, but loans have absolutely nothing to do with a companies profitablity. I guess mildly because it inevitably increases interest expense, but loans simply make cash available if the Brewers are short on cash. I would be shocked if there Brewers were having any sort of cash issues.
  20. KeithStone53151
    Certainly seems like Smith is incredibly redundant and blocked on the Mets roster. He's such a logical target for Milwaukee. Couldn't agree more. Stearns has already acquired 2 blocked players. Also there aren't a ton of teams out there that need 1b. He honestly might end up in AAA if they didn't trade him, which would obviously be crazy.
  21. KeithStone53151
    I'm unable to look right now, but I thought that Smith's defensive rankings were skewed because they stupidly played him in the OF, but that his 1B numbers were actually pretty good? Smith has -7 DRS over 600ish career mlb innings at 1b. Most of the negative was his rookie year, he's improved over the last 2 years and was a slightly above average defender at 1b in 2019 by every metric.
  22. KeithStone53151
    Direct from Stearns, ongoing discussions with Braun about defensive versatility. Obvious answer here is they want him playing some 1b. Dodgers get Rendon, we trade for Muncy, bring in a RH RF. We'd have some truly insane balance and a quality lineup...just need to work on pitching.
  23. KeithStone53151
    As far as filling other holes, keep an eye on Turner/Muncy if/when the Dodgers sign Rendon. That'd be a really nice fit for us. That could be a piece of what we get for Hader if that trade happens, but we could probably get one of those guys for much less than Hader.
  24. KeithStone53151
    You are ruthless!!! I love it!
  25. KeithStone53151
    Don’t call him out though. I pointed out how he was wrong on Twitter once and he blocked me. I had to disable my account and create a new one so I could follow him as he does retweet a lot of things that I like to see. What a putz. He'd be way better off just owning it and moving on.
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