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filthyfrog

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Everything posted by filthyfrog

  1. filthyfrog
    Wow, even after graduating four quality starting pitchers, 7 of the Marlins' 8 top prospects are pitchers. Of course, they also graduated five position players in '06, but that's still extremely lopsided.
  2. filthyfrog
    That's a good question. If our pick was number 15 or something like that, I'd be all for it. But at number 7, it seems like there should be some impact players too good to pass up in favor of a closer prospect. So I would wait on that strategy until next year, when we hope to be picking much lower.
  3. filthyfrog
    Turnbow's trade value is too low right now to trade him. I say keep him and hope that his slider returns. If it does, we'd have a knock out one-two punch at the back end of the bullpen. And as I've said all offseason, we need to keep Jenkins for his contract year, unless we get a ridiculously good offer for him. Geoff's ready to bust out. On the other hand, I'd be happy with getting anything for Mench. I would have been ok with non-tendering him, but maybe we can get a decent A-ball prospect for him. I'm not hoping for anything more.
  4. filthyfrog
    Wow. The average NL OPS for 1B was .879 compared to only .819 for the AL. I am guessing thats thanks to Howard/Pujols. Also, some of the best would-be 1Bs in the AL are DHs. While Klements' numbers look pretty exciting, you have to remember that the Brewer projections don't take into account the fact that many at bats will be from back ups and replacements. Even if all the starters stay healthy, guys like Counsell and Clark are going to play occasionally, which will bring down the overall numbers. My guess is that most teams would look pretty good if you compared their projected starters to positional averages.
  5. filthyfrog
    No Zach Jackson. Has he fallen so much? Not even an average prospect. I believe he's still a rookie, but perhaps I'm wrong. For all the talk we heard about his brilliant '05 campaign, Jackson really hasn't been very good except for 59.1 innings in high A ball. He put up an ok 4.00 ERA in AA and then ERA/WHIPs of 5.16/1.74 and 4.12/1.40 in his two AAA stints. In Nashville last year he barely struck out more batters than he walked. If you're strictly looking at his numbers to this point, he looks like a potential number 5 starter. His stuff appears to be better than that, and he was rushed to AAA, so there's hope that he'll become middle-of-the-rotation caliber, but he'll have to prove it.
  6. filthyfrog
    They have six guys who will be at AAA or in the majors in 2007: Villanueva, Gallardo, Parra, Dillard, Hammond, and Jackson. Except for Yo, those guys all project to be middle-to-bottom of the rotation starters at best. Dillard and Hammond are usually thought of as future relievers. Parra's injuries probably give him the same fate. To think any of them would block Inman if Inman continues his climb is inexcusably ridiculous, not to mention fergalicious. Inman has the highest ceiling of the bunch, again not including Yo.
  7. filthyfrog
    I don't think Clark, Davis and Inman is too much for Jennings. I don't understand this at all. I wouldn't trade Davis for Jennings straight up. While Dougie's ERA has gone the wrong way two consecutive years, he still has a career ERA of 4.35 compared to Jennings' 4.74. While Jennings' ERAs over the last few years were probably a bit Coors-inflated, his '06 ERA was probably Coors-deflated. And it's not like he's more durable than Davis. Jennings is a good pitcher and I'd love to add him as a bottom/middle of the rotation starter. I'd trade Clark for him in a second, but I don't see how Clark + Davis makes any sense, much less Clark + Davis + Inman. That's way, way too much. I'd rather bring Ohka back than give up Davis or Inman for Jennings.
  8. filthyfrog
    Without revealing too much subscriber info, did BA explain why they favor Tulo over Braun? Is it because he plays an above average SS while Braun plays a below average 3B? Or do they like Tulo better as a hitter, as well?
  9. filthyfrog
    Yeah, and I remember when everyone on this board thought Corey Hart couldn't hit.......something about elbow position. The fact is that nobody can say how a young prospect will fair in MLB until said prospect is given a fair shake in (guess where)that's right, MLB. I'm not sure exactly what you mean, but there were some who (foolishly) claimed Hart would never hit. I'm not saying Braun will never field; I'm saying he needs to improve on it before he earns his shot. That is, afterall, what the minors are for.
  10. filthyfrog
    is there any doubt that Braun's bat is ready for the majors? He still strikes out a ton and we've heard mixed reviews from scouts (trouble with inside fastballs). But even if his bat is ready, his glove is pretty far behind. If the Brewers are serious about contending this year, they can't afford a Weeks-like error streak while he tries to figure out how to field. Let him figure that out in AAA.
  11. filthyfrog
    How can they possibly try to predict the Yankees 2010 starting lineup. Do they honestly think the Yanks are going to stop signing Free Agents? Would you rather they predicted Ben Sheets as their number 2 starter in 2010? Actually, that would be pretty funny.
  12. filthyfrog
    Man, Hardy is going to prove a lot of people wrong over the course of his career, starting next year. I don't think anyone's challenging Hardy's talent, but when you miss the majority of two of the last three seasons, especially at a crucial time for development, it's fair to expect him to prove himself again. I hope that all that missed time won't affect him permanently, but I don't think we can assume that he'll bounce right back. Same goes for Weeks, even moreso because hand/wrist injuries can suck the power right out of a swing.
  13. filthyfrog
    I actually would like to add Juan Pierre just because he fills so many holes (CF, leadoff hitter, team speed, contact hitter) and adds some balance to a lineup full of strikeout prone sluggers. But I agree that a Jenkins-like contract would be overpaying, especially considering the obvious holes in his game (low SLG, noodle arm, insufficient walks...).
  14. filthyfrog
    While this probably deserves its own thread, I just wanted to mention that's it not completely obvious that doing away with free agent compensation would help the "rich get richer." While compensation helps when you're losing a FA, it also deters small budget teams from signing FAs. Also, the large market teams lose FAs a lot more often than the small market teams. Look at the compensation round every year. While Oakland usually has a pick, so do Boston, both New Yorks and Chicagos, etc. It's almost all large market teams getting compensated for losing FAs. Also related is the fact that you have to offer arbitration in order to get compensated. Small market teams often don't offer arby to their overpriced FAs because they're afraid the offer will be accepted. That's another reason compensation helps the big teams more than the small teams.
  15. filthyfrog
    not to toot my own PG horn too much Colby, I'm sure everyone would agree with me that you've more than earned the right to toot your own horn as much as you see fit. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  16. filthyfrog
    I've never understood why there's a discrepency between a player's real height and their listed height. Why do the programs always exaggerate? If we can list Prince Fielder as 6' tall, why can't we list him as hitting .300 with 30 HRs?
  17. filthyfrog
    Gillespie now has 17 SB (and 3 CS) in 45 games, which would be on pace for over 50 in a full season. I don't remember the initial scouting reports mentioning speed as a part of his game. Are these just rookie league swipes? Meaning, is he just stealing on the poor low level catching? Or is he actually that fast?
  18. filthyfrog
    Gillespie now has 17 SB (and 3 CS) in 45 games, which would be on pace for over 50 in a full season. I don't remember the initial scouting reports mentioning speed as a part of his game. Are these just rookie league swipes? Meaning, is he just stealing on the poor low level catching? Or is he actually that fast?
  19. filthyfrog
    Will Inman has allowed one run on the road this season. One.
  20. filthyfrog
    Jeffress seemed to be doing fine until Rogers started rehabbing in Arizona. I think it's obvious Mark has been giving Jeremy some "pointers." But seriously, while you can't account for the walks and HBPs, Jeffress is an absolute groundball machine and we all know how reliable those AZL infields are. Every ball put in play yesterday was on the ground, and you rarely see the words "line drive" in his game logs. I think AZL stats for recent high school grads are nearly meaningless, but if you really want to dig into them, the only stat (other than ERA) that isn't oustanding is walks (25 in 33.2 IP). Everything else points to a guy who could shoot up the prospect charts in the next couple years.
  21. filthyfrog
    1. yo 2. braun 3. inman 4. jackson 5. villeneuva 6. salome 7. fermaint 8. gillespie 9. cain 10. dillard Is it just me or does this look like one of the weakest top 10s we've had in years? The top three are worthy, but Jackson has been merely ok in AAA, Villanueva's minor league numbers don't support his major league success this year, and only one other guy on the list has reached AA. And he projects to be a middle reliever/bottom of the rotation guy. I hope Toby's list makes me feel better. I think you have to include at least one of Rogers and Jeffress in the top 10. I'd certainly take either of them over Dillard, for example.
  22. filthyfrog
    Jeremy Jeffress' relief appearance -- um, not good According to the game log it probably wasn't as bad as it looks. He gave up 6 hits, but 4 of them were on ground balls (including one infield hit) and one appeared to be a bloop. All in all he struck out one, walked none, got 8 ground balls, one pop up, and allowed one line drive. Two wild pitches didn't help, but it looks more unlucky than bad. And it's nice to see Brewer and Goetz--two guys I thought would have more success in Arizona--slowly climbing out of the caverns they dug themselves.
  23. filthyfrog
    I can respect the keep-them-together philosophy, but Hurricane is 2 years older than Fermaint and 3 years older than Escobar. And his game appears to be much more polished at this point. Holding him back for the sake of Escobar and Fermaint hurts his prospect status. He still needs to field and run the bases better, but I don't see why he can't work on that in AA. He looks ready to me.
  24. filthyfrog
    Gillespie raised his average from .188 to .409 in one game. Is it too early to dub him the Pioneer Leauge MVP? I believe Chapman would have something to say about that...
  25. filthyfrog
    Colby, nice job on the mock draft and all the work you've put in so far. I just noticed the following on MLB.com's write up of Kiker: Comments: Only questions about makeup have kept him from being at the top of high school pitching depth charts. Fastball sits in mid-90s and he throws a changeup and curve as well. It seems like the Brewers place more emphasis on makeup than other teams, so if the concerns are legit, I could see the Brewers passing on him. I guess we'll find out in a couple hours...
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