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Jirsch

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Everything posted by Jirsch

  1. Well, wouldn't that be poetic end to a road loss slump....I'm all for it!
  2. To answer on Chourios reaction to the play: Chourio was credited with staying with the play to get the out. He said he wasn't sure what happened high above him. "I thought I had a chance on that ball kind of the whole time off the bat," he said through the team interpreter. "Then the only thing I kind of realized, it changed direction a little bit, but I thought I had a beat on it for the majority of the time." And the StatCast explanation that I found: The ball left Ty France's bat at 105.3 mph, but with an incredibly steep 49-degree launch angle. In physics and baseball tracking, launch angle is everything. A 49-degree angle means the ball was hit almost straight up—a massive "moonshot" pop-up. According to actual historical Statcast data, balls hit at 105.3 mph with a 49-degree launch angle result in outs 99.5% of the time. There has never been a home run with a launch angle above 46 degrees hit at American Family Field in the entire Statcast era. The roof was closed, meaning there was no outfield breeze to carry a ball that was pushed so high into the air. Actual trajectory modeling showed that France's hit would have only been a home run in exactly one MLB stadium: Daikin Park in Houston, purely because of its uniquely short 315-foot "Crawford Boxes" in left field. If a ball is genuinely projected to travel 410 feet (deep into the stands), the outfielder will immediately turn around and sprint back to the wall. On this play, Brewers left fielder Chourio barely moved. He tracked the ball off the bat, drifted slightly, and camped out on the warning track. Chourio noted after the game that he felt he "had a chance on that ball the whole time" and only noticed a slight change in direction when it ticked the cable. The ball didn't drop out of the sky because it was robbed of 410 feet of distance; it dropped because it was a towering pop-up that was already destined to land right in the left fielder's glove.
  3. Loving hypotheticals, if the Crew go 17-17 the rest of the way, the Cubs need to go 23-11. baring any crazy ish happening, and everything keeps going the way it has since the all star break, we got this division locked up...right??!!
  4. With 60 to go, Fangraphs now has us projected as 31-29 the rest of the way for 95 wins and finishing 7 clear of the Cubs for the division. With a middle of the road strength of schedule, and depending on what gets done at the deadline, optimistically I'd put them at 34-26 to get to 98 wins. Just greedy since I want to see this team best last years team!
  5. Fangraphs has the team winning the division by 9 games when it is all said and done....53-46 the rest of the way is entirely doable from my chair....thoughts??
  6. Just a quick note on my experience. if this has been mentioned already, I apologize, just wanted to get some info out there. I had been piggybacking off of a relatives DIRECTV the last couple years after we cut the cord so that we could watch the games on the app. Decided this year to bite the bullet and do the Brewers.tv option so I didn't have to screen share. When I went to pay, it showed that if you are a member of GovX, you receive 35% off. So, for those of you who are active-duty military, veterans, first responders, or government employees, if you do not have a verified GovX account, go ahead and sign up, verify through ID.me, and get your discount. Went from paying $99.99 to just over $68 for the year after taxes.
  7. Completely agree with all of this. To break it down just a touch more, say the Brewers only win one more game in each remaining series and go a dreadful 7-15 down the stretch. The Cubs go 13-9 to get the tiebreaker. I think that's the only way they would have a chance to catch up. As adambr2 said, I think worst case scenario for the Crew is .500 ball, which forces the Cubs to play .772 baseball the rest of the way. For a Cubs team that has played .535 baseball since the All-Star break, that would be a huge step up the last 22 games of the year.
  8. Per Jon Heyman...Corbin Burnes to the Diamondbacks...6 years, 210 million...opt out after 2 years
  9. Just saw his name mentioned somewhere and thought it was worth a discussion. I love Roki and I think the Crew have a legit shot at him, but do the Brewers get a bit crafty and go after the NPB vet? 35 years old, but had another stellar year last year, and probably would not break the bank on a 2 or 3 year deal.
  10. I agree with Bieder that he's fully entrenched there as we speak, and IMO should stay there. Hopefully Cooper becomes our SS of the future, more sooner than later. Losing Adames definitely opens a spot for him, even though the jump from AA to the Majors would be a big one. Size-wise, he's not prototypical, but I think he's just fine....look at Cruz who is 6'7" 215 (although he is far from the norm!). Pratt is 6'4" 195, and comps well with the likes of Seager and Correa.
  11. Glass half full...I think today begins a 9-4 run the next 13. Not a really hot take, I know. But honestly, I might be disappointed if that doesn't happen since the competition is pretty lacking in the next four series.....
  12. So Brice is having a helluva year so far IMO. .309 with a .803 OPS, 12.9 whiff % and 1.5 WAR. I'm pretty sure no one here is close to complaining about that and would take that all year from him, (or anyone on the roster for that matter). But my favorite stat is the 14 stolen bases without getting caught. In fact, he's had 31 stolen bases in a row dating back to last year. Vince Coleman holds the record at 50 consecutive stolen bases back in 1987. I get that the bigger bases and minimal throw overs helps the situation, but my question for the group is, do you think he will break the record?
  13. Take this for what its worth, but I just read something where Bauer was quoted as saying the following (understanding this is his situation, so this is obviously from his swayed point of view): "Everybody that's behind the scenes...players, coaches, GM's....everyone we've talked to that's a baseball person, is like "We'd sign you in a heartbeat, but we take it to ownership and it's a hard no". And no owners will meet with us, no owners...they won't give us a reason why. I'm offering to play for literally the league veteran minimum....its like, you have to pay that spot anyway." I don't agree that he's washed up and can't hack it at the MLB level anymore. But even if that could be the case, I think he's worth a vet minimum flyer. Just my opinion.
  14. Say what you want about Bauer. I don't know him on a personal level, and I'm guessing no one here does either. Is he an ******? Maybe.....is he arrogant....sure. Is he a criminal? No. Did a few women try to trap him and get a pay day? No doubt about that now that a bunch of evidence has come out. And, to be honest, I've never been one to care how someone is perceived on the internet, or from people who don't personally know them. You know the old adage "Throwing stones at a glass house". On a baseball level, he would be an immediate, low cost help. Is he going to K 14 in 6 IP on the major league level? Probably not. But does he have a serviceable, mid rotation floor with a #1 upside? Sure does, in my opinion. But honestly owners and front offices are to scared to touch him, and with the evidence that just exonerated him, I'm not sure why..... Just take a deep breath and put yourself in his shoes for a minute....if it was me, and a lie ruined my career, I'd do anything to clear my name and get back to where I was professionally.
  15. So my wife and I are headed to Nashville this week for our 15th wedding anniversary and we are gonna take in the Sounds - Stripers game. Anything we need to know besides the beer's cold?
  16. Per Evan Drellich: "MLB, MLBPA are still discussing qualifying offer and international draft, but gaps remain on other issues, too, and the sides intend to talk all day today. Like yesterday, a lot of that might be by phone, but communication is constant. Players made last global counter offer yesterday." Honestly, the pursuit of both sides to have the proverbial last laugh is getting sickening. Not every player or owner is going to get everything they want. Some of the issues are gray areas, and both sides need to compromise at some level on some stuff that particular players and owners may be extremely passionate about.
  17. Ahh that's right there's a signing bonus cap and other stuff. I was on the old system with my explanation...pre 2016 stuff. Now that cap is in the 4-6 million range correct? Maybe then the latin born players want the kids to be able to sign at 16, or even earlier in some cases, even though that's not supposed to be allowed. Either way, it seems the system is rife with corruption in those countries.
  18. Because, if I understand it correctly, international players don't play by the same rules as amateur players from the US and Canada. There is pool money for teams to spend on international free agents that comes from MLB based on how you finish, but there is no hard cap on it. So say your team finished with a terrible record and gets the highest amount of money from the MLB to spend, for arguments sake lets say its 8 million. But there is technically no cap on it. So you can spend 30 million if you want to sign international prospects. Now there is penalties to it, but its worth it if you get the right guy. Not every team can do this since they don't have the same resources, but big markets can afford it and pay the penalty. Now if there was a draft, those players could only negotiate with the team that drafted them, just like North American kids have to. And that takes away bargaining power from the international prospect who, more than likely, lives in a poverty riddled country where another thousand or thousands of dollars matter. That's my guess.
  19. Looks like owners just made a move per Chelsea Janes of the Washington Post: MLB offered MLBPA the option to sign the CBA now, agreeing to eliminate draft pick compensation in exchange for commitment to examining the international draft. If they don't implement the draft by 2024, league would be able to re-open CBA, per people familiar with the offer.
  20. I don' think that trade will happen...but not because it's unrealistic, but because I don't think 1265 would ever do it. I think, without getting too salary cap crazy, it is more than doable. I think you do Jordan Love and a 4th for Julio and it's a done deal. All you would need would be to convert his salary next year to the league vet minimum while paying him the remainder owed in a bonus. That would take the salary cap hit to about 5.8 million. Then you restructure either Davante, Zadarius or Aaron and redo their contract to lock them up to a long term deal, and it should be doable. Everything I read up on says this is absolutely possible. But will 1265 brass pull the trigger? I don't think that would ever happen. I just don't see hem giving up any draft capital for Julio (if all it would take is a 2nd round pick), along with ever admitting they were wrong on the Love pick by trading him away. My two cents FWIW...
  21. I wouldn't call Gray a "reclamation project." He's a good pitcher--when he's not pitching in Yankee Stadium. Thankfully the Brewers don't play their home games at Yankee Stadium. I would second that.... By Breakdown ERA W L SV SVO GP GS CG IP H R ER HR BB SO AVG Home 6.98 4 4 0 0 15 11 0 59.1 78 47 46 11 35 45 .318 Away 3.17 7 5 0 1 15 12 0 71.0 60 26 25 3 22 78 .226
  22. Thanks Reilly appreciate the response. All of it is in remarkable shape. He had the foresight to put it all in sleeves and not write in any of it at a young age which surprised the heck out of me! Plus, I got a near mint 1957 Hank Aaron #20 out of the deal too so not bad!
  23. I'm a frequent reader, obviously not a frequent poster, but I came into some cool stuff from my uncle. Sharing this scorebook, but I also have the 1955 and 1956 yearbooks and the 1953-1958 stat book. I would never sell this stuff, but wondering if there is anything more than sentimental value in this type of stuff. Thanks!
  24. Just want to say I know pitching is what everyone wanted but this is a great trade imo. Stud young switch hitting catcher, speedy outfielder and a SS coming into his own who may project better at 3B.....pretty good of you ask me...although no one did!
  25. I've been following all 8,765 pages of this thread, and And That's comment above actually made me laugh out loud. Could be just tired, but well played sir....well played...
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