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Greenleaf1

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Everything posted by Greenleaf1

  1. Greenleaf1
    Guessing Stearns will do what he's always done: pick up a cheap, older reliever who's having the best season of his career. Not sure we have the prospect capital to make any big splashes (unless we trade Keston Hiura which at this point I'd guess he's more or less untouchable), but also not sure we have a ton of flexibility in our 25-man roster to make any big acquisitions either. Honestly the best thing this team could do to get better at this point would be to sign Craig Kimbrel, but guessing that's not likely to happen.
  2. Greenleaf1
    Based on how the Brewers have previously brought up top prospects, that road trip to San Francisco/San Diego (and Houston before that) in mid-June seems like the time we're likely to see Hiura in the majors. Hiura played last night in San Antonio, so guessing it's pretty unlikely they'd do that if he was going to be coming up to Chicago today.
  3. Greenleaf1
    It's getting pretty plainly obvious that they see him as a potential MLB pen addition this year. The question is going to be if they see him as exclusively a multi-inning reliever going forward, or if a return to starting is in the cards next year. In either case, it appears that the Brewers may have gotten the steal of the 2018 draft with Rasmussen. They could obviously use someone with his profile in the pen this year, and he obviously just doesn't have the innings load right now to start for a full season, but with how he's looked so far it's hard to say they should take a 1st-round-talent arm and not even consider him as a starter moving forward. Would be interesting at this point to see the history of guys with two TJs at such a young age and what their careers have been like. How many comps are there for Rasmussen in this department?
  4. Greenleaf1
    Wow, that was fast, promoted to AA already: https://www.milb.com/carolina-mudcats/news/roster-update-rasmussen-promoted-to-double-a-webb-transferred-to-carolina-from-biloxi/c-306943714?tcid=tw_article_306943714
  5. Greenleaf1
    Moose is putting up career best numbers this year (or pretty close), so I think there is probably a little regression due for both of them in opposite directions. Shaw is coming off a season where, if he had regular BABIP, he probably would've gotten MVP votes, and a very strong year before that too, so it's hard to cut bait after only a month or so. Shaw's kinda basic peripherals (hard hit %, ground:fly ratio) look pretty much in keeping with previous, more successful years. Contact seems to be the issue, as his K-rate has skyrocketed this year which is really concerning. Given the realities of Major League contracts, I'd guess that Shaw has another 3-4 weeks to figure it out before the Brewers just can't keep Hiura down any longer. If Shaw is still struggling THIS much by then, then some infield shuffling might be in order (Moose to 3B full time, Hiura to 2B). For now, I'm not ready to cut bait on one of our most reliable bats from the past two seasons when he's only 29 and still controllable.
  6. Greenleaf1
    Brewers have basically been beating every great pitcher they've faced recently, so why stop with Strasburg?
  7. Greenleaf1
    Update: I was on vacation this weekend so I made a few updates when I thought of it and I think this chart is up to date, just haven't listed them in an update post. I believe what I missed was: - Jay Jackson DFA'd - Burch Smith contract selected - Jacob Barnes was optioned and will burn his 3rd and final option if he remains in the Minors through May 21st.
  8. Greenleaf1
    Yes, the Brewers could option him without his consent until he hits 5 full years service time. Like you said, at the beginning of 2019, Shaw had 3 years and 88 days of service time, so this entire year plus part of next year we could option him without his consent. I'm not sure if we're to that point with him yet though.
  9. Greenleaf1
    I appreciate that they're getting the hot bats in there. Gamel has been providing something every single day, there's no reason to leave him out just because he's the "4th outfielder", might as well stick with him while he's hot.
  10. Greenleaf1
    I knew he was doing well but just looked him up thinking "well he couldn't be doing THAT great......HOLY HELL!" .415/.478/.732 in 47 PA, 3 HR, 5 K, 5 BB. Only 10 games so not exactly a large sample size but super glad for Sogard that he's getting to play somewhere and doing well.
  11. Greenleaf1
    I was at the game last night and after Jesus hit his 2nd homer I turned to my wife and said "either Yelich or Thames is starting in RF tomorrow night." Pointed out to her that I nailed it after I saw the lineup
  12. Greenleaf1
    Extremely small sample size but his FB was 92-94 against Arenado. I don't think I saw him pitch in ST, does anyone remember his velo from then or know what he's been throwing at San Antonio? Assuming he has a little more left in the tank based on what I've read, which is interesting because I feel like a guy like him, after having been away so long, would be really antsy to go and probably overthrowing or trying to throw as hard as possible, but instead he looked like he was really hitting the corners (that first 94 mph fastball right in the bottom outside corner of the zone that Arenado swung through was a thing of beauty) in his 1 batter faced. He seems like a guy that it'd be easy to dream on as being the next big Brewers bullpen success story. Hope it turns out that way, we could really use that.
  13. Greenleaf1
    Gatewood tweeted out yesterday that he was given the go ahead to play again, so expect him in AA or AAA pretty soon.
  14. Greenleaf1
    Houser in 2017 came back in July and then played in the Fall League, and looks like he never went above 3 IP or 50 pitches for that entire season. Then in 2018 he still was eased into a starting role and didn't really get up to the 80 pitch range until near the end of the year. And this was after only 1 TJ for Houser, I believe (unless he had one before he was a Brewer). With 2 TJ's already on his relatively young arm, my guess is Rassmussen never gets above 3-4 IP or 50-60 pitches this entire season, even if they intend to eventually stretch him out as a starter next year. This really doesn't preclude him from getting to the pros this year as a reliever, but I think the need would have to be pretty great considering I doubt they want him going multiple days in a row this year. Probably should just enjoy his rehab year and dream on lengthier outings and better results for next year. Or I could be completely wrong.
  15. Greenleaf1
    Added my Jay Jackson thoughts to the Minor League Options thread, as I was looking through his transaction history and was astonished that he has all 3 option years remaining. Long story short, his career looks pretty horribly mismanaged by the Cubs: viewtopic.php?f=64&t=37695&p=1212162#p1212162
  16. Greenleaf1
    Update: Alex Wilson has been designated for assignment. Brewers have selected the contract of Jay Jackson to replace him on the 40-man. Looking back at Jackson's career, I'm kind of amazed at how badly the Cubs seem to have bundled his career but maybe there is more to the story. Jackson was a top 10 (maybe even top 5) prospect once for the Cubs, had a helium-like rise through their system in 2 years after being drafted, then they let him toil away at AAA for 3 years until he probably just got so frustrated he couldn't pitch well anymore, then they released him without ever adding him to the 40-man. He did have a brief call up in 2015, did not perform well, then went to Japan where he performed very well. Most astonishing is that the Cubs never once thought to try him in the bullpen during those 3 long years in AAA, which is where he seems to be thriving now. JJ #2 could be a really smart pickup. Hasn't given up a run at AAA yet this year, 14:2 K:BB in 8.2 IP, and reportedly has a fastball in the mid to upper 90s. Excited to see how he fares with the Crew.
  17. Greenleaf1
    [sarcasm]Perrin got suspended after league officials took one look at his profile photo.[/sarcasm]
  18. Greenleaf1
    Update: We found out the answer a few days ago, I guess, as Petricka was DFA'd. Reports said he was only DFA'd to make room for Gio Gonzalez on the 40-man, but it still seems possible that he just refused an option and made that decision easy for the Brewers. Anyways, Petricka is now off the 40-man, his 2 option years (if he consents) are still in tact for now if remains in the Brewers' system. Gio has been added to the 40-man roster. Taylor Williams has now spent more than 20 days in the minors this year and has burned his 3rd and final option. It is unclear if, like Adrian Houser, he would be eligible for a 4th option next year due to his injury history.
  19. Greenleaf1
    Update: The great Jake Petricka line has finally settled down, as he has reached 5 years MLB service time and can no longer be optioned without his consent. Enjoy that star next to your name, Jake, you've earned it. In other news, if Taylor Williams isn't called up today, he will burn his 3rd and final option.
  20. Greenleaf1
    Update: Guerra placed on bereavement leave, Hart optioned to AAA. Petricka and Houser recalled. Also, Chase Anderson has reached 5 years of service time and can no longer be optioned to the Minor Leagues without his consent.
  21. Greenleaf1
    Also, having just typed it out, it's crazy that Yelich has a 59.4% hard hit rate. 3 out of every 5 balls he hits in play are hit hard.......this guy is unstoppable. Looking at Fangraphs leaderboards from 2002-2018, the best hard hit rate for a season is 2007 Ryan Howard with 55.2%. Next closest is 2018 Matt Carpenter at 49%. Howard hit .268/.392/.584 that year with 47 dingers (he just couldn't make contact, 30.7% K rate). We've been thinking Christian Yelich was peak-Braun, but what if he's peak Ryan Howard but with (much) better contact?
  22. Greenleaf1
    Yelich's BABIP is actually about 50 points lower than his career norm right now. I'm sure a chunk of that is just that his hard hit balls are in the air more often now and leaving the park, but even last year with a lower AVG he had a .373 BABIP compared to a .304 BABIP so far in 2019 despite a monstrous 59.4% hard hit rate (47.6% in 2018, 38.1% career). So, yes, what I'm actually about to say is.......Yelich may actually be pretty unlucky at the plate so far this year. Some......POSITIVE regression is possible?
  23. Greenleaf1
    Man, Chase is airing it out tonight. Interesting that he's mostly just throwing fastballs, it was the same early on with Chacin last night.
  24. Greenleaf1
    Update: No official word yet, but seems like Corbin Burnes and Jake Petricka have been optioned. Donnie Hart has been recalled from AAA and Alex Wilson has been reinstated from the paternity list. Petricka continues to be the toughest line to maintain in this thread, as he is 9 days away from burning his 2019 option but also only a few days away from 5 years of MLB service time. Something's gotta give soon...
  25. Greenleaf1
    My 2nd game at Miller Park in 2019! 1st game was the Josh Hader immaculate inning, so I hope we get the same outcome tonight!
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