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Lathund

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Everything posted by Lathund

  1. I don't want to see us doing any moves that compromise the long term by going for the short term. I'm fine with "buying" if it's for players with either a lot of team control remaining, or if it's short-term deals that don't cost us a lot. We can certainly take on salary for 2017 and 2018, even if it's for a likely rental. But I also don't think it's as clear as being buyers or sellers. I think we may very well see deals that see us selling in areas of strength and buying in areas of weakness. That could be deals like trading away an outfielder for prospects, while using prospects to trade for major league pitching. I like both Aguilar and Thames a lot. But we also have Cooper absolutely tearing it up in AAA (.919 OPS on the road, so it's not just CS), so there's the possibility of trading one of them away without really weakening us too much. Generally when it comes to being "buyers" or "sellers" it all comes down to what kind of deals are out there to be had. We shouldn't be buyers or sellers just for the sake of it. If it's a buyers market and we can get great value for what we give up, we do that. If it's a sellers market, even if that part of the rebuild is complete or at least mostly complete, we at least take a serious look.
  2. That's why I like it when teams try to run a lot. You put pressure on the defense, you force mistakes. And occasionally you get a run from it. Not often, but a run here and there over a season can be an extra win.
  3. Adam McCalvy says that Espino is in Milwaukee, so should be the one getting the start. No word on what the corresponding roster move will be. EDIT: Confirmed by the club as well.
  4. Villar leading off, no Phillips. Perhaps both these things are related to Blach being a lefty, but playing Villar over Sogard shouldn't have to mean we have to use Villar in the leadoff spot. He really needs to prove he can hit again before being put back into the leadoff spot.
  5. If that's going to be the rest of the season I definitely agree but I thought someone mentioned that it was just a couple time thing. Someone, forgot if it was the CS manager or the Brewers farm director, said that it was precisely because they wanted to keep him as a starter that they did this. Not wanting to increase his innings pitched from last year by more than 15% or so. With the major league season lasting longer than the minor league seasons, they would rather do it now than be "forced" to have him sit out in September if he gets called up. I imagine it could affect the end of the season in the minors as well. Had they been wanting to convert him to the bullpen, surely it would have made more sense to not have him start the games. Nor, I imagine, would they play him every 5th day only.
  6. I'm very much in favour of the non-conventional roles, and very much against the traditional closer role, and the focus it has on saves. If you're facing the top of their order in a tied game heading into the 8th (Or even the 7th), that's when your "closer" should come in. Rather than facing the bottom of the order in the 9th with a 2-run lead. If you even get to that point not using your best relievers. So the Cleveland situation is a good example of the "fireman", using your your best reliever in the highest leverage situations even if they're not in the 9th inning with a lead. You can still have your "closer"; just don't use your best guy for that role. The problem with this though is that saves are what gets you the big money, so making these cahnges can be hard. I think the Andrew Miller experiment has helped though. The other thing I'd like to see us do more is multi-inning relief appearances, and not just in the typical "long relief" scenarios. Perhaps that's what we're trying to do with Peralta, but I'd like to see it done more. Needs a certain type of player though. Your prototypical fireballer late-inning reliever (Like Barnes) might not be suited for that.
  7. We've been utterly awful with runners at third this series. I mean I shouldn't complain too much after a 2-run first inning, but it's getting frustrating. So many of our hitters seem to want to hit a home run every time, even in situations where a sac fly or even a groundout would be enough.
  8. Yeah I've noticed that too. When you see just his upper body when walking, you'd think he was limping and barely able to walk. He did walk like that even when fit and running the bases normally, but it looks more pronounced now. Anyway, regarding this and any other player really, I agree with the sentiment that if there's an injury, even a minor one, go on the DL instead of either playing through it or having a short bench. Exeption to that being things like contusions and such where we're talking 1-2 days and there's no risk of aggravating anything. We're not in a "must win now" mode, and we have players in the minors who we want to evaluate at some point. A 1-2 week stint for someone already on the 40-man roster isn't going to hurt us at all; even if they go down to AAA the rest of the season, having experienced the majors will probably help ahead of a hopefully permanent callup next season.
  9. 3 15 pitch innings would put him at 142. I don't think he's getting a complete game. But at the same time, we're up by 5. Keep him out there until he gives up a hit (Or a couple of walks, if it looks like he's spent).
  10. Velocity is measured with Statcast this year, as opposed to PITCHF/X in the past. Main difference is that the old system only recorded velocity at one point, something like 50-60 feet away. Statcast tracks it the entire way, and gives the highest number which will be right after the ball leaves the hand. Overall it's ~1mph higher than before.
  11. 18 pitches to retire the first 6 batters. Gut feeling is a complete game shutout, with how good Greinke is and how bad our offense has been recently. Really hope to be wrong though, obviously!
  12. Fangraphs article looking at some of the reasons why our record might not quite reflect where we are. The gist of it being that we're both scoring more and giving up less runs than the underlying numbers suggest we should (And for those who don't buy into wOBA, xwOBA and such, you can look at things like WHIP and FIP for the pitching side). Which is what I believe as well: There won't be a difficult decision to make, as I don't think we'll truly be in the wilcard race at the deadline, at least not close enough to warrant big trades.
  13. Agreed. I think he's being sold a bit short by some. He's still only 24, and has room to improve. Improved defense along with increasing his FB% by 10% and you'd be looking at an all-star. Not sure we can expect him to improve much defensively, for the most part (Not to say there aren't exceptions) defense doesn't improve much at that age. Which would be less of a concern if we didn't also have Braun, who is also a subpar defender these days. Let's hope Santanas bat keeps improving to make up for his defense. Looking quite promising tbh. His patience and BB% is very good, maybe needs to start being a bit more aggressive in certain counts.
  14. On that note, you might enjoy this Cubs error compilation.
  15. Isn't the problem with both the Rangers and the Yankees that Braun has full no-trade rights, and seemingly is only interested in moving to California? I'm sure there are several other teams that both could use Braun, and have the players to reach a deal with the Brewers, but that don't interest Braun.
  16. Why? I'm not sure Woodruff outpitches Anderson who's been average. He's got a .322 BABIP against which his .20 above his career. Everything else is about normal for him. Eventually those grounders will turn into outs. They are just finding holes (yesterday notwithstanding). If he was horrible then maybe you make a move. The Padres even hit Anderson. Right now he is the one on the hotseat. But he still gets at least two more starts, imo. What is safe threshold for Super 2? It's based on being among the top 22% in service time among those with between 2 and 3 years of service time, so there's no firm safe threshold. Between 2009 and 2014, the threshold was between 2.146 and 2.122 years of service time. It could obviously go even higher or lower, depending on the rate of callups, how well they stick in the majors etc. So at least 50 days into the season, probably make it 60+ to be safe(ish).
  17. Home: .773 OPS (106 OPS+) Away: .393 OPS (10 OPS+) That's quite something.
  18. Yeah I think the weather could've been a factor both ways. I don't think he should stay in the rotation when Guerra is back, but I wouldn't be opposed to him getting a few more starts if another spot opens up soon. It's his MLB debut against the reigning WS champions at Wrigley Field, in very poor conditions. I'd like to see a bit more, in more normal conditions, before I make up my mind about him.
  19. Not sure what the best thread for this is, but this seems as good as any: Who is our emergency catcher? And likewise, if we need to call on a position player to pitch, who would be the first name(s) called upon?
  20. I think Corey just walks the leadoff batters to make it a bit more interesting.
  21. The amount of runs given up isn't too bad, as you say. What's worrying is that we've been getting lucky. We have the highest batting average against (.274), highest WHIP (1.47), highest OPS against (.804). Basically, we allow a LOT of baserunners. So far we've gotten a lot of key double plays and we've stranded a lot of runners. But these things catch up to you. If you allow a lot of baserunners, and also allow a lot of hits, then sooner or later that will turn into runs allowed.
  22. Is there any website that tracks, on a team-level, where hits are located (Right/Left/Cente/Infield etc)? Feels like we're hitting a lot to the opposite field, would be interesting to see if that's accurate and how it compares to other teams.
  23. He stayed alive long enough for Villar to score. Villar went when the throw went to second.
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