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Ron Robinsons Beard

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Everything posted by Ron Robinsons Beard

  1. No doubt Weaver was considered the better prospect 4 years go. Four years is an eternity in player development, though. And considering where they were drafted and where they are now, you could make a sound argument that Woodruff has developed at a higher rate based on expectations at draft time.
  2. Calling Kelly a borderline top 50 prospect is generally fact. Baseball America pre-2018: #56 MLB pre-2018: #46 Baseball Prospectus pre-2018: #44 Kelly WAS a borderline top 50 prospect. Not anymore. You could say that about a ton of guys who are still young but have lost their prospect luster.
  3. My ranking was based on his higher velocity and a larger frame that would indicate a higher probability of durability. Luke Weaver is extremely skinny, and while it is possible that he can add some muscle mass, typically svelte pitchers don't age extremely well as starters. Woodruff, on the other hand, looks like he came off the starting pitcher assembly line.
  4. I could definitely see Santana or maybe Corey Ray going to the Indians, and one of their starters coming back. But I think one of those guys would likely be a part of a prospect package for Kluber, Bauer, Carrasco or Salazar.
  5. A trade like that makes a lot of sense for both sides, but if the Indians wanted Santana, I suspect they would have acquired him last offseason. Also, corner OF bats, especially inconsistent ones who offer poor defense, seem to not have much value. But I agree that Santana would be a great fit for that Indians lineup, which has been trotting out a trainwreck in the OF and stands to lose Brantley.
  6. It often depends on additional factors such as position scarcity as well as the type of needs and valuation system of the potential trade partner. Over the past year the Pirates (i.e. Gerrit Cole trade) and now Diamondbacks have made deals where they appeared to value major league ready role players. Other teams such as the Padres (i.e. Brad Hand trade) have taken less quantity while receiving a top prospect in return. I do think top prospects currently carry as much trade value right now as ever. Also, I think the trio of young pitchers often mentioned (Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta) would carry a good amount of trade value among the teams that favor major league ready pieces in return. I get it. I guess the crux of my argument is that the Brewers have the depth of both MLB-ready role players and prospects that there probably isn't a guy out there on the block that they wouldn't be able to acquire if they really wanted him.
  7. Looking at this trade, it appears that it is going to be entirely possible for the Brewers to make a trade for a solid, if not difference-making piece without having to give up multiple top prospects. While Paul Goldschmidt may only have one year left on his deal, he is a perennial MVP candidate whose still in his prime, and his contract payout is affordable. If this is the going rate for a stud player, we have been seriously overestimating what it's going to take to acquire guys like Realmuto and Merrifield, despite their longer control. It appears that players like Hiura and Burnes won't need to go anywhere for the Brewers to fill their holes with high end contributors, unless the other team is seriously overestimating the value of their trade piece.
  8. The only way a Goldschmidt acquisition would make sense is if they had a team(s) interested in acquiring Aguilar and Thames. Who knows if those teams even exist? But it's fun to dream on having a bat like Goldschmidt in the middle of the Brewers' lineup.
  9. I'd go Burnes, Woodruff, Weaver, Peralta, in that order. But I think Peralta might just have the most upside, if that makes any sense. I rank him lowest because I think he has the most bust potential. In my mind, Peralta and Weaver should be very similarly ranked value-wise.
  10. Well, I thought you were trying to be funny by going here on December 5, so I responded with the Perdomo fun. But it's obvious you are serious, so I remind you again -- it is December 5.
  11. Weaver is a very skinny, slight pitcher who averages about 93 MPH on his fastball. I think the Davies comp is a better fit.
  12. Not a major move.. Could be ... No one thought Wade Miley was a major move when he was signed.
  13. Probably because the Wisconsin defense wouldn't be able to stop a high school offense this year.
  14. Somewhere Angel Perdomo is shedding a single tear ...
  15. Yep ... I know the Brewers aren't likely to sit on their hands all offseason, but it has been frustrating so far. There are holes on this team that need filling. I keep telling myself ... patience ... patience. They better hope Aguilar is the real deal, and not a half-year flash in the pan. Because they could have added a legit superstar 1B in a contention year for a solid value.
  16. Pretty easy to find a flaw in every prospect. Even the top top guys. Its whether their value is greater than their flaws. But that's why they are prospects ... you don't know for sure. All it takes is one great year for a guy like Lutz or Turang to vault into the top 50 prospects in baseball. Look at Ray ... people were ready to dump him last year at this time, and now he's the system's player of the year. Yes, he still has flaws in his game, but his overall value took a nice jump I think.
  17. Woodruff has more upside than soft-tossing Weaver. I think Davies is a better comp. I agree that the Cards made a terrific trade, and Goldy is a guy in my mind that would have looked great in the Brewers lineup. Swing and a miss from our front office
  18. I'm pretty confident is saying that if the Brewers wanted Goldy, they could have EASILY beaten this crap Cardinal package. If I'm a DBack fan, I'm disgusted by that return for a franchise icon.
  19. Davies and Nottingham were exactly who I thought off too. I figured they would get much more in return. Arguably best 1st baseman in baseball. Carson Kelly is a solid defensive catcher, profiling better defensively than Nottingham. But the values shouldn't be all that much dissimilar.
  20. It is Dec. 5. Whole lotta offseason left.
  21. What would be the Brewers equivalent package? Davies, Nottingham, and Tucker Neuhaus maybe? Seems really underwhelming for an MVP candidate.
  22. You mean it is possible to acquire a stud player in a trade without giving up your top stud prospects? I thought that wasn't possible? I mean, the Brewers don't have the prospects to make a deal like this!
  23. Close to MLB-ready talent for one. While you are probably going to argue that some of these guys have major holes, all could find themselves in MLB roles soon: Hiura, Ray, Dubon, Zach Brown, Nottingham, Gatewood, Diplan, Supak, Stokes, Houser. Also several very young guys that have looked very good in limited pro action so far: Turang, Lutz, Gray, Henry, Ashby, Bello, Rodrigues, Ernesto, Ward, Fernandez. Severa other high upside bounceback candidates as well. I agree that the team has graduated a bunch of young guys and traded away several solid prospects in the last year that hurts the overall ranking of the system. But I disagree wholeheartedly that the cupboard is bare or that the system is bad. This team has done a terrific job drafting over the last several seasons, plus they are making some very intriguing international signings, and there is no indication that won't continue. They have a World Series contender, and are using their system correctly, as both reinforcements for the MLB team, and as currency to acquire MLB pieces. I have no doubt that will continue. Again, this is my opinion, and I am by no means asking or telling you to agree.
  24. Boo! That is a major bummer. I see him being a huge thorn in the Brewers' side next year, and likely longer if/when he re-ups with them.
  25. It is possible that not everyone shares your opinion. Why is admitting that the farm system isn't good such a big deal? Burnes, Peralta and Woodruff have graduated. We've traded a ton of prospects over the last couple years. That tends to weaken your farm system, it's okay to admit it. If you believe that, that's fine. I'm not telling you what you should believe, nor should you tell me or anyone else what to believe. I'm just saying that there are a lot of people here, myself included, that don't see it the way you do. Personally I think there is a ton of system strength.
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